The Japanese Yen (JPY) has pared some of its gains against the USD in the Asian trading session, as investors remain cautious about the timing of a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Expectations around President-elect Donald Trump's policies have also supported U.S. Treasury yields, weakening the JPY.
However, the potential for a sharp depreciation in the JPY seems limited, as there are concerns that Japan may intervene in the foreign exchange market to support its currency. Geopolitical risks may also provide some support for the JPY, while a restrained USD is likely to influence the USD/JPY pair. Traders are waiting for U.S. housing market data for further cues.
Looking at the technical chart, the pair is recovering and continuing its upward momentum, supported by a strong level at 154.1. Although the resistance at 155.2 is a challenge and may not be breached immediately, after a pullback to the 154.5 support, the pair could gain momentum to break through that resistance.
Overall, despite some limiting factors, the outlook for a USD/JPY recovery remains positive, provided support at 154.1 holds and resistance at 155.2 is cleared in the near term. This is my view — what do you think?