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research article

Robust Markov Decision Processes

Wiesemann, Wolfram
•
Kuhn, Daniel  
•
Rustem, Berç
2013
Mathematics of Operations Research

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are powerful tools for decision making in uncertain dynamic environments. However, the solutions of MDPs are of limited practical use because of their sensitivity to distributional model parameters, which are typically unknown and have to be estimated by the decision maker. To counter the detrimental effects of estimation errors, we consider robust MDPs that offer probabilistic guarantees in view of the unknown parameters. To this end, we assume that an observation history of the MDP is available. Based on this history, we derive a confidence region that contains the unknown parameters with a prespecified probability 1-β. Afterward, we determine a policy that attains the highest worst-case performance over this confidence region. By construction, this policy achieves or exceeds its worst-case performance with a confidence of at least 1-β. Our method involves the solution of tractable conic programs of moderate size.

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Type
research article
DOI
10.1287/moor.1120.0566
Author(s)
Wiesemann, Wolfram
Kuhn, Daniel  
Rustem, Berç
Date Issued

2013

Published in
Mathematics of Operations Research
Volume

38

Issue

1

Start page

153

End page

183

Subjects

Robust optimization

•

Markov decision processes

•

Semidefinite programming

URL

URL

http://pubsonline.informs.org/doi/abs/10.1287/moor.1120.0566?sid=827f8882-68a9-49bd-b64b-f058e10b01e7&
Editorial or Peer reviewed

NON-REVIEWED

Written at

EPFL

EPFL units
RAO  
Available on Infoscience
January 21, 2014
Use this identifier to reference this record
https://infoscience.epfl.ch/handle/20.500.14299/100036
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