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US stocks sink amid escalating trade war with China

Mr Trump's sudden decision to freeze most of his hefty new duties for 90 days followed the most intense episode of financial market volatility since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic
Mr Trump's sudden decision to freeze most of his hefty new duties for 90 days followed the most intense episode of financial market volatility since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic

US stocks sank sharply, giving back some of the huge gains that followed President Donald Trump's decision to postpone many of his sweeping tariffs on dozens of countries, as investors assessed the status of his global trade war and the impact of even harsher levies on China.

The S&P 500 index was down 3.5%, while the Nasdaq dropped 4.3% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was also down 2.5%.

The European Union said it would pause its first counter-tariffs, and more than a dozen countries have made offers to the United States, according to White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett.

Mr Trump's sudden decision to freeze most of his hefty new duties for 90 days had brought temporary relief to battered markets and anxious global leaders, even as he ratcheted up a trade war with China.

Today's stock market decline came despite US data showing consumer prices fell unexpectedly in March

However, the US president's whip saw approach has companies still worried about the potential fallout and scrambling to prepare for what could happen in three months.

His turnabout, less than 24 hours after the tariffs kicked in, followed the most intense episode of financial market volatility since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The EU had been due to launch counter-tariffs on about 21 billion euros of US imports next Tuesday in response to Mr Trump's 25% tariffs on steel and aluminium.

It is still assessing how to respond to US car tariffs and the broader 10% levies that remain in place.

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"We want to give negotiations a chance," European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said on social media.

However, she warned that the counter-tariffs could be reinstated if negotiations "are not satisfactory."

The Trump administration is close to reaching agreement with some countries, Mr Hassett told reporters at the White House.

"USTR has informed us that there are maybe 15 countries now that have made explicit offers that we're studying and considering and deciding whether they're good enough to present to the president," Mr Hassett added, referring to the US trade representative.

Mr Trump said at the Cabinet meeting that he thinks the US and China will work out 'something that's very good for both countries'

At an afternoon Cabinet meeting, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said striking deals with other countries would bring more certainty to trade policy, and downplayed the selloff.

"I don't see anything unusual," he said of the day's market activity.

Today’s stock market decline came despite US data showing consumer prices fell unexpectedly in March. But the improvement in inflation is unlikely to persist if punishing tariffs on Chinese goods remain in place.

Mr Trump kept the pressure on China, the world's second biggest economy and second-biggest provider of US imports, by increasing tariffs on Chinese imports even higher to 145% in response to China’s own 84% counter-tariffs.

The rollback on the other tariffs did little to lower the overall average import duty rate, according to Yale University researchers. The average effective tariff rate is the highest in more than a century, the Yale Budget Lab wrote.

The US Treasury reported that gross customs duties in March totaled $8.75 billion (€7,79 billion), up by about $2 billion from a year earlier and the highest since September 2022. The increase is partly due to Mr Trump's tariff increases since February, a Treasury official said.

The budget results indicate that Mr Trump's recent statement that the US was now collecting $2 billion a day from his tariffs is an overstatement.

China trade war

US stock indexes had shot higher on Mr Trump's announcement, and the relief continued into Asian and European trading.

Before Mr Trump's U-turn, the upheaval had erased trillions of dollars from stock markets, raised fears of recession and led to an unsettling surge in US government bond yields that appeared to catch Mr Trump's attention.

China rejected what it called threats and blackmail from the US.

The Chinese will follow through to the end if the US persists, Commerce Ministry spokesperson He Yongqian told a regular press briefing.

Donald Trump said he would raise the tariff on Chinese imports to 125% from 104%

China's door was open to dialogue, but this must be based on mutual respect, the ministry said.

The Asian country may again respond in kind after already imposing 84% tariffs on US imports yesterday to match Mr Trump's earlier salvo.

Mr Trump, who claims the tariffs aim to fix US trade imbalances, said at the Cabinet meeting that he thinks the US and China will work out "something that's very good for both countries."

China's yuan hit its lowest level against the dollar onThursday since the global financial crisis.


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Uncertainty and concerns

In Europe, eurozone government bond yields jumped, spreads tightened and markets scaled back their bets on European CentralBank rate cuts after Trump's latest announcement. European shares surged.

The US tariff pause does not apply to duties paid by Canada and Mexico, because their goods are still subject to 25% fentanyl-related tariffs unless they comply with the US-Mexico-Canada trade agreement's rules of origin.

Oil prices retreated by more than 3% as fears of a deepening US-China trade war and a possible recession eclipsed earlier relief created by Mr Trump's pause announcement.

Some central bankers also remained cautious.

European Central Bank policy maker Francois Villeroy de Galhau told France Inter radio it was "less bad news" than before, but that ongoing uncertainty remained a threat to trust and growth.