Eagles vs. Giants player props: NFL divisional round picks, odds

The Eagles and Giants have faced off twice already ahead of their NFL divisional round matchup on Saturday, but only one of those meetings came with both teams playing their starters. That was in Week 14, when the Giants might as well have been playing their backups considering how lopsided the final score was. 

Six weeks later, the Giants are out for vengeance after an impressive win at Minnesota last week, when Daniel Jones caught everyone’s attention with one of the best starts of his career. Can he keep up that momentum against Philadelphia’s elite pass defense? 

That’s one of the three matchups we’re targeting in the props market ahead of the playoff clash Saturday night. Here are our favorite prop bets to make at BetMGM: 

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Daniel Jones under 216.5 passing yards (-125, BetMGM) 

I was surprised when I first saw this number, as I was expecting the betting market to inflate the Giants’ young quarterback after his scintillating playoff debut. Instead, oddsmakers have taken a measured approach ahead of this weekend, and I’m still gladly fading this number in a tough spot for Danny Dimes. 

While the fourth-year passer threw for 301 yards in the wild-card round, it was just the fourth time he has thrown for 220-plus yards in a game this season — and two of them came against the Vikings. In his other 13 starts, he’s averaging just 177.1 passing yards, which includes a miserable 169-yard effort when the Giants and Eagles met in Week 14. 

That should come as no surprise, as the Eagles rank first in passing yards allowed (179.8 ypg) and own the NFL’s best pass defense by DVOA, too. This is a brutal matchup for Jones, who is already a shaky bet to throw for 200 yards in any given week, even with his late-season improvement. 

Miles Sanders over 67.5 rushing yards (-120, BetMGM) 

I hope Sanders brings his hard hat on Saturday, because the Eagles are absolutely going to put him to work against a flimsy Giants defense that ranks among the worst in football. 

The Giants allowed the NFL’s second-most yards per carry (5.2) and had the worst rush defense DVOA in the regular season, as evidenced by Philly’s ridiculous 253-yard performance on the ground in that Week 14 meeting. Sanders finished with a career-high 144 rushing yards in that contest on just 17 carries — his eighth game with at least 70 rushing yards through his first 13 contests. 

His production slowed when Jalen Hurts went down, but the Eagles’ star quarterback is back this week to keep the Giants’ defense honest. I’d still expect coach Nick Sirianni to lean heavily on his lead back to keep Hurts fresh, which should spell a clear path to the Over on this prop. 

Isaiah Hodgins under 45.5 receiving yards (-115, BetMGM) 

I want to root for the Hodgins comeback story as much as the next guy. I really do. I just don’t see his production matching what the betting market has him priced at here, especially not in one of his toughest spots of his young career. 

Consider that Hodgins, who was waived by the Bills earlier this year before sticking with the Giants, has posted at least 45 receiving yards just twice this season. One came against the Vikings last week in his breakout eight-catch, 105-yard performance. The other came against … the Vikings, who let him get free for eight catches and 89 yards just three weeks earlier. Sense a theme? 

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He hasn’t topped 45 yards in any of his other nine games this year, and he’ll be hard-pressed to do so against the top cornerback duo in the league: Darius Slay and former Giants star James Bradberry. There aren’t many better options than Hodgins for the Giants, but that alone isn’t enough to justify paying for above-average production from the journeyman in a daunting matchup.