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Beyond Technical Analysis

A new gold rush?After the American elections are over, we can declare that the big winner was none other than Elon Musk. Or was it Donald Trump? Following this, the newest American president publicly called on institutional investors to buy, mainly to buy cryptos. Will the dream of the “lovers” on duty come true, and will BTC become the new global legal tender currency? Or will we see BTC become the newest store of value, surpassing the precious metal called gold? After the new president's speech, I see that the crypto rush has had an effect, and I realize that the precious metal (gold) is losing strength. Now, I will ask the final question. Will we have a new record in SPX, and especially in BTC? It's worth remembering that the red lines are support points for gold at the moment! Do your analysis and good business. Be aware, if you buy, use stop loss.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MacD_Bollinger
Comprehensive SUI/USDT TA: Projected Upswings and Potential Corr"Comprehensive SUI/USDT Technical Analysis: Projected Upswings and Potential Corrections 📉📈" This technical analysis on the SUI/USDT daily chart identifies an upward channel with anticipated swings and retracements, giving traders a roadmap for navigating future price action. Historical analysis shows SUI's tendency for sharp upward moves, reaching gains over 400%, followed by significant corrections. The 50 EMA and 200 EMA lines continue to act as dynamic support and resistance levels. Key resistance zones around 3.56 and a potential peak near 5.24 are highlighted, with green arrows marking possible retracement areas. This analysis aims to guide traders in timing entries and exits, based on projected movement within the channel, for strategic positioning in the SUI/USDT market.
by Abderrahmane75
Navigating High Volatility Periods in TradingMarket volatility is a critical aspect of trading, and during certain periods—particularly around significant news events—this volatility becomes more pronounced. The graphic titled *"The Cycle of Market Volatility"* effectively captures the stages involved in how markets react and stabilize after major news events. These events, such as red folder news releases, economic reports, and elections, are pivotal moments that traders need to approach with both caution and strategy. The Cycle of Market Volatility 1. News Events Occur High-impact news, known as *red folder news*, includes economic data releases such as the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP), central bank interest rate decisions, inflation reports, and major political developments like elections. These events are known for triggering swift market movements and increased volatility. 2. Market Reaction Once the news breaks, markets tend to react swiftly. Prices may shoot up or down as traders digest the new information and position themselves accordingly. The initial reaction is often driven by the big institutional players, and retail traders are frequently caught up in the momentum. 3. Media Amplification After the initial market response, the media plays a significant role in amplifying the event. Analysts, news outlets, and social media start discussing the potential ramifications, which often leads to further market movement. Speculation and public sentiment can magnify the volatility. 4. Trader Response As traders react to both the news and the media coverage, there can be an increase in trading volumes. Some traders might attempt to capitalize on the price swings, while others might exit their positions to avoid losses. Emotions like fear and greed tend to dominate in this phase, making it essential for traders to stick to their strategies. 5. Market Stabilization Eventually, after the initial surge in price movement and emotional trading subsides, the market begins to stabilize. Once the news has been fully priced in and the dust settles, the markets may find equilibrium, and normal trading conditions resume—until the next major event. Trading During High Volatility: Pros and Cons Trading during high volatility events such as red folder news releases and elections can be both rewarding and dangerous. Let's explore some of the **pros and cons** of trading during these periods: Pros Large Profit Opportunities Volatility creates sharp price movements, and for traders who can accurately predict market direction, these swings can translate into significant profits in a short period. For example, interest rate announcements or jobs data releases can cause currencies to move hundreds of pips in minutes. Increased Liquidity High-impact events often bring more participants into the market, leading to increased liquidity. This means trades can be executed more quickly, and spreads (the difference between bid and ask prices) may narrow, offering better trading conditions for short-term traders. Clear Trends Often after a red folder event, markets establish clearer trends. Whether it’s a sharp bullish or bearish move, traders may find it easier to follow the trend and capitalize on the momentum rather than dealing with the choppier markets typically seen in low-volatility periods. Cons Whipsaw Risk One of the biggest dangers of trading during high volatility is the potential for whipsaw movements. The market may initially react one way, only to reverse sharply after further analysis or new information comes to light. This can lead to traders being stopped out or suffering losses as prices swing unpredictably. Wider Spreads While liquidity can increase, the initial reaction to major news can cause spreads to widen dramatically. This can eat into potential profits and make it difficult for traders to enter or exit positions at favorable prices. Emotional Trading News events tend to stir up emotions in traders—especially fear and greed. These emotions can cloud judgment, causing traders to deviate from their trading plans, make impulsive decisions, or over-leverage themselves in pursuit of quick gains. Gaps in the Market High-impact news can cause gaps in the market, where price jumps from one level to another without trading in between. This can be hazardous for traders who are in open positions, as stop-loss orders may not be filled at the expected price, leading to larger losses than anticipated. Key Red Folder Events and How to Approach Them Central Bank Interest Rate Decisions Perhaps the most influential news events, interest rate decisions by central banks like the Federal Reserve or the European Central Bank can cause massive volatility in Forex markets. Traders need to watch not just the decision itself but also the accompanying statements and guidance for future monetary policy. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Released monthly, the U.S. NFP report often leads to sharp movements in the USD and related currency pairs. The NFP provides insights into the health of the U.S. economy and is closely watched by traders around the world. Elections and Political Events Elections, referendums, and major geopolitical developments (such as US elections last week) can cause sustained volatility in markets. Traders should be particularly cautious around these events as outcomes can be highly unpredictable, and market reactions may be extreme. Inflation Reports Inflation data can significantly impact market expectations for interest rates, which in turn influences currency values. Central banks tend to adjust their monetary policy based on inflation trends, making these reports crucial for traders. How to Trade Volatile Events Safely Have a Clear Plan Don’t enter trades during volatile periods without a well-thought-out strategy. Make sure to set clear stop-loss and take-profit levels and be prepared for sudden market reversals. Consider Waiting for the Dust to Settle Instead of trading the immediate market reaction, some traders prefer to wait until the news has been fully digested. By waiting for clearer trends to form after the event, traders can reduce their risk of getting caught in whipsaw price movements. Practice Proper Risk Management With greater volatility comes greater risk, so it’s crucial to limit your exposure. Reduce your position sizes and avoid over-leveraging during these times. Risk management is vital to surviving and thriving in high-volatility environments. Stay Informed Understanding the context behind major news events is critical. Following economic calendars, staying updated on geopolitical developments, and listening to expert analysis can help traders navigate high-volatility markets more effectively. Conclusion Trading during high volatility periods can present both opportunities and risks. While the potential for quick profits is tempting, the unpredictability of the markets during these times requires discipline, a solid strategy, and strong risk management. Understanding the *Cycle of Market Volatility* can help traders better anticipate how markets react to red folder news and major events, allowing them to make more informed trading decisions.
Education
by pow_removetheguesswork
1
USDJPY: Asian indices bearish and U.S. concernsJapan's Nikkei 225 index closed with a loss of 1.55% on Wednesday, pressured by rising U.S. Treasury yields and the strength of the dollar against the yen (USD/JPY), which gained 0.38% on the session. This movement in the currency market reflects a growing preference for the dollar as a safe haven, driven by expectations of expansionary fiscal policies in the U.S. following the re-election of Donald Trump. Impact of USD/JPY Strength on Asian Markets. The rising USD/JPY, which continues to strengthen against the yen, directly affects Japanese exports, increasing export costs and reducing the competitiveness of Japanese companies in global markets. This is particularly relevant in sectors such as transportation equipment and trade, which suffered the biggest falls on the Tokyo stock exchange amid this volatile exchange rate situation. The US dollar also strengthened against the yen, pushing the USD/JPY to a three-month high. The rise particularly affected Asian markets, which see rising yields and U.S. inflation as key factors that could cause the Federal Reserve to reconsider the pace of monetary easing. The Nikkei 225 was not the only index affected in Asia, as Hong Kong's Hang Seng and other regional indices also recorded declines, reflecting a cautious sentiment in the markets. In parallel, the US dollar futures index strengthened by 0.04% to 105.99, while the Nikkei volatility index showed a decline of 5.38%, suggesting a slight reduction in implied volatility. Looking at the chart, the USDJPY has recovered much of its decline that began on July 11 through mid-September. This recovery has continued, recovering almost its value of 155,018 yen per dollar. It is currently very close to the checkpoint (POC) in the 157,000 yen area. RSI currently stands at 65.77%, so we are currently in a low zone of the long term channel so the extension does not seem to want to advance much further. Given so much current downward pressure, it is possible that the strength of the dollar, the thesis is that in the short term very possibly the Bank of Japan should take measures to control that undervalued yen, since a strong dollar seems to be affecting very negatively the Japanese market, so the target ceiling for Japan should not exceed 158.00 0 yen to avoid further damage to its economy. Influence of Treasury Bonds and Inflation Expectations. U.S. Treasury yields have risen significantly since Donald Trump's re-election, reaching levels not seen since July, driven by expectations of policies that could increase the fiscal deficit through higher spending and tax cuts. This rise in yields puts pressure on stocks as investors recalculate valuations on the prospect of higher long-term interest rates. Deeper deficit spending strangles equity valuations as risk-free rates rise. As the Federal Reserve is expected to maintain its vigilant stance, investors are closely watching upcoming U.S. inflation data to assess potential monetary policy adjustments. Gold and Bitcoin as a Refuge Amid market volatility, gold was up 0.15% on the day, trading around $2,612 an ounce, while Bitcoin recently hit a new all-time high near $90,000 before taking a breather in Wednesday's session, trading around $87,295. Markets have an expectation that bitcoin could reach $120,000 without corrections, especially aided by stimulus from China, which could support this momentum. Trump's proposed policies, which seek to make the United States the largest holder of cryptocurrencies on the planet and thus pay off its national debt with them, turning the country into “the cryptocurrency capital of the world” have generated optimism in the cryptocurrency sector, which anticipates a more flexible and favorable regulatory environment for the development of the digital market. In such a context, major investors such as Warren Buffet accumulate liquid assets by avoiding the stock market. Crude Crude oil for December delivery was up 0.15% at $68.22 per barrel, while gold futures for December delivery were up 0.23% at $2,612.30 per ounce. In currencies, USD/JPY rose 0.28% to 155.03 yen. Conclusion The combination of a strengthening dollar, a weakening yen and rising US Treasury yields has pressured Asian markets, with the Nikkei 225 down. Investors continue to watch USD/JPY and US inflation data, looking for opportunities in safe-haven assets and adjusting strategies ahead of the possible consequences of a more expansionary fiscal environment in the US. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
Short
by ActivTrades
DOGECOIN ( 0.36$ ) is uploading Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Dogecoin, 📚💣 Very soon, we are likely to see an approximate 30% increase in the price of this coin. Throughout this journey, we may encounter range candles or short-term bearish movements, which are common before a significant upward trend. 📚💡 To assist you in navigating these fluctuations, I have outlined the key support levels based on Fibonacci retracements. As I mentioned in my previous analyses, the coin has recently broken through several long-term resistance levels that have been in place for years. 📚✨ This is a highly significant move, and with the introduction of new trading volume and the growing influence of social media, this asset is quickly transforming into a powerful and unstoppable force. 📚🙌 It is now like a volcano on the verge of eruption, poised to make a dramatic upward move. The market dynamics, combined with this newfound momentum, suggest that we are entering an exciting phase of growth for this coin. 📚🎇 🧨 Our team's main opinion is The price of this coin is expected to rise by about 30%, with short-term fluctuations along the way. After breaking long-term resistance levels, it’s gaining momentum, fueled by new trading volume and social media influence, creating strong upward potential. 🧨 Thank you for your attention. If you have any questions or comments, I’m here to respond to you. 🐋💡
Long
by MadWhale
9
Trade Review - DNA When this stock was added to the watchlist, it displayed a bullish continuation setup on the daily timeframe. On the higher timeframe, there was also a potential for downside overextension, suggesting a possible pullback within the larger downtrend. On the next chart, executions are shown. In anticipation of the trade, I look for a failed breakout against the trend—a failure test—where the price moves outside the lower boundary of an established consolidation. If it then closes back within the range, I sometimes enter before market close. For these trades, I often close a partial position as the price nears the upper part of the range, in case the range holds without a breakout. Trade Overview • Structure: Bullish Continuation (D) / Bearish Pullback (W) • Position: Near Mean (D) / Extended from Mean (W) • Entry Trigger: Failed Breakout (Opposite to Trend) Entry Details • Entry Price: 7.77 • Stop Price: 6.73 • Target Price (Range): 8.72 • Target Price (Measured Move): 11.62 Exit Strategy • Exit Price: Closed 50% into 9.03 > Rest hit SL at 7.95.
NYSE:DNALong
by Market-Core
Round Two MSFT for a Second Shot at $456After being stopped out previously, Microsoft (MSFT) is once again positioned for a potential breakout. With renewed bullish momentum building around the $423 entry level, MSFT aims to push through key resistance at $441.85, targeting a move to $456. The updated setup offers an appealing risk-to-reward ratio, with a stop-loss set at $407 to manage downside risk. Microsoft's robust fundamentals remain a driving force, with its leadership in cloud computing through Azure and continued advancements in AI with Copilot. Demand for these solutions continues to grow, positioning Microsoft as a critical player in tech innovation and enterprise software. With both technical support and strong growth drivers, MSFT is primed for another attempt at reaching the $456 target. Follow on X @The_Trading_Mechanic for more prescriptions for market gains!
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by The_Trading_Mechanic
EUJPY, lookin further up for more gains, +500 pip prospect.EURJPY, after hittin recent highs of 166.6, a trim-down followed after -- corrected significantly back to demand zone touching 78.6 fib levels. Now, based on recent price behavior this pair is preppin for another round to the upside soon. Net buyers has started accumulating already based on daily data metrics. The healthy correction just warranted a very clean setup for another ascend. Spotted at 164.0 Interim target set at 170.0 TAYOR.
Long
by JSAL
AUD/USD ! November 13 ! Support H4 buy now AUDUSD trend forecast November 13, 2024 The Australian Dollar (AUD) continues to weaken against the US Dollar (USD) for the fourth day in a row on Wednesday, pressured by disappointing Australia Wage Price Index data and optimism around "Trump trades." Despite this, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock’s hawkish stance following last week’s interest rate hold, with a focus on restrictive policy due to persistent inflation and a strong job market, likely helped limit further losses for the AUD. Price analysis: Support H4 -very solid USD - DXY: correction soon /// BUY AUDUSD : zone 0.65300 - 0.65000 SL: 0.64500 TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (0.68000) Safe and profitable trading
Long
by Moon-ForexAcademy
1
UK100 - TIME TO ENTRYTeam, apologies for late post We should send out earlier to entry LONG UK at 8030 ranges however never too late. Here are some rules and strategy for the UK entry now at 8030-8040 ranges add more at 8016-8006 double up at 7960-7976 STOP LOSS BETWEEN 7915-32 Remember to have some room for stop loss, you can reduce the volume. Target 1 at 8076-86 Target 2 at 8105-8115 Target 3 at 8135-65 Please note: take some partial at 1st target and bring stop loss slowly
PEPPERSTONE:UK100Long
by ActiveTraderRoom
EURUSD Daily Pivot Points Analysis 12-Nov-2024EURUSD Daily Pivot Points Analysis Daily R3 - 1.0812 Daily R2 - 1.0770 Daily R1 - 1.0713 Daily Pivot Point - 1.0671 Daily S1 - 1.0614 Daily S2 - 1.0571 Daily S3 - 1.0514 ✅Today's price is near Daily S1 - 1.0614 showing a strong bearish momentum. The maximum for today's price can be extended to Daily S2 - 1.0571. From any of these areas, you can see the price increase again with a tendency to reach the Daily Pivot Point - 1.0671 EURUSD is also near to a strong structure zone located at Daily S1 - 1.0614 which is rising more the chances to begin any bullish correction up to Daily Pivot Point - 1.0671 ———————————————————————————————————— A pivot point is an intraday technical indicator that's used to identify trends and reversals in equities, commodities, and forex markets. Pivot points are calculated to determine levels in which the sentiment of the market could change from bullish to bearish and vice-versa. ———————————————————————————————————— You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
by KlejdiCuni
3
Gold For Next Generations Jinny GannGold on A Weekly Chart... Zoom In, And Play The Chart Starting from Low of Aug 1999 As Low As 252.10 Started A 2 Cycles That Ends at 3122 With in Mind Very Important Level 2104 That Closing Monthly Above it Will lead to The Next Levels.. Support And Resistance Each Line on The chart will work as Support/Resistance The way the price is located.. If price is Falling down, Will Treat the Level/Gann Angle as Support. If Price is Rising Up, Will Treat that Level/Gann Angle as Resistance. Jinny Gann Fan Method By ME. Levels Will Still Works Years Later. Who Knows, Maybe Till Next WW3 <3 Best Of Luck To Next Generations ;) Best Regards
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Magic_xD
2
Application of Quantum Analysis in ForexApplication of Quantum Analysis in Forex Quantum mechanics, once the realm of advanced physics, is making waves in the forex trading world. As technology evolves, the principles of quantum analysis are set to revolutionise trading strategies, offering profound insights into market movements. Dive in to learn about quantum AI, quantum analysis, and the challenges going forward. Quantum Analysis: Breaking It Down Quantum analysis draws inspiration from quantum mechanics, the branch of physics that delves into the behaviour of particles at their most microscopic levels. Its principles challenge the classical views of physics, introducing concepts that, at first glance, might seem counterintuitive. Three foundational principles drive quantum mechanics: superposition, entanglement, and quantum tunnelling. Superposition posits that a quantum system can exist in multiple states simultaneously until observed. This idea can be translated to market scenarios, where multiple outcomes are possible until a decisive market event occurs. Entanglement describes how particles, once interconnected, remain linked even when separated by vast distances. In trading, this could symbolise the interconnectedness of global markets. Lastly, quantum tunnelling pertains to a particle's ability to pass through barriers. Analogously, in forex, this can represent unexpected market shifts or breakthroughs. The Intersection of Quantum Computing and Forex Quantum computing harnesses the unique capabilities of quantum mechanics to process information at rates unimaginable with classical computers. In forex, where milliseconds can mean significant profit or loss, the unparalleled speed and precision of quantum computers present groundbreaking potential. Quantum FX trading emerges at this juncture, leveraging quantum computational power to analyse vast datasets rapidly, predict market movements, and optimise strategies. As these computational behemoths become more mainstream, they have the potential to reshape the landscape of forex trading, offering traders more refined tools to navigate the ever-fluctuating currency markets. In today’s markets, a reliable trading platform is vital to cover opportunities on numerous markets. FXOpen’s advanced TickTrader is just that, offering over 1,200 technical analysis tools ready to help you navigate the markets. Quantum AI: What Is It? Quantum AI integrates the principles of quantum mechanics with artificial intelligence, creating systems that can process information and make predictions with unprecedented accuracy. In the world of forex, where decisions often hinge on the slightest of market fluctuations, the introduction of quantum AI stands poised to be a game-changer. A notable extension of this is in quantum AI crypto* trading. The volatile nature of cryptocurrencies*, combined with the vast amount of data from different blockchains, presents a challenging landscape. However, a quantum AI system can analyse this data in real-time, extracting patterns and insights that might elude traditional analytical tools. By doing so, it offers traders an edge, allowing for strategies that are more responsive to rapid shifts in the crypto* market. Furthermore, the adaptive learning capabilities of a quantum AI trading app can evolve its predictive models continuously. This means that as market dynamics change, the system refines its algorithms, ensuring its predictions remain relevant and accurate. For forex traders, this translates to more informed decision-making and the potential for increased profitability in an ever-evolving market landscape. Challenges and Considerations - Hardware Limitations: Quantum computers, still in their nascent stage, face challenges in terms of stability and scalability. - Scalability Concerns: As forex data grows, ensuring quantum systems can handle increased loads is crucial. - Accuracy: While quantum AI boasts enhanced predictive capabilities, it's not infallible. Misinterpretations can lead to significant losses. - Adoption Barriers: High costs and complexity can deter many institutions from integrating these technologies. - Lack of Expertise: The niche nature of quantum tech means there's a shortage of experts proficient in its application in forex. The Bottom Line While the prospects of quantum forex trading offer revolutionary possibilities, full-scale adoption still seems a ways off, given current challenges. As the industry navigates this evolving frontier, traders keen on staying ahead might consider taking advantage of advanced trading platforms. To embark on this journey, open an FXOpen account and embrace the future of trading. *At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules. They are not available for trading by Retail clients.
Education
by FXOpen
2
Is the bear market bounce in the AUDJPY over? 16 Risk Reward!Hello! Here is my fundamental case to be short AUDJPY 1) Strengthening economy in Japan - Is Japan finally out of its 30 year lul? 2) Weakening Economy in Australia - Are interest rates finally starting to effect the economy? 3) Extreme household debt in Australia due to the extreme property hype cycle (People say its because of immigration, I think this is just a narrative... I remember when Hong Kong 'didn't have enough space') Australia hast had its 2008 moment yet, 4) Debt is on govt balance sheet in Japan already... Australia will probably join the govt debt club once they have their property cycle FINITO. Here is my technical case to be short AUDJPY 1) We have rallied to the 61% Fibonacci of the first impulse down. 2) The 'False breakout' at 102ish gives us a good level to know we are wrong. This helps to provide a RIDICULOUS risk reward of 16:1. Thanks Kavi
Short
by kavijh
1
For an altcoin bull market, BTC dominance must fall... Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) There was a shake up and down. This movement can continue until the next volatility period, around November 16-19 (up to November 15-20). What we need to look at is when the StErr Line or the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart rises and touches. This phenomenon can be seen as occurring because the disparity is too large. In any case, the key is whether we can withstand this shake. - (BTC.D 1M chart) I think that in order for altcoins to rise, they need to show a concentration of funds toward altcoins. Therefore, I think that BTC dominance should fall below 55.01 and remain there or show a downward trend. Currently, BTC dominance is showing an upward trend in BTC's shaking. Otherwise, altcoins are likely to gradually move sideways or show a downward trend. - (USDT.D 1M chart) If USDT dominance remains below 4.97 or shows a downward trend, I think that the coin market is likely to show an upward trend (bull market). However, in order for altcoins to rise in line with the upward trend of BTC, as I mentioned earlier, BTC dominance must also show a downward trend. Otherwise, there is a possibility that a strange market will be formed where only BTC rises. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that a full-scale upward trend will begin when it rises above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future. We need to check if these points can be broken upward. We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
1