• Election 2024
    CFR-GVSU Election 2024 U.S. Foreign Policy Public Forum
    Registration is free, but we do ask that you sign up on the GVSU Hauenstein Center website or call Andrew Morgan at 212.434.9615. The event is open to all, so please share the event link widely with your network. Join us for an in-depth, nonpartisan conversation on America’s role in the world and the foreign policy issues at stake in the 2024 election, including international trade and national security, the U.S.-China relationship, and U.S. engagement in global conflicts. Panelists with distinguished careers in government, business, and academia will discuss the trade-offs presented by different policy options both locally and globally and provide context on the international issues, choices, and challenges facing the next president. The forum will also be livestreamed and posted to CFR.org after the fact.
  • Taiwan
    The Taiwan Challenge, With Oriana Mastro and David Sacks (Election 2024, Episode 5)
    Podcast
    Oriana Mastro, a Center Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, and David Sacks, a fellow for Asia studies at CFR, sit down with James M. Lindsay to discuss U.S. policy toward Taiwan in light of talk that China might seek to compel the island’s reunification with the mainland. This episode is the fifth in a special TPI series on the U.S. 2024 presidential election and is supported by the Carnegie Corporation of New York.
  • China
    The iPhone, Chinese Customs Data, and China’s Balance of Payments Puzzle
    China’s main explanation for the $300 billion plus gap between its customs surplus and its goods surplus in the balance of payments is the Apple iPhone.

Experts in this Region

Alyssa Ayres
Alyssa Ayres

Adjunct Senior Fellow for India, Pakistan, and South Asia

Jerome A. Cohen
Jerome A. Cohen

Adjunct Senior Fellow for Asia Studies

Rush Doshi Headshot
Rush Doshi

C.V. Starr Senior Fellow for Asia Studies and Director of the China Strategy Initiative

Matt Goodman CFR pic
Matthew P. Goodman

Distinguished Fellow, Director of the Greenberg Center for Geoeconomic Studies, and Director of the CFR RealEcon Initiative

Jonathan Hillman Headshot
Jonathan E. Hillman

Senior Fellow for Geoeconomics

Yanzhong Huang

Senior Fellow for Global Health

Kenneth I. Juster

Distinguished Fellow

Joshua Kurlantzick

Senior Fellow for Southeast Asia and South Asia

Zoe Liu Headshot
Zongyuan Zoe Liu

Maurice R. Greenberg Senior Fellow for China Studies

Shuxian Luo

Stanton Nuclear Security Fellow

Manjari Chatterjee Miller

Senior Fellow for India, Pakistan, and South Asia

Carl Minzner Headshot
Carl Minzner

Senior Fellow For China Studies

David Sacks

Fellow for Asia Studies

Adam Segal

Ira A. Lipman Chair in Emerging Technologies and National Security and Director of the Digital and Cyberspace Policy Program

Sheila A. Smith

John E. Merow Senior Fellow for Asia-Pacific Studies

  • Human Rights
    Thailand's Chance to Send the Right Signal
    The world is sleepwalking through Thailand’s growing denial of fundamental human rights, like freedom of expression. The country’s rights violations are aimed at shielding its centuries-old monarchy from domestic criticism–and they are trampling a vibrant pro-democracy movement. A wake-up moment will occur soon this month when the United Nations General Assembly decides whether to elect the country to a three-year seat on the Human Rights Council, despite Thailand’s cascading decline in human rights protections and democratic freedoms. In Thailand, democracy is being decapitated with the delegitimization of major political parties. The government aggressively cracks down on the press. Freedom House this year ranks Thailand as barely “Partly Free” on political rights and civil liberties and “Not Free” on internet freedom. A particular source of concern is Thailand’s long-standing law (lèse-majesté) that makes it a criminal offense to “defame, insult or threaten members of the royal family.” Compliant courts enforce prison sentences of three to fifteen years under the law. Between mid-2020 and mid-2024, a total of 272 individuals, including a 14-year-old girl, were charged in 303 cases under the law. On the broader scale of rights deprivation, a total of 1,956 people were politically prosecuted in 1,302 cases. Several months ago I joined with the Clooney Foundation for Justice to report on a courageous Thai woman, Netiporn “Bung” Sanaesangkhom, who died in detention following her 65-day hunger strike protesting the lèse-majesté law and the six criminal cases against her. Her “crime” for which she was in jail? Organizing a peaceful and informal poll in February 2022 that sought the public’s views on whether motorcades carrying members of the royal family were an inconvenience to the public. Thailand’s Lèse-majesté Law The world has acknowledged the regressive character and enforcement of Thailand’s lèse-majesté law, which has unique standing for its brutality among the club of monarchies. Anyone can file a charge against anyone for violation of the lèse-majesté law.  Several years ago, the Human Rights Council examined civil, political, and other human rights in Thailand during its Universal Periodic Review of the country. Seventeen nations requested that Thailand review or reform its lèse-majesté law. Instead of heeding these appeals, Thailand has been doubling down in defiance of the Human Rights Council, on which the United States still sits. The courts in cases brought using the lèse-majesté law have repeatedly rejected defendants’ efforts either to explain that their speeches were criticisms of the institution of the monarchy, not the person of the monarch, which should be a defense to liability. Alternately, defendants have argued that they should be allowed to prove the truth of statements they might make about the King himself, which, again, should shield defendants from being found guilty under the law, as it does not purport, on its face, to criminalize true statements. Instead, the courts twist themselves into knots to convict defendants—or at least keep the threat of conviction alive so that defendants have to worry about going back to jail if they speak out. Pro-monarchy activists have also taken to filing cases across the country, on the theory that online speech can be seen anywhere in the country, making it even more difficult for protesters to defend themselves in areas lacking adequate legal representation. How Thailand Should Move Forward The ball is on Thailand’s field. Unfortunately, Thailand’s Constitutional Court recently dissolved the Move Forward Party which was making such significant strides to strengthen democratic governance of the country. The country’s ruling elite, who thrive under the protection afforded to their interests by the lèse-majesté law, should signal new respect for the human rights of their own people. The first and best option would be repeal of the lèse-majesté law, which the UN has repeatedly found to be inconsistent with international standards. Thailand is party to the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights, which codifies such international standards as freedom of expression, the right of peaceful assembly, and the right to freedom of association. The Covenant also codifies due process rights for those charged with crimes. Repeal of the lèse-majesté law, however, currently appears unlikely. In the meantime, as a second best option, the government should back an amnesty bill currently stalled in the Thai Parliament that is aimed at delivering amnesty to political prisoners, including alleged offenders of the lèse-majesté law. Third, the authorities also could aim to loosen enforcement of the lèse-majesté law to levels at least comparable to the period of 2018 to 2020. This could include dismissing the charges against a large number of those currently charged and, in many of those cases, detained under the lèse-majesté law. Fourth, Thailand also could separate criminal defamation of the King—the ostensible rationale of the lèse-majesté law—from (what should be) lawful commentary about the place of the monarchy in the Constitution and how public policy should be crafted. Fifth, the government could take up recommendations made by the United States and Austria for minor reform of the lèse-majesté law to the effect of eliminating a mandatory minimum sentence under the law and ensuring children do not face charges. Finally, Thai authorities could de-couple enforcement of the country’s overbroad Computer Crime Act from lèse-majesté infractions online. This is the moment for a strong signal to be sent by Thailand as it stands for election to the United Nations body charged with protecting human rights.
  • Technology and Innovation
    What Is Quantum Computing?
    Quantum computing, once the realm of science fiction, could bring massive economic gains. But it also threatens to upend national security, and governments are racing to prepare.
  • Sexual Violence
    Women This Week: Women This Week: Humanitarian Crisis in Sudan Disproportionately Impacts Women and Girls
    Welcome to “Women Around the World: This Week,” a series that highlights noteworthy news related to women and U.S. foreign policy. This week’s post covers September 28 to October 4.
  • Cybersecurity
    Cyber Week in Review: October 4, 2024
    Leading Cambodian journalist arrested and charged; Newsom vetoes major AI bill; DOJ indicts Iranians for election interference; Microsoft to pay publishers for some AI content; U.S. hosts Counter Ransomware Summit.
  • China
    China in the Middle East: September 2024
    Chinese engagement in the Middle East was significant throughout September. The month witnessed a host of conferences and visits by Arab leaders to Beijing and Chinese leaders to the Middle East’s capitals. Foreign Minister Wang Yi used UNGA week to continue to strengthen relations with China’s Arab partners. As Chinese-Iranian relations strengthened, China continued its condemnation of Israel.
  • Trade
    The Trade Challenge, With Edward Alden and Ana Swanson (Election 2024, Episode 3)
    Podcast
    Edward Alden, a senior fellow at the CFR and the Ross Distinguished Visiting Professor at Western Washington University, and Ana Swanson, a trade and international economics journalist at the New York Times, sit down with James M. Lindsay to discuss opportunities and constraints that the next U.S. president will confront on U.S. trade policy. This episode is the third in a special TPI series on the U.S. 2024 presidential election and is supported by the Carnegie Corporation of New York.
  • China
    Why Is China Investing In a $1.7 Billion Canal in Cambodia?
    The Funan Techo Canal is the latest in a string of flashy Chinese investments in Cambodia. How did Cambodia, a lower-middle-income nation of 17.5 million people, become a focal point of Chinese foreign policy and investment?
  • China
    Beijing Still Has Fiscal Space
    China’s central government has plenty of capacity to implement a counter-cyclical fiscal approach in addressing its economic slowdown. Net central government debt is very, very low.
  • Cybersecurity
    Cyber Week in Review: September 27, 2024
    X agrees to comply with Brazilian laws; U.S. to restrict Russian and Chinese cars; ODNI releases update on 2024 election; OpenAI will become for-profit company; UN approves Global Digital Compact.