Tutorial 4 Black Karasinski PDF
Tutorial 4 Black Karasinski PDF
This tutorial provides an analytical solution for the Black-Karasinski (i.e. BK) stochastic differential equation.
We start by expressing the stochastic process followed by the natural logarithm of noted ln( ) as the sum of
two components. The first one is considered to be totally predictable depending on time, and the second one is a
diffusion stochastic process. To be precise, the stochastic differential equation for ln( ) is:
( ) = ( l n( )) +
, ,
= () = (ln( ))
1
(ln( )) = = (ln( )) ( ) + (ln( ))
2
1
= ( ) ( ) + ()
2
1
= ( ( ln( )) + +
2
1
= ( ( ln( )) + +
= ln( ) + () + ()
= ln( ) + (1 ) + ()
Therefore, is log normally distributed3 with first and second moments given respectively by:
= ln( ) + (1 ) exp ( () )
By using Laplace:
1
exp ( () ) = () + ()
2
Or: () ) = 0
Consequently:
exp (
()
1
) = ()
2
With:
-1-
() = ( () )
Moreover:
( () ) = ()
Hence:
1
1
1 .
exp ( () ) = () =
= (1 )
2
2
2
4
(1 )
4
(1 )
= 2 ln( ) + 2(1 ) (1 ) (1 )
-2-