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Probability Distribution

The document discusses probability distributions and concepts. It contains examples of calculating probabilities of events using the binomial and normal distributions. Various probabilities are computed for variables like number of heads, marbles, goals scored, and more. Formulas for mean, variance and standard deviation are also provided.

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Syed Nazmi
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
310 views10 pages

Probability Distribution

The document discusses probability distributions and concepts. It contains examples of calculating probabilities of events using the binomial and normal distributions. Various probabilities are computed for variables like number of heads, marbles, goals scored, and more. Formulas for mean, variance and standard deviation are also provided.

Uploaded by

Syed Nazmi
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Additional Mathematics SPM Chapter 19

Probability
Distributions

19
1. (a) X = {Number of heads}
= {0, 1, 2, 3}

3. Let X represent the number of blue marbles


obtained.
3
8
p = , q =
5
20
2
=
5

(b) X = {Number of blue marbles}


= {0, 1, 2}
(c) X = {Number of trials that hit the target}
= {0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8}

(a) P(X = 1) = 5C1 p1q4


2 3
= 5C1
5 5
= 0.2592

2. Let X represents the number of heads.


p = P(H), q = P(T)
1
1
=
=
2
2
(a) P(X = 3) = 3C3 p3q0
1 3 1 0
= 3C3
2
2
1
=
8

(b) P(X  2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2)


= 5C0 p0q5 + 5C1 pq4 + 5C2 p2q3
2 0 3 5
2 3 4
= 5C0 + 5C1
5
5
5 5
2
3
2
3
5
+ C2
5
5
= 0.6826

(b) P(X = 1) = 3C1 p1q2


1 1 1
= 3C1
2
2
3
=
8

(c) P(X  1) = 1 P(X = 0)


= 1 5C0 p0q5
2 0 3
= 1 5C0
5
5
= 0.9222

(c) P(X  1) = P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3)


= 3C1 p1q2 + 3C2 p2q1 + 3C3 p3q0
1 1 2
1 2 1
= 3C1 + 3C2
2 2
2
2
3
0
1
1
3
+ C3
2
2
1
3
3
=++
8
8
8
7
=
8

4. 2(y + 2y) = 1
1
3y =
2
1
y=
6

Alternative
P(X  1) = 1 P(X = 0)
= 1 3C0 p0q3
1 0 1
= 1 3C0
2
2
1
=1
8
7
=
8

4
1
5. p = , q = , n = 50
5
5
(a) Mean = np
1
= 50
5
= 10

(b) Variance = npq


4
= 10
5
=8
Standard deviation = 
8

Penerbitan Pelangi Sdn. Bhd.

Additional Mathematics SPM Chapter 19

6. Let X represents the number of goals scored.


p = 0.85, q = 0.15
(a) P(X = 10) = 10C10 p10q0
= 10C10 (0.85)10(0.15)0
= 0.1969
(b) P(X  3)
= P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3)
= 10C0 p0q10 + 10C1 p1q9 + 10C2 p2q8 + 10C3 p3q7
= 10 C 0 (0.85) 0 (0.15) 10 + 10 C 1 (0.85) 1 (0.15) 9
+ 10C2(0.85)2(0.15)8 + 10C3(0.85)3(0.15)7
= 0.0001346
7.

f(z)
0.703

1.043 0

(d) P(Z  0.416)


= P(Z  0.416 or Z  0.416)
= P(Z  0.416) + P(Z  0.416)
= 0.3387 + 0.3387
= 0.6774

np = 120 ............................... 
npq = 40 ................................. 

10. = 50, = 5
x
(a) z =

65
50
=
5
=3

Substitute  into ,
120q = 40
1
q=
3
p=1q
2
=
3
2
Substitute p = into ,
3
2
n = 120
3
3
n = 120
2
= 180

45 50
(b) z =
5
= 1

52.4 50
(c) z =
5
= 0.48
11. = 1.5, = 0.3
Let X represents the diameters of ball bearing
(a) P(X  1.8)

8. Y = {y : 29C  y  39C}
9. (a) P(Z  1) = 1 0.1587
= 0.8413

(b) P(X  1.2)


(c) P(1.2  X  1.8)

f(z)
0.8413

(b) P(1.2  Z  0.52)


= P(Z  0.52) P(Z  1.2)
= 0.3015 0.1151
= 0.1864

1.2 1.5
(b) P(X  1.2) = P Z 
0.3
= P(Z  1)
= 0.1587

f(z)

(c) P(1.2  X  1.8)


1.2 1.5
1.8 1.5
= P  Z 
0.3
0.3
= P(1  Z  1)
= 1 2P(Z  1)
= 1 2(0.1587)
= 0.6826

0.1864

1.2 0.52 0

1.8 1.5
12. (a) P(X  1.8) = P Z 
0.3
= P(Z  1)
= 0.1587

(c) P(Z  1.043)


= P(1.043  Z  1.043)
= 1 2P(Z  1.043)
= 1 2 0.1485
= 0.703

Penerbitan Pelangi Sdn. Bhd.

z
1.043

Additional Mathematics SPM Chapter 19

13. = m gram, = 0.2 gram


Let X be the weight of the prawn.
P(X  2) = 0.1
2m
P Z  = 0.1
0.2
zm = 1.282
2m
= 1.282
0.2
m = 2 + 1.282 0.2
= 2.256

1
1. (a) Probability of picking a white marble, p =
5
Number of white marbles are expected to be
picked
=np
1
= 20
5
=4

f(z)

(b) Let X represent the number of time the white


marble is picked for the remaining 10 trials.
1 4 4 6
(i) P(X = 4) = 10C4
5
5
= 0.08808

0.1

zm

(ii) P(X  12)


= 1 P(X = 0) P(X = 1)
1 0 4 10
1
= 1 10C0 10C1
5
5
5
= 0.6242

14. = 12 cm, = 0.08 cm


Let X be the length of straw.
P(X  t) = 0.8
t 12
P Z  = 0.8
0.08
zt = 0.842
t 12
= 0.842
0.08
t = 12 0.842 0.08
= 11.93

15. (a) = 25 cm, = m cm


Let X represents the diameter of the wheel.
1
P(X  26) =
100
26 25
P Z  = 0.01
m
zm = 2.326
26 25
= 2.326
m
1
m =
2.326
= 0.4299

3. = 152 cm, = 10 cm
Let X represents the height.
x
(a)
z =

x
152
0.4 =
10
4 = x 152
x = 156

The height is 156 cm.


(b) P(X  140)
140 152
= P Z 
10
= P(Z  1.2)
= 0.1151

f(z)

0.01

(b) = 80, 2 = 9
=3
x
zk =

x
80
1.03 =
3
x = 80 + 3 1.03
= 83.09

0.8

0.697
2. (a) P(Z  k) = 0.5
2
= 0.1515
k = 1.03

f(z)

zt

45

The percentage of students with height less than


140 cm is 0.1151 100% = 11.51%

z
zm

Penerbitan Pelangi Sdn. Bhd.

Additional Mathematics SPM Chapter 19

4. = 6.3, = 
1.21 = 1.1
x
(a) z =

5.9 6.3
=
1.1
= 0.3636
(b) P(5.9  X  6.3)
6.3 6.3
5.9 6.3
= P  Z 
1.1
1.1
= P(0.3636  Z  0)
= 0.5 P(Z  0.3636)
= 0.5 0.3581
= 0.1419

6. p = 0.3, q = 0.7
Let X be the number of girls selected.
(a) P(X  3)
= 1 [P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2)]
= 1 [8C0 p0q8 + 8C1 p1q7 + 8C2 p2q6]
= 1 [ 8 C 0 (0.3) 0 (0.7) 8 + 8 C 1 (0.3) 1 (0.7) 7
+ 8C2(0.3)2(0.7)6]
= 0.4482

(b)

npq = 212
n(0.3)(0.7) = 212
212
n =
(0.3)(0.7)
= 2100
The population of the pupils is 2100.

f(z)

7. (a) n = 8, mean = 3.2


(i) Mean = 3.2
np = 3.2
8p = 3.2
p = 0.4

0.1419

0.3636 0

(ii) q = 1 0.4 = 0.6


Let X be the number of times hitting the
target.
P(X  1)
= 1 P(X = 0)
= 1 8C0 p0q8
= 1 8C0(0.4)0(0.6)8
= 0.9832

5. (a) p = 0.8, q = 0.2, n = 6


Let X be the number of pupils who walk to
school.
(i) P(X = 4) = 6C4 p4q2
= 6C4(0.8)4(0.2)2
= 0.2458
(ii) P(X  5) = P(X = 6)
= 6C6 p6q0
= 6C6(0.8)6(0.2)0
= 0.2621

(b) = 55.5 kg, = 12 kg


Let X represents the mass of worker.
(i) P(X  45)
45 55.5
= P Z 
12
= P(Z  0.875)
= 0.1908

(b) = 6.2 cm, = 0.8 cm


Let X represents the length of fish.
(i) P(X  5.0)
5 6.2
= P Z 
0.8
= P(Z  1.5)
= 0.0668

(ii)

f(z)

0.1908

P(X  k) = 0.7
k 6.2
P Z  = 0.7
0.8
k
6.2

= zk
0.8
= 0.524
k = ( 0.524)(0.8) + 6.2
= 5.781

0.875 0

(ii)

0.7

Penerbitan Pelangi Sdn. Bhd.

P(X  k)
k 55.5
P Z 
12
zk
k

55.5

12
k

f(z)

zk

= 0.15

= 0.15
= 1.036
= 1.036
= 12(1.036) + 55.5
= 67.93

Additional Mathematics SPM Chapter 19

(b) P(X  1) = P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3)


= 0.2 + 0.3 + 0.4
= 0.9

f(z)

0.15

2. Let P be the probability running below 15 seconds.


p = 0.6, q = 0.4
n=8

zk

8. = 12 g, = 4 g
(a) P(Grade B) = P(15  X  20)
15 12
20 12
= P  Z 
4
4
= P(0.75  Z  2)
= P(Z  0.75) P(Z  2)
= 0.2266 0.0228
= 0.2038

P(exactly 5 persons ran below 15 seconds)


= 8C5 p5q3
= 8C5(0.6)5(0.4)3
= 0.2787

3. Let p represents the probability a family has at least


one car, p = 0.9, q = 0.1, n = 10
Let X represents the number of families having at least
one car.
P(X  8) = P(X = 8) + P(X = 9) + P(X = 10)
= 10C8 p8q2 + 10C9 p9q1 + 10C10 p10q0
= 10 C 8 (0.9) 8 (0.1) 2 + 10 C 9 (0.9) 9 (0.1)
+ 10C10(0.9)10(0.1)0
= 0.9298

f(z)
0.2038

z
2

0.75

(b) P(Grade A) = P(X  20)


20 12
= P Z 
4
= P(Z  2)
= 0.0228

4. Let p represents the probability that the bulb is not


defective.
p = 0.8 and q = 0.2, n = 8

Let X be the number of bulbs that are not defective.


P(X  2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2)
= 8C0 p0q8 + 8C1 p1q7 + 8C2 p2q6
= 8 C 0 (0.8) 0 (0.2) 8 + 8 C 1 (0.8) 1 (0.2) 7
+ 8C2(0.8)2(0.2)6
= 0.001231

Number of eggs of grade A = 0.0228 20 000


= 456
(c)

P(X  m) = 0.75
m 12
P Z  = 0.75
4
m 12

= zm
4
= 0.674
m = 4 0.674 + 12
= 14.696

5. P(Z  k) = 0.1
k = 1.282
P(0  Z  k) = 2P(m  Z  0)
0.5 0.1 = 2P(m  Z  0)
P(m  Z  0) = 0.2
m = 0.525

f(z)

f(z)
0.2

0.75

zm

z
0.3 m

6. (a) P(Z  k) = 0.3


k = 0.524
(b)
1. (a) P(X = 3) = 1 P(X = 0) P(X = 1) P(X = 2)
= 1 0.1 0.2 0.3
= 0.4

x
z =

x
63
0.524 =
3
x = 63 + 3( 0.524)
= 61.428

Penerbitan Pelangi Sdn. Bhd.

Additional Mathematics SPM Chapter 19

7.

x
z =

58

0.5 =
2
= 58 2(0.5)
= 57

Let X represents the number of tries that hit the


target.
(i) P(X  6) = P(X = 7) + P(X = 8)
= 8C7 p7q1 + 8C8 p8q0
= 8C7(0.7)7(0.3)1 + 8C8(0.7)8(0.3)0
= 0.2553
(ii) P(X = 3) = 8C3 p5q3
= 8C3(0.7)5(0.3)3
= 0.2541

8. = 60 kg, = 5 kg
(a)
P(60  X  k) = 0.35

= 0.35
= 0.35

60 60  Z 
k 60
P
5
5
k

60
P 0  Z 
5
k 60

5 k

(b) = mean = median = 500 ml, = 10 ml


Let X be the volume of bottle.
(i) P(488  X  502)

502 500
488 500  Z 
= P
10
10
= P(1.2  Z  0.2)
= 1 P(Z  1.2) P(Z  0.2)
= 1 0.1151 0.4207
= 0.4642

= 1.036
= 60 + 5(1.036)
= 65.18

f(z)
0.35

f(z)
0.4642
0

z
k 60

(b) P(X  k) = P(X  65.18)


65.18 60
= P Z 
5
= P(Z  1.036)
= 0.15

500 500  Z  t 500 = 0.4


P

10
10
t

500 = 0.4
P 0  Z 
10
t 500 = 1.282

10
t = 1.282 10 + 500
= 512.82

9. Median = mode = 15 cm, = 1 cm


Let X be the length of ruler.
(a) P(X  14.5)
14.5 15
= P Z 
1
= P(Z  0.5)
= 0.3085

f(z)
0.4

(b) P(X  14.5)


= 1 0.3085
= 0.6915

z
t
500
10

11. (a) p = The probability of family having one child.


Mean = 300, variance = 100
Mean = 300
np = 300 .................... 

Number of rulers that have length more than


14.5 cm
= 0.6915 50 000
= 34 575

Variance = 100
npq = 100 ............... 
Substitute  into ,
300q = 100
1
q=
3
p=1q
2
=
3

10. (a) p = probability on target


= 0.7
q = 1 0.7
= 0.3
n=8

Penerbitan Pelangi Sdn. Bhd.

P(500  X  t) = 0.4

(ii)

The number of washing machines that have mass


greater than k
= 1200 0.15
= 180

0 0.2

1.2

Additional Mathematics SPM Chapter 19

2
Substitute p = into ,
3
2
n = 300
3
3
n = 300
2
= 450
2
Therefore, p = and n = 450.
3

(ii)

= 0.08

(b) p = probability of hitting the target


1
=
2
1
q=
2
(i)

zm

12. (a) Mean = 1500 months,


standard deviation = 30 months
Let X be the life span.
(i) P(X  1480)
1480 1500
= P Z 
30
= P(Z  0.667)
= 0.2524

(ii) Mean = np = 50
1
r = 50
2
r = 100

13. (a) p = 0.8, q = 0.2


Let X be the number of scores.

f(z)

(i)

0.2524

0.667 0

0.2

Let X be the number of times hitting the


target.
P(X = 1) = P(X = 2)
n
C1 p1qn 1 = nC2 p2qn 2
1 1 n 1 n(n 1)
1 2
1 n2
n
=
2 2
2
2
2
n
n
1
1
n(n

1)
n =
2
2
2
n(n

1)
n =
2
2n = n2 n
n2 3n = 0
n(n 3) = 0
n = 0, 3
Therefore, n = 3.

f(z)

z
z = 1.405

Therefore, n = 1542

zt

= 1500 + 30(1.405)
= 1542.15

(ii) Let t be the maximum mark for band 3.


P(X  t) = 0.1
t 70
P Z  = 0.1
5
t
70

= 1.282
5
t = 70 + 5(1.282)
= 63.59

0.1

= 1.405

0.08

= 0.08

f(z)

(b) Let X be the marks.


(i) Let m be the minimum mark to score band
1.
P(X  m) = 0.2
m 70
P Z  = 0.2
5
zm = 0.842
m

70
= 0.842
5
m = 70 + 5 0.842
= 74.21

P(X  n)
n
1500
P Z 
30
n

1500

30
n

P(X  3)
= P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3)
= 8C0 p0q8 + 8C1 p1q7 + 8C2 p2q6 + 8C3 p3q5
= 8C0(0.8)0(0.2)8 + 8C1(0.8)(0.2)7
+ 8C2(0.8)2(0.2)6 + 8C3(0.8)3(0.2)5
= 0.01041

Penerbitan Pelangi Sdn. Bhd.

Additional Mathematics SPM Chapter 19

(ii)

P(X  1)
1 P(X = 0)
1 nC0 p0qn
1 (1)(1)(0.2)n
(0.2)n

= 0.92
= 0.92
= 0.92
= 0.92
= 1 0.92
= 0.08
n log10 0.2 = log10 0.08
log10 0.08
n =
log10 0.2
= 1.569

14. (a) (i)

Mean = 12
np = 12 ............. 
Variance = 4
npq = 4 .......... 
Substitute  into ,
12q = 4
1
q=
3
2
p=
3

Therefore, n = 2
(b) (i)

2
In , n = 12
3
3
n = 12
2
= 18
2
Therefore, p = and the number of trials,
3
n = 18

x
z =

10
1 =

10 =
= 10 ......................... 
12
2 =

2 = 12
+ 2 = 12 ........................ 

(ii) P(X  6)
= P(X = 6) + P(X = 7) + P(X = 8)
= 8C6 p6q2 + 8C7 p7q1 + 8C8 p8q0
2 6 1 2
2 7 1 1
= 8C6 + 8C7
3
3
3
3
8
0
2
1
8
+ C8
3
3
= 0.4682

 ,
3 = 2
2
=
3

2
Substitute = into ,
3
2

= 10
3
2
= 10 +
3
2
= 10
3
(ii) P(9  X  11)
2
2
11 10
9 10
3
3
= P  Z 
2
2

3
3
= P(2.5  Z  0.5)
= 1 P(Z  2.5) P(Z  0.5)
= 1 0.00621 0.3085
= 0.6853

(b) = 5.2, = 0.5


Let X represents the time, in hour.
(i) P(X  5)
5 5.2
= P Z 
0.5
= P(Z  0.4)
= 0.3446

(ii)

P(X  t)
t 5.2
P Z 
0.5
zt
t
5.2
0.5
t

= 0.6

= 0.6
= 0.253
= 0.253
= ( 0.253)(0.5) + 5.2
= 5.0735

f(z)
f(z)
0.6853
0.6

2.5

0 0.5

z
zt

Hence, the percentage is 68.53%.

Penerbitan Pelangi Sdn. Bhd.

Additional Mathematics SPM Chapter 19

3. Let p be the percentage who fail and q be the percentage


who pass.
p = 40%, q = 60%
= 0.4
= 0.6

1. (a) There are 2 vowels, a and e.


2
P(vowel) =
8
1
=
4

Let X be the number of candidates who fail.

1 8 3 2
C8 = 0.0003862
4
4
(ii) P(X  2)
= 1 [P(X = 0) + P(X = 1)]
1 0 3 10
1
= 1 10C0 + 10C1
4
4
4
= 0.756

(b) (i)

10

P(X  8) = P(X = 8) + P(X = 9) + P(X = 10)


= 10C8(0.4)8(0.6)2 + 10C9(0.4)9(0.6)1
+ 10C10(0.4)10(0.6)0
= 0.01229

4. Let p be the percentage who fail to get a credit and q


be the percentage who pass with a credit
p = 10%
q = 90%
= 0.1
= 0.9

(iii) P(X  2)
= P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X
1 0 3 10
1 1
= 10C0 + 10C1
4
4
4
2
8
1
3
+ 10C2
4
4
= 0.5256

Let X be the number of students who fail to get a


credit.

= 2)
3 9

P(X  2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2)


= 8C0(0.1)0(0.9)8 + 8C1(0.1)1(0.9)7
+ 8C2(0.1)2(0.9)6
= 0.9619

5. Let p be the percentage of pencils which are defective


and q be the percentage of pencils which are not
defective.
p = 10%
q = 90%
= 0.1
= 0.9

2. (a) = 55, = 10
Let X be the mark.

35 55
P(X  35) = P Z 
10
= P(Z  2)
= 1 0.0228
= 0.9772

Let X be the number of defective pencils.


(a) P(X = 0) = 20C0(0.1)0(0.9)20
= 0.1216

f(z)

(b) P(X = 2) = 20C2(0.1)2(0.9)18


= 0.2852

0.9772

6. p =
=
q=
=

(b) 0.9772 500 = 488


(c) P(Z  t) = 0.13
t = 1.127

(a) Let X be the number of flights on time.


P(X  5)
= P(X = 5) + P(X = 6)
= 6C5(0.9)5(0.1)1 + 6C6(0.9)6(0.1)0
= 0.8857

f(z)

13%

probability of arrival on time


0.9
probability of arrival not on time
0.1

(b) Let Y be the number of Good service award.


P(Y  9) = P(Y = 9) + P(Y = 10) + P(Y = 11)
+ P(Y = 12)
= 12C9(0.8857)9(0.1143)3
+ 12C10(0.8857)10(0.1143)2
+ 12C11(0.8857)11(0.1143)
+ 12C12(0.8857)12(0.1143)0
= 0.9603

z
t

x 55
= 1.127
10
x = 11.27 + 55
= 66.27
Therefore, the minimum mark is 66.27.

Penerbitan Pelangi Sdn. Bhd.

Additional Mathematics SPM Chapter 19

Substitute = 0.3777 into ,


= 12.52 1.645(0.3777)
= 11.9
Therefore, the mean is 11.9 and the standard deviation
is 0.3777.

7. Let X be the radius of the wheel.


P(X  12.52) = 5%
12.52
P Z 
= 0.05

12.52
= 1.645

12.52 = 1.645
= 12.52 1.645 ...................

8. (a) = 40 kg, = 5 kg
Let X represents the weight of the student.
50 40
P(X  50) = P Z 
5
= P(Z  2)
= 0.0228

f(z)

5%

P(X  11.02)
11.02
P Z 

11.02

11.02

f(z)

z
1.645

0.0228

= 1%

= 0.01

Therefore, the percentage is 2.28%.

= 2.326

(b) = t kg, = 5 kg
P(X  60) = 5%
60 t
P Z  = 0.05
5
60
t

= 1.645
5
t = 60 5 1.645
= 51.775

= 2.326 ..............................
f(z)

1%

2.326

Substitute  into ,
11.02 (12.52 1.645) = 2.326
11.02 12.52 = 2.326 1.645
1.5 = 3.971
1.5
=
3.971
= 0.3777

Penerbitan Pelangi Sdn. Bhd.

z
2

f(z)
5%

0 1.645

10

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