Applied Probability Lecture 4: Tina Kapur Tkapur@ai - Mit.edu
Applied Probability Lecture 4: Tina Kapur Tkapur@ai - Mit.edu
Objective
Use Probability to create a software solution to a real-world problem.
Objective
Use Probability to create a software solution to a real-world problem.
Timeline/Administrivia
Friday: vocabulary, Matlab Monday: start medical segmentation project Tuesday: complete project Wednesday: 10am exam Lecture: 10am-11am, Lab: 11am-12:30pm Homework (matlab programs):
PS 4: due 10am Monday PS 5: due 12:30pm Tuesday
Vocabulary
Random variable Discrete vs. continuous random variable PDF Uniform PDF Gaussian PDF Bayes rule / Conditional probability Marginal Probability
Random Variable
Random Variable
Function defined on the domain of an experiment
Example r.v.
Experiment: 2 coin tosses
Sample space: Random variable:
Example r.v.
Experiment: 2 coin tosses
Sample space: HH, HT, TT, TH Random variable: h number of heads in run
PDF
Function that associates probability values with events in sample space.
PDF
Function that associates probability values with events in sample space. Two characteristics of a PDF:
PDF
Function that associates probability values with events in sample space. Two characteristics of a PDF:
Mean or Expected value Variance
Uniform PDF
Uniform PDF
p(x)
? 0 a x
E(x) = s2(x) =
Gaussian PDF
Gaussian PDF
( x )2 2s 2
1 P( x) e 2 s
P( x) P ( x | i ) P (i )
i
P(i | x)
Recitation/Lab
Install Matlab Start Problem Set 1