Everybody likes to make a good prediction, in particular, when some sort of personal
investment is involved in terms of finance, energy or time. The difficulty is to make a
prediction that optimises the reward obtained from the original contribution; this is even more
important when investments are the core service offered by a business or pension fund. The
complexity of finance is that the human predictor may have other interests or bias than the
human investor, the trust between predictor and investor will never be completely …

Everybody likes to make a good prediction, in particular, when some sort of personal
investment is involved in terms of finance, energy or time. The difficulty is to make a
prediction that optimises the reward obtained from the original contribution; this is even more
important when investments are the core service offered by a business or pension fund
generated by monthly contributions. The complexity of finance is that the human predictor
may have other interests or bias than the human investor, the trust between predictor and …