Prognostic value of inflammatory cytokine detection for sepsis patients in ICU: a meta-analysis

Objective: To explore the prognostic effect of cytokine levels such as IL-6 (interleukin), IL-8 and TNF (tumor necrosis factor)-α on patients with sepsis in intensive care units (ICUs) by Meta-analysis.

Methods: We systematically searched PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), Wanfang, and other databases up to May 2023 to retrieve clinical research articles on cytokine testing for predicting sepsis prognosis in ICU settings. Relevant indicators were extracted and recorded in Excel. Meta-analyses were performed using RevMan 5.3.

Results: A total of 25 studies were finally included in this Meta-analysis: 21 investigated IL-6, 6 examined IL-8, 11 addressed IL-10, 12 reviewed TNF-α, and 6 focused on IL-1β. Meta-analysis results demonstrated that cytokine levels (IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, TNF-α and IL-1β) in survival groups were substantially lower than those in non-survival groups (ALL P < 0.00001). Specific findings include significant differences in IL-6 [SMD = -25.32, 95% CI (-27.14, -23.49), P < 0.00001], IL-8 [SMD = -140.48, 95% CI (-154.32, -126.64), P < 0.00001], IL-10 [SMD = -54.10, 95% CI (-56.74, -51.47), P < 0.00001], TNF-α [SMD = -8.67, 95% CI (-9.82, -7.52), P < 0.00001], and IL-1β [SMD = -3.71, 95% CI (-4.11, -3.30), P < 0.00001]. The funnel plots for IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, TNF-α, and IL-1β displayed roughly symmetrical distributions, suggesting minimal bias and high reliability of the findings.

Conclusion: Cytokine levels such as IL-6, IL-8, and TNF-α are valuable prognostic indicators for patients with sepsis in the ICUs. Early testing of these cytokines can guide clinical interventions and enable targeted treatments for high-risk patients to reduce the likelihood of adverse outcomes.