Corporat E Valuation: "Value Lies in The Eyes of The Beholder"
Corporat E Valuation: "Value Lies in The Eyes of The Beholder"
Corporat E Valuation: "Value Lies in The Eyes of The Beholder"
E
VALUATION
“Value lies in the eyes of the beholder”
Fair market value: The price at which the property would change hands
between a willing buyer & a willing seller when the former is not under any
compulsion to buy & the latter is not under any compulsion to sell both parties
having reasonable knowledge of relevant facts.
Before getting into the details of valuation, a word on price & value.
Value refers to the perception of benefits received for what someone must give up.
Valuation Definition
Valuation is the process to arrive at the present value of an asset or firm that has
future earning potential.
Business valuation: This method is used to value a company as an enterprise & derive the
value of the underlying equity share there from. In this sense, business/ corporate
valuation is about measuring the continuing value of a company’s business in today’s
terms.
Business/ Corporate valuation methodology assumes a “going concern1” concept for the
company.
Security valuation: Valuation of security such as bond/ debenture or a share of a company
may be done purely from investor’s perspective by looking at the variables that measure
such value.
Note: Debt & Equity valuation is not discussed.
Approaches to CORPORATE VALUATION
There are four approaches to appraising the value of the company. They are
1. Adjusted book value approach
2. Stock & Debt approach
3. Direct comparison approach
4. Discounted cash flow approach(DCF)
1
Going concern concept: Accounting is normally based on the premise that the business entity will remain
a going concern for an indefinitely long period.
2
Investor claim= share capital(equity)+Reserves & surplus + Secured loans + Unsecured loan
3
Non-Investor Claim=Total Assets(RHS of a balance sheet) – Current liabilities & provision
• Raw-materials: Raw materials may be valued at their most recent cost of
acquisition.
• Work-in-process may be approached from the cost point of view( cost of
raw material + the cost of processing) or from the selling price point of
view(selling price of the final product --- expenses to be incurred in
translating work-in-process into sales).
• Finished goods inventory may be valued at their factory cost.
4. Other current assets: other current assets like deposit, pre-paid expenses &
accruals are valued at their book value.
5. Fixed tangible assets: Fixed tangible assets consist of mainly of land, building &
civil works & plant & machinery.
• Land is valued as if it is vacant & available for sale.
• Building & Civil works may be valued at replacement cost less physical
depreciation & deterioration.
• The value of plant & machinery may be valued at the market price of
similar (used) assets plus the cost of transportation & installation.
6. Non-operating Assets: Assets not required for meeting the operating requirements
of the business are referred to as non-operating assets. The more commonly
found non-operating are financial securities excess land & infrequently used
buildings. These assets are valued at their fair market value.
Assumption
This approach makes sense only for a firm that is worth more dead than alive.
Principle
Liquidation value or break-up vale of the equity share as it assumes that the company
would be liquidated to realize.
CAUTION: What happens when there is no active secondary market for the
business?
Then the appraiser must try to estimate the hypothetical price at which the assets
may be sold.
Weakness
• It ignores organization capital.
• Instead of valuing the firm as a going concern it values it as collection of
assets to be sold individually.
APPLICATIONS
• These methods are applied to sick or financially distressed companies that do
not promise any future business model but have a significant underlying
value of assets.
• These valuations are relevant for companies that are capital intensive & are
driven by assets. Example: Cement, Steel, metals etc.
Step 5: With the help of the normal ROCE, the operating profit of the company
under the valuation required to generate the normal ROCE on its capital employed
is determined. Let this be termed as the Required Operating Profit.
Step 6: The Required Operating Profit under Step 5 is reduced from the actual
operating profit under Step 2 to arrive at the super profit.
Step 7: The super profit is capitalized for a given number of years which
corresponds to the valuation horizon. This capitalizes value is the value of goodwill
of the business.
Alternative Step 7: The super profit thus arrived at its discounted with an
appropriate factor over the valuation horizon. The super profit may be assumed to
be constant or growing at a substantial rate during this period. The Net present
value of the super profits of each year thus discounted would be value of goodwill of
business. This alternative is known as the “ANNUITY METHOD”.
The steps outlined in method 1 until step 4. After that, the following may be used.
Step 5: The capital employed in the business of the company that can generate the
Normal ROCE is determined as follows:
Step 6: The difference of the actual capital employed as reduced by the normal
capital employed is the value of the goodwill of the company.
2. Equity value of the company = Net Fixed assets + Net Current assets +
Goodwill – Long term borrowings – Preference Capital.
Issues
What prices to use when valuing the securities particularly equity shares. Since stock
prices are volatile.
Some appraisers suggest using average of recent stock prices rather than the price of the
lien4 date.
Principle
One can value an asset by looking at the price at which a comparable asset has changed
hands between a reasonably informed buyer & a reasonably informed seller. This
approach referred to as Direct Comparison Approach.
Application
Real Estate
Formula
The direct comparison approach is reflected in a simple formula
VT = xT * (VC / xc)
Where
VT = appraised value of the target firm or asset
XT = observed variable for the target firm that supposedly drives value.
Vc = observed value of the comparable company or firm
Xc =observed value for the comparable company
4
Line date : The day on which the appraiser is attempting to value is called the lien date
Analyse the industry
This analysis should focus on the following:
• The relationship of the industry to the economy as a whole
• The stage in which the industry is in its life cycle.
• The profit potential of the industry
• The nature of regulation applicable to the industry
• The regulating competitive advantages of procurement of raw materials,
production costs, marketing & distribution arrangements, & technological
resources.
Taxes on EBIT = Tax Provision from the income statement + Tax shield on
interest expense – Tax on Interest income – Tax on non-operating income
Gross investment is the sum of the incremental outlays on capital expenditure &
networking capital.
Non-operating Cash Flow: Non-operating cash flow arises from the extra ordinary
or exceptional items like profit from sale of assets, restructuring expenses & payment for
settling from legal disputes.
The FCFF equals is the cash flow available to investors which is also referred as
FINANCING FLOW.
Invested Capital = this is the capital invested in the operating assets of the firm
comprising of fixed assets & net working capital.
COST OF CAPITAL
Cost of capital is the discount rate used for converting the expected free cash flow into its
present value.
The formula is:
CONTINUING VALUE
The continuing value is based on the following assumptions
• The firm earns a fixed profit margin achieves a constant asset turnover & hence
earns a constant rate of return on the invested capital.
• The re-investment rate & the growth rate remain constant
There are two methods available for estimating the continuing value:
1. Choose an appropriate method
2. Estimate the valuation parameters & calculate the continuing value
Limitations
• Only tangible assets can be replaced.
• It may be simply uneconomical for a firm to replace some of its assets. In such
case, their replacement cost exceeds their value to the business as a going
concern.
Price-to-PBIT method
Principle
A commonly used method for estimating the continuing the value is the price-to-PBIT
ratio method. The expected PBIT in the first year the explicit forecast period is multiplied
by a “suitable” price-to-PBIT ratio.
Limitations
• It assumes that PBIT drives prices. PBIT however is not a reliable bottom line for
purposes of economic valuation.
• There is an inherent inconsistency in combining cash flow during the explicit
forecast period with PBIT.
• There is a practical problem as no reliable method is available for forecasting
price-to-PBIT ratio.
Principle
According to this method, the continuing value of the company at the end of the explicit
forecast period is assumed to be some multiple of its book value.
It is analogous to the price-to-PBIT ratio.
Overall, it appears that the cash flow methods are superior to the non-cash flow methods.
Valuation Parameters
If the cash flow techniques are used for estimating the continuing value, the following
parameters have to be estimated:
• Net operating profit less adjusted taxes (NOPLAT)
• Free cash flow (FCF)
• Return on Invested capital (ROIC)
• Growth rate (g)
• Weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
FIRM VALUE
The value of the firm is equal to the sum of the following three parameters:
• Present value of the free cash flow during the explicit forecast period.
• Present value of the continuing value (horizon value) at the end of the explicit
forecast period
• Value of non-operating assets (like excess marketable securities) which were
ignored in free cash flow analysis
What happens when we don’t get the year-to year forecasts?
Then follow the simplified versions of DCF they are:
• Two-stage growth model
• Three-stage growth model
Principle
The two stage growth model allows for two stages of growth-an initial period of higher
growth followed by a stable (but lower) growth forever.
VALUATION
BUSINESS /
LIQUDITY
CORPORATE
APPRAOCH
VALUATION
3. COMPARABLE
2. STOCK AND BOND /
COMPANY EQUITY
DEBT APPROACH DEBENTURE
APPROACH
4. DISCOUNTED
CASH FLOW
APPROACH
1. ADJUSTED BOOK
VALUE APPRAOCH
REPLACEMENT LIQUDITY
COST APPRAOCH
REFERENCE BOOKS
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT BY PRASANNA CHANDRA
INVESTMENT BANKING FROM SUBRAMANYA