BTCUSD Harmonic Pattern & Potential Reversal This TradingView chart analyzes Bitcoin (BTCUSD) using a harmonic pattern approach, illustrating the price pathway through significant XABCD points. The “Potential Reversal Zone” (PRZ) and Harmonic D completion area suggest a possible bullish reversal. Key Fibonacci retracement levels, moving averages, and support-resistance zones inform the analysis, providing actionable insights for swing traders and technical analy
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Grasim: 25-Year Growth Story Reaches New HeightsTechnical Analysis
Grasim Ltd presents one of the most remarkable long-term growth stories in Indian markets. Having tracked this stock since 1999 when it traded below ₹20, the journey has been extraordinary. From those humble levels, the stock demonstrated a steady bullish rally reaching ₹2,880 by July 2024, representing a phenomenal 144x growth over 25 years.
Post the July 2024 peak, the stock corrected to below ₹2,300 levels. However, following massive FY2025 results, the stock regained momentum and created a new all-time high at ₹2,896. This establishes the ₹2,800-₹2,900 zone as a strong resistance area that has been tested multiple times.
Currently trading at ₹2,811, the stock is consolidating near the resistance zone. A decisive breakout above this supply zone with confirmation through bullish candlestick patterns would signal the next leg of the rally.
Entry Strategy: Wait for breakout above ₹2,900 zone with volume confirmation and bullish patterns.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹3,000
Target 2: ₹3,100
Target 3: ₹3,200
Stop Losses:
Minor Support: ₹2,600-₹2,700 (minor demand zone)
Major Support: ₹2,200-₹2,300 (strong demand zone)
If ₹2,200-₹2,300 zone is taken down, no more expectations on this stock.
Q1 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q4 FY25 & Q1 FY25)
Total Income: ₹40,118 Cr (↓ -9% QoQ from ₹44,267 Cr; ↑ +16% YoY from ₹34,610 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹31,296 Cr (↓ -12% QoQ from ₹35,517 Cr; ↑ +12% YoY from ₹27,927 Cr)
Operating Profit: ₹8,822 Cr (↑ +1% QoQ from ₹8,750 Cr; ↑ +32% YoY from ₹6,682 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹3,834 Cr (↓ -4% QoQ from ₹3,996 Cr; ↑ +42% YoY from ₹2,691 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹2,767 Cr (↓ -7% QoQ from ₹2,973 Cr; ↑ +34% YoY from ₹2,066 Cr)
Diluted EPS: ₹20.85 (↓ -5% QoQ from ₹21.98; ↑ +28% YoY from ₹16.33)
Fundamental Highlights
Grasim Industries delivered robust Q1 FY26 performance with consolidated revenue rising 16% YoY to ₹40,118 crore, EBITDA growing 36%, and PAT climbing 32%. The company crossed the significant ₹1.5 lakh crore TTM milestone with standalone revenue surging 34% YoY to all-time high of ₹9,223 crore.
Market cap stands at ₹1,91,225 crore (up 2.37% in 1 year) with promoter holding at 43.1%. Stock reached all-time high of ₹2,896.55 before current consolidation, demonstrating strong momentum.
Key growth drivers include diversified business portfolio spanning Cellulosic Fibre, Chemicals, Cement, and new ventures. Birla Opus paints brand targets ₹10,000 crore gross revenue within 3 years, positioning to become the second-biggest player in the ₹80,000 crore decorative paints market.
Cellulosic Staple Fibre revenue grew 7% YoY with domestic volumes higher by 2% YoY, while Chemicals EBITDA surged 36% YoY. The strong performance across segments validates the diversification strategy.
Strong subsidiary performance from UltraTech Cement and Aditya Birla Capital continues to drive consolidated growth, with management expressing confidence in sustained momentum across all business verticals.
Conclusion
Grasim's remarkable 25-year journey from sub-₹20 levels to ₹2,896 all-time high, backed by strong Q1 FY26 fundamentals showing 32% PAT growth and ₹1.5 lakh crore TTM milestone, validates the long-term growth thesis. The ₹10,000 crore Birla Opus paints target and diversified portfolio provide multiple growth engines. Breakout above ₹2,900 resistance could trigger the next rally toward ₹3,200 levels. Key support zones at ₹2,600-₹2,700 and ₹2,200-₹2,300 provide risk management levels.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
Gold Faces Resistance at 3.380–3.385, Correction LikelyLooking at the H2 XAU/USD chart, gold is struggling around 3.380–3.385 USD, where the supply FVG aligns with the upper Kumo edge. Recent candles indicate sellers are dominating: short bodies, long wicks, and lack of volume suggest buyers lack momentum. With a series of lower highs and a flat Ichimoku cloud ahead, a pullback appears likely. Immediate support is near 3.355 USD, with a further decline possible toward 3.345 USD.
BitCoin? a bit down or big downBitcoin is loosing it fizz now and rally may be about to end.
as per chart reading i can see that it is on the resistance levels
and as now world economies are also settling it should be possible that crypto frenzy get no hype and for that Bitcoin may see a down pludge
Possibly for next 2-2.5 Years Bitcoin won't cross the recent highs and may be retesting 72K level or more downside.
Up move will only continue after breaking and closing above this trendline.
Ramco Cements: Higher Highs Journey Reaches New PeakTechnical Analysis
Ramco Cements has demonstrated an exceptional long-term uptrend since 2006, continuously making higher highs and higher lows. The stock showcased remarkable growth from ₹50-60 levels to ₹1,100 by July 2021, representing an extraordinary 18-20x growth over 15 years.
Post the 2021 peak, the stock corrected to ₹600 levels but maintained its structural uptrend by forming higher lows. Following this pattern, it steadily climbed back to ₹1,100 levels, respecting the higher low formation.
The breakthrough moment came with expectations of positive Q1 FY26 results. The stock decisively broke its previous all-time high and surged to ₹1,200. Despite achieving positive outcomes in the results, some profit booking has occurred, bringing the stock to current levels of ₹1,050.
Entry Strategy: Enter on any dips with focus on continuation of the higher highs pattern.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹1,200
Target 2: ₹1,300
Target 3: ₹1,400
Stop Losses:
Major Support: ₹800 (higher low support zone)
If ₹800 level is taken down, no more expectations on this stock as it would break the higher low pattern.
Q1 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q4 FY25 & Q1 FY25)
Total Income: ₹2,074 Cr (↓ -13% QoQ from ₹2,397 Cr; ↓ -1% YoY from ₹2,094 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹1,676 Cr (↓ -19% QoQ from ₹2,078 Cr; ↓ -5% YoY from ₹1,773 Cr)
Operating Profit: ₹398 Cr (↑ +25% QoQ from ₹319 Cr; ↑ +24% YoY from ₹320 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹115 Cr (↑ +150% QoQ from ₹46 Cr; ↑ +140% YoY from ₹48 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹85 Cr (↑ +227% QoQ from ₹26 Cr; ↑ +130% YoY from ₹37 Cr)
Diluted EPS: ₹3.60 (↑ +210% QoQ from ₹1.16; ↑ +129% YoY from ₹1.57)
Fundamental Highlights
Ramco Cements delivered remarkable Q1 FY26 turnaround with consolidated PAT surging 227% QoQ and 130% YoY to ₹85 crore, driven by significant cost optimization and operational efficiency improvements. The company achieved this despite marginal revenue decline.
Market cap stands at ₹25,673 crore (up 34.2% in 1 year) with stable promoter holding at 42.6%. Stock demonstrated impressive 52.33% increase over the past year against Sensex's 2.15%, showcasing strong outperformance.
The company recently unveiled 'Hard Worker' construction chemicals brand with FY25 division revenue of ₹210 crore, targeting ambitious ₹2,000 crore in 4-5 years. This strategic diversification opens new growth avenues beyond traditional cement business.
Stock reached all-time high of ₹1,206.60 before current consolidation, with technical analysis showing strong institutional buying support. The breakout was accompanied by above-average volumes, adding conviction to the upward move.
Despite recent profit booking post-results, the stock maintains strong uptrend structure with 52-week high at ₹1,206.60 and current trading around ₹1,063, indicating healthy correction within the bull trend.
Conclusion
Ramco Cements' exceptional 227% QoQ PAT recovery and 18-year higher highs pattern reaching new ₹1,200 peak validates the long-term uptrend thesis. The construction chemicals diversification targeting ₹2,000 crore revenue and strong institutional support provide additional growth catalysts. Current consolidation near ₹1,063 offers attractive entry for targeting ₹1,400 levels. Critical support at ₹800 must hold to maintain higher low pattern integrity.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
Positional Trade > Potential Gain: up to 60%📈 Positional Trade Opportunity
✨ Potential Gain: up to 60%
🔹 Stock: Kanpur Plastipack
🔹 CMP: 205
📌 Strategy
Buy on dips till 190
SL (Closing Basis): 150
Target: up to 325
⚠️ Strict discipline advised. Risk management is key.
📌 Stick to levels. Follow discipline. Let the trade work for you.
📌Please Follow TSL (Trailing Stop Loss)
To help maximize your profits and protect gains as the trade progresses.
Let’s stay hopeful that the move continues as per our expectations! 📈
💡 Liked the idea?
Then don’t forget to Boost 🚀 it!
For more insights & trade ideas,
📲 Visit my profile and hit Follow
Warm regards,
Naresh G
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
EUR/USD Buy Setup from Support Zone towards 1.1743 TargetEUR/USD 2H Chart Analysis
The chart shows EUR/USD trading within a rising channel, with the price currently retesting the support zone (1.1600–1.1620).
Trend & Structure: Price has been respecting channel support and resistance. Currently, it bounced off the lower boundary of the channel, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
Support & Resistance: Strong support at 1.1600 zone, resistance/target at 1.1743.
Moving Averages: EMA 70 (1.1655) and EMA 200 (1.1648) are near, acting as dynamic resistance. A bullish break above them confirms upside continuation.
Candlestick & Momentum: Long wicks near support indicate buyer interest, suggesting accumulation before reversal.
Risk Management: Stop loss should be placed just below 1.1580 (last swing low).
✅ BUY Setup: From 1.1600–1.1620 support zone, targeting 1.1743 with stop loss below 1.1580.
📊 Strategies Used: Trendline channel, EMA confirmation, support/resistance, candlestick patterns, and risk-reward setup.
Trade Management Systems: Comparing Two Methods
📌 Method 1 – Normal SL & TP
Entry → Open trade at ENTRY.
Stop Loss (SL) → Fixed (below ENTRY for buy / above ENTRY for sell).
Take Profits (TP1 & TP2) → Both active.
When TP1 is hit → Book partial position.
SL stays the same → risk remains on the rest of the trade.
✅ Advantage:
More potential profit if market extends to TP2.
❌ Risk:
If price reverses after TP1, the remaining position can still hit SL → reducing overall profit.
📌 Method 2 – Breakeven Stop (SL = ENTRY after TP1)
Entry → Open trade at ENTRY.
SL initially fixed.
When TP1 is hit → Book 50% profit, then move SL to ENTRY (breakeven).
Remaining position:
If TP2 is hit → book extra profit.
If price falls back → exit at ENTRY (no loss).
✅ Advantage:
Trade becomes risk-free after TP1.
❌ Risk:
Sometimes market hits TP1 then pulls back, causing breakeven exit → missing bigger gains compared to Method 1.
📌 Enhanced System (Your Version with Fixed Risk)
Initial SL → Always set at 2R.
TP1 → When reached, book 50% profit (+1R on half).
Then move SL to ENTRY (breakeven) for the remaining 50%.
📊 Possible Outcomes:
Scenario Result
Price hits SL (before TP1) –2R loss
Price hits TP1, then reverses to ENTRY +0.5R profit
Price hits TP1, then TP2 +2R total profit
⚖️ Summary
Method 1 (Normal SL & TP) → More profit potential, but carries more risk on the remaining position.
Method 2 (SL = ENTRY after TP1) → Safer, risk-free after TP1, but sometimes cuts off bigger gains.
Your Enhanced Version → A defensive system:
Losers are limited (–2R).
Small winners (+0.5R) happen often.
Big winners (+2R) balance out losses.
💡 With consistent discipline, even a 40–45% win rate can make this system profitable.
BTCUSD: Expanding Triangle Presents good buy, But Risks RemainHello,
An expanding triangle is taking shape on the BTCUSD chart, offering a potential entry point for traders seeking exposure to the crypto market. From current levels, a recovery back to Bitcoin’s all-time high could yield an estimated 14% return.
While this setup looks attractive, it’s important to weigh the risks:
Market Immaturity & Volatility
Despite delivering strong returns in recent years, cryptocurrencies remain highly volatile and relatively immature as an asset class. Broad portfolio adoption within a long-term strategic allocation still appears premature.
Comparisons With Gold
Some investors draw parallels between Bitcoin and gold. However, gold enjoys a more established position in financial markets, with proven use cases and a reliable track record as a portfolio hedge during downturns. Bitcoin has yet to achieve that level of credibility.
Portfolio Construction Considerations
For investors open to the potential of crypto evolving into a recognized asset class, it may be best treated as a satellite investment within a core-satellite strategy. The “core” should remain in traditional, well-established assets, while a small allocation to crypto can provide upside without distorting overall portfolio balance.
On the other hand, conservative investors—those unwilling to withstand extreme price swings or skeptical of crypto’s long-term viability—may be better off avoiding exposure to this market altogether.
In short, the current technical pattern highlights opportunity, but prudent portfolio construction and a clear understanding of the risks remain essential before committing capital.
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Gold Plan 26/08 – Captain VincentXAU/USD – Trump’s surprise move sparks a Gold rally. What’s the next scenario?
1. News Wave 🌍
Trump unexpectedly dismissed FED Governor L. Cook , citing “irresponsible recent financial decisions.”
👉 A political–monetary shock that pushed Gold up by more than 30 points from the 3,350 – 3,352 zone, as investors feared internal instability at the FED could weaken the USD.
Safe-haven demand has been activated, but Gold is unlikely to “fly in a straight line.” The market often requires a pullback to fill liquidity gaps before a clear trend develops.
2. Technical Outlook ⚙️
Price bounced sharply from Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3350 – 3342) – a key support area.
Currently, Gold is testing Storm Breaker 🌊 (Resistance 3384 – 3400) , a liquidity cluster → potential for profit-taking sell orders.
On H1, multiple FVGs formed around 3363 and 3355 → price may retrace to “fill the gap” before continuing.
👉 Intraday bias: Prioritise Sell at resistance, but watch for short Buy Scalp setups at Quick Boarding 🚤 (3342 – 3340) .
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Main Resistance): 3384 – 3400
Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp): 3342 – 3340 | SL 3333 | TP: 3345 → 3347 → 3350 → 33xx
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone): 3350 – 3342
FVG Zones: Around 3363 & 3355 (short-term price magnets)
4. Trade Scenarios 📌
🔻 SELL at Storm Breaker 🌊 (Priority)
Entry: 3400 – 3402
SL: 3408
TP: 3395 → 3390 → 33xx
🔺 BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤
Entry: 3342 – 3340
SL: 3333
TP: 3345 → 3347 → 3350 → 33xx
5. Captain’s Note ⚓
"Trump’s news wave pushed Gold like an unexpected headwind. But Storm Breaker 🌊 ahead may unleash rough seas. The wise will anchor at Golden Harbor 🏝️ , while the bold may ride Quick Boarding 🚤 for fast scalps. And remember: today’s golden sea depends on the sharks at the helm."
Jyothy Labs LtdDate 26.08.2025
Jyothy Labs
Timeframe : Day Chart
Business Segments
(1) Fabric Care 44%
(2) Dishwashing 34%
(3) Personal Care 11%
(4) Household Insecticides 6%
(5) Others 5%
Distribution Mix
(1) Urban 60%
(2) Rural 40
Brands
Fabric Care
(1) Ujala & Henko
(2) Mr. White & Morelight - Liquid Detergent
(3) 84% market share (Ujala)
Dishwashing
(1) EXO and PRIL
(2) 13.7% market share
Personal Care
(1) Margo & Jovia
Household Insecticides
(1) Mosquito repellent coil - Maxo
(2) 23.8% market share
Manufacturing Capabilities
(1) The company operates 23 manufacturing plants across India
Valuations
(1) Market Cap ₹ 12,775 Cr
(2) Stock P/E 34.9
(3) ROCE 24.6 %
(4) ROE 19.0 %
(5) OPM 18%
(6) Profit Growth 2.72%
(7) Sales Growth 3.27%
(8) Promoter Holding 62.88%
(9) FII 12.66%
(10) DII 15.98%
Regards,
Ankur
Reliance Industries 1 Week ViewWeekly Pivot & Key Levels (via TopStockResearch)
Weekly Pivot: ₹1,406.03
Support Levels:
• S1: ₹1,380.17
• S2: ₹1,351.13
• S3: ₹1,325.27
Resistance Levels:
• R1: ₹1,435.07
• R2: ₹1,460.93
• R3: ₹1,489.97
Central Pivot Range (CPR): Bottom: ₹1,404.45 | Centre: ₹1,406.03 | Top: ₹1,407.62
Weekly Outlook Summary (via EquityPandit)
Immediate Support: ₹1,380.17
Major Support (if price breaks down): ₹1,351.13
Immediate Resistance: ₹1,435.07
Major Resistance (on breakout): ₹1,460.93
Full Trading Range Expectation: ₹1,325.27 – ₹1,489.97
Additional Chart-Based Technical Insights
TradingView Community (Weekly timeframe): Indicates a key support zone at ₹1,385–1,400. On the daily timeframe, there’s a short-term support channel around ₹1,400–1,410.