Assignment 1
Assignment 1
ASSIGNMENT 1. Given: Monday, January 21, 2012. Due: Monday, January 28, 2012 at 10am. 1. If it is known that in a series of coin tosses, the 4th head occurred on the 12th trial, what is the probability that the 3rd head occurred on the 9th trial? 2. A satellite system consists of n components and functions on any given day if at least k of the n components function on that day. On a rainy day each of the components independently functions with probability p1 , whereas on a dry day they each independently function with probability p2 . If the probability of rain tomorrow is , what is the probability that the satellite system will function? 3. Suppose it is known that the number of accidents occurring per day on Meadow Street is a Poisson random variable with parameter = 4 per day. (a) What is the probability that the number of accidents on any day is 4 or more? (b) Given that the number of accidents today is at least one, what is the conditional probability of 4 or more accidents today? 4. If E[X ] = 1 and Var(X ) = 5, nd (a) E[(2 + X )2 ] (b) Var(4 + 3X ) 5. Suppose the time between independent incoming calls to a call center is well-modeled by an exponential distribution having = 0.025. Let Ti be the time between the ith and the (i 1)st call, and dene k Sk = i=1 Ti . What are: (a) The moment generating function (mgf) of T4 ? (b) The moment generating function of S6 ? (c) E [S6 ]? 6. The random pair (X, Y ) has the distribution given below. X 2 1/6 0 1/3
2 3 4
1 1/12 1/6 0
3 1/12 1/6 0
(b) Give a probability table for the random variables U and V that have the same marginals as X and Y , but are independent. 7. Show that E[XY ]=E[Y E[X |Y ] ]. 8. If the random variables X and Y have joint distribution fX,Y (x, y ) = xex(y+1) where 0 < x < , 0 < y < , for what value of a is P {Y a | X = 2} = 0.4? 9. Let X be uniform over (0, 1). Find E [X |X < 1 2 ].