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Applied Probability Lecture 4: Tina Kapur Tkapur@ai - Mit.edu

The lecture covers key probability concepts like random variables, probability distribution functions, Bayes' rule, and their applications in software solutions. It provides an overview of the course timeline which includes a medical image segmentation project and exams. Homework assignments in Matlab are due on Monday and Tuesday of the following week. Key vocabulary terms are defined, such as discrete vs continuous random variables and the uniform, Gaussian, and conditional probability distributions.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
32 views

Applied Probability Lecture 4: Tina Kapur Tkapur@ai - Mit.edu

The lecture covers key probability concepts like random variables, probability distribution functions, Bayes' rule, and their applications in software solutions. It provides an overview of the course timeline which includes a medical image segmentation project and exams. Homework assignments in Matlab are due on Monday and Tuesday of the following week. Key vocabulary terms are defined, such as discrete vs continuous random variables and the uniform, Gaussian, and conditional probability distributions.

Uploaded by

sarpedon3289
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Applied Probability Lecture 4

Tina Kapur [email protected]

Objective
Use Probability to create a software solution to a real-world problem.

Objective
Use Probability to create a software solution to a real-world problem.

Timeline/Administrivia
Friday: vocabulary, Matlab Monday: start medical segmentation project Tuesday: complete project Wednesday: 10am exam Lecture: 10am-11am, Lab: 11am-12:30pm Homework (matlab programs):
PS 4: due 10am Monday PS 5: due 12:30pm Tuesday

Vocabulary
Random variable Discrete vs. continuous random variable PDF Uniform PDF Gaussian PDF Bayes rule / Conditional probability Marginal Probability

Random Variable

Random Variable
Function defined on the domain of an experiment

Example r.v.
Experiment: 2 coin tosses
Sample space: Random variable:

Example r.v.
Experiment: 2 coin tosses
Sample space: HH, HT, TT, TH Random variable: h number of heads in run

Discrete vs. Continuous R. V.

Discrete vs. Continuous R. V.


Domain

PDF

PDF
Function that associates probability values with events in sample space.

PDF
Function that associates probability values with events in sample space. Two characteristics of a PDF:

PDF
Function that associates probability values with events in sample space. Two characteristics of a PDF:
Mean or Expected value Variance

Uniform PDF

Uniform PDF
p(x)

? 0 a x

E(x) = s2(x) =

Gaussian PDF

Gaussian PDF
( x )2 2s 2

1 P( x) e 2 s

mean var iance s 2

Bayes Rule Revisited


P( A | B) P( B | A) P( A) P( B)
P( i | x) P( x | i ) P(i ) P( x)

P( x) P ( x | i ) P (i )
i

P(i | x)

P( x | i ) P(i ) P( x) P( x | i ) P(i ) P( x | i ) P(i )


i

Recitation/Lab
Install Matlab Start Problem Set 1

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