Class 27: Probability Is In Your Mind

Lesson 27: Probability Is In Your Mind

DO TO CIRCUMSTANCES, I'VE HAD TO CHANGE THE SETTING FOR A WEEK OR TWO.

This week we do some catch up on questions. Next week (or the week after) I answer some curiosities on 'randomization'. Here I simply demonstrate that probability is in your mind, and is not *in* things. Probability is a logical measure of uncertainty, and not of nature.

HOMEWORK: If you think probability is real, see if you can measure probability itself. Not occurences of things, but of probability the substance.

All questions will be answered in the following Monday's lecture.

Written lecture:
https://www.wmbriggs.com/post/52962/
https://wmbriggs.substack.com/p/148114398

Jaynes's book (first part): https://bayes.wustl.edu/etj/prob/book.pdf

Permanent class page: https://www.wmbriggs.com/class/

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science