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    Asia Small and Medium-Sized Enterprise Monitor 2022: Volume I: Country and Regional Reviews
    Asia Small and Medium-Sized Enterprise Monitor 2022: Volume I: Country and Regional Reviews
    Asia Small and Medium-Sized Enterprise Monitor 2022: Volume I: Country and Regional Reviews
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    Asia Small and Medium-Sized Enterprise Monitor 2022: Volume I: Country and Regional Reviews

    By Asian Development Bank

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    This volume provides data and analysis on micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) in Central and West Asia to help policymakers support the development of these businesses. The development of MSMEs remains key to promoting inclusive growth in developing economies in Asia and the Pacific. The Asia Small and Medium-Sized Enterprise Monitor (ASM) serves as a resource for evidence-based policy design on MSME development. The ASM 2022 focuses on Central and West Asia. This volume reviews the financial and nonfinancial conditions of MSMEs at country and regional level. It highlights the need for increased lending to MSMEs with better loan assets, enhanced job creation, expanded foreign trade of MSMEs, strengthened digital infrastructure, and greater MSME productivity.
    LanguageEnglish
    PublisherAsian Development Bank
    Release dateNov 1, 2022
    ISBN9789292698737
    Asia Small and Medium-Sized Enterprise Monitor 2022: Volume I: Country and Regional Reviews

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      Asia Small and Medium-Sized Enterprise Monitor 2022 - Asian Development Bank

      Central and West Asia

      Regional Review

      Summary

      Central and West Asian economies recovered relatively quickly from the contraction brought on by the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. While they could revel in a V-shape recovery to 5.7% growth in 2021, the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine slowed growth momentum, with the region’s economies now forecast to expand by 3.9% in 2022. With the Russian Federation a dominant trade partner, the invasion and associated sanctions also seriously affected the region’s business operations—including micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs).

      Like other Asian regions, MSMEs dominate private sector business. Based on available data through 2021, they accounted for an average 98.9% of all enterprises, 46.1% of the workforce, and 40.7% of a country’s economic output—whether in gross domestic product (GDP) or gross value added (GVA).

      Most MSMEs deal in services (mainly wholesale and retail trade), followed by manufacturing. But agriculture’s share of MSMEs is relatively high (8.1% in 2021), especially Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. The geographical distribution of MSMEs differs by country. Around half or more are concentrated in the capital cities of Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, and the Kyrgyz Republic, with rural MSMEs spread across Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan.

      Despite the large number of MSMEs operating nationally, they account for less of the labor force than in other Asian regions—67.3% in Southeast Asia and 76.6% in South Asia—although the average differs by country. Job creation remains a critical issue for MSME development in Central and West Asia. In manufacturing and services, MSMEs tend to concentrate in capital cities. Promoting innovative rural businesses would create more new jobs.

      MSME contributions to a country’s output is relatively large in Central and West Asia—nearly equal Southeast Asia’s (40.8%). Contributing sectors differ by country. Services are the largest component to MSMEs’ contribution to GDP or GVA, except in Uzbekistan, where agriculture contributed 47.3% in 2021. Globalized MSME exporters and importers tend to contribute most.

      One-third of MSMEs in the region are export-oriented. Based on available data through 2021, MSME exports accounted for an average 32.4% of total export values—more than other Asian regions (19.2% for Southeast Asia). In the past, MSME exports were hardest hit by the 2014–2016 Russian financial crisis and the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic. The ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine and related sanctions are hitting MSME exporters hard, given their high reliance on the Russian Federation as a trading partner.

      Like the rest of Asia, e-commerce and other forms of digitalization are spreading rapidly, supported by national payment systems and the government assistance. However, it remains a small fraction of total business transactions. Developing digital infrastructure and strengthening MSME digital literacy are key to developing the digital economy across the region.

      Private sector organizations—such as chambers of commerce and MSME associations—play a critical role in promoting MSME development. This was particularly true during the COVID-19 pandemic. As peer support, they provide training, business networking, and advisory services. They also actively lobby with governments in designing and implementing national MSME policies.

      Finance is essential for business growth, but the MSME credit market is small in Central and West Asia. Based on available data through 2021, bank lending to MSMEs averaged 9.0% of GDP and 31.4% of total bank lending—compared with a 14.2% GDP share and 15.6% bank lending share in Southeast Asia. Nearly half (42.0% in 2021) of MSME loans went to services, followed by agriculture (18.0%). Nonperforming loans (NPLs) remain high, averaging 19.2% of MSME bank loans during 2015–2021. But the MSME NPL ratio has been dropping sharply (a 13.7% compound annual decrease).

      Given the small lending market, governments offer financial assistance to MSMEs—such as refinancing facilities, special funds, soft-loan programs with interest rate subsidies, and credit guarantees. These tools provided emergency assistance to MSMEs hit by financial crises and shocks like the COVID-19 pandemic. Among them, subsidized loans and credit guarantees are the most popular.

      Public financial assistance has increased as national budgets expand—though not to the point of dominating lending markets across the region. Demand for public financing schemes surged due to the pandemic and the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine, creating the risk of bloated national budgets. There has also been a long debate on using subsidized loans as they can distort markets. Shifting from a high reliance on subsidy-backed to more market-based finance needs to be reconsidered in policy discussions.

      The nonbank finance industry remains in its infancy and does not meet demand. Nonbank finance institutions (NBFIs) include microfinance institutions (MFIs), credit unions, leasing, and pawnshops. During 2015–2021, NBFI financing in the region accounted for an average 2.3% of a country’s GDP (2.0% compound annual growth rate [CAGR]) and 8.9% of total bank lending (2.9% CAGR). High lending rates and nonperforming financing remain problems. The share of nonperforming financing to total NBFI financing averaged 10.1% over the period, much higher than other Asian regions—an average 1.2% in Southeast Asia and 6.6% in South Asia.

      Digital financial infrastructure—such as interoperable payment systems—has developed rapidly with government policy support. Mobile and internet banking increased in several countries, but needs to expand with wider product options covering credit, savings, insurance, and remittances.

      Capital markets remain small in Central and West Asia. Based on operating equity markets in the region, market capitalization averaged 7.5% of a country’s GDP during 2015–2021. Dedicated equity markets for small firms were created only recently in Kazakhstan and Tajikistan. The Kazakhstan Stock Exchange opened an Alternative Board catering to MSMEs in 2017, offering simplified listing requirements to encourage them to use the stock market for financing. MSMEs are not taxed on income from securities listed and traded. MSMEs can also issue corporate bonds on the Alternative Board. Under certain conditions, bond guarantees are available for up to 5 years. Since opening, the Alternative Board has steadily expanded, except in 2020 due to the pandemic.

      In Southeast Asia and South Asia, qualified MSMEs can raise working capital from banks—supported by government assistance—while firms that benefited from the pandemic’s mobility restrictions, like those in information and communication technology (ICT), could still raise growth capital from equity markets. In Central and West Asia, those firms tended to issue corporate bonds rather than tap equity markets for growth capital. Developing better corporate governance standards, increasing transparency and public awareness, and further developing financial intermediation could help securities markets in the region become more attractive. It is also critical to strengthen capital market literacy programs and training to attract MSME issuers and investors.

      Developing better credit data is also crucial to improve MSME access to finance. All Central and West Asian countries covered here have standard credit bureau systems, with most having a collateral registry—or plan to introduce one—and improving credit reporting systems. However, company data and lists of pledged assets lack even basic company profiles with many not tracking credit information over time. A credit risk database that comprehensively covers both positive and negative granular firm-level data over time would be worth considering.

      This report estimates a Small and Medium-Sized Enterprise Development Index (SME-DI) for Central and West Asia, using the Asia SME Monitor 2022 database. It identifies the critical factors affecting MSME development by using a probabilistic principal component analysis. ADB began designing this benchmark index in 2020.

      The SME-DI shows that limited lending to MSMEs with low-quality loan assets slows MSME development in the region. By contrast, increased lending to MSMEs with better loan assets, enhanced job creation, expanded foreign trade of MSMEs, and increased MSME productivity—all these factors contribute to MSME development. Thus, developing quality financial markets, a functioning labor market, expanding foreign trade, and enhancing productivity all help MSMEs recover following crises.

      The region’s policymakers prioritize MSME development and financial inclusion as part of their national growth strategies. The Central and West Asian countries covered here all have long-term MSME development policies that include financial and nonfinancial assistance. They aim to strengthen MSME competitiveness by promoting international trade; adopting available technology; developing entrepreneurship; upgrading skills; diversifying financing options; and targeting assistance toward youth and women entrepreneurs, startups, agribusiness, and exporters.

      In general, countries frequently use government subsidies and grants to implement policies. Preferential taxation and subsidies directly support MSMEs, although they risk bloating national budgets unless there is an appropriate exit strategy. For example, public-private partnerships should be considered in helping policy implementation, especially in providing technical support for businesses and funding assistance programs.

      There are comprehensive national financial inclusion strategies in the Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan, while Azerbaijan, Georgia, and Kazakhstan focus on a national financial education strategy. Armenia does not have a financial inclusion strategy. The common goals of financial inclusion strategies include (i) diversifying financial products (digital finance), (ii) financial literacy, (iii) consumer protection, (iv) financial assistance for targeted groups (youth and women), and (v) financial regulatory reforms. Central banks generally coordinate and implement financial inclusion strategies.

      The pandemic stunted growth momentum. Lockdowns or mobility restrictions hampered domestic and foreign trade and significantly reduced economic activities. Remittances from migrant workers dropped sharply. MSMEs were hardest hit. Retail service outlets, hotels and restaurants, tourism, and education were severely affected. Several business surveys show that MSMEs faced immediate supply chain disruptions, a sharp drop in sales and revenue, reduced availability of raw materials (at higher prices), and delayed customer payments. Many public and private institutions switched to remote operations. Private businesses cut costs by laying off workers or reducing wages. Governments in the region used timely economic stimulus packages to limit economic damage and allow for a quick recovery.

      The impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine differs by country, but can be split into two groups: (i) countries with a relatively limited impact—Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia, and (ii) those hit hard by the invasion and sanctions—Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. Those with limited impact do not have comprehensive anti-crisis plans, while those more affected have action plans to minimize the adverse effects. Given continuing global economic uncertainty, governments should reassess and refine their national export strategies to support MSME foreign trade and domestic commodity market development to replace imported goods with those produced domestically.

      Overall, MSMEs are mainly trade on domestic markets, with their entrepreneurial base—essential for inclusive growth—yet to be established. Making MSMEs more growth-oriented will help unlock new productivity. There is also a need to develop mechanisms to create quality MSME jobs.

      Over the long term, Central and West Asian economies should increase their resilience to shocks by making MSME more robust as they grow. Internationalizing MSMEs, business clustering, and fostering innovation will accelerate economic recovery and inclusive growth. It is critical to promote MSME participation in domestic and global supply chains and encourage entrepreneurial development targeting the youth, women, agribusiness, and tech startups. Digitalizing MSME operations and administration should be another policy priority. A recent COVID-19 study suggests that digitalization may encourage businesses to register as it saves costs and provides support for more business transparency.

      Finance, especially access to growth capital, is critical for MSMEs to survive and grow. Diversified financing options are needed, with attention paid to market-based financing (capital market development) and digital finance platforms.

      Finally, developing data infrastructure promotes evidence-based assistance for MSMEs. ADB’s Asia SME Monitor supports its development. More advanced discussion on this is to support creating an effective credit risk database, allowing MSMEs to access more diversified financing options.

      1. Overview of the Regional Economy

      Most economies in Central and West Asia were hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic. GDP fell sharply across the region, leading to a 2.0% contraction in 2020. The recovery came quickly, however, with GDP growing by 5.7% in 2021, in part due to large government assistance packages (Figure 1.1A). However, the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine sapped growth momentum and increased inflationary pressures. The region is forecast to grow by 3.9% in 2022 with inflation rising from 8.9% in 2021 to 11.5% in 2022 (Figure 1.1B).

      Figure 1.1: Economic Overview in Central and West Asia

      ARM = Armenia, AZE = Azerbaijan, CWA = Central and West Asia, GEO = Georgia, GDP = gross domestic product, KAZ = Kazakhstan, KGZ = Kyrgyz Republic, TAJ = Tajikistan, TUR = Turkmenistan, UZB = Uzbekistan.

      Source: For GDP growth and inflation, ADB Asian Development Outlook 2022 and Update September 2022; for trade with the Russian Federation, calculations based on its trade in goods, UN Comtrade.

      Based on Russian Federation trade data, goods exports to Central and West Asia—the region’s imports from the Russian Federation—was $32.7 billion in 2021 (Figure 1.1C). The Russian Federation’s imports from the region (Central Asia’s goods exports to the Russian Federation) amounted to $11.7 billion. All Central and West Asian economies, especially Kazakhstan, rely on international trade with the Russian Federation. Thus, the Russian invasion of Ukraine and associated global sanctions against the Russian Federation seriously affected the region and its business operations, including those of MSMEs (one-third export their products).

      2. MSME Development

      MSMEs in Central and West Asia, 2010–2021

      GDP = gross domestic product; MSME = micro, small, and medium-sized enterprise.

      * Based on GDP for the Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan; gross value added for Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, and Kazakhstan.

      ** Data for 2015–2021.

      Reporting countries only. Data based on latest available data until 2021.

      Scale of MSMEs

      MSMEs are defined in the region either by law or policy, using criteria on the number of employees, asset values, and annual revenue (Table 1.1). Categories vary by country; (i) micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises in Armenia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and the Kyrgyz Republic; (ii) small and medium-sized enterprises in Georgia and Tajikistan; and (iii) micro and small enterprises for Uzbekistan. For the Kyrgyz Republic and Uzbekistan, the definition also differs by business sector, while other countries use a single definition regardless of sector. This report uses country-specific MSME definitions for comparative analysis as they are the benchmarks for national MSME policies. Although the definition differs by country, the region’s MSMEs make a homogeneous group by employment (firms with fewer than 200 or 250 employees are roughly categorized as MSMEs across the region). For convenience, this chapter uses MSME throughout unless otherwise stated.

      Table 1.1: MSME Definitions in Central and West Asia

      MSME = micro, small, and medium-sized enterprise, SME = small and medium-sized enterprise.

      Source: Compiled from Country Reviews of Asia SME Monitor 2022.

      MSMEs dominate private sector businesses. Latest available data through 2021 show they accounted for an average 98.9% of all enterprises—higher than the Southeast Asian average (97.7%).¹ The share remained stable over the decade with a CAGR of 0.1% during 2010–2021. But the number of MSMEs increased in every country during the period (2010–2020 for Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia), particularly in Georgia (11.8% CAGR), Kazakhstan (7.3%), and Uzbekistan (9.9%) (Figure 1.2A).

      Figure 1.2: Number of MSMEs

      ARM = Armenia; AZE = Azerbaijan; BRU = Brunei Darussalam; CAM = Cambodia; CWA = Central and West Asia; GEO = Georgia; IND = India; INO = Indonesia; KAZ = Kazakhstan; KGZ = Kyrgyz Republic; LAO = Lao People’s Democratic Republic; MAL = Malaysia; MSME = micro, small, and medium-sized enterprise; MYA = Myanmar; PAK = Pakistan; PHI = Philippines; SA = South Asia; SE = Southeast Asia; SIN = Singapore; TAJ = Tajikistan; THA = Thailand; UZB = Uzbekistan; VIE = Viet Nam.

      Notes: For Figure 1.2A, the share of MSMEs to the total (%) refers to the latest available end-of-year. MSME growth (%) refers to compound annual growth during 2010–2020 for ARM, AZE, and GEO; 2010–2021 for KAZ, KGZ, TAJ, and UZB. For Figures 1.2B and 1.2C, CWA, SA, and SE refer to the average of reporting countries.

      Source: ADB Asia SME Monitor 2022 database.

      Most MSMEs are in services—in wholesale and retail trade (an average 33.9%), transportation and communication (8.1%), and other services such as accommodation and food services (28.0%). Services was followed by manufacturing (10.3%) and construction (6.7%) (Figure 1.2B). Compared with other regions, agriculture’s MSME share (8.1%) was higher in Central and West Asia than Southeast Asia (1.6%), but similar to South Asia (8.7%). The share of agricultural MSMEs was relatively higher in Kazakhstan (18.2%), Tajikistan (15.2%), and Uzbekistan (9.9%).

      For geographical distribution, the majority of MSMEs operate outside the capital or rural areas, but the share of those in capital cities was relatively high in Central and West Asia as compared to other Asian regions. While an average 62.8% of MSMEs operated in provinces, 37.2% were based in capital cities, whose share was higher than in Southeast Asia (17.1% in capitals) and South Asia (21.1%) (Figure 1.2C).² At the country level, however, the share varied. Around half or more concentrated on the capital for Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, and the Kyrgyz Republic, while MSMEs spread in rural areas for agriculture-oriented countries like Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan.

      Employment

      Although MSMEs in Central and West Asia grew in number over the past decade, they absorbed relatively less new workers. Job creation is a critical issue for MSME development in the region. Based on available data through 2021, MSMEs employed an average 46.1% of the workforce (a 0.7% CAGR during 2010–2021), less than the Southeast Asian average (67.3%) and South Asian average (76.6%, based on data through 2020). By country, however, employment varied from a 2021 high of 74.4% for Uzbekistan to a low of 20.4% for Tajikistan. The growth in number of MSME employees also differed by country, from high growth in Tajikistan (26.0% CAGR) and Azerbaijan (14.1%) to a contraction in Armenia (1.0%) and slow growth in the Kyrgyz Republic (0.4%) (Figure 1.3A).

      Figure 1.3: Employment by MSMEs

      ARM = Armenia; AZE = Azerbaijan; BRU = Brunei Darussalam; CAM = Cambodia; CWA = Central and West Asia; GEO = Georgia; INO = Indonesia; KAZ = Kazakhstan; KGZ = Kyrgyz Republic; LAO = Lao People’s Democratic Republic; MAL = Malaysia; MSME = micro, small, and medium-sized enterprise; NEP = Nepal; PAK = Pakistan; PHI = Philippines; SA = South Asia; SE = Southeast Asia; SIN = Singapore; TAJ = Tajikistan; THA = Thailand; UZB = Uzbekistan; VIE = Viet Nam.

      Notes: For Figure 1.3A, the share of MSME employees to total (%) refers to the latest available year (end-of-year). The growth of MSME employees (%) refers to compound annual growth during 2010–2020 for ARM, AZE, and GEO; 2010–2021 for KAZ, KGZ, TAJ, and UZB. For Figures 1.3B and 1.3C, CWA, SA, and SE refer to average of reporting countries. Data on agriculture is unavailable for ARM.

      Source: ADB Asia SME Monitor 2022 database.

      More than half of MSME employees work in services—an average 20.6% in wholesale and retail trade, 5.8% in transportation and communication, and 31.9% in other services—followed by manufacturing (15.9%), agriculture (12.0%), and construction (10.8%) (Figure 1.3B). The average share of agricultural workers—most in Uzbekistan (34.3%), Tajikistan (13.6%), and Kazakhstan (13.0%)—was higher than in Southeast Asia (3.6%).

      Around half (an average 51.5%) of those employed by MSMEs work in provinces, while the remaining half (48.5%) work in capital cities. The share of MSME workers in capitals was higher than the average in Southeast Asia (19.8%) and South Asia (32.6%) (Figure 1.3C). MSME workers were concentrated in the capital cities of Armenia (65.0%), Azerbaijan (62.6%), and Georgia (52.9%) as of end-2020; while provincial MSME workers were highest in Kazakhstan (88.0% in 2021).

      As workers tend to concentrate in industrial capital cities, promoting more innovative rural MSMEs would result in more new jobs.

      Business Productivity

      Data on MSME contributions to GDP are available for the Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. Where data on MSME GDP are unavailable, gross value added (GVA) is used to measure productivity in Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, and Kazakhstan. Although it is difficult to compare MSME productivity given the different definitions, overall, MSME contributions to country output in Central and West Asia was largely the same as in Southeast Asia. Based on available data until 2021, the MSME output share averaged 40.7% in Central and West Asia (2.0% CAGR during 2010–2021), while Southeast Asia averaged 40.8% during the same period.

      Contributions to GVA or GDP varied significantly, with MSMEs in Georgia contributed 60.8% to GVA in 2020, followed by Kazakhstan (33.5% in 2021), Armenia (26.3% in 2020), and Azerbaijan (16.7% in 2020). Those in Tajikistan contributed 59.4% of GDP, followed by Uzbekistan (54.9%) and the Kyrgyz Republic (42.8%) as of end-2021 (Figure 1.4A). MSME GVA or GDP growth (based on local currency values) also differed by country—Armenia (0.9% CAGR), Azerbaijan (25.6%), Georgia (14.9%), Kazakhstan (18.1%), the Kyrgyz Republic (11.8%), Tajikistan (15.6%), and Uzbekistan (21.9%) in 2010–2021 (2010–2020 for Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia).

      Figure 1.4: MSME Contribution to GDP

      ARM = Armenia; AZE = Azerbaijan; BAN = Bangladesh; BRU = Brunei Darussalam; GDP = gross domestic product; GEO = Georgia; IND = India; INO = Indonesia; KAZ = Kazakhstan; KGZ = Kyrgyz Republic; MAL = Malaysia; MSME = micro, small, and medium-sized enterprise; PAK = Pakistan; SIN = Singapore; TAJ = Tajikistan; THA = Thailand; UZB = Uzbekistan.

      Notes: For Figure 1.4A, MSME contribution to GDP (%) refers to the latest available year (end-of-year). MSME GDP growth (%) refers to compound annual growth during 2010–2020 for ARM, AZE, and GEO; 2010–2021 for KAZ, KGZ, TAJ, and UZB. Data refer to GDP for KGZ, TAJ, and UZB; gross value added for ARN, AZE, GEO, and KAZ. For Figure 1.4C, data refer to 2020 for ARM, AZE, and GEO; and 2021 for KAZ, KGZ, TAJ, and UZB. Exchange rates of local currency to US dollar refer to end-of-year currency rates from the International Monetary Fund’s International Financial Statistics in designated years.

      Source: ADB Asia SME Monitor 2022 database.

      Some countries expanded their MSME share of GVA—Azerbaijan (19.6% CAGR in 2010–2020) and Kazakhstan (4.5% in 2010–2021)—while some shares contracted (Armenia –4.8% in 2010–2020 and Uzbekistan –0.9% in 2010–2021) (Figure 1.4B).

      In United States (US) dollar terms, MSME output was highest in Kazakhstan ($65.1 billion in 2021), followed by Uzbekistan ($34.5 billion in 2021), Azerbaijan ($6.4 billion in 2020), Tajikistan ($5.2 billion in 2021), Georgia ($4.1 billion in 2020), the Kyrgyz Republic ($3.7 billion in 2021), and Armenia ($3.1 billion in 2020) (Figure 1.4C).³ These are small compared with Southeast Asia ($689 billion in Indonesia, $179 billion in Thailand, $141 billion in Singapore, and $128 billion in Malaysia) and India ($594 billion).

      Services (combining wholesale and retail trade, transportation and communication, and other services) contributed most to MSME GVA or GDP across the region, except in Uzbekistan—Armenia (62.3% in 2020), Azerbaijan (68.3% in 2020), Georgia (61.5% in 2020), the Kyrgyz Republic (47.2% in 2021), and Uzbekistan (32.0% in 2021) (Figure 1.4D). In Uzbekistan, agriculture’s share of GDP was 47.3% in 2021. The main contributors to GVA or GDP were globalized MSMEs (exporters and importers).

      Market Access

      While many Central and West Asian MSMEs are in distributive trade, one-third are export-oriented. Based on available data through 2021, MSME exports accounted for an average 32.4% of total export value (falling –3.1% CAGR during 2015–2021). Although the share contracted, it remained well above the Southeast Asia average (19.2% in 2010–2020). MSME shares in exports was again quite varied across countries. Georgia’s MSME export share of total export value in 2021 was 55.9%, while Uzbekistan had the strongest growth in MSME export local currency value—25.7% CAGR in 2010–2021 (Figure 1.5A).

      Figure 1.5: MSME Exports

      ARM = Armenia; GEO = Georgia; IND = India; INO = Indonesia; KGZ = Kyrgyz Republic; MAL = Malaysia; MSME = micro, small, and medium-sized enterprise; THA = Thailand; UZB = Uzbekistan.

      Notes: For Figure 1.5A, MSME export to total (%) refers to the latest available year (end-of-year): 2009 for ARM; 2019 for INO; 2020 for IND, MAL, and THA; and 2021 for GEO, KGZ, and UZB. MSME export growth (%) refers to compound annual growth during past and latest available data. Data covers: 2010–2019 for INO, 2010–2020 for MAL and THA, 2013–2020 for IND, 2004–2009 for ARM, 2015–2021 for GEO, and 2010–2021 for KGZ and UZB. For Figure 1.5C, exchange rates of local currency to US dollar refer to end-of-year currency rates from the International Monetary Fund’s International Financial Statistics in designated years.

      Source: ADB Asia SME Monitor 2022 database.

      MSME exports were hard hit by both the 2014–2016 Russian financial crisis and the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic. During 2015–2021, the MSME export share to total exports contracted in Georgia (–1.6% CAGR), the Kyrgyz Republic (–4.7%), and in Uzbekistan (–4.9%) (Figure 1.5B). Although data are not yet available for 2022, the impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine certainly forced MSME exporters to adjust their operations.

      In US dollar terms, MSME export value was highest in Uzbekistan ($3.3 billion in 2021), followed by Georgia ($766 million in 2021), the Kyrgyz Republic ($752 million in 2020), and Armenia ($121 million in 2009) (Figure 1.5C).⁴ Compared with Southeast Asia and South Asia, MSME export values in Central and West Asia remain relatively small. Given continuing global economic uncertainty, the region’s governments need to realign their national export strategies to both support internationalized MSMEs as they adjust and domestic commodity markets to continue replacing imported goods with domestic inputs for production.

      Technology and Innovation

      As in many regions, mobile phones and internet use is increasing across Central and West Asia. In 2020, mobile cellular subscriptions exceeded the population in nearly all countries—Armenia (118 subscriptions per 100 people), Azerbaijan (102), Georgia (128), Kazakhstan (129), the Kyrgyz Republic (130), Tajikistan (121), and Uzbekistan (100). Individual internet use remains limited but has been growing—Armenia (77% of the population in 2020), Azerbaijan (85%), Georgia (73%), Kazakhstan (86%), the Kyrgyz Republic (51% in 2019), Tajikistan (22% in 2017), and Uzbekistan (71% in 2020) (Figure 1.6).

      Figure 1.6: Mobile and Internet Penetration, 2020

      ARM = Armenia, AZE = Azerbaijan, BAN = Bangladesh, BRU = Brunei Darussalam, CAM = Cambodia, GEO = Georgia, IND = India, INO = Indonesia, KAZ = Kazakhstan, KGZ = the Kyrgyz Republic, LAO = Lao People’s Democratic Republic, MAL = Malaysia, NEP = Nepal, PAK = Pakistan, PHI = Philippines, SIN = Singapore, SRI = Sri Lanka, TAJ = Tajikistan, THA = Thailand, UZB = Uzbekistan, VIE = Viet Nam.

      Source: World Bank. World Development Indicators. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/

      With interoperable payment systems developing, e-commerce has grown rapidly, though at varying rates across countries. In Armenia, international online shopping sites like Amazon and eBay are supplemented by domestic online shopping platforms—mostly MSMEs. The government is considering new e-commerce legislation that would include collecting value-added tax (VAT) on international online transactions.

      In Azerbaijan, COVID-19 lockdowns accelerated e-commerce growth as several domestic online platforms opened (including MSMEs); e-commerce transaction value in 2020 was more than 20 times the amount in 2015. Azerbaijan’s Digital Trade Hub, a government startup built through a public-private partnership, offers several technical and advisory services to develop the national e-commerce industry.

      Georgia’s SMEs had high internet penetration before the pandemic outbreak in 2020. But online business is limited by the lack of appropriate infrastructure for transacting and paying online. In 2021, 96% of SMEs had no sales online, while less than 4% conduct e-commerce. A lack of innovation and technology use remains a major challenge for SME development. The government has supported startups and innovative small businesses by providing grants or training.

      The pandemic accelerated Kazakhstan’s adoption of digital business technologies, including MSMEs. As most MSMEs are in low-tech industries, the government offers several assistance programs (training and advisory services) to startups centered on digitalization. The government also promotes MSME participation in e-commerce through international trade platforms like Alibaba.

      The Kyrgyz Republic has a High-Tech Park that supports businesses, including low-tech MSMEs, in adopting technology for commercial use. As in many countries, e-commerce and digitalization have expanded rapidly. The Association of E-commerce supports technology-based business growth, targeting local and small businesses. The government has also helped develop tech-based agribusiness.

      In Tajikistan, upgrading digital infrastructure is critical, given the current high cost of mobile subscriptions and low internet speeds. With most bandwidth sourced from the Russian Federation, the Russian invasion of Ukraine disrupted the limited internet connectivity, partially explaining the country’s small e-commerce footprint. Most SMEs have yet to digitalize nor use e-commerce.

      E-commerce in Uzbekistan has developed slowly due to poor digital infrastructure and a lack of digital skills. Still, micro and small firms have been gradually digitalizing using international trade platforms to export products to neighboring Commonwealth of Independent States members, the Middle East, Europe, and the United States (US). The government supports information technology (IT) firms with tax exemptions and advisory services through an IT park. The development of online payment systems is also gaining momentum.

      Overall, business digitalization—by developing e-commerce—is gaining momentum with government support. Digital infrastructure and digital literacy must be prioritized, especially for MSMEs. The Russian invasion of Ukraine exacerbated the problems facing the digital development in the region, given the high reliance on Russian Federation providers for IT infrastructure and digitally operated firms exporting to the Russian Federation.

      Networking and Support

      Many private organizations and associations, as well as government agencies, help MSMEs develop their business through training, business networking, and advisory services. They also actively lobby with governments on designing and implementing national MSME policies.

      Armenia’s SME Cooperation Association, National Center for Innovation and Entrepreneurship, and Chamber of Commerce and Industry play a key role in supporting MSME business through various services, including incubation and startup programs.

      Several government authorities in Azerbaijan provide networking, capacity building, government-to-business (G2B), and business-to-business (B2B) services to MSMEs and startups, along with incubation and acceleration opportunities. The Small and Medium Business Development Agency offers one-stop advisory services through the SME House, SME Development Centers, and SME Friends project. The Chamber of Commerce and Industry also supports local business.

      Government authorities like Enterprise Georgia and the Georgia Innovation and Technology Agency with the private sector’s Chamber of Commerce and Industry and SME Development Association support industrializing SMEs. They are helping develop business clusters and additional infrastructure through advisory and training services, grants, and other funding.

      Kazakhstan’s international technopark, Astana Hub, promotes startups and provides a wide range of business and educational programs. The National Chamber of Entrepreneurs supports MSMEs and local entrepreneurs through its small and medium business development committee.

      In the Kyrgyz Republic, MSME associations and the Chamber of Commerce and Industry (about 100 active business associations) support MSME development and industrialization through consulting and training services, as well as business clusters and infrastructure development.

      Tajikistan has adopted several initiatives to develop businesses—especially SMEs and entrepreneurships—led by government and private sector groups such as the Chamber of Commerce and Industry. A state enterprise—Business Incubator of Tajikistan—promotes individual entrepreneurs, SMEs, and startups through regular consultations, incubation programs, training, and other educational activities. The Chamber of Commerce and Industry offers customized advice and support to individual SMEs through its Hot Line, which helped them make it through the pandemic.

      Uzbekistan has several business associations and various groups actively supporting small businesses—such as the Chamber of Commerce and Industry, and the Business Women’s Association. The government also supports micro and small enterprise development and entrepreneurships through its special State Fund for Entrepreneurial Development Support.

      In sum, private sector groups use their tight business networks to support MSME development across the region, especially during unexpected shocks like the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian invasion of Ukraine. They closely communicate with government authorities responsible for MSME policies to supplement government MSME initiatives. They focus targeted group assistance by providing training and advisory services for agribusinesses, exporters, tech-based startups, and women entrepreneurs.

      3. Access to Finance

      MSMEs in Central and West Asia, 2015–2021

      GDP = gross domestic product; MSME = micro, small, and medium-sized enterprise; NBFI = nonbank finance institution; NPF = nonperforming financing; NPL = nonperforming loan.

      * Data include primary market data if MSME market data is unavailable (average percentage of available markets). Reporting countries only.

      Bank Credit

      During 2015–2021, bank lending to MSMEs in Central and West Asia averaged 9.0% of GDP (2.7% CAGR) and 31.4% of total bank lending (–2.2%). The MSME credit market in the region is smaller than in Southeast Asia’s (14.2% share of GDP and 15.6% of total bank lending during 2010–2021), but relatively larger than in South Asia’s (6.2% share of GDP and 15.2% of total bank lending during 2015–2021).

      As of end-2021, bank lending to MSMEs stood at 19.3% of GDP in the Kyrgyz Republic—the highest among countries covered—followed by Armenia (16.8%), Georgia (14.1%), Uzbekistan (8.1%), Azerbaijan (4.8%), Kazakhstan (4.6%), and Tajikistan (2.5%) (Figure 1.7A). The share of MSME bank loans to total bank lending in 2021 was also highest in the Kyrgyz Republic at 76.8%, followed by Armenia (31.6%), Azerbaijan (26.7%), Kazakhstan (20.0%), Georgia (19.8%), Uzbekistan (18.2%), and Tajikistan (16.0%). In US dollar terms, in 2021, MSME lending was highest in Kazakhstan ($8.7 billion), followed by Uzbekistan ($5.5 billion), Georgia ($2.7 billion), Azerbaijan ($2.6 billion), Armenia ($2.4 billion), the Kyrgyz Republic ($1.6 billion), and Tajikistan ($134 million) (Figure 1.7B).⁵

      Figure 1.7: Bank Credit

      ARM = Armenia; AZE = Azerbaijan; BAN = Bangladesh; BRU = Brunei Darussalam; CWA = Central and West Asia; GEO = Georgia; IND = India; INO = Indonesia; KAZ = Kazakhstan; KGZ = Kyrgyz Republic; LAO = Lao People’s Democratic Republic; MAL = Malaysia; MSME = micro, small, and medium-sized enterprise; PAK = Pakistan; PHI = Philippines; SA = South Asia; SE = Southeast Asia; SIN = Singapore; SRI = Sri Lanka; TAJ = Tajikistan; THA = Thailand; UZB = Uzbekistan; VIE = Viet Nam.

      Notes: For Figure 1.7A, MSME loans to GDP (%) refers to the latest available year (end-of-year). 2021 data for ARM, AZE, GEO, KAZ, KGZ, TAJ, and UZB. For Figure 1.7B, exchange rates of local currency to US dollar refer to end-of-year currency rates from the International Monetary Fund International Financial Statistics in designated years. Figure 1.7E, CWA refers to average of ARM, GEO, KAZ, KGZ, and TAJ. SE refers to average of eight Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries except CAM and PHI. SA refers to average of BAN, PAK, and SRI.

      Source: ADB Asia SME Monitor 2022 database.

      While still relatively small, bank loans to MSMEs are expanding gradually across the region. MSME loans (based on local currency) grew most rapidly in Uzbekistan (29.8% CAGR in 2015–2021), followed by the Kyrgyz Republic (18.5% in 2010–2021), Azerbaijan (15.7% in 2018–2021), Georgia (15.4% in 2015–2021), Kazakhstan (9.5% in 2010–2021), Tajikistan (3.9% in 2011–2021), and Armenia (–0.9% in 2020–2021). As can be seen here, available time series data can vary significantly by country.

      While MSME credit by value has expanded, the share of MSME loans to GDP and total bank loans have fluctuated, reacting to shocks like the 2014–2016 Russian financial crisis and the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic (Figures 1.7C and 1.7D). During 2015–2021, the share of MSME loans to GDP fell in Tajikistan (–6.8% CAGR) and Kazakhstan (–1.6%), while it grew in Uzbekistan (6.3%), Georgia (4.8%), and the Kyrgyz Republic (1.5%). During the same period, the share of MSME loans to total bank loans contracted in Uzbekistan (–8.6% CAGR), Tajikistan (–3.4%), Georgia (–2.2%), and the Kyrgyz Republic (–0.8%), while it increased in Kazakhstan (3.8%).

      An average 42.0% of MSME loans went to firms in services—wholesale and retail trade (24.1%), transportation and communication (3.9%), and for other services (14.0%)—followed by agriculture (18.0%), construction (8.8%), and manufacturing (8.3%) (Figure 1.7E). The average share of MSME loans in agriculture was higher than in Southeast Asia (4.4%) and South Asia (6.2%), with Kazakhstan (24.1%), the Kyrgyz Republic (23.8%), and Tajikistan (31.1%) the main borrowers. Meanwhile, the share in services was lower than in Southeast Asia (69.0%) and South Asia (62.9%).

      NPLs remained high, averaging 19.2% of total MSME bank loans during 2015–2021, although the MSME NPL ratio decreased sharply (–13.7% CAGR). The NPL ratio in Central and West Asia was higher than the Southeast Asian average of 4.4% (–0.9% CAGR in 2010–2021) and the South Asian average of 13.5% (–6.0% CAGR in 2015–2021).

      MSME NPL ratios in 2021 are available for Armenia (2.1%), Azerbaijan (6.8%), Georgia (6.5%), and Tajikistan (4.6%); decreasing sharply during 2015–2021 (Figure 1.7F). The MSME credit market responds quickly to shocks, crises, and neighbors’ economies. For instance, the rise of NPLs in Tajikistan in 2016 was caused by the impact of sanctions imposed on the Russian Federation during the 2014–2015 Russian financial crisis, which weakened remittances to Tajikistan, sharply reduced aggregate demand, and increased NPLs in the SME credit market. Two commercial banks were liquidated, with the government recapitalizing the two-remaining large banks at a cost equal to 5% of GDP. Across the region, several governments had to assist banks as a result of these shocks, which helped reduce NPLs.

      Public Financing and Guarantees

      With credits markets relatively small, governments and central banks in Central and West Asia use several MSME financial assistance packages to supplement financing—refinancing facilities, special funds, soft-loan programs with interest rate subsidies, and credit guarantees. These tools were actively used as emergency assistance to MSMEs hurt by financial crises and shocks like the COVID-19 pandemic. They expanded existing programs or created new ones, providing debt relief, concessional lending, liquidity support for financial institutions, and reduced regulatory requirements. These emergency measures helped MSMEs survive during the pandemic (Table 1.2).

      There are focal public agencies for these government MSME support measures including, for example, Enterprise Armenia, Enterprise Georgia, and the Damu Entrepreneurship Development Fund (DAMU) in Kazakhstan.

      Interest subsidies through special government funds or refinancing facilities and public credit guarantee schemes are the most frequently used government instruments for MSMEs. Currently, they comprise a small fraction of total MSME lending at the national level. However, subsidized loans and public credit guarantees are increasing as national budgets expand. Governments generally provide assistance to MSMEs, targeting farmers and agribusinesses, tech industries and startups, youth and women entrepreneurs, among others.

      The COVID-19 pandemic and the

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