Data Analysis and Collection for Costing of Research Reactor Decommissioning: Final Report of the DACCORD Collaborative Project
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Data Analysis and Collection for Costing of Research Reactor Decommissioning - IAEA
DATA ANALYSIS AND COLLECTION
FOR COSTING OF RESEARCH REACTOR
DECOMMISSIONING
IAEA NUCLEAR ENERGY SERIES No. NW-T-2.12
DATA ANALYSIS AND COLLECTION
FOR COSTING OF RESEARCH REACTOR
DECOMMISSIONING
FINAL REPORT OF THE
DACCORD COLLABORATIVE PROJECT
INTERNATIONAL ATOMIC ENERGY AGENCY
VIENNA, 2021
COPYRIGHT NOTICE
All IAEA scientific and technical publications are protected by the terms of the Universal Copyright Convention as adopted in 1952 (Berne) and as revised in 1972 (Paris). The copyright has since been extended by the World Intellectual Property Organization (Geneva) to include electronic and virtual intellectual property. Permission to use whole or parts of texts contained in IAEA publications in printed or electronic form must be obtained and is usually subject to royalty agreements. Proposals for non-commercial reproductions and translations are welcomed and considered on a case-by-case basis. Enquiries should be addressed to the IAEA Publishing Section at:
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© IAEA, 2021
Printed by the IAEA in Austria
September 2021
STI/PUB/1942
IAEA Library Cataloguing in Publication Data
Names: International Atomic Energy Agency.
Title: Data analysis and collection for costing of research reactor decommissioning : final report of the DACCORD Collaborative Project / International Atomic Energy Agency.
Description: Vienna : International Atomic Energy Agency, 2021. | Series: IAEA nuclear energy series, ISSN 1995–7807 ; no. NW-T-2.12 | Includes bibliographical references.
Identifiers: IAEAL 21-01417 | ISBN 978–92–0–108621–1 (paperback : alk. paper) | ISBN 978–92–0–108721–8 (pdf) | ISBN 978–92–0–108821–5 (epub)
Subjects: LCSH: Nuclear reactors — Decommissioning. | Cost. | International cooperation.
Classification: UDC 621.039.59 | STI/PUB/1942
FOREWORD
The IAEA’s statutory role is to seek to accelerate and enlarge the contribution of atomic energy to peace, health and prosperity throughout the world
. Among other functions, the IAEA is authorized to foster the exchange of scientific and technical information on peaceful uses of atomic energy
. One way this is achieved is through a range of technical publications including the IAEA Nuclear Energy Series.
The IAEA Nuclear Energy Series comprises publications designed to further the use of nuclear technologies in support of sustainable development, to advance nuclear science and technology, catalyse innovation and build capacity to support the existing and expanded use of nuclear power and nuclear science applications. The publications include information covering all policy, technological and management aspects of the definition and implementation of activities involving the peaceful use of nuclear technology.
The IAEA safety standards establish fundamental principles, requirements and recommendations to ensure nuclear safety and serve as a global reference for protecting people and the environment from harmful effects of ionizing radiation.
When IAEA Nuclear Energy Series publications address safety, it is ensured that the IAEA safety standards are referred to as the current boundary conditions for the application of nuclear technology.
In 2007, the IAEA established the International Decommissioning Network (IDN) to enhance the sharing of knowledge and experience among Member States and to improve capabilities in the area of decommissioning, thereby facilitating safe and successful decommissioning activities. The importance of cost estimation for decommissioning was discussed at the IDN’s 2011 annual meeting, which noted the lack of detailed published data on the cost of decommissioning research reactors and other small nuclear facilities. This led to the Data Analysis and Collection for Costing of Research Reactor Decommissioning (DACCORD) project, a collaborative endeavour focused on the collection and analysis of decommissioning costs for research reactors and on the development of information and methods to assist in the preparation of preliminary cost estimates.
The current project, DACCORD Phase 2, is an extension of the initial project. Even as DACCORD Phase 1 met its objectives, it became apparent that further input in the area of planning, characterization and estimation of uncertainty would be of great value in the preparation of preliminary cost estimates. It also became evident that the Cost Estimation for Research Reactors in Excel (CERREX) tool, the backbone of the cost estimating methodology promoted in the DACCORD project, would benefit from enhancements to improve user experience. It was therefore agreed to initiate DACCORD Phase 2 to improve the availability of information in these areas.
Three main working groups, comprising representatives of different IAEA Member States, undertook this work. They addressed the costing methodology and analysis of costing cases, the impact of characterization strategies on decommissioning costing, and sensitivity and probabilistic analysis. Overall project coordination was provided by a coordinating working group comprising G. Bacsko (Hungary), V. Daniska (Slovakia), P. Gengoux (France), E. Gouhier (France), P. Grossi (Brazil), P. Gui (Italy), A. Gyergyek (Slovenia), K. Krištofová (Slovakia), K. Moshonas Cole (Canada), G. Puskás (Lithuania) and A. Savidou (Greece).
The IAEA officers responsible for this publication were P.J. O’Sullivan of the Division of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology and V. Ljubenov of the Division of Radiation, Transport and Waste Safety.
EDITORIAL NOTE
This publication has been edited by the editorial staff of the IAEA to the extent considered necessary for the reader’s assistance. It does not address questions of responsibility, legal or otherwise, for acts or omissions on the part of any person.
Although great care has been taken to maintain the accuracy of information contained in this publication, neither the IAEA nor its Member States assume any responsibility for consequences which may arise from its use.
Guidance provided here, describing good practices, represents expert opinion but does not constitute recommendations made on the basis of a consensus of Member States.
The use of particular designations of countries or territories does not imply any judgement by the publisher, the IAEA, as to the legal status of such countries or territories, of their authorities and institutions or of the delimitation of their boundaries.
The mention of names of specific companies or products (whether or not indicated as registered) does not imply any intention to infringe proprietary rights, nor should it be construed as an endorsement or recommendation on the part of the IAEA.
The IAEA has no responsibility for the persistence or accuracy of URLs for external or third party Internet web sites referred to in this book and does not guarantee that any content on such web sites is, or will remain, accurate or appropriate.
The contributors are responsible for having obtained the necessary permission for the IAEA to reproduce, translate or use material from sources already protected by copyrights. Material prepared by contributors who are in contractual relation with governments is copyrighted by the IAEA, as publisher, only to the extent permitted by the appropriate national regulations.
The supplementary files for this publication can be found on the publication’s individual web page at www.iaea.org/publications
The authoritative version of this publication is the hard copy issued at the same time and available as pdf on www.iaea.org/publications. To create this version for e-readers, certain changes have been made, including a the movement of some figures and tables.
CONTENTS
1. INTRODUCTION
1.1. Background
1.2. Objective
1.3. Scope
1.4. Structure
2. COST ESTIMATION FOR DECOMMISSIONING
2.1. Basics of estimating the cost of decommissioning
2.2. Use of CERREX-D2 for decommissioning cost estimation
2.3. Cost estimate assumptions and boundary conditions
2.4. Inventory
2.5. Unit factors
3. CERREX-D2 COSTING CASES
4. ANALYSIS OF COSTING CASES
4.1. Analysis of results at level 0
4.2. Analysis by ISDC level 1 activities
4.3. Comparison with nuclear power plant decommissioning costs
4.4. Observations
5. UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS
5.1. Probabilistic analysis of input parameters
5.2. Estimating in scope uncertainty
5.3. Estimating out of scope uncertainty
5.4. Conclusions
6. IMPACTS OF PLANNING AND CHARACTERIZATION ON DECOMMISSIONING
6.1. Observations from planning and characterization
6.2. Proposed methodology
6.3. Analysed results
6.4. Conclusions
7. OVERALL CONCLUSIONS
7.1. Costs of decommissioning research reactors
7.2. Uncertainty analysis
7.3. Impact of planning and characterization on decommissioning
Appendix I: UNIT FACTORS FOR RESEARCH REACTOR DECOMMISSIONING
Appendix II: USER DEFINED UNIT FACTORS FROM BANDUNG TRIGA 2000 RESEARCH REACTOR CASE
Appendix III: ILLUSTRATIVE RISK REGISTER FOR THE SLOVENIAN TRIGA MARK II
Appendix IV: EXAMPLES OF IMPLICATIONS OF DIFFERENT PLANNING AND CHARACTERIZATION STRATEGIES ON COSTS
Appendix V: QUESTIONNAIRE FROM DACCORD PROJECT PHASE 2 — RADIOLOGICAL CHARACTERIZATION
Appendix VI: SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION FORM
Appendix VII: TRIGA INVENTORY AND WASTE PARTITIONING
REFERENCES
ANNEXES
ABBREVIATIONS
CONTRIBUTORS TO DRAFTING AND REVIEW
STRUCTURE OF THE IAEA NUCLEAR ENERGY SERIES
1. INTRODUCTION
1.1. Background
Phase 2 of the Data Analysis and Collection for Costing of Research Reactor Decommissioning (DACCORD) project was launched in 2016 at the end of the original project, which was initiated in 2012 to support Member States in the development of preliminary cost estimates for research reactor decommissioning. Phase 1 of the project [1] addressed this challenge by identifying benchmarking data, developing reference cases using the Cost Estimation for Research Reactors in Excel (CERREX) cost estimating tool developed by the IAEA, increasing the experience in cost estimation and sharing of knowledge among members of the coordinating working group.
Well founded preliminary cost estimates are critical for organizations that need to plan for future decommissioning and establish future