Paul Ryan Budget 2015
Paul Ryan Budget 2015
Paul Ryan Budget 2015
Expand opportunity by growing the economy. Provide our troops the training, equipment, and compensation they need. Repeal Obamacare to clear the way for patient-centered reform. Provide families with a fair, simple tax code to boost wages and create jobs. Secure seniors retirement by strengthening Medicare and other vital programs. Strengthen the safety net and help people get back on their feet. Restore fairness by cutting spending and combatting cronyism.
INTRODUCTION
Nearly five years after the financial crisis, many families still havent recovered. The typical households income, when adjusted for inflation, is lower now than it was in 2007. 1 Over 46 million people live in poverty today,2 and over 90 million are out of the workforce altogether.3 Every year since the recession hit, Washington has all too often turned to the old standbys: more taxes, more spending, and more regulation. The federal government rushed through a series of costly remedies: the stimulus package, the Dodd--Frank law, Obamacare. Washington keeps stepping on the gas, and the engine keeps on flooding. President Obama and his party promised if Washington took a firmer hold of the economy, working families would be better off. But in the first few years of his administration, the economy grew at less than half the average of all other recoveries since World War II. 4 Economic growth has moved in fits and starts since then and, in recent months, has slowed considerably. 5 Meanwhile, the national debt has skyrocketed and continues to climb-----well after the recession. In May 2013, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projected the federal government would add $6.3 trillion to the national debt from 2014 to 2023. But in February 2014-----not even a year later-----CBO revised its forecast to $7.3 trillion-----a $1 trillion increase. It attributed most of the hike to a drop in revenue, the inevitable result of a lackluster economy. 6 The budget and the economy are closely linked. Just as a weak economy can drag the budget into the red, a responsible budget can help propel the economy forward. So if Washington is serious about helping working families, then it needs to get serious about the national debt.
older. But its also because fewer people are joining the workforce. 10 And the administrations policies have made things worse. Take Obamacare. CBO says the law will discourage work. People will receive smaller health-insurance subsidies as they make more money. So for many families, it just will not pay to work. As a result, people will put in fewer hours, and the effect will be huge-----as if 2.5 million people had stopped working full time 11 by 2024. The administration has tried to spin this as good news and argued that work was just getting in the way. But the problem isnt that too many people are working. The problem is not enough people can find work. And if more people leave the workforce, the economy will shrink. There will be less opportunity, not more. And the national debt will only get bigger. In the past few years, Congress has achieved some modest spending restraint, primarily by reducing discretionary spending. But Washington hasnt done nearly enough to make a serious dent in the debt. Under current law, the deficit will start growing in just two years. By 2022, the U.S. will be running trillion-dollar deficits again-----even though the federal government will be taking in a historically large share of revenue. Thats because spending will be growing twice as fast as revenue. So over the next ten years, the national debt will grow by $10 trillion-----for a grand total of 12 $27 trillion. Yet the President wants to double down. In his latest budget request, he wants to increase spending by $791 billion through 2024. He wants to undo the recent bipartisan budget agreement and increase spending by $56 billion in 2015 alone. Hes abandoned the one significant reform hes embraced-----what his own administration has called a more accurate measure of inflation. And he wants to raise taxes on families and job creators by $1.8 trillion-----though thats on top of the $1.7 trillion hes already imposed. In short, the President wants families to pay more so Washington can spend more. And even with those extra tax hikes, the deficit will still be back above $1 trillion by 2022. The Presidents budget never balances-----ever. Instead, it allows our debt to spiral out of control. If the last five years are any indication, that simply wont work. And if we dont change course soon, both the budget and the economy will continue to decline. What the country really needs is an alternative. The administration has bottled up the forces of innovation and free enterprise; we need to invigorate them. We need a plan that will provide for the nations needs, that will allow families and job creators to rebuild the economy, and that will finally balance the budget.
10 The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2014 to 2024, Congressional Budget Office, Feb. 2014. 11 Ibid. 12 Ibid.
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reforming Medicaid, and encouraging work. It also creates the space for greater reform. Both sides of the political spectrum agree that poverty is a problem and should work together to expand opportunity for all Americans. The Path to Prosperity also will strengthen our health-care system by repealing Obamacare. The healthcare law has been a costly mistake, so this plan calls for a full replacement. It clears the way for patientcentered reforms that will help increase access, improve quality, and lower costs. The status quo means weak economic growth and invites a fiscal crisis. The Path to Prosperity is the alternative the country needs. It expands opportunity by growing the economy. It strengthens the safety net by retooling federal aid. It secures seniors retirement by reforming entitlements. It restores fair play to the marketplace by ending cronyism. It keeps our country safe by rebuilding our military. It ends Washingtons culture of reckless spending. And it will help to build an America that works.
Defense in brief
Provide funding consistent with Americas military goals and strategies. Fully fund our nations commitment to veterans.
2. Expand Opportunity
Though not sufficient by themselves, federal policies can help foster a stronger economy. This budget seeks to equip Americans with the skills they need in a 21st-century economy and to create jobs through long-overdue tax reform. Both reforms work off the same principle: The American people know their needs better than bureaucrats thousands of miles away.
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Repeal the Alternative Minimum Tax. Reduce the corporate tax rate to 25 percent. Adopt a more competitive system of international taxation.
Medicare in brief
Preserve Medicare for those in or near retirement. Strengthen Medicare for younger generations. End Obamacares raid on the Medicare Trust Fund. Repeal all of Obamacare, including the Independent Payment Advisory Board.
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5. Restore Fairness
The administrations uncontrolled, wasteful spending in combination with an overzealous regulatory agenda has weakened an anemic economy and hurt job creation, especially for small businesses. To restore fairness and vitality to our economy, this budget ends cronyism; eliminates waste, fraud, and abuse; reforms the regulatory state; and returns the federal government to its proper sphere of activity.
Energy in brief
Strengthen American energy security. Restore competition to the energy sector. Scale back corporate subsidies in the energy industry. Unlock Americas vast energy resources while protecting the environment. Stop the government from buying up unnecessary land.
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Require that the costs of legislation related to housing be calculated on a fair-value basis and authorize the use of fair-value-costs estimates for other credit programs. Call on congressional committees to regularly review programs for waste, fraud, and abuse. Extend the No Budget, No Pay Act of 2013.
***** Ultimately, the budget is more than a list of numbers. Its an expression of our governing philosophy. This budget offers the American people a brighter future. It would stop spending money we dont have. It would help create jobs and expand opportunity. And it would restore the promise of this exceptional nation.
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Furchtgott-Roth, Diane, Who Is Dropping Out of the Labor Force, and Why? Real Clear Markets, 14 Jan. 2014.
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recently. The weak labor market and subpar wage growth is a prime reason why overall household income is still depressed. Real median household income declined for the fifth consecutive year in 2012 (latest data available) and, at just over $51,000, is currently at its lowest level since 1995. Emerging markets contributed to some volatility in global financial markets earlier this year, highlighted by steep drops in the currencies of countries like Argentina, Turkey, Brazil, and South Africa. U.S. markets have been somewhat immune to this volatility. The S&P 500 experienced some weakness in January, but has subsequently recovered and is currently about 20 percent above its year-earlier level.
Economic Forecasts and the Macroeconomic Feedback Effect of Pro-Growth Budget Policies
Economic growth is one of the major determinants of revenue and spending levels-----and therefore the size of budget deficits-----over a given period. According to CBO, if real GDP growth is just 0.1 percentage point lower than expected over its ten-year budget window, revenue would be $272 billion lower,
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spending would be nearly $40 billion higher, and the cumulative deficit would rise by $311 billion. We have seen the budget impact of sluggish economic growth in recent years. Although the U.S. economy technically emerged from recession nearly five years ago, the subsequent recovery has been subpar. Over the past four years, real GDP growth has averaged just over 2 percent annually. According to CBO, U.S. economic output has been growing at less than half of the typical rate exhibited during other recoveries since WWII. This trend has surprised most economic forecasters. Back in 2010, CBO expected real GDP to grow by a relatively brisk 3.0 percent annual average over the budget window. Last year, that average edged down to 2.9 percent, but in its latest economic forecast, average real GDP growth fell to just 2.5 percent. The important change is that this year CBO has significantly lowered its expectation of long-term growth in potential real GDP, due mainly to negative developments in the labor market. CBO expects slower growth in the potential labor force later this decade, which is linked to the aging of the population and the retirement of the baby-boom generation. With a smaller labor force, there will also be less business investment and slower growth in the countrys capital stock. Government policies will also play a role in this trend. For instance, the Affordable Care Act (ACA) will incentivize people to work fewer hours. The overall picture that CBOs latest economic forecast paints is that sluggish economic growth has evolved from mainly a cyclical issue to a longer-term structural problem. The clear downward trend in the economic forecast in recent years has raised the hurdle significantly for those trying to correct the fiscal imbalance over the next decade. CBOs downgrade in its economic forecast from last year to this year has lowered expected revenues by $1.4 trillion over the next decade and has increased projected deficits by a cumulative $1.0 trillion over this period. This is important because CBOs annual economic assumptions have typically been adopted for use in the budget resolution. In contrast, the administrations budget is developed according to its own economic forecast. OMBs latest economic forecast is more optimistic than that of CBO. OMB expects real GDP growth to average 2.7 percent annually over the next 10 years, higher than CBOs estimate of 2.5 percent. This difference is in part attributable to the fact that the administrations economic forecast assumes the implementation of the Presidents policies, which the administration believes will lead to greater economic growth than the base case. The budget resolution contains policies that would have a positive impact on economic growth and therefore on the budget. CBO has written extensively on the risks of deficits and debt to the economy and that the reduction in projected deficits and the debt would benefit the economy. Other policies that are likely to boost economic growth include both fundamental tax reform and increasing domestic energy production. In a report published in February of 2013, CBO concluded that reducing budget deficits, thereby bending the curve on debt levels, would be a net positive for economic growth. 21 According to that analysis, a large deficit-reduction package of $4 trillion, which this budget resolution actually exceeds, would increase real economic output by 1.7 percent in 2023. Their analysis concludes that deficit reduction creates long-term economic benefits because it increases the pool of national savings and boosts investment, thereby
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Macroeconomic Effects of Alternative Budgetary Paths, Congressional Budget Office, Feb. 2013.
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raising economic growth and job creation. The greater economic output that stems from a large deficitreduction package would have a sizeable impact on the federal budget. For instance, higher output would lead to greater revenues through the increase in taxable incomes. Lower interest rates and a reduction in the stock of debt would lead to lower government spending on net interest expenses. CBO finds that this dynamic would reduce budget deficits by a net $186 billion over ten years, including $82 billion in the tenth year alone. Since that analysis, CBO has updated its economic forecast and its baseline budget projections. CBO has conducted an economic analysis of the effects of the deficit reduction called for under this budget resolution relative to their new budget and economic outlook. The budget resolution incorporates these macroeconomic feedback effects into the budget figures, recognizing the fact that turning the economy around is a key element of shoring up the budget.
Background on CBOs Estimates of the Positive Macroeconomic Feedback Effects of Deficit Reduction
The Congressional Budget Office has estimated several times over nearly 20 years that congressional action to reduce deficits will ultimately result in lower interest rates and faster economic growth by freeing up savings for use in productive investment. In addition, CBO has estimated that the positive economic effects of deficit reduction will feed back into the budget and further reduce deficits and debt over the medium and longer term. In early 1995, CBOs current-law baseline forecasted rising deficits and debt through the end of the decade, and there was growing interest in efforts to reduce the deficit. In 1995 and 1996, CBO published several estimates of the positive economic and budgetary effects of illustrative policy changes necessary to achieve a balanced budget by 2002. CBO estimated that a seven-year illustrative path of policy changes necessary to balance the budget would lower interest rates, increase economic growth, and, as a result, further reduce deficits-----and the amount of savings from policy changes needed to balance the budget. 22,23,24 In its January 1997 baseline report, CBO estimated that if a credible plan to balance the budget by 2002 was enacted, the level of gross domestic product would increase and interest rates would decline by 70 basis points by 2000. CBO estimated that a five-year deficit-reduction plan comprised of $423 billion in savings and debt service from illustrative policy changes and a $77 billion fiscal dividend would result in a balanced budget by 2002. The size of the fiscal dividend in 2002 was estimated to be $34 billion, or 0.3 percent of GDP. 25 In 1997, President Clinton reached an agreement with a Republican-led Congress to balance the budget, which was incorporated into the conference report on the fiscal year 1998 budget resolution and enacted into law by subsequent reconciliation legislation. This bipartisan balanced-budget agreement incorporated CBOs estimate of the economic feedback from deficit reduction, what was then called the
Economic and Budget Outlook: Fiscal Years 1996-2000, Congressional Budget Office, Jan. 1995, pp. xix-xx. An Analysis of the Presidents Budgetary Proposals for Fiscal Year 1996, Congressional Budget Office, Apr. 1995, pp. 51--58. 24 Economic and Budget Outlook: Fiscal Years 1997-2006, Congressional Budget Office, May 1996, pp. 18--23. 25 Economic and Budget Outlook: Fiscal Years 1998-2007, Congressional Budget Office, January 1997, pp. 59--72.
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fiscal dividend. 26 Based on CBO estimates of the combination of the policies and the economic feedback, the budget resolution projected a balanced budget by 2002. As it turned out, a unified budget surplus of $69 billion was achieved in fiscal year 1998, four years earlier than CBO projected. 27 In an updated economic-feedback analysis of the fiscal path in this budget resolution, CBO now estimates that the fiscal year 2015 House Republican budget, which provides ten-year savings of over $5 trillion from policy changes and debt service compared to the February 2014 baseline, would result in positive economic feedback effects that would produce a surplus in 2024. Adjusting for differences in the magnitude of deficit reduction, the CBO-estimated positive fiscal dividend from the fiscal year 2015 House Republican budget is more modest in size than the estimate that the agency made in 1997 and that was subsequently incorporated into the bipartisan fiscal year 1998 budget resolution.
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Conference Report to Accompany H. Con. Res. 84, the Fiscal Year 1998 Budget Resolution, House Report 105-116, p. 60. The Economic and Budget Outlook, An Update, Congressional Budget Office, September 1997, pages ix-x.
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Summary of Resolution
The resolution calls for $528.9 billion in budget authority and $566.5 billion in outlays in fiscal year 2015. Of that total, discretionary spending in fiscal year 2015 totals $521.3 billion in budget authority and $558.8 billion in outlays. This is the amount provided for in the Bipartisan Budget Act. Mandatory spending in 2015 is $7.7 billion in budget authority and $7.7 billion in outlays. The ten-year totals for budget authority and outlays are $6.3 trillion and $6.2 trillion, respectively. Over the last five years, the Department of Defense has repeatedly revised downward its estimates of the budgetary resources necessary to meet the nations security needs: In 2011, Secretary Gates proposed a $178 billion efficiency initiative. In 2011, the President announced a further $400 billion defense-budget reduction that ballooned to $487 billion by the next budget submission in 2012. In 2013, Secretary Hagel proposed another $120 billion reduction from the Budget Control Acts pre-sequester caps. And in 2014, the budget request is approximately $184 billion lower than the Budget Control Acts pre-sequester caps.
These repeated reductions in the requested defense budget are taking place in the context of an international environment that remains exceptionally challenging. In his testimony on the intelligence communitys annual worldwide threat assessment, Director of National Intelligence James Clapper testified that he had not experienced a time when weve been beset by more crises and threats around the globe. 28 Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Martin Dempsey has testified that our current security challenges are more formidable and complex than those we faced in downturns following war in
28 James R. Clapper, Current and Future Worldwide Threats to the National Security of the United States, 11 Feb. 2014.
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Korea, Vietnam, and the Cold War. There is no foreseeable peace dividend on our horizon. The security environment is increasingly competitive and dangerous. 29 In addition to a shrinking defense budget, the defense program-----the collection of forces, acquisition programs, construction projects, and the like-----continues to be under-resourced. Each year, the Congressional Budget Office [CBO] has reviewed the defense program and determined that the defense budgets requested are insufficient to implement that program. The most recent report found that the Defense Departments fiscal year 2014 budget was on average $33 billion short of providing for the full costs of the program as estimated by CBO. 30 While CBO has not yet analyzed this years request, there is little reason to believe its analysis will be substantially different from its previous reports. Today in U.S. defense policy, there are two big mismatches: first, between the threats we face and the resources weve committed to meeting them, and second, between our stated policy and the budget that the President has requested. This budget seeks to resolve these contradictions by restoring defense budgets to the levels dictated by the national-security interests of the nation.
Supporting Our Men and Women in Uniform. Military personnel costs have grown 41 percent in real terms
since 2001 and now consume about one-third of the base budget for the Department of Defense. Maintaining a high-quality, all-volunteer military requires robust compensation. However, given the explosive growth in compensation costs, the possibilities for reform must be examined. The Military Compensation and Retirement Modernization Commission is charged with developing recommendations that (1) ensure the long-term viability of the all-volunteer force; (2) enable a high quality of life for military families; and (3) modernize and achieve fiscal sustainability of the compensation and retirement systems. 31 In future years, serious consideration must be given to the Commissions recommendations if this defense program is going to be realized within existing budgets. Nonetheless, this budget does not assume any savings from accounts providing for the compensation (including health care) of military personnel. The budget fully reflects the amendments made to the Bipartisan Budget Act to exempt all service members who first joined the military before January 1, 2014 from the temporary reduction in cost-of-living adjustments for working-age retirees.
Force Structure. The President has proposed significant reductions in the end strength of the Army and
Marine Corps, with the Army slated to be smaller than at any time since before World War II. While the ground component should not continue to be sized for prolonged counterinsurgency operations, the level of reductions contemplated by the Presidents request entails significant risk in an environment that, as has been noted, is extremely challenging and uncertain. This budget contemplates funding in excess of the Presidents request, which could be used, in part, to forestall this risky drawdown. Any reductions in military end strength should be accompanied by reductions in the civilian and contractor workforce, which has ballooned in recent years and is now approximately the same size as the
29 General Martin Dempsey, Testimony to the Senate Armed Services Committee, 12 Feb. 2013. 30 Congressional Budget Office, Long-Term Implications of the 2014 Future Years Defense Program, Nov. 2013. 31 See Title VI, Subtitle H of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2013, P.L. 112-239.
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active-duty military, a ratio that is out of balance. Reductions by the Secretary of Defense should focus on performance while retaining vital functions that directly support the uniformed force. This years defense-budget request calls into doubt the ability of the Navy to maintain 11 carrier strike groups. The Future Years Defense Program does not include maintenance of 11 carrier strike groups, but the Navy has announced that if the Presidents Opportunity, Growth and Security initiative is funded by Congress, then it would reprogram the funding needed to maintain this desired level of naval force. The flexibility and capabilities provided by carrier strike groups are integral to the rebalance of our security posture toward Asia and to our security commitments in the Persian Gulf. This budget contemplates funding in excess of the Presidents request, which could be used, in part, to maintain the 11 carrier strike groups called for under longstanding defense plans.
The Modernization Challenge. A decade of war and years of delayed and failed acquisition programs have
resulted in an impending need to simultaneously procure replacements for a range of weapons systems in each of the services. For example, the services have programs in place to begin replacing during this budget window: (1) the air-superiority and strike-aircraft fleets of the Air Force, Navy, and Marine Corps; (2) a substantial share of the Navys surface combatants; and (3) the bomber and submarine legs of the nations nuclear-deterrent force. These programs represent only some of the more prominent defense capabilities that will make claims on the defense-acquisition budget within the budget window. For example, the Presidents budget proposes to cancel the latest attempt by the Army to modernize its ground-combat vehicle fleet. While the Ground Combat Vehicle program may be cancelled, the need to recapitalize the Armys vehicle fleet will remain. Budgets within the next ten years will have to accommodate that need. Compounding the fiscal challenge of this procurement bow wave is the reality that defense acquisition has consistently exceeded planned budgets. While the Government Accountability Offices latest review of the defense acquisition portfolio found that more than 60 percent of the major programs had gained buying power in the previous year, whether this limited progress will be sustained is uncertain. 32 The Armed Services Committee has launched a long-term effort to reform the Department of Defense. This Durable Defense Reform initiative will among other things look for ways to improve the affordability of defense acquisition.
Improving Defense Efficiency. The Department of Defense, like all government agencies, has a
responsibility to the taxpayer to responsibly manage the resources available to it. The inability of the Defense Department to receive a clean audit calls into question whether DOD is living up to this responsibility. Although the Department hopes to have its budgetary information auditable by the end of fiscal year 2014, full auditability is not expected until the end of fiscal year 2017. Continued progress here and with the Departments other efforts to reduce waste and bureaucracy will be needed in order to make the defense program affordable.
32 Government Accountability Office, Defense Acquisitions: Assessments of Selected Weapons Programs, Mar. 2013.
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Summary of Resolution
The resolution calls for $38.7 billion in budget authority and $39.0 billion in outlays in fiscal year 2015. Of that total, discretionary spending in fiscal year 2015 totals $39.1 billion in budget authority and $40.2 billion in outlays. Mandatory spending in 2015 is -$402 million in budget authority and -$1.1 billion in outlays. (The negative figures reflect receipts from foreign-military sales and foreign-military-financing transactions). The ten-year totals for budget authority and outlays are $429.6 billion and $402.5 billion, respectively.
Eliminate Contributions to Clean Technology Fund and Strategic Climate Fund. The Clean Technology
and Strategic Climate Funds were created by the Obama administration in 2010. They provide foreign assistance to support energy-efficient technologies intended to reduce energy use and mitigate climate change. Given the record-high levels of deficits, the explosive growth in U.S. government debt, and the heavy reliance on foreign financing, the federal government is borrowing funds abroad to provide financial assistance in this area, which is not a core U.S. foreign-policy function. In addition, the government should not attempt to pick winners and losers in terms of which technologies and companies to favor and advance abroad. Therefore, the budget assumes elimination of both programs.
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Reduce Education Exchange Programs. Function 150 includes two education exchange accounts intended to encourage mutual understanding between Americans and citizens around the world through scholarship and leadership programs: Educational and Cultural Exchange Programs and the Open World Leadership Center. Although this mission is laudable, exchange programs are a non-essential component of the foreign-affairs budget and should be reduced accordingly. When reduction decisions are made about these accounts, programs that receive matching foreign-government contributions, such as the Fulbright program, and are in line with U.S. strategic interests, should remain a priority. Reduce Contributions to International Organizations and Programs. The United States makes voluntary
contributions to several multilateral organizations and programs. These contributions are duplicative of funding provided in the Contributions to International Organizations [CIO] account, which provides funding for the obligatory payments to international organizations with which the United States has signed treaties. Although this budget fully funds the CIO account, it does not support voluntary contributions from the International Organizations and Programs account.
Eliminate Funding for Peripheral Foreign-Affairs Institutions. The United States funds multiple independent agencies and quasi-private institutions through the foreign-affairs budget. Included in this list are the Inter-American Foundation, the African Development Foundation, the East--West Center, the Asia Foundation, and the Center for Middle Eastern--Western Dialogue. These institutions all engage in activities that are redundant of the State Department and USAID activities. Consolidating and eliminating funding for multiple institutions that perform similar tasks will make U.S. engagement with the world more efficient and cost-effective. Further, some of these organizations already receive private funding and could continue on with non-government funds. Task MCC as Lead Agency on Foreign-Development Assistance. The United States has two primary
foreign-development assistance programs: USAIDs Development Assistance program and the Millennium Challenge Corporation. Funding foreign aid and helping other nations rise toward prosperity keep the United States safe and strengthens the economy by establishing new trading partners and markets. However, development assistance is worthwhile only if it produces results for the aid recipients. Americas experience with having two development-assistance programs has shown that MCCs model has been more effective in achieving results. MCCs emphasis on outcomes rather than inputs needs to be the foundation of all U.S. development-assistance programs. Other elements of MCCs model that should be extended throughout U.S. development-assistance programs include: Strict requirements on recipient countries to prove strong commitments to good governance, economic freedom, and investment in their citizens in order to be considered for aid; Willingness of the U.S. government to terminate assistance if an aid recipient starts slipping on these critical commitments; Country ownership, which requires the country to plan its own aid projects and lead implementation; and Strict timelines for aid projects.
These principles are critical to ensuring the long-term sustainability of projects once U.S. assistance concludes. Further, MCCs model is resulting in the MCC Effect, where countries are independently
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making reforms in favor of good governance, economic freedom, and other MCC requirements, in order to qualify for a compact. In 2010, USAID announced a reform agenda, USAID Forward, and claims to be in the process of adopting more accountable policy standards, country ownership, and timetables. Although some changes have been made to the agencys practices, success continues to remain elusive. MCCs model is more effective and efficient in delivering foreign aid. And it results in the most benefits for the taxpayer dollar. For these reasons, this budget proposes MCC to be the lead agency on foreigndevelopment assistance.
Eliminate Complex Crises Fund. Established in 2010 to support stabilization activities and conflict
prevention in countries demonstrating high risks of insecurity, the CCF has never been authorized by the committee of jurisdiction and is duplicative of the missions performed by the recently re-organized Bureau of Conflict and Stabilization Operations at the State Department. The Bureau of Conflict and Stabilization Operations is similarly responsible for developing a civilian capacity to prevent and counter crises in nations where security issues are of high concern. Due to mission overlap, eliminating the CCF and allowing the Bureau of Conflict and Stabilization Operations to lead conflict-prevention efforts are recommended.
International Religious Freedom. The United States should promote freedom of religion or belief around
the world, given the importance of religious freedom to human rights, economic development, stability, and democracy. The independent U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom [USCIRF] has provided important oversight and recommendations in this regard, including redirecting and conditioning aid. It calls for budget justifications to take into account the findings and recommendations of USCIRF. Additionally, the Office of International Religious Freedom continues to serve as an important voice on these issues in the State Department and should be supported.
Diplomatic Security. This budget is dedicated to protecting American officials and facilities overseas and
fully funds the Presidents request for both the State Departments Diplomatic Consular Programs and Embassy Security, Construction, and Maintenance accounts. Combined, the fiscal year 2015 funding level for these two accounts is an 8 percent increase compared to fiscal year 2013 enacted levels.
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The resolution calls for $27.9 billion in budget authority as well as outlays in fiscal year 2015. Of that total, discretionary spending in fiscal year 2015 totals $27.8 billion in budget authority and $27.8 billion in outlays. Mandatory spending in 2015 is $100 million in budget authority and $98 million in outlays. The ten-year totals for budget authority and outlays are $308.2 billion and $303.7 billion, respectively. The budget reduces excess and unnecessary spending, while supporting core government responsibilities. The resolution preserves basic research, providing stable funding for NSF to conduct its authorized activities in science, space and technology basic research, development, and STEM education while shifting the focus back to basic research. The budget provides continued support for NASA and recognizes the vital strategic importance of the United States remaining the pre-eminent space-faring nation. This budget aligns funding in accordance with the NASA core principles to support robust space capability, to allow for exploration beyond low Earth orbit, and to support our scientific and educational base.
Summary of Resolution
Restore Core Government Responsibilities. In fiscal year 2014, an enacted level of $64.5 billion dollars was
dedicated to research government-wide. Nearly half of that was dedicated to applied research. The unique role of the federal government is in supporting basic research, and funding should be distributed accordingly. For example, spending for the Department of Energys Office of Science includes some areas, such as biological and environmental research, that could potentially crowd out private investment. The resolutions levels support preserving the Office of Sciences original role as a venue for groundbreaking scientific discoveries and a driver of innovation and economic growth, while responsibly paring back applied and commercial research and development.
Reduce Expenses for the DHSs Directorate of Science and Technology. The committee recommends
reductions in management and administrative expenses for the Department of Homeland Securitys Directorate of Science and Technology, while shifting funding resources to frontline missions and capabilities.
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energy sources in the private sector. Its officials have promoted changes to explicitly raise energy costs. In 2008, Steven Chu, who later served as the secretary of energy for the administration, said, Somehow we have to figure out how to boost the price of gasoline to the levels in Europe. 42 Then-candidate Barack Obama agreed, arguing in January of 2008: Under my plan of a cap and trade system, electricity rates would necessarily skyrocket. In an effort to make green energy more viable, the administration is trying to make fossil fuels more expensive. This was the idea behind the controversial cap and trade bill that President Obama tried and failed to pass through Congress in 2009, which would have established an elaborate bureaucratic structure for taxing and rationing conventional energy sources. But instead of accepting this verdict on its preferred policy, the administration continued to pursue its climate initiatives by supporting the Environmental Protection Agencys unilateral plan to impose emissions restrictions on American businesses and consumers. In his 2013 State of the Union address, the President warned Congress if it did not pass a cap-and-trade bill, he would regulate emissions via executive fiat-----a promise he expanded on in a major climate speech last summer at Georgetown University. The EPA is poised to make good on the Presidents threat by abusing the powers granted in current law. The results of misguided administration policies are clear to see. According to the DOEs Energy Information Administration, gasoline prices averaged $2.40 a gallon in 2009, the year the President took office. By 2013, gasoline prices averaged $3.58, the second most expensive annual average according to its data. (They hit their highest average in 2012.) In 2012, that worked out to $2,912 in average household gasoline expenditures. (DOE has not provided average household gasoline expenditures for 2013 yet.) The administration has created additional barriers for needed capital investment and job creation by bypassing Congress and implementing regulations on its own. The result is an administration that is bypassing Congress, threatening high-wage jobs, increasing energy costs, and hurting families pocketbooks.
Summary of Resolution
The resolution calls for $2.7 billion in budget authority and $4.5 billion in outlays in discretionary spending in fiscal year 2015. Mandatory spending in 2015 is $1.5 billion in budget authority and $1.3 billion in outlays. The totals reflect both new spending and the incoming repayment of loans, receipts from the sale of electricity produced by federal entities, and charges for the disposal of nuclear waste. These proceeds partially offset spending in this function. The ten-year totals for budget authority and outlays are -$23.5 billion and -$28.6 billion, respectively, for mandatory spending. The negative balances reflect the proceeds described above fully offsetting and overcoming future expenditures. The current administration nearly doubled funding for the Department of Energy during the Presidents first term, excluding funding from the 2009 stimulus bill. The resolution reduces funding for non-core energy research, loan guarantees that subsidize corporations, and excess and unnecessary spending in the DOEs civilian accounts. At the same time, private-sector innovation in the oil and gas industry, which doesnt cost the government a dime, increased oil production on non-federal lands by 31 percent, and gas production on non-federal lands by 25 percent from fiscal year 2009 to 2012.43
42 Neil King Jr. and Stephen Power, Times Tough for Energy Overhaul, Wall Street Journal, 12 Dec. 2008. 43 Humphries, Mark, U.S. Crude Oil and Natural Gas Production in Federal and Non-Federal Areas, Congressional Research Service, 7 Mar. 2013.
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Reduce Administrative Costs at DOE. The resolution supports streamlining and boosting accountability of vendor support and administrative costs across DOEs offices. The Government Accountability Office described the vendor selection and procurement process as decentralized and fragmented in the agency. This budget supports better governance and consolidation of contract management and procurement processes across functions to reduce costs. Scale Back Corporate Subsidies in the Energy Industry. The resolution provides sufficient funding for essential government missions, including energy security and basic research and development. It recommends paring back spending in areas of duplication and non-core functions, such as applied and commercial research and development projects best left to the private sector. The budget aims to roll back such federal intervention and corporate-welfare spending across energy sectors.
MANDATORY SPENDING
Rescind Unobligated Balances in DOEs Green Subsidies and Loan Portfolio. The budget recommends
rescinding unobligated balances in DOEs loan portfolio. Since its introduction in the 2009 stimulus bill, DOE has issued over $32 billion in new loans and loan guarantees for private-sector loans for renewableenergy projects that would not otherwise have been market-viable. The Advanced Vehicle Technology Manufacturing program was intended to provide debt capital to domestic auto manufacturers to fund projects that help vehicles made in the United States meet highermileage requirements. However, the funds have largely been unused, as production has not met current demand. Loan-guaranty beneficiaries have included manufacturers creating jobs overseas, such as Fisker, which was provided over $500 million and ended up assembling cars in Finland. 44 Moreover, Americans deserve the most honest, accurate assessment of how Washington spends their tax dollars. Yet the costs of DOEs loans are currently calculated using the inadequate methodology prescribed in the Federal Credit Reform Act. Under FCRA rules, government-backed loans are discounted at risk-free interest rates-----the interest rates on U.S. Treasury securities. As CBO has stated and the White Houses own independent analysis has acknowledged, by incorporating market-based risk premiums, fair-value estimates recognize the financial risks that the government assumes when issuing credit. The White Houses independent report noted that these DOE loans may increase taxpayers financial liability. It stated, If the eventual actual loss exceeds the Credit Subsidy Cost, that incremental loss is absorbed by the taxpayers. 45
44 Matthew Mosk, Brian Ross and Ronnie Greene, Car Company Gets U.S. Loan, Builds Cars in Finland, ABC News, 20 Oct. 2011. 45 Allison, Herb, Report of the Independent Consultants Review with Respect to the Department of Energy Loan and Loan Guarantee Portfolio, 31 Jan. 2012.
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Repeal Stimulus-Driven Borrowing Authority Specifically for Green Transmission. The $3.25 billion
borrowing authority in the Western Area Power Administrations Transmission Infrastructure Program provides loans to develop new transmission systems aimed solely at integrating renewable energy. This authority was inserted into the stimulus bill without the opportunity for debate. Of most concern, the authority includes a bailout provision that would require American taxpayers to pay outstanding balances on projects that private developers fail to repay.
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46 Dr. Joseph R. Mason, Beyond the Congressional Budget Office: The Additional Economic Effects of Immediately Opening Federal Lands to Oil and Gas Leasing, Institute for Energy Research, Feb. 2013.
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not Russias, Saudi Arabias, or Chinas. 47 Our country has 223 billion barrels of recoverable oil 48 and enough natural gas to meet the countrys demand for over 90 years. 49 The Natural Resources and Environment budget function funds major departments and agencies such as the Department of the Interior, which includes the National Park Service, the Bureau of Land Management, the Bureau of Reclamation, and the Fish and Wildlife Service; conservation-oriented and land-management agencies within the Department of Agriculture, including the Forest Service; the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration in the Department of Commerce; the Army Corps of Engineers; and the Environmental Protection Agency. The discussion below elaborates on the budget resolutions recommended policies in these areas.
Summary of Resolution
The resolution calls for $34.3 billion in budget authority and $39.3 billion in outlays in fiscal year 2015. Discretionary budget authority in 2015 totals $32.2 billion, with $37.3 billion in related outlays; mandatory spending is $2 billion in budget authority and $2.1 billion in outlays. Over ten years, budget authority totals $367.9 billion, and outlays are $375.8 billion.
Focus on Maintaining Existing Land Resources. Annual funding for the Land and Water Conservation Fund
(LWCF) has typically ranged between $250 million and $450 million. The Presidents budget requested $900 million for fiscal year 2015 and proposed removing the account from the annual congressionalreview and -appropriations process. The Presidents proposed change would occur in two phases. In 2015, the LWCF would receive a $350 million discretionary appropriation and $550 million in mandatory spending. Beginning in 2016, the entire $900 million would become mandatory spending in perpetuity. The federal government is already struggling with a maintenance backlog on the millions of acres it controls-----a backlog totaling between $17 and $22 billion-----but the administration is seeking to acquire even more land. This budget keeps funding for land acquisition under congressional oversight and focuses on eliminating the maintenance backlog before moving to acquire additional lands.
Streamline Climate-Change Activities across Government. This budget resolution reduces spending for
government-wide climate-change-related activities, primarily by reducing the funding federal agencies
47 Carl Behrens and Gene Whitney, U.S. Fossil Fuel Resources: Terminology, Reporting and Summary, Congressional Research Service, 30 Nov. 2010. 48 Technically Recoverable Shale Oil and Shale Gas Resources: An Assessment of 137 Shale Formations in 41 Countries Outside the United States, U.S. Department of Energy, June 2013. 49 Id. and Natural Gas Consumption by End Use, U.S. Energy Information Administration, Accessed 13 Mar. 2014.
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spend on overseas climate-change activities. It also recommends better coordination of programs and funds to eliminate duplicative and unnecessary spending.
Streamline Fragmented and Overlapping Agency Programs. The resolution supports consolidating
programs across federal agencies and reducing spending in areas identified by the Government Accountability Office and bipartisan deficit-reduction commissions. GAO identified 14 fragmented programs at Energy, Transportation, and EPA, whose missions cover reducing mobile-source diesel emissions, resulting in duplication of efforts and unnecessary funding sometimes going to the same recipients. The Presidents Fiscal Commission also identified hundreds of millions of dollars in watertreatment efforts duplicated across the Army Corps of Engineers, EPA, and USDA, not pertaining in some cases to these agencies core missions.
Improve Forest Service Management Practices and Fully Fund Wildfire Suppression. Wildland Fire
Management funding serves multiple purposes, the most prominent of which are wildfire prevention and wildfire suppression. The Department of the Interior and the U.S. Forest Service share wildfiremanagement responsibilities and receive funding to do so as part of the regular appropriations process. Under current law, these agencies are authorized to shift funds from prevention accounts into suppression accounts if suppression needs are underfunded. These transfers occur frequently, because wildfire suppression is underfunded almost every year. The Presidents fiscal year 2015 budget adopts a potentially more accurate forecasting model to better predict wildfire-funding needs. However, instead of requesting the full amount indicated by their new model as sufficient funding for wildfire suppression, the Presidents budget requests $1.2 billion less than the projected need and asks Congress to provide the other $1.2 billion outside of the discretionary budget caps enacted by Congress and the President. This budget fully funds the Presidents wildfire-suppression request, including the additional $1.2 billion, within the discretionary budget caps for fiscal year 2015. The budget also calls for improving forestmanagement practices by directing the Department of the Interior and the Forest Service to use the funds provided to remove excess growth and improve forest health, which will make forests less susceptible to catastrophic wildfires. The budget assumes adoption of commonsense reforms under the bipartisan Restoring Health Forests for Healthy Communities Act, which streamlines the regulatory process and restores active management to federal timberlands while protecting the environment. If fully implemented, the budget would preclude the current practice and need to frequently transfer funds to the wildfire-suppression accounts from other Wildland Fire Management accounts, like the hazardousfuels-reduction accounts. This will provide important protections for the accounts that help prevent wildfires. Finally, to ensure that the suppression accounts are fully funded in future years, the budget calls on the Office of Management and Budget to include the U.S. Forest Services Outyear Forecast model projections-----the ones used in the Presidents fiscal year 2015 request-----in all future budget submissions to Congress. The President would be required to either request an amount at least equal to the amount called for by the model or, if the President requests less than called for by the model, provide a side-byside table of the models estimate of needed funding and why he believes those additional funds are not necessary.
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MANDATORY SPENDING
Expand Onshore and Offshore Energy Production. Despite the existence of abundant domestic resources,
the federal government has adopted policies that hinder American production of oil and natural gas on federal lands and in federal waters. Breaking free of future dependence on energy supplies from countries whose interests differ from ours, requires producing more energy at home. Unlocking domestic energy supplies in a safe, environmentally responsible manner will increase revenues from bonus bids, rental payments, royalties, and fees. The budget allows for further access in areas such as Alaska, the Outer Continental Shelf, including the Gulf of Mexico, and the Intermountain West. Finally, the budget encourages the development of American-made renewable- and alternative-energy sources, including nuclear, wind, solar, and more, affirming the position that environmental stewardship and economic growth are not mutually exclusive goals.
Revise and Reauthorize the Bureau of Land Managements Land-Sales Process. Instead of requiring that
all proceeds from land sales be used to acquire other parcels of land and to cover sales expenses, this option would direct that 70 percent of the proceeds, net of expenses, go to the Treasury for the purposes of deficit reduction by reauthorizing and revising the Federal Land Transaction Facilitation Act and other land-management statutes. It would limit the Department of the Interiors share of the receipts to $60 million per year (plus an additional amount to cover BLMs administrative costs) for land-acquisition and restoration projects on BLM lands. The option would also reduce the amount of federal spending not subject to regular oversight through the congressional-appropriation process. The change would reduce the federal budget deficit and ensure that U.S. taxpayers benefit directly from land sales.
Reflect Current Value for the Use of Hetch Hetchy Reservoir. Since 1913, the city of San Francisco has paid
an annual $30,000 fee or less to the federal government for its use of the OShaughnessy Dam and the accompanying Hetch Hetchy Reservoir within Yosemite National Park. San Francisco generates approximately $40 million in annual hydropower revenues from the Hetch Hetchy system, yet it has only paid at most $30,000 annually-----or eight cents an acre foot of water for almost 100 years-----not indexed to inflation. This proposal would remove the century-old fee structure to the city without affecting wholesale customers and irrigation districts.
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Summary of Resolution
The resolution calls for $19.0 billion in budget authority and $19.5 billion in outlays in fiscal year 2015. Discretionary spending in fiscal year 2015 is $6.1 billion in budget authority and $6.0 billion in outlays; mandatory spending, the majority of the functions total, is $13.0 billion in budget authority, with outlays of $13.6 billion. The ten-year totals for budget authority and outlays are $197.9 billion and $193.8 billion, respectively.
Reform Agricultural Commodity and Insurance Programs. The recently passed Farm Bill reformed commodity programs, most notably by eliminating Direct Payments. However, this area remains ripe for reform. The budget takes into consideration the savings that the Farm Bill achieved and then proposes that additional savings be found. Under this option, mandatory agricultural outlays, other than food and nutrition programs, will be reduced by $23 billion relative to the currently anticipated levels from fiscal year 2015 through fiscal year 2024. These savings could be achieved by continuing to reform assistance programs for agriculture. Farmers will benefit greatly from other provisions in this budget, including regulatory relief, fundamental tax reform, and stronger economic growth as the burden of federal deficits is lifted from the economy.
50Farm Financial Position Expected to Remain Strong Despite a Forecast Drop in 2014 Income, Amber Waves, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, 4 Mar. 2014.
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Summary of Resolution
In this function, the budget resolution provides for -$4.3 billion in budget authority and -$15.8 billion in outlays in fiscal year 2015. Of that total, 2015 discretionary spending is -$12.9 billion in budget authority and -$12.5 billion in outlays. Mandatory spending in 2015 is $8.6 billion in budget authority and -$3.4 billion in outlays. The function totals over ten years are -$67.4 billion in budget authority and -$244.7 billion in outlays. On-budget totals for fiscal year 2015 are -$3.2 billion in budget authority and -$14.8 billion in outlays. Of these amounts, discretionary budget authority is -$13.2 billion, with outlays of -$12.7 billion. Mandatory on-budget spending for fiscal year 2015 is $10.0 billion in budget authority and -$2.0 billion in outlays. Over ten years, the on-budget totals are -$52.4 billion in budget authority and -$229.6 billion in outlays. Negative discretionary totals for budget authority and outlays mainly reflect the negative subsidy rates applied to certain loan and loan-guarantee programs scored under the guidelines of the Federal Credit Reform Act, such as FHA and Ginnie Mae programs. It should be noted that FHA loans are scored using a different accounting method than the fair-value estimates that CBO applies to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, resulting in budget disparities (see discussion under Mandatory Spending).
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Off-budget totals for fiscal year 2015 are -$1.1 billion in budget authority and -$1.1 billion in outlays. Of these amounts, discretionary totals are $263 million in budget authority and $263 million in outlays. Over ten years, the discretionary off-budget totals are $3.1 billion in budget authority and $3.1 billion in outlays. Mandatory off-budget spending for fiscal year 2015 is -$1.3 billion in budget authority and -$1.3 billion in outlays. Over ten years, the mandatory off-budget totals are -$18.2 billion in budget authority and -$18.2 billion in outlays. The negative totals for budget authority and outlays in the off-budget portion of this function represent savings from recommended policy proposals described below for the U.S. Postal Service.
Eliminate Corporate Welfare within the Department of Commerce. Subsidies to businesses distort the
economy, impose unfair burdens on taxpayers, and are especially problematic given the fiscal problems facing the U.S. government. With potential savings of roughly $7 billion over ten years, programs that should be considered for elimination include the following: The Hollings Manufacturing Extension Program, which subsidizes a network of nonprofit extension centers that provide technical, financial, and marketing services for small and medium-size businesses that are largely available in the private market. The program already obtains two-thirds of its funding from non-federal sources and was originally intended to be self-supporting. Trade Promotion Activities at the International Trade Administration [ITA]. This agency, within the Department of Commerce, provides trade-promotion services for U.S. companies. The fees it charges for these services do not cover the cost of these activities. Businesses can obtain similar services from state and local governments and the private market. The ITA should be eliminated or charge for the full cost of these services.
Tighten the Belts of Government Agencies. Duplication, hidden subsidies, and large bureaucracies are
symptomatic of many agencies within Function 370. For example: The Securities and Exchange Commission. As of March 2013, the SEC had 3,950 full-time employees, and an average salary across the agency of over $155,000. SECs budget has risen by more than 45 percent since fiscal year 2007. If the Presidents fiscal year 2015 budget request were granted, SECs budget would grow by another 26 percent in just one fiscal year. In its 2014 Views and Estimates, the House Committee on Financial Services notes the regulatory failures of the SEC leading up to the financial crisis:
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In the run-up to the financial crisis and its aftermath, the SEC repeatedly failed to fulfill any part of its mission: the SEC failed to adequately supervise the nations largest investment banks, which resulted in the bail-out of Bear Stearns and the collapse of Lehman Brothers and fed the ensuing financial panic; the SEC failed to supervise the credit rating agencies that bestowed AAA ratings on securities that later proved to be no better than junk; the SEC failed to examine the Reserve Primary Fund, a large money market fund that broke-the-buck in September 2008; the SEC failed to ensure that issuers made adequate disclosures to investors about securities cobbled together from poorly underwritten mortgages that were bound to fail; and the SEC was missing in action as Bernard Madoff and Allen Stanford perpetrated the two largest Ponzi schemes in U.S. history. These failures have taken place despite significant increases in funding at the SEC, which has seen its budget increase almost 66 percent since 2004. This resolution questions the premise that more funding for the SEC means better, smarter regulation. Adding reams of regulations to the books and scores of regulators to the payrolls will not provide greater transparency, consumer protection, and enforcement for increasingly complex markets. Instead, the SEC should streamline and make more efficient its operations and resources; defray taxpayer expenses by designating self-regulatory organizations (subject to SEC oversight) to perform needed examinations of investment advisors; and enhance collaboration with other agencies, such as the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, to reduce duplication, waste, and overlap in supervision. Ultimately, the committees of jurisdiction will establish the specific policies. MANDATORY SPENDING
Terminate Grants to Worsted-Wool Manufacturers and Payments to Wool Manufacturers. The Miscellaneous Trade and Technical Corrections Act of 2004 (Public Law 108-429) established the Wool Apparel Manufacturers Trust Fund. This fund authorizes the Department of Commerce to provide grants to certain manufacturers of worsted-wool products to ease adjustment to changes in trade law. The grants, originally slated to end in 2007, still exist, and termination of this temporary grant program is overdue. This act also directs Customs to make payments to wool manufacturers from certain duties collected to provide import tax relief. Having outlived their original purpose, both programs should be terminated. Terminate Corporation for Travel Promotion. In 2010, Congress established a new annual payment to the
travel industry and created a new government agency, the Corporation for Travel Promotion (now called Brand USA), to conduct advertising campaigns encouraging foreign travelers to visit the United States. This budget recommends ending these subsidies and eliminating the new agency because it is not a core responsibility of the federal government to pay for and conduct advertising campaigns for any industry. Moreover, the travel industry can and should pay for the advertising that it benefits from.
Restrict FDIC Authority Provided by Dodd--Frank to Bail Out Bank Creditors. Dodd--Frank expands and
centralizes power in Washington, doubling down on the root causes of the 2008 crisis. It contains layer upon layer of new bureaucracy sewn together by complex regulations, yet it fails to address key problems, such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, that contributed to the worst financial meltdown in recent history. Although the bill is dubbed Wall Street Reform, it actually intensifies the problem of toobig-to-fail by giving large, interconnected financial institutions advantages that small firms will not enjoy.
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Although the proponents of Dodd--Frank went to great lengths to denounce bailouts, this law only sustains them. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation now has the authority to access taxpayer dollars in order to bail out the creditors of large, systemically significant financial institutions. This resolution calls for ending this regime, now enshrined into law, which paves the way for future bailouts. House Republicans put forth an enhanced bankruptcy alternative that-----instead of rewarding corporate failure with taxpayer dollars-----would place the responsibility for large, failing firms in the hands of the shareholders who own them, the managers who run them, and the creditors who finance them. This resolution also supports cancelling the ability of the Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection (created by Dodd--Frank) to fund its operations by spending from the Federal Reserves yearly remittances to the Treasury Department. Dodd--Frank was written to provide off-budget financing for the new bureau, which is housed within the Federal Reserve but enjoys complete autonomy. To preserve its independence as the nations monetary authority, the Federal Reserve is off-budget, and its excess earnings from monetary operations are returned to the Treasury to reduce the deficit. Now, instead of directing these remittances to reduce the deficit, Dodd--Frank requires diverting a portion of them to pay for a new bureaucracy with the authority to write far-reaching rules on financial products and restrict credit to the very customers it seeks to protect, outside the annual oversight of Congress through the appropriations process.
Privatize the Business of Government-Controlled Mortgage Giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. In 2008,
the federal government placed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac into conservatorship to prevent them from going bankrupt. Treasury has already provided $187 billion in bailouts to Fannie and Freddie, and as long as the entities remain in conservatorship, taxpayers remain exposed to Fannie and Freddies over $5 trillion of outstanding commitments. CBO has recorded Fannie and Freddie as explicit financial components of the federal budget, accounting for their liabilities as liabilities of the government. In contrast, the administration does not fully account for taxpayer exposure to Fannie and Freddie, leaving the entities off budget. Despite recent dividend payments by Fannie and Freddie, both enterprises continue to assume outsized risks that place the taxpayer in jeopardy in the event of future downturns in the housing market. Since Treasury stepped in to provide additional bailout funds, Fannie and Freddies dominance in the mortgage market has grown. In 2013, the GSEs accounted for 60 percent of first-lien mortgage originations, with FHA and VA backing an additional 19 percent. In 2005 and 2006, the GSEs share of firstlien originations was closer to 30 percent. Additionally, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae now dominate the market for the issuance of new single-family, mortgage-backed securities with a combined 99 percent market share. This budget recommends putting an end to corporate subsidies and taxpayer bailouts in housing finance. It envisions the eventual elimination of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, winding down their government guarantee and ending taxpayer subsidies. In the interim, this resolution envisions removing distortions to allow an influx of private capital and advancing various measures that would bring transparency and accountability to these two government-sponsored enterprises, which could include measures described in H.R. 2767, the Protecting American Taxpayers and Homeowners Act of 2013.
Reform the Credit Reform Act to Incorporate Fair-Value Accounting Principles. As the exposure of the
taxpayer to Fannie and Freddie continues, taxpayers are also exposed to bailing out another housing
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giant: the Federal Housing Administration. The capital ratio of FHAs Mutual Mortgage Insurance fund has remained below the congressionally mandated 2 percent level since the financial crisis. While the capital ratio improved from fiscal year 2012 to fiscal year 2013, it was still negative at the conclusion of the last fiscal year. Additionally, FHA drew $1.7 billion from Treasury in 2013 because it did not have sufficient funds to cover expected future losses. Given the precarious financial position of the FHA, the government should adopt measures to control the assumption of risk by FHA as other government-backed entities (e.g., Fannie and Freddie) are wound down. Right now, the budget accounts for the risks carried by FHA differently than how it accounts for those of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. These differences simply encourage just such a shift in risk. The cost of FHA-insured loans are scored by calculating the net present value of the cash flows associated with loans and discounting those flows using risk-free marketable Treasury security rate. In contrast, CBO uses fair-value accounting for Fannie Mae- and Freddie Mac-guaranteed loans. Fair-value accounting recognizes that adverse economic events such as market downturns can cause loan defaults to rise, thus it reflects the full financial risk incurred by the taxpayer of backing these loans. In other words, the current budgetary treatment of FHA loans understates the full costs associated with them, thus it encourages policymakers to shift risk from Fannie and Freddie to FHA. This resolution requires CBO to provide supplemental estimates using fair-value scoring for federally backed mortgages and mortgage-backed securities, regardless of which federal agency is acting as the insurer or guarantor. As the government reforms its role in the U.S. housing markets, which this resolution supports, Fannie, Freddie, and FHA loans should be treated with parity and full transparency. The housing-finance system of the future, however, should allow private-market secondary lenders to fairly, freely, and transparently compete, with the knowledge that they will ultimately bear appropriate risk for the loans they guarantee. Their viability will be determined by the soundness of their practices and the value of their services. OFF-BUDGET MANDATORY SPENDING
Reform the Postal Service. The United States Postal Service (USPS) is unable to meet its financial
obligations and is in desperate need of structural reforms. In fiscal year 2013, USPS had an operating loss of $1 billion and defaulted on another $5.6 billion payment to prefund the retirement health care of their employees. As of fiscal year 2013, the USPS had a total of approximately $112 billion in unfunded longterm debt, including promised health-benefit compensation for Postal retirees, workers compensation, and debt owed to the Treasury. The budget recommends giving the Postal Service the flexibility that any business needs to respond to changing market conditions, including declining mail volume, which is down more than 25 percent since 2006. The budget also recognizes the need to reform compensation of postal employees who currently pay a smaller share of the costs of their health and life-insurance premiums than other federal employees. Taken together, these reforms are estimated to save about $19 billion over ten years and would help restore USPS solvency.
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Summary of Resolution
The resolution calls for $34.7 billion in budget authority and $80.7 billion in outlays in fiscal year 2015. Discretionary budget authority in 2015 is $30.9 billion, with outlays of $79.4 billion; and mandatory spending is $3.8 billion in budget authority and $1.3 billion in outlays. The large discrepancies between budget authority and outlays here result from the split treatment of the transportation trust funds, such as the Highway Trust Fund, through which funding is provided as a type of mandatory budget authority; and outlays, which are controlled by annual limitations on obligations set in appropriations acts. Over ten years, budget authority totals $734.6 billion, with outlays of $789.1 billion. The Moving Ahead for Progress in the 21st Century (MAP-21) surface-transportation authorization act provided stable funding for major construction projects in 2013 and 2014. However, the law did not include reforms to keep the program solvent beyond the authorization period. Maintaining the solvency of the Highway Trust Fund and the policy of the trust fund being user-fee supported is a priority. With the Highway Trust Fund facing insolvency in late 2014 or early 2015, efforts need to be made to find a long-term solution to the trust funds financial challenges. The budget recognizes the need for continued reforms in this area to adequately maintain, improve, and-----where appropriate-----expand infrastructure. Though the federal-aid highway program was intended to be fully financed by gas-tax revenues, the fund has recently operated at spending levels well in excess of gas-tax receipts. The Highway Trust Funds financing shortfall has been building for years. Over the next decade, CBO anticipates this gap to continue to increase under current spending levels and policy, causing the Highway Trust Fund to run average annual cash deficits of $16 to $17 billion. As a result of these chronic shortfalls, the trust fund has required several large general-fund contributions totaling more than $52 billion since 2008, in addition to a general-fund transfer of $27.5 billion for transportation in the 2009 stimulus. MAP-21 included $18.8 billion in general-fund transfers that were for the first time offset by spending reductions in other programs and a $2.4 billion transfer from the Leaking Underground Storage Tank Trust Fund. Despite these large recent infusions, CBO estimates that the Highway Trust Fund still faces insolvency in 2015 once MAP-21 expires. Over the next decade, CBO projects a growing gap causing the Highway Trust Fund to run cumulative cash deficits of nearly $173 billion within the budget window.
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A loophole in budget rules allows Congress to bail out the Highway Trust Fund without the transfer of taxpayer resources being recorded as a net increase in spending or deficits. The budget resolution once again includes a reform to close this loophole and ensure that any future transfer is fully offset. Instead of continuing to rely on general-fund transfers for solvency going forward, the Congress needs to address the systemic factors that have been driving the trust funds bankruptcy. Congress also needs to continue to reform the critical surface-transportation infrastructure and safety programs to put them on sound financial footing. The budget supports maintaining essential funding for surface transportation, aviation, and safety----offset by reductions in other transportation activities of lower priority to the federal government. As is true elsewhere, specific policy decisions will be determined by the committees of jurisdiction. The options below suggest one set of policies that can help meet the budgets levels.
Eliminate Funding for Amtrak Operating Subsidies. The budget supports eliminating operating subsidies
that have been insulating Amtrak from making the structural reforms necessary to start producing returns. The 1997 Amtrak authorization law required Amtrak to operate free of subsidies by 2002. The budget supports continued reforms for Amtrak as well as reductions in headquarters and administrative costs for agencies.
Prioritize Rail Safety. The budget supports the vital role of the Federal Railroad Administration in ensuring freight and passenger-rail safety, while reducing spending in non-essential transportation programs.
MANDATORY SPENDING
Ensure Solvency of the Highway Trust Fund. The budget recognizes that the Highway Trust Fund is
projected by CBO to run negative balances in fiscal year 2015 under current levels of spending. By existing law and cash-management practices, the Department of Transportation would need to slow down or reduce spending upon the exhaustion of trust-fund balances. Congress needs to reform this critically important trust fund to put it on a sound financial footing without further bailouts that increase the deficit. The budget recommends sensible reforms to avert the bankruptcy of the Highway Trust Fund by aligning spending from the Trust Fund with incoming revenues collected. The budget also includes a provision to ensure any future general-fund transfers will be fully offset, while at the same time providing flexibility for a surface-transportation reauthorization that does not increase the deficit. The budget includes a reserve
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fund to provide for the adjustment of budget levels for consideration of surface-transportation legislation, as long as that legislation is deficit neutral. Further, the budget recognizes the need to explore innovative financing mechanisms to support surfacetransportation infrastructure and safety programs-----for example, with further public-private sector partnerships demonstrated in the TIFIA program. The budget also recommends giving states more flexibility to fund the highway projects they feel are most critical. One possible reform could include a pilot program for states to fund their transportation priorities with state revenues, opt out of the federal gas tax, and forgo federal allocations.
Phase Out Subsidies for Essential Air Service. Essential Air Service [EAS] is a classic example of a
temporary government program that has become immortal. EAS funding-----originally intended to provide transitional assistance to small communities to adjust to the airline deregulation in the late 1970s-----has not only continued but has grown rapidly in recent years.
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Summary of Resolution
The resolution calls for $14.6 billion in budget authority and $23.6 billion in outlays in fiscal year 2015. Discretionary budget authority in 2015 is $13.3 billion, with $21.9 billion in associated outlays. Mandatory spending in 2015 is $1.3 billion in budget authority and $1.7 billion in outlays. The ten-year totals for budget authority and outlays are $154.5 billion and $170.5 billion, respectively.
Eliminate Non-Core Programs. At a time when shrinking spending is imperative for the governments
fiscal well-being, this resolution recommends taking a hard look at community and regional programs; focusing on those that deliver funds for non-core federal-government functions; and consolidating and streamlining programs wherever possible. Among programs that should be considered in this review are the following:
The Community Development Fund. Historically, about 80 to 90 percent of funding for the CDF is spent on
the Community Development Block Grant program. CDBG is an annual formula grant directed to state and local governments to address a broad array of initiatives. In 2014, $3.1 billion was appropriated for CDBG. Currently, there is no maximum community-poverty rate to be eligible for funds, nor is there an exclusion for communities with high average income.
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Focus DHS Urban Area Security Initiative Grants to Tier 1 Cities. Urban Area Security Initiative grants to
over 30 cities have not produced measurable results for the most critical cities. This proposal would limit the grants to Tier 1, or the top ten cities, on a risk-based formula basis.
Federal Emergency Management Agency Reforms. The budget supports implementation of FEMA reforms
passed by Congress to improve service delivery and cost-efficiencies in state and local programs, while at the same time proposing further steps to eliminate overlap and inefficiencies The budget also acknowledges the need to look at reforms in disaster-relief assistance to ensure that those state and local governments most in need are receiving the assistance required. From 1953 to 1992, presidents made 1,153 total disaster declarations-----including Major Disasters Declarations, Emergency Declarations, and Fire Management Assistance Declarations-----for an average of 29 declarations per year. 51 The last three administrations alone have made more than 2,400 declarations to date, including a single-year high of 242 made by the current administration in 2011. The disaster declaration is intended as a process to help state and local governments receive federal assistance when the severity and magnitude of the disaster exceeds state and local resources, and when federal assistance is absolutely necessary. When disasterrelief decisions are not made judiciously, limited resources are diverted away from communities that are truly in need. This budget supports GAO recommendations and takes a closer look at: (1) reducing federal expenditures by updating disaster-declaration-eligibility indicators, like per capita thresholds and other major disaster metrics, by (for example) adjusting for inflation; and (2) providing more scrutiny on cost-share levels and waivers. For example, preparedness programs like the Emergency Management Performance Grants have shown greater buy-in by state and local governments; demonstrated better performance in delivering resources to first responders; and ensured efficient and effective response operations. These types of reforms will increase transparency in the way that disaster declaration decisions are made and in accurately measuring a states capacity to respond to a disaster. MANDATORY SPENDING
Reduce energy subsidies for commercial interests. The budget recommends spending reductions for rural
green-energy loan guarantees. These loan guarantees come with federal mandates that channel private investments into financing the administrations preferred interests at taxpayers expense.
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FUNCTION 500: EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, AND SOCIAL SERVICES Function Summary
A well-educated workforce is one of the key drivers of strong economic growth. In the face of global and technological advances that have made the modern economy more complex and dynamic, it is imperative that all Americans have the opportunity to access a high-quality education. But even though federal spending on the Department of Education and related education programs has grown significantly over the past few decades, academic achievement has not seen a commensurate improvement. Now more than ever, the nations students must have the opportunity to access the high-quality education and skills-training needed to enable them to compete in the rapidly changing global economy. At the same time, Congress must make every dollar count by eliminating wasteful, duplicative, and ineffective programs. The Government Accountability Office [GAO] has identified many areas that are ripe for reform. In the area of education, their reports have identified 82 separate programs designed to improve teacher quality across ten federal agencies and dozens of overlapping job-training programs. Reforms in these areas are reflected in Function 500, which covers federal spending primarily in the Departments of Education, Labor, and Health and Human Services for programs that directly provide-----or assist states and localities in providing-----services to young people and adults. Activities reflected here provide developmental services to low-income children; help fund programs for disadvantaged and other elementary- and secondary-school students; make grants and loans to post-secondary students; and fund job-training and employment services for people of all ages.
Summary of Resolution
The resolution provides $73.9 billion in budget authority and $91.8 billion in outlays in fiscal year 2015. In that year, discretionary spending is $92.1 billion in budget authority and $95.6 billion in outlays; mandatory spending in 2015 is -$18.2 billion in budget authority and -$3.9 billion in outlays. Over ten years, spending in this function totals $864 billion in budget authority and $889 billion in outlays. The negative mandatory numbers are due to the direct-lending program, in which the Department of Education acts effectively as a bank making student loans. However, for reasons addressed later in this section, these projected future savings are misleading because they fail to account for the market risk of the loans.
Reform Job-Training Programs. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that 10.5 million Americans are
unemployed. Yet they also report 4 million job openings. This gap is due in part to the failure of the
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nations workforce-development programs to successfully match workers skills with employers needs. Federal job-training programs are balkanized, difficult to access, and lacking in accountability. In January 2011, the GAO issued a report that identified 47 federal employment and training programs that overlap with at least one other program, providing similar services to similar populations. Together, those GAOidentified programs spent $18 billion in fiscal year 2009, including stimulus dollars. Since GAO issued that report, the Education and the Workforce Committee has conducted extensive work in this arena and added to the list, identifying more than 50 duplicative and overlapping programs. This bureaucratic nightmare fails workers and employers alike and wastes taxpayer dollars. Senator Coburn has presented a report highlighting the high amount of waste, fraud, and abuse that occurs in these programs. Even President Obama noted in his 2012 State of the Union address that the maze of confusing training programs must be cut through. He echoed the request in his 2014 State of the Union address, charging Vice President Biden with conducting a review of the job-training system, despite the work already done by GAO and the Education and the Workforce Committee. To that end, all congressional committees with jurisdiction over job-training programs should look to consolidate as many administrative structures as possible to eliminate duplication and maximize taxpayer funds by focusing them on the most effective means of delivering job-training activities. The Education and the Workforce Committee reported legislation to that end, which passed the House in March 2013. This budget improves accountability by calling for the consolidation of duplicative federal job-training programs into more targeted career-scholarship programs. This budget will also improve these programs accountability by tracking the type of training provided, the cost per trainee, employment after training, and whether the trainee secures a job in his or her preferred field. A streamlined approach with increased oversight and accountability will not only provide administrative savings but improve access, choice, and flexibility to enable workers and job seekers to respond quickly and effectively to whatever specific career challenges they face.
Make the Pell Grant Program Sustainable. Pell Grants are the perfect example of promises that cannot be
kept. The program is on an unsustainable path, a fact acknowledged by the Presidents own fiscal year 2015 budget. The College Cost Reduction and Access Act of 2007, the Higher Education Opportunity Act of 2008, the stimulus bill, and the Student Aid and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2010 all made Pell Grants more generous than the federal budget could afford. These laws expanded eligibility for Pell Grants and increased Pell Grant funding. These expansions, along with a dramatic rise in the number of eligible students due to the recession, have caused program costs to explode since 2008, from $16.1 billion in 2008 to an estimated $26.9 billion in fiscal year 2015. Pell was traditionally funded as a discretionary program. Instead of confronting the cost drivers of the program, a Democratic Congress began to increasingly rely on mandatory funding to solve its discretionary shortfalls. Based on current CBO estimates, the program will again face a shortfall in fiscal year 2016. Instead of making necessary, long-term reforms, previous Congresses again resorted to short-term funding patches-----a temporary answer that will not prevent another severe funding cliff for the program in the future. The Presidents past budgets have failed to make the tough choices about the future of Pell Grants. For instance, his fiscal year 2015 budget only provides funding for an increased level of award through the 2016--2017 award year. These decisions put the program at greater risk of ultimately being unable to fulfill its promises to students.
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Reforms are necessary to enable the program to continue helping low-income students gain access to higher education. The budget recommends the following: Roll back certain recent expansions to the needs analysis to ensure aid is targeted to the truly needy. The Department of Education attributed 14 percent of program growth between 2008 and 2011 to recent legislative expansions to the needs-analysis formula. The biggest cost drivers come from changes made in the College Cost Reduction and Access Act of 2007, such as the expansions of the level at which a student qualifies for an automatic zero Expected Family Contribution and the income-protection allowance. These should be returned to pre--CCRAA levels. Eliminate administrative fees paid to participating institutions. The government pays participating schools $5 per grant to administer and distribute Pell awards. Schools already benefit significantly from the Pell program because the aid makes attendance at those schools more affordable. Consider a maximum-income cap. Currently there is no fixed upper-income limit for a student to qualify for Pell. Figures are simply plugged into a formula to calculate the amount for which the student qualifies. The higher the income level of the student and the students family, the smaller grant they receive. Eliminate eligibility for less-than-half-time students. Funding should be reserved for students with a larger commitment to their education. Consider reforms to Return of Title IV Funds regulations. Simple changes to this policy, such as increasing the amount of time a student must attend class in order to withdraw without debt owed for back assistance, will increase the likelihood of students completing their courses and lower incentives for fraud. Adopt a sustainable maximum-award level. The Department of Education attributed 25 percent of recent program growth to the $619 increase in the maximum award done in the stimulus bill that took effect in the 2009--10 academic year. To get program costs back to a sustainable level, the budget recommends maintaining the maximum award for the 2013--2014 award year of $5,730 in each year of the budget window. This award would be fully funded through discretionary spending.
Encourage Policies That Promote Innovation. Federal higher-education policy should increasingly be
focused not solely on financial aid but on policies that maximize innovation and ensure a robust menu of institutional options from which students and their families are able to choose. Such policies should include reexamining the data made available to students to make certain they are armed with information that will assist them in making their postsecondary decisions. Additionally, the federal government should act to remove regulatory barriers in higher education that act to restrict flexibility and innovative teaching, particularly as it relates to non-traditional models such as online coursework.
Eliminate Ineffective and Duplicative Federal Education Programs. The current structure for K--12
programs at the Department of Education is fragmented and ineffective. Moreover, many programs are duplicative or are highly restricted, serving only a small number of students. Given the budget constraints, Congress must focus resources on programs that truly help students. The budget calls for reorganization and streamlining of K--12 programs and anticipates major reforms to the Elementary and Secondary Education Act, which was last reauthorized by the No Child Left Behind Act. The budget also recommends that the committees of jurisdiction terminate and reduce programs that are failing to improve student
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achievement and address the duplication among the 82 programs that are designed to improve teacher quality.
Encourage Private Funding for Cultural Agencies. Federal subsidies for the National Endowment for the
Arts, the National Endowment for the Humanities, and the Corporation for Public Broadcasting can no longer be justified. The activities and content funded by these agencies go beyond the core mission of the federal government. These agencies can raise funds from private-sector patrons, which will also free them from any risk of political interference.
Eliminate the Corporation for National and Community Service. Programs administered out of this
agency provide funding to students and others who work in certain areas of public service. Participation in these programs is not based on need. The United States has a long history of robust volunteer work and other efforts that provide services to communities and individuals. Americans generosity in contributing their time and money to these efforts is extraordinary and should be encouraged. However, the federal government already has aid programs focused on low-income students, and paying volunteers is not a core federal responsibility, especially in times of high deficits and debt. Further, it is much more efficient to have such efforts operate at the state and local level by the community that receives the benefit of the service.
Eliminate Administrative Fees Paid to Schools in the Campus-Based Student-Aid Programs. Under current
law, participating higher-education institutions are allowed to use a percentage of federal program funds for administrative purposes. The budget recommends prohibiting these funds from being used for administrative costs. Schools already benefit significantly from participating in federal student-aid programs.
Promote State, Local, and Private Funding for Museums and Libraries. The Federal Institute of Museum
and Library Services is an independent agency that makes grants to museums and libraries. This is not a core federal responsibility. This function can be funded at the state and local level and augmented significantly by charitable contributions from the private sector. MANDATORY SPENDING
Repeal New Funding from the Student Aid and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2010. During the debate on
SAFRA, the Congressional Budget Office provided estimates showing that projected future savings from a government takeover of all federal student loans decreased dramatically when market risk was taken into account. Since that time, the Presidents National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and the Pew-Peterson Commission on Budget Reform have recommended the incorporation of fair-value accounting for all federal loan and loan-guarantee programs to enable a true assessment of their cost to taxpayers. In February, the House Committee on the Budget reported H.R. 1872, the Budget and Accounting Transparency Act of 2014, which would mandate fair-value accounting. Unfortunately, SAFRA used the higher non-adjusted savings projection to subsidize the new health-care law and to increase spending on several education programs. Although much of the funding allocations have already been spent, Congress could cancel some of the future spending by repealing the expansion of the Income-Based Repayment program. SAFRA made the income-based repayment plan more generous for new borrowers of Direct Loans. This program, created by the CCRAA and accelerated by the administration, is still relatively new. Moreover, there are concerns that the expansions could disproportionately benefit
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graduate and professional students. Congress should ensure the program is meeting its intended goals before it is expanded.
Accept the Fiscal Commissions Proposal to Eliminate In-School Interest Subsidies for Undergraduate Students. The federal government focuses aid decisions on family income prior to a students enrollment
and then provides a number of repayment protections and, in some cases, loan forgiveness after graduation. There is no evidence that in-school interest subsidies are critical to individual matriculation.
Terminate the Duplicative Social Services Block Grant. The Social Services Block Grant is an annual payment sent to states without a matching requirement to help achieve a range of social goals, including child care, health services, and employment services. Most of these are also funded by other federal programs. States are given wide discretion to determine how to spend this money and are not required to demonstrate the outcomes of this spending, so there is no evidence of its effectiveness. The budget recommends eliminating this duplicative spending.
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Summary of Resolution
The resolution calls for $419.8 billion in budget authority and $416.6 billion in outlays in fiscal year 2015. Discretionary spending for the year is $55.7 billion in budget authority and $59.1 billion in outlays; mandatory spending is $364.1 billion in budget authority and $357.4 billion in outlays. The ten-year totals for budget authority and outlays are $4.12 trillion and $4.11 trillion, respectively.
Provide State Flexibility on Medicaid. One way to secure the Medicaid benefit is by converting the federal
share of Medicaid spending into an allotment that each state could tailor to meet its needs, indexed for inflation and population growth. Such a reform would end the misguided one-size-fits-all approach that has tied the hands of state governments. States would no longer be shackled by federally determined program requirements and enrollment criteria. Instead, each state would have the freedom and flexibility to tailor a Medicaid program that fit the needs of its unique population. The budget resolution proposes to transform Medicaid from an open-ended entitlement into a blockgranted program like SCHIP. These programs would be unified under the proposal and grown together for population growth and inflation. This reform also would improve the health-care safety net for low-income Americans by giving states the ability to offer their Medicaid populations more options and better access to care. Medicaid recipients, like all other Americans, deserve to choose their own doctors and make their own health-care decisions, instead of having Washington make those decisions for them. There are numerous examples across the country where states have used the existing, but limited, flexibility of Medicaids waiver program to introduce innovative reforms that produced cost savings, quality improvements, and beneficiary satisfaction. The state of Indiana implemented such reforms through the Healthy Indiana Plan, a patient-centered system that provided health coverage to uninsured residents who didnt qualify for Medicaid. Enrollees in this program had access to benefits such as physician services, prescription drugs, both patient and outpatient hospital care, and disease management. The Medicaid reforms proposed in the fiscal year 2015 budget provide all states with the necessary flexibility to pursue reforms similar to the Indiana plan.
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Based on this kind of reform, this budget assumes $732 billion in savings over ten years, easing the fiscal burdens imposed on state budgets and contributing to the long-term stabilization of the federal governments fiscal path.
Repeal the Medicaid Expansions in the New Health-Care Law. The recently enacted health-care law calls
for major expansions in the Medicaid program beginning in 2014. These expansions will have a significant impact on the federal share of the Medicaid program and will dramatically increase outlays. In the face of enormous stress on federal and state budgets and declining quality of care in Medicaid, the new health-care law would increase the eligible population for the program by one-third. For fiscal years 2015 through 2024, CBO projects the new law will increase federal spending by $792 billion. This future fiscal burden will have serious budgetary consequences for both federal and state governments. While the health law requires the federal government to finance 100 percent of the Medicaid costs associated with covering new enrollees, this provision begins to phase out in fiscal year 2016. At that time, state governments will be required to assume a share of this cost. This share increases from fiscal year 2016 through 2020, when states will be required to finance 10 percent of the health laws expansion of Medicaid. Not only does this expansion magnify the challenges to both state and federal budgets, it also binds the hands of local governments in developing solutions that meet the unique needs of their citizens. The health-care law would exacerbate the already crippling one-size-fits-all enrollment mandates that have resulted in below-market reimbursements, poor health-care outcomes, and restrictive services. The budget calls for repealing the Medicaid expansions contained in the health-care law and removing the laws burdensome programmatic mandates on state governments. Adopting this option would save $792.4 billion over ten years.
Repeal the Exchange Subsidies Created by the New Health-Care Law. According to CBO estimates, the
health law proposes to spend $1.2 trillion over the next ten years providing eligible individuals with subsidies to purchase government-approved health insurance. These subsidies can only be used to purchase plans that meet standards determined by the new health-care law. In addition to this enormous market distortion, the law also stipulates a complex maze of eligibility and income tests to determine how much of a subsidy qualifying individuals may receive. The new law couples these subsidies with a mandate for individuals to purchase health insurance and bureaucratic controls on the types of insurance that may legally be offered. Taken together, these provisions will undermine the private insurance market, which serves as the backbone of the current U.S. health-care system. Exchange subsidies will undermine the competitive forces of the marketplace. Government mandates will drive out all but the largest insurance companies. Punitive tax penalties will force individuals to purchase coverage whether they choose to or not. Further, this budget does not condone any policy that would require entities or individuals to finance activities or make health decisions that violate their religious beliefs. This budget provides for the repeal of the Presidents onerous health-care law for this and many other reasons. Left in place, the health law will create pressures that will eventually lead to a single-payer system in which the federal government determines how much health care Americans need and what kind of care
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they can receive. This budget recommends repealing the architecture of this new law, which puts healthcare decisions into the hands of bureaucrats, and instead allowing Congress to pursue patient-centered health-care reforms that actually bring down the cost of care by empowering consumers. For Function 550, repeal of the insurance subsidies and other exchange-related spending would save roughly $1.2 trillion over ten years. To be clear, this budget repeals all federal spending related to the health laws exchange subsidies and related spending. CBOs $1.2 trillion estimate for the spending associated with exchange subsidies combines a mix of both outlays and revenues. Function 550 reflects only the savings that would result from repealing the federal-outlay portion of this spending. This budget assumes full repeal of all of the new health-care laws tax increases as part of comprehensive tax reform.
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Summary of Resolution
The resolution calls for $519.2 billion in budget authority and $519.4 billion in outlays in fiscal year 2015. Discretionary spending is $6.7 billion in budget authority and $6.6 in outlays in fiscal year 2015. Mandatory
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spending in 2015 is $512.5 billion in budget authority and $512.8 in outlays. The ten-year totals for budget authority and outlays are $6.8 trillion and $6.8 trillion, respectively.
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The Medicare recipient of the future would choose, from a list of guaranteed-coverage options, a health plan that best suits his or her needs. This is not a voucher program. A Medicare premium-support payment would be paid, by Medicare, directly to the plan or the fee-for-service program to subsidize its cost. The program would operate in a manner similar to that of the Medicare prescription-drug benefit. The Medicare premium-support payment would be adjusted so that the sick would receive higher payments if their conditions worsened; lower-income seniors would receive additional assistance to help cover out-of-pocket costs; and wealthier seniors would assume responsibility for a greater share of their premiums. This approach to strengthening the Medicare program-----which is based on a long history of bipartisan reform plans-----would ensure security and affordability for seniors now and into the future. In September 2013, the Congressional Budget Office analyzed illustrative options of a premium support system. They found that a program in which the premium-support payment was based on the average bid of participating plans would result in savings for affected beneficiaries as well as the federal government.52 Moreover, it would set up a carefully monitored exchange for Medicare plans. Health plans that chose to participate in the Medicare Exchange would agree to offer insurance to all Medicare beneficiaries, to avoid cherry-picking, and to ensure that Medicares sickest and highest-cost beneficiaries receive coverage. While there would be no disruptions in the current Medicare fee-for-service program for those currently enrolled or becoming eligible before 2024, all seniors would have the choice to opt in to the new Medicare program once it began in 2024. This budget envisions giving seniors the freedom to choose a plan best suited for them, guaranteeing health security throughout their retirement years. Also starting in 2024, the age of eligibility for Medicare would begin to rise gradually to correspond with Social Securitys retirement age and the fee-for-service benefit would be modernized to have a single deductible and by reforming supplemental insurance policies. This reform also ensures affordability by fixing the currently broken subsidy system and letting market competition work as a real check on widespread waste and skyrocketing health-care costs. Putting patients in charge of how their health-care dollars are spent will force providers to compete against each other on price and quality. ADDITIONAL IMPROVEMENTS IN THE MEDICARE PROGRAM
A Long-Term Doc Fix. In recent years, Medicares physician reimbursement formula-----the sustained
growth rate-----has threatened steep reductions in payments, leaving doctors uncertain about their incomes and, in some cases, reluctant to take on additional Medicare patients. Congress has patched over the problem numerous times with ad hoc increases in reimbursements-----a practice known as the doc fix. These measures have become increasingly expensive to taxpayers without stabilizing the program. This budget accommodates legislation that fixes the Medicare physician-payment formula for the next ten years so that Medicare beneficiaries continue to have access to health care. It provides for a reimbursement system that fairly compensates physicians who treat Medicare beneficiaries while providing incentives to improve quality and efficiency. The reimbursement-reform process should also protect seniors enrolled in Medicare Advantage plans from premium increases, benefit reductions and
52 Congressional Budget Office, A Premium Support System for Medicare: Analysis of Illustrative Options, 18 Sept. 2013.
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loss of coverage options that would result from certain assumptions made by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid with respect to the SGR.
Ending the Raid on the Medicare Trust Fund. Supporters of the 2010 government takeover of health care
insisted the law would both shore up the Medicare Trust Fund and pay for a new health-care entitlement program. In testimony before the Committee, Medicares chief actuary stated the truism that the same dollar could not be used twice. This budget calls for directing any potential Medicare savings in current law toward shoring up Medicare, not paying for new entitlements. The budget also repeals the healthcare laws new rationing board, the Independent Payment Advisory Board.
Medical-Liability-Insurance Reform. This budget also advances commonsense curbs on abusive and
frivolous lawsuits. Medical lawsuits and excessive verdicts increase health-care costs and result in reduced access to care. When mistakes happen, patients have a right to fair representation and fair compensation. But the current tort-litigation system too often serves the interests of lawyers while driving up costs. The budget supports several changes to laws governing medical liability.
Means-Testing Premiums for High-Income Seniors. This budget also advances a bipartisan proposal to
further means-test premiums in Medicare Parts B and D for high-income seniors, with the same provisions the Presidents proposed in his fiscal year 2014 budget.
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Summary of Resolution
The resolution calls for $505.7 billion in budget authority and $505.0 billion in outlays in fiscal year 2015. Discretionary spending is $62.3 billion in budget authority and $64.6 billion in outlays in fiscal year 2015. Mandatory spending in 2015 is $443.4 billion in budget authority and $440.4 billion in outlays. The Committees recommendation is a disciplined budget that will require committees of jurisdiction and agencies to set priorities and achieve efficiencies. In addition to implementing needed reforms in these programs, it will avoid the sudden and arbitrary benefit cuts that would result in the event of a fiscal crisis.
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DISCRETIONARY SPENDING
Reform Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program Outreach Funding. This budget assumes that
outreach funding for the SNAP program is reduced, and the reduction is shifted toward programs that facilitate upward mobility, such as properly reformed job-training programs.
Make Responsible Reforms to Housing-Assistance Programs. This resolution supports taking actions that would make housing-assistance programs more sustainable and work to direct federal dollars to serve those most in need. Spending on the Tenant-Based Section 8 program increased by 80 percent from 2005 to 2013. However, HUDs most recent Worst Case Housing Needs Report to Congress suggests the number of families who are severely rent burdened or live in substandard conditions continues to grow. 53 Reforms are needed both to ensure the affordability of these programs to the taxpayer and to ensure that assistance is available to those most in need. One reform could include the gradual expansion of the Moving to Work program to high-performing public housing authorities. Moving to Work gives public housing authorities more flexibility in how they spend funds so that they can serve families more efficiently.
MANDATORY SPENDING -formerly known as the Block-Grant the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program. Spending on SNAP----Food Stamp Program-----has increased dramatically over the past three years. SNAP spending grew from $20.6 billion in 2002 to nearly $40 billion in 2008-----and $83 billion in 2013. Although the increase between 2008 and 2013 is partially due to the recession, SNAP spending is forecast to be permanently higher than previous estimates even after the recession is long past. A variety of factors are driving this growth, but one major reason is that though the states have the responsibility of administering the program, they have little incentive to ensure it is well run. The budget resolution envisions converting SNAP into an allotment tailored for each states low-income population, indexed for inflation and eligibility. This option would make no changes to SNAP until 2019----after employment has recovered-----providing states with time to structure their own programs. It would also envision improving work incentives by requiring a certain amount of people to engage in work activity, such as job search, community-service activities, and education and job training. This proposal is estimated to save $125 billion over ten years.
Eliminate Abuse of LIHEAP: The Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program provides low-income
families with help to pay heating bills. However, states can provide as little as $20 in LIHEAP benefits in order to increase SNAP benefits (see Categorical Eligibility above). The recently passed Farm Bill reformed this practice, but it did not end the abuse entirely-----and this proposal would.
53Worst Case Housing Needs 2011: Report to Congress, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Feb. 2013.
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Eliminate the Failed Troubled Asset Relief Program [TARP] Housing Subsidies. This resolution supports
ending the loan-subsidy initiative, the Home Affordable Modification Program [HAMP], created by the Obama administration as a part of TARP for distressed homeowners. In addition to serving far fewer households than planned, HAMP has experienced alarmingly high re-default rates. The Special Inspector General for the Troubled Asset Relief Programs most recent quarterly report states that $1.1 billion of TARP monies have been spent through HAMP on modifications that ultimately re-defaulted. 54
Eliminate Certain Waivers from Work Requirements for Abled-Bodied Adults without Dependents. H.R.
3102, the Nutrition Reform and Work Opportunity Act of 2013 included the elimination of certain waivers from SNAP work requirements for Abled-Bodied Adults without Dependents (ABAWDs). As was demonstrated by the welfare reforms of the 1990s, work requirements are central to ensuring that public assistance helps individuals transition to independence.
Institute Work Requirements. The Obama administration, in contravention of current law, has claimed
authority to waive the work requirements of the Temporary Assistance to Needy Families program. This budget calls for rescinding any authority the Obama administration thinks it has to provide for waivers of the work requirement of the TANF program. It assumes that President Clinton and the Republican majority at the time were correct in requiring robust work requirements for the TANF program, which contributed to the largest sustained reduction in child poverty since the onset of the Great Society. It also calls for the Secretary of the U.S. Department of Agriculture to test work-first pilot projects under the authority granted by Sec. 4022 of the Agriculture Act of 2014.
Reform Civil-Service Pensions. In keeping with a recommendation from the National Commission on
Fiscal Responsibility, this option calls for federal employees-----including members of Congress and staff----to make greater contributions toward their own retirement. It would also reform the ability for individuals to receive a special retirement supplement, which pays federal employees the equivalent of their Social Security benefit at an earlier age. This would achieve significant budgetary savings and also help facilitate a transition to a defined-contribution system for new federal employees that would give them more control over their own retirement security. This option would save an estimated $125 billion over ten years.
Reform Supplemental Security Income. Welfare programs typically pay benefits on a sliding scale.
However, SSI is different, paying an average of $600 for each and every child in a household who receives benefits. This reform would create a sliding scale for children on SSI. Advocates for the disabled have expressed support in the past for creating a sliding scale for children on SSI. For example, Jonathan Stein-----the lead advocate attorney in the landmark 1990 Supreme Court Case expanding SSI eligibility for children and witness for the Democrats at an October 27, 2011 Ways and Means Subcommittee hearing on SSI-----in 1995 said the following about this proposal: [W]e have a long list of reforms that we do not have time to get into, but we would say for very large families there should be some sort of family cap or graduated sliding scale of benefits. 55 Additionally, Congress should review mental-health categories in the childrens SSI program, which have been the fastest-growing categories of eligibility. These reforms could save up to $5 billion over ten years.
54 Quarterly Report to Congress, Office of the Special Inspector General for the Troubled Asset Relief Program, 29 Jan. 2014. 55 U.S. House, Committee on Ways and Means. Contract with America: Welfare Reform, Part 2, Hearing, February 2, 1995 (Serial No. 104-44). Washington: Government Printing Office, 1995.
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Eliminate the Ability to Receive Both Unemployment Insurance and Disability Insurance. This option
would eliminate the ability of individuals to receive both Unemployment Insurance benefits and Disability Insurance benefits. A condition of receiving UI benefits is that the individual is available and seeking work. In direct contradiction, Disability Insurance is available to benefit only those who are unable to work. The President included a similar proposal in his fiscal year 2015 budget. This could save up to $5.4 billion over ten years.
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Summary of Resolution
Social Security contains both on-budget and off-budget spending-----the latter consisting of benefit payments for the OASDI program. The budget resolution reflects only the on-budget spending. In that category, the resolution calls for $31.4 billion in budget authority and $31.5 billion in outlays in fiscal year 2015. Over ten years, the on-budget totals are $453.5 billion in budget authority and $453.6 billion in outlays. In the off-budget category, the budget calls for $864.5 billion in budget authority for fiscal year 2015 and $860.5 billion in outlays for fiscal year 2015. Over ten years, the off-budget totals are $11.4 trillion in budget authority and $10.3 trillion in outlays.
56 In March 5 testimony before the House Budget Committee, Sylvia Burwell said that the administration supported Congress for taking the efforts that it [has] historically taken with regard to reallocation of the trust.
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action to solve this pressing problem by requiring the President to put forward specific ideas on fixing Social Security. The budget also puts the onus on Congress to offer legislation to ensure the sustainable solvency of this critical program. To be clear, nothing in this budget calls for the privatization of Social Security. STARTING THE PROCESS This budget calls for setting in motion the process of reforming Social Security by altering a current-law trigger that, in the event that the Social Security program is not sustainable, requires the President, in conjunction with the Social Security Board of Trustees, to submit a plan for restoring balance to the fund. This provision would then require congressional leaders to put forward their best ideas as well. Although, in the House, the Committee on Ways and Means would make the final determination, this provision would require that: If in any year the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund and the Federal Disability Insurance Trust Fund, in its annual Trustees Report, determines that the 75year actuarial balance of the Social Security Trust Funds is in deficit, and the annual balance of the Social Security Trust Funds in the 75th year is in deficit, the Board of Trustees should, no later than the 30th of September of the same calendar year, submit to the President recommendations for statutory reforms necessary to achieve a positive 75-year actuarial balance and a positive annual balance in the 75th year. No later than the 1st of December of the same calendar year in which the Board of Trustees submits its recommendations, the President shall promptly submit implementing legislation to both Houses of Congress including recommendations necessary to achieve a positive 75-year actuarial balance and a positive annual balance in the 75th year. Within 60 days of the Presidents submitting legislation, the committees of jurisdiction to which the legislation has been referred shall report the bill, which shall be considered by the full House or Senate under expedited procedures.
Again, the aim of this option is to force recognition of the need to save Social Security. This procedure offers a first step in that direction.
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Summary of Resolution
The resolution calls for $153.0 billion in budget authority and $153.0 billion in outlays in fiscal year 2015. Discretionary spending is $65.5 billion in budget authority and $65.5 billion in outlays in fiscal year 2015. This in an increase of 3 percent from last years discretionary level. Mandatory spending in 2015 is $87.6 billion in budget authority and $87.5 billion in outlays. The ten-year totals for budget authority and outlays are $1.8 trillion and $1.8 trillion, respectively. This resolution also accommodates up to $58.662 billion for fiscal year 2016 in advance appropriations for medical care, consistent with the Veterans Health Care Budget and Reform Transparency Act of 2009. This budget does not assume any savings in Function 700 and fully funds the nations commitment to the services and benefits earned by veterans through their selfless military service. This budget matches the Presidents discretionary request for fiscal year 2015, in addition to matching the Presidents fiscal year 2016 request for advance appropriations for veteran medical care. It also fully funds the mandatory benefits provided for under current law according to CBOs estimates. As of the writing of this concurrent resolution, CBO has yet to revise its current-law baseline, and the resolution provides the authority for the chairman of the Committee on the Budget to adjust the mandatory funding levels in this budget to reflect CBOs updated baseline. Veterans are, and will remain, the highest priority within this budget. However, the committee is concerned with the VAs progress in eliminating the disability-claims backlog and ending veteran homelessness. While funding for the Veterans Benefits Administration and homelessness initiatives has significantly increased in recent years to achieve these goals by 2015, success remains elusive. The committee will continue to closely monitor VAs progress to ensure resources provided by Congress are sufficient and efficiently used to achieve these top priorities as soon as possible.
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Summary of Resolution
The resolution calls for $54 billion in budget authority and $54.3 billion in outlays in fiscal year 2015. Discretionary spending is $52.1 billion in budget authority and $52.8 billion in outlays in fiscal year 2015. Mandatory spending in 2015 is $1.9 billion in budget authority and $1.4 billion in outlays. The ten-year totals for budget authority and outlays are $619.9 billion and $619.3 billion, respectively. According to the Government Accountability Office [GAO], from fiscal year 2005 to 2011, over $30 billion was disbursed to more than 200 DOJ programs authorized through three sources: Community Oriented Policing Services, the Office of Justice Programs, and the Office on Violence Against Women. 58 The GAO has determined that many of these grants were awarded without consideration of overlap or duplication with other DOJ grant programs, leading to significant waste. With the risk of terrorism as well as a tidal wave of debt, federal taxpayer money for the Departments of Justice and Homeland Security should be focused on administering justice, arresting and prosecuting terrorists, investigating crimes, and seeking punishment for those guilty of unlawful behavior. Local law enforcement is the responsibility of the states and communities, and they should determine the best course of action in deterring crime. This budget focuses on funding core government responsibilities and reducing duplication, excess, and unnecessary spending.
Consolidate Justice Grants. In 2010, DOJ awarded nearly $3.9 billion in grants, including $4.0 billion
provided in the 2009 stimulus bill. The Congressional Research Service and GAO have identified overlap and duplication within many of these grant programs, and it is clear that they address law-enforcement
58 Government Accountability Office, 2012 Annual Report: Opportunities to Reduce Duplication, Overlap and Fragmentation, Achieve Savings, and Enhance Revenue, Feb. 2012.
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issues that are primarily state and local responsibilities. This option streamlines grants into three categories-----first responder, law enforcement, and victims-----while eliminating waste, inefficiency, and bureaucracy.
Eliminate Unnecessary Headquarters Funding for DHS, DOJ, and Judiciary. Underperforming IT projects,
representational fees for receptions, and new construction funds should be reduced in agency headquarters management and operations programs. The budget recommends additional scrutiny of cost overruns of DHSs St. Elizabeths project, the largest federal building project in D.C. since the Pentagon. MANDATORY SPENDING
Extend Customs User Fees. Continuing the policy of the Bipartisan Budget Act of 2013, the budget
assumes that the Bureau of Customs and Border Protection continues to collect customs user fees through 2024. With the passage of the BBA, authority to collect these fees expires in 2023.
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Summary of Resolution
The resolution calls for $23.7 billion in budget authority and $23.6 billion in outlays in fiscal year 2015. Of that total, discretionary spending in fiscal year 2015 totals $17.3 billion in budget authority and $16.8 billion in outlays. Mandatory spending in 2015 is $6.4 billion in budget authority and $6.8 billion in outlays. The ten-year totals for budget authority and outlays are $247.3 billion and $244.3 billion, respectively.
Adopt YouCut Proposals. The budget incorporates several of the House Republican YouCut proposals introduced during the 111th and 112th Congresses. One example in Function 800 is the elimination of the Presidential Election Campaign Fund. The budget reflects the changes to the Presidential Election Campaign Fund due to the passage of the Gabriella Miller Kids First Research Act.
DISCRETIONARY SPENDING
Decrease Costs of the Government Printing Office by Increasing the Use of Electronic Copies. The GPO
prints thousands upon thousands of pages of government documents each year. However, the online presence of this material has become ubiquitous. This resolution supports policy that guides the GPO to print materials on a more selective basis, allowing users to rely more heavily on increased electronic access to materials.
Terminate the Election Assistance Commission. This independent agency was created in 2002 as part of the Help America Vote Act to provide grants to states to modernize voting equipment. Its mission has been fulfilled. The National Association of Secretaries of State, the association of state officials
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responsible for administering elections, has passed resolutions stating that the EAC has served its purpose, and funding is no longer necessary. The EAC should be eliminated and any valuable, residual functions transferred to the Federal Election Commission.
Accompany Pro-Growth Tax Reform with Responsible Reductions to the Internal Revenue Service. The IRS has over 85,500 employees and spends more than $12 billion annually. The Internal Revenue Code now contains approximately 4 million words, and each year taxpayers and businesses spend over 6 billion hours complying with filing requirements. 59 The Presidents budget makes the tax code more complex and proposes to increase the IRS budget by approximately $1.2 billion. This resolution calls for simplifying the burdensome tax code through tax reform, naturally reducing the agencys size by promoting policies that lead to less reliance on the IRS. As outlined in a 2012 GAO report, simplifying our increasingly complex tax code may reduce accidental errors in tax filing and improve voluntarily compliance. 60 A simplified tax code would have the dual benefits of reducing both the time taxpayers devote to complying with an overly complex code and the taxpayer dollars needed to administer and enforce it.
59 2013 Annual Report to Congress, National Taxpayer Advocate, 31 Dec. 2013. 60Opportunities to Improve the Taxpayer Experience and Voluntary Compliance, GAO, 26 April 2012.
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Summary of Resolution
The resolution calls for $267.3 billion in mandatory budget authority and outlays in fiscal year 2015. The ten-year totals for budget authority and outlays are $4.9 trillion. On-budget mandatory budget authority and outlays are $366.0 billion in fiscal year 2015 and $6.0 trillion over ten years. The on-budget figures are larger than the function totals because the former are offset by off-budget interest payments from the general fund to the Social Security Trust Fund, which are reflected as off-budget collections (negative numbers). These off-budget mandatory collections (negative budget authority and outlays) amount to $98.7 billion in fiscal year 2015, and -$1.1 trillion over ten years.
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Summary of Resolution
In August 2011, the President and Congress enacted the Budget Control Act of 2011 (P.L. 112-25) that provided for significant spending reductions enforced by statutory spending caps and an automatic enforcement procedure. The BCA did not specify a distribution of spending reductions in specific budget functions other than for defense (Function 050) and Medicare (Function 570), even though the law does require reductions in non-defense and non-Medicare areas of the budget. At the time that the February 2014 baseline was released, CBO did not provide forward-looking, function-level information on what non-defense and non-Medicare reductions are under the terms of the BCA. CBO has, instead, assigned the non-defense and non-Medicare reductions required by the BCA to Function 920. This budget resolution makes no changes in this function, leaving it instead at the CBO baseline levels. The CBO baseline for Function 920 includes a total of $575 billion and $521 billion in reductions for budget authority and outlays, respectively, to reflect the impact of the BCA on non-defense and nonMedicare spending. The following two components are included in the baseline: 1. A $534 billion and $480 billion reduction in non-defense budget authority and outlays, respectively, needed to comply with the discretionary spending caps set by section 101 of the BCA. 2. A $41 billion reduction in both budget authority and outlays to non-Medicare and non-defense mandatory programs necessary to comply with the automatic-enforcement procedure (i.e. sequester) mandated by the BCA.
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Abiding by the Bipartisan Budget Act of 2013. The total base discretionary budget authority for fiscal year
2015 assumed in the resolution is $1,013.6 billion-----the same level set by the Bipartisan Budget Act of 2013 (BBA). The resolution offers approximately $26 billion in fiscal year 2015 non-defense discretionary savings in several budget functions should Congress choose to enact additional deficit reduction next year. Because these additional savings would cause the resolution to display a lower total base discretionary level than contemplated by the BBA, $26 billion in non-defense discretionary spending is added back to Function 930 in order to make the total budget-resolution base discretionary level match the amount specified in the BBA.
Federal-Employee Attrition. The budget includes discretionary savings by assuming a reduction in the
federal civilian workforce through attrition, whereby the administration would be permitted to hire one employee for every three who leave government service. National-security positions would be subject to exemption.
Elimination of Student-Loan Repayment for Government Employees. The budget assumes discretionary
savings by eliminating the repayment by the government of student loans for federal employees.
Reform Civil Service Pensions: The policy described in the Income Security chapter of this report would
increase the share of federal retirement benefits funded by the employee. This policy has the effect of reducing the personnel costs for the employing agency. The budget assumes savings from a reduction in agency appropriations associated with the reduction in payments that agencies make into the Civil Service Retirement and Disability Fund for federal-employee retirement. MANDATORY SPENDING
Program Integrity. This budget assumes program integrity savings by assuming that Continuing Disability Reviews (CDRs) and Supplemental Security Income Redeterminations are fully funded and that additional steps are taken to reduce improper payments in the Medicare, Medicaid, and Unemployment Insurance programs. By ensuring that all benefits are targeted towards the appropriate households, this budget will reduce fraud and improper payments in these programs. This could save up to $27 billion over ten years.
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Summary of Resolution
All transactions within Function 950 are recorded as mandatory. The resolution calls for -$95.6 billion in budget authority and outlays in fiscal year 2015 (with the minus sign indicating receipts into the Treasury). Over ten years, budget authority and outlays total -$1.1 trillion. On-budget amounts are -$78.6 billion in budget authority and outlays in fiscal year 2015, and -$935.3 billion in budget authority and outlays over ten years. Off-budget amounts are -$17.0 billion in budget authority and outlays in fiscal year 2015, and -$201.4 billion in budget authority and outlays over ten years.
Federal Real-Property Sales. The Fiscal Commission highlighted potential budget savings from another
area where the mismanagement of taxpayer-owned assets and sheer amount of waste are staggering: federal real estate and other property. The federal real-property inventory is so massive that the report accounting for it lags two years behind the current budget year. Complex procedural requirements, lack of organization, and delayed data reporting provide agencies very little incentive to dispose of unneeded properties and very few repercussions for holding onto these properties indefinitely. According to the most recent Federal Real Property Report, from fiscal year 2012,
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the federal government owns or leases over 360,000 buildings and 485,000 structures. Of the buildings in the federal governments portfolio, non-defense buildings accounted for at least 148,000 of the total. The governments track record for real-estate asset sales has been poor. The fiscal year 2012 report shows that of the 23,663 assets the federal government disposed of in that year, 6,066, or 25.6 percent, were disposed of via demolition. Only 515, or 2.2 percent, were disposed of through a sale. Many assets were simply given away at below-market value or even for free. The Committee urges the Office of Management and Budget to pursue streamlining the asset-sale process; loosening regulations for the disposal and sale of federal property to eliminate red tape and waste; setting enforceable targets for asset sales; and holding government agencies accountable for the buildings they oversee. If done correctly, taxpayers can recoup billions of dollars from selling unused government property.
Federal Land. Currently, the federal government owns nearly 650 million acres of land-----almost 30
percent of the land area of the United States. In addition to federal-fleet and real-property sales, this resolution supports examining federal land to see where cost savings can be achieved by selling unneeded acreage in the open market-----excluding National Parks, wilderness areas, wildlife refuges, and wild and scenic rivers.
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Summary of Resolution
This resolution calls for $85.4 billion in budget authority and $52.6 billion in new outlays in fiscal year 2015. These amounts are the same as the Presidents request. This function accommodates all of the funding requested by the Department of State for the incremental, non-enduring civilian activities in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Iraq. However, because troop levels beyond the end of 2014 are undecided, this budget includes the same $79.4 billion placeholder for the Department of Defense as the Presidents budget. The fact that this function includes a temporary placeholder is not an invitation for the funding budgeted in this function to be used as a reserve fund for other activities not related to the war. The budget resolution includes authority for the chairman of the Budget Committee to adjust the relevant levels and allocations for war-related spending to account for a future budget request from the President consistent with the decisions that are ultimately made on troop levels. In making any adjustments, the Budget Committee will be vigilant that the OCO/GWOT cap adjustment is not abused as a means of evading the statutory caps on discretionary spending.
Defense Activities. The United States and the Government of Afghanistan have negotiated a Bilateral
Security Agreement, which is currently awaiting approval by the Afghan government. The outgoing president of Afghanistan has refused to sign the agreement, leaving the ultimate disposition of the agreement to be determined by the next president, who will be elected in April. Until the agreement is concluded, the U.S. Government has been unable to determine what the troop level will be after 2014 and therefore what funding will be needed.
Civilian Activities This budget fully funds the $5.9 billion request for the activities of civilian agencies----primarily the State Department and the U.S. Agency for International Development-----as part of the integrated civil-military strategy for securing American objectives in the frontline states. However, the Committee notes concern regarding past, present, and future use of OCO/GWOT funds for civilian efforts: In past legislation, including the Consolidated Appropriations Act of 2014, OCO/GWOT has been used to fund accounts that the Committee does not view as critical to efforts related to the global war on terrorism, for example Education and Cultural Exchange Programs. Funding for these programs should be provided within their respective base budgets. Wasteful spending of war funding, especially for Afghanistan reconstruction efforts, is unacceptable. The Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction has highlighted several recent examples, including multi-million-dollar infrastructure projects that have never been used, nor will be used for the intended purpose, if at all. The Committee will continue to closely monitor the use of OCO/GWOT funds to ensure taxpayer dollars are spent effectively and efficiently in achieving our
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strategic goals overseas. Continued reports of waste, fraud, and/or abuse will be taken into consideration as OCO/GWOT funding levels are determined going forward. The administrations decision to expand the scope of programs eligible for OCO/GWOT funding to include not only the frontline states of Iraq, Afghanistan, and Pakistan, but also Syria, Africa, and other areas of conflict, could lead to potential abuse of the OCO/GWOT designation. OCO/GWOT was originally intended to fund only extraordinary, and thus temporary, costs of U.S. operations in Iraq, Afghanistan, and Pakistan. While this budget fully supports U.S. missions in other conflict areas, it does not recommend expanding OCOs purpose and believes such missions should be funded in the relevant base budget accounts in Function 150.
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Challenge
The current tax code is needlessly complex. It is estimated that individuals, families, and employers spend over 6 billion hours and over $160 billion a year trying to negotiate a labyrinth of special rules, deductions and tax schedules. Over the past decade alone, there have been more than 4,400 changes to the tax code, more than one per day. Many of the major changes over the years have involved carving out special preferences, exclusions, or deductions for various activities or groups. These loopholes add up to more than $1 trillion per year. To put that figure in perspective, that is nearly the same amount that we collected in individual income taxes last year. Many of the deductions and preferences in the system are mainly used by a relatively small class of mostly higher-income individuals. The large amount of tax preferences that pervade the code ends up narrowing the tax base. A narrow tax base requires much higher tax rates to raise a given amount of revenue. Standard economic theory shows that high marginal tax rates dampen the incentives to work, save, and invest, which reduces economic output and job creation. Lower economic output, in turn, mutes the intended revenue gain from higher marginal tax rates. The top tax rate has actually risen and fallen dramatically throughout U.S. history, with little effect on tax revenue as a share of the economy. For instance, the top U.S. tax rate has been as high as 90 percent and as low as 28 percent, but income-tax revenue has remained fairly steady despite these sharp rate swings. It turns out that the biggest driver of revenue to the federal government isnt higher tax rates, but economic growth. And the lions share of economists point out that a tax system with a broad tax base and low rates are keys to fostering economic growth and competitiveness. One important hallmark of the U.S. economy is the importance of smaller, unincorporated businesses. Roughly half of U.S. active business income and half of private-sector employment are derived from business entities (such as partnerships, S corporations, and sole proprietorships) that are taxed on a pass-through basis, meaning the income flows through to the tax returns of the individual owners and is taxed at the individual-rate structure rather than at the corporate rate. Small businesses, in particular, tend to choose this form for federal tax purposes, and the top federal rate on such small-business income reaches 44.6 percent. For these reasons, sound economic policy requires lowering marginal rates on these pass-through entities. The U.S. corporate income tax rate (including federal, state, and local taxes) sums to just over 39 percent, the highest rate in the industrialized world. This tax discourages investment and job creation, distorts business activity, and puts American businesses at a competitive disadvantage against foreign competitors. Yet the tax itself raises relatively little revenue-----only 10 percent of the total federal revenue
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take comes from taxing corporate income. Any tax that raises little revenue and creates a lot of economic distortions is particularly ripe for reform. Elevated corporate tax rates hinder American competitiveness by making the U.S. a less desirable destination for investment and jobs. Business location and investment decisions are becoming ever more sensitive to country tax rates as global integration increases. Foreign investment is important to an economy because it is a key source of funding to finance innovation and jobs. To enhance their competitiveness, many countries have been lowering business taxes. But the U.S. risks falling behind as it maintains its high tax rate while other countries lower theirs. By deterring potential investment, the U.S. corporate tax restrains economic growth and job creation. The U.S. tax rate differential with other countries also fosters a variety of complicated multinational corporate behaviors intended to avoid the tax, which have the effect of moving the tax base offshore, destroying American jobs, and decreasing corporate revenue. The structure of U.S. international taxation is also out of sync with the international standard used by the majority of other countries, putting U.S. businesses operating abroad at a competitive disadvantage. Most countries operate under a so-called territorial system of international taxation, whereby their businesses operating abroad are only subject to the tax of the country where they do business. The U.S. has an antiquated worldwide system of international taxation, whereby U.S. multinationals operating abroad pay both the foreign-country tax and U.S. corporate taxes when profits are repatriated. They are essentially taxed twice. This puts them at an obvious competitive disadvantage. Reforming the U.S. tax code to a more competitive international system would boost the competitiveness of U.S. companies operating abroad, and it would also greatly reduce tax avoidance.
Economists have shown that lowering overall rates and broadening the tax base will promote economic growth and support job creation by the private sector. This resolution calls on comprehensive tax reform and lays out some principles, but it does not embrace any particular plan. There are many good ideas on that front-----growth-oriented tax plans that could strengthen the economy and support the nations funding priorities.
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Ways and Means Committee Chairman David Camp has proposed a comprehensive, revenue-neutral tax reform plan that would lower individual and corporate tax rates and remove a number of distortions in the code. The Joint Committee on Taxation has analyzed this plan and determined that it would increase real GDP by between 0.1 percent and 1.6 percent depending on the economic model used. Congressman Burgess has also introduced a plan to dramatically simplify the tax code by offering individuals and businesses the option to pay a single flat tax on their income instead of navigating the maze of existing tax provisions. His plan would also repeal estate and gift taxes. In addition, Congressman Woodall has submitted a fundamental tax-reform plan for consideration by the Ways and Means Committee that would eliminate taxes on wages, corporations, self-employment, capital gains, and gift and death taxes in favor of a personal-consumption tax that would provide the economic certainty that American businesses, entrepreneurs, and taxpayers desire. Congress should consider these and the full myriad of pro-growth plans as it moves toward implementing the tax reform called for under this budget.
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