Markets
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Luke Kawa
4/14/25

Corporate America’s price targets and profit estimates are getting slashed all over Wall Street

Analysts are increasingly souring on how much money S&P 500 companies will make and how high their stock prices will go.

Strategists at Bloomberg Intelligence track the number of increases versus decreases to 12-month forward earnings-per-share estimates and price cuts from analysts who cover stocks in the S&P 500. Both those metrics are falling off a cliff to hit their lowest levels in at least two years for the week ending April 11:

Some of the cracks in these measures predate any semblance of clarity around tariffs, which suggests that either analysts were ahead of the curve in expecting damage to operating performance (less likely) or they were already responding to early indications of a softening in economic activity.

Unsurprisingly, negative earnings revisions are most pervasive in the consumer discretionary sector, which faces a stiff headwind from tariffs due to its exposure to China.

Given that tariffs tend to push consumer prices higher, it’s no surprise that sales revisions are holding up better than their top-line counterparts. But those are still deep in the red at -0.28.

However, even as they’re cutting estimates and price targets en masse, the sell-side community thinks stocks in their coverage universe are an increasingly good value following the market downturn. Last week, for instance, there were nearly three times as many upgrades as downgrades.

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Rocket lab soars to new record close amid rally for retail faves

Rocket Lab ripped by roughly 10% Friday to close at a new all-time high, riding an upturn of retail enthusiasm for a coterie of tech-themed favorites, even as the broader market was more or less flat on the day.

Goldman Sachs’ basket of “retail favorites” — its heaviest weights are Reddit, AppLovin, and Tempus AI — was the second-biggest gainer among the company’s flagship US equity baskets on Friday, rising about 1.6%. The S&P was almost dead flat.

It’s not Rocket Lab’s first retail rodeo, as the money-losing company has more than doubled this year and is up nearly 700% over the last 12 months.

Oracle Wall Street Revisions

Analysts revise up anything and everything they thought about Oracle

After the company’s bombshell earnings this week, Wall Street thinks Oracle’s trajectory has changed.

markets

Six Flags pops after reiterating its guidance as theme park attendance rebounds

Six Flags shares rose more than 7% today after the company reported a rebound in attendance and early season pass sales heading into the fall. The nine-week period ended August 31 saw 17.8 million guests, up about 2% from the same stretch last year, with stronger momentum in the final four weeks. 

More importantly, Six Flags reaffirmed its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $860 million to $910 million, showing confidence that its cost and operations strategy can stay strong for the duration of the year. Riding that wave, Six Flags also said early 2026 season pass unit sales are pacing ahead of last year, and average season pass prices are up about 3%.

The good vibes come despite a drop in in-park per-capita spending, especially from admissions, where promotions and changes to attendance mix (which parks or days guests visit) have weighed. Earlier this week, the amusement giant signed a new agreement that extended its position as the exclusive amusement park partner for Peanuts™ in North America through 2030.

Despite the rally, Six Flags shares are down about 52% year to date.

markets

Rivian turns red on the year, squeezed by a recall and the looming end of the EV tax credit

Shares of EV maker Rivian are down more than 5% on Friday following the company’s recall of 24,214 vehicles due to a software issue. The stock move erases Rivian’s year-to-date gain and turns the company negative on the year.

Rivian’s 2025 model year R1S and R1T are affected by the defect, which was identified after a vehicle’s hands-free highway assist software failed to identify another vehicle on the road, causing a low-speed collision. Rivian said it’s released an over-the-air update to fix the issue.

The recall marks Rivian’s fifth this year, affecting nearly 70,000 of its vehicles.

Rivian’s shares are down more than 20% from their 2025 high, which came prior to the passage of President Trump’sbig, beautiful bill.” Through the legislation, the $7,500 EV tax credit is set to expire at the end of the month.

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