Random Variables and Expected Value
Random Variables and Expected Value
p X 2 3b and p X 3
1
2
blu
e
1/9
gre
en
5/1
8
yello
w
m
oran
ge
m
purp
le
m2
3. Two fair 6-sided dice are rolled. Let X be the number of number of 5s
that are rolled. Complete the following probability distribution, then
calculate E(x).
x
P(X=x)
4. A player tosses two coins into the air. He gains to win $1 times the
number of heads that are obtained. However, he will lose $5 if neither
coin is a head. Calculate the expected value of this game and determine
whether it is favorable for the player.
5. You can choose to play one of two games. Each game costs one dollar to
play.
Game 1. A wheel with three numbers on it--zero, one, and two--is
spun so that there is a 40% chance that the wheel lands on zero, a
10% chance the wheel lands on one, and a 50% chance the wheel
lands on two. You get back the amount in dollars of the number that
the wheel lands on.
Game 2. A different wheel with three numbers on it--zero, one, and
two--is spun so that there is a 5% chance that the wheel lands on zero,
a 80% chance the wheel lands on one, and a 15%chance the wheel
lands on two. You get back the amount in dollars of the number that
the wheel lands on.
(a) What is the expected amount of money that you will get back from
Game 1? What is the expected amount of money that you will get back
from Game 2?
(b)
(c) In Game 1, what is the probability that you will not lose money? In
Game 2, what is the probability that you will not lose money?
x
P(X=x)
1
0.5
10
0.3
100
a
1000
b