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Regression Statistics

The document contains sales data from 2000 to 2002 organized by quarter. A linear regression was performed to predict sales with quarter as a factor. The regression had an R-squared value of 0.955, indicating the model fits the data well. The model coefficients show quarter 1, 2, and 3 sales are negatively correlated with overall sales.

Uploaded by

Gaurav Prakash
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
28 views

Regression Statistics

The document contains sales data from 2000 to 2002 organized by quarter. A linear regression was performed to predict sales with quarter as a factor. The regression had an R-squared value of 0.955, indicating the model fits the data well. The model coefficients show quarter 1, 2, and 3 sales are negatively correlated with overall sales.

Uploaded by

Gaurav Prakash
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Year

Q1
2000
2001
2002

Year

Sales (in 1000's)


Q3
12.3
13.8
15

Q2
8.3
10
10.3

Q
2000

Sales

Trend

1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4

2001

2002

Q4
6
7.2
7.8

8.3
12.3
6
17.2
10
13.8
7.2
17.9
10.3
15
7.8
19.3

17.2
17.9
19.3

Q1
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Q2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0

0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.977593951
R Square
0.955689933
Adjusted R Square
0.939073658
Standard Error
1.115422192
Observations
12
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Q1
Q2
Q3

3
8
11

SS
214.6758333
9.953333333
224.6291667

MS
F
71.55861111 57.51529359
1.244166667

Coefficients
Standard Error
t Stat
P-value
18.13333333
0.643989303 28.15781761 2.73356E-09
-8.6
0.910738406 -9.442887158 1.30002E-05
-4.433333333
0.910738406 -4.86784493 0.001243365
-11.13333333
0.910738406 -12.22451283 1.86121E-06

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Predicted Sales
9.533333333
13.7
7
18.13333333
9.533333333
13.7
7
18.13333333
9.533333333
13.7
7
18.13333333

Residuals
abs
-1.233333333 1.233333333
-1.4
1.4
-1
1
-0.933333333 0.933333333
0.466666667 0.466666667
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.2
-0.233333333 0.233333333
0.766666667 0.766666667
1.3
1.3
0.8
0.8
1.166666667 1.166666667
MAD
0.8

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.998422082
R Square
0.996846655
Adjusted R Square
0.995044743
Standard Error
0.318104505
Observations
12
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Trend
Q1
Q2
Q3

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

4
7
11

SS
223.9208333
0.708333333
224.6291667

MS
F
55.98020833 553.2161765
0.101190476

Coefficients
Standard Error
t Stat
15.98333333
0.290388355 55.04123374
0.26875
0.028116732
9.5583656
-7.79375
0.273084736 -28.53967646
-3.895833333
0.265748979 -14.65982427
-10.86458333
0.261248671 -41.58713342

P-value
1.71332E-10
2.87917E-05
1.66751E-08
1.64268E-06
1.21228E-09

Observation
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Predicted Sales
8.458333333
12.625
5.925
17.05833333
9.533333333
13.7
7
18.13333333
10.60833333
14.775
8.075
19.20833333

Residuals
-0.158333333
-0.325
0.075
0.141666667
0.466666667
0.1
0.2
-0.233333333
-0.308333333
0.225
-0.275
0.091666667
MAD

ABS
0.158333333
0.325
0.075
0.141666667
0.466666667
0.1
0.2
0.233333333
0.308333333
0.225
0.275
0.091666667
0.216666667

Q3
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0

Significance F
9.31687E-06

Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
16.64829134 19.61837533 16.64829134 19.61837533
-10.70016653 -6.499833471 -10.70016653 -6.499833471
-6.533499862 -2.333166804 -6.533499862 -2.333166804
-13.23349986 -9.033166804 -13.23349986 -9.033166804

Significance F
7.90399E-09

Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
15.29667399 16.66999268 15.29667399 16.66999268
0.202264495 0.335235505 0.202264495 0.335235505
-8.439492788 -7.148007212 -8.439492788 -7.148007212
-4.524229814 -3.267436853 -4.524229814 -3.267436853
-11.48233828 -10.24682839 -11.48233828 -10.24682839

sales

33.02916667

Day Sheets in Stock


1
2
3
4
5
6
21

Quantity
860
930
1000
1150
1200
1360
6500

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.988759782
R Square
0.977645906
Adjusted R Square
0.972057382
Standard Error
0.312728575
Observations
6
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Quantity

1
4
5

SS
17.10880335
0.391196646
17.5

MS
F
17.10880335 174.9381393
0.097799162

Coefficients
Standard Error
t Stat
P-value
-7.213605183
0.820015331 -8.796915025 0.000921112
0.009889482
0.000747707 13.22641823 0.000188804

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
ObservationPredicted Day Sheets in Stock
Residuals
1 1.291349085
-0.291349085
2 1.983612805
0.016387195
3 2.675876524
0.324123476
4
4.15929878
-0.15929878
5 4.653772866
0.346227134

6.236089939

-0.236089939

2050

Significance F
0.000188804

Lower 95%
Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
-9.490332734 -4.93687763 -9.490332734 -4.936877632
0.007813515 0.011965448 0.007813515 0.011965448

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