Ejercicio de Entregable 1 Christopher Bustamante Alanis UNITEC CONTROL Y EVALUACION DE RIESGOS

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1 Con los datos de los precios de cierre de las acciones Peñoles y Grupo Finaciero Inbursa realizar:

a. Rendimientos esperados diarios de cada acción


b. Varianza de cada ación
c. Desviación estandar o riesgo de cada acción
b. Covarianza de las dos acciones

2 Revisar el video del ejercicio que se ubica en contenidos semanales>Semana 2

3 Realizar el ensayo de acuerdo a lo solicitado que debe contener:


a. Introducción
b. Desarrollo
c. Conclusiones
b. Revisar rúbrica de entregable 1
o Finaciero Inbursa realizar:

Semana 2
Industrias Penoles Sab De CV (PEOLES)
Grupo Financiero Inbursa (GFINBURO)

PRECIO DE CIERRE RENDIMIENTOS (R-M)^2


FECHA
PEOLES GFINBURO PEOLES GFINBURO PEOLES GFINBURO
24.09.2021 254.87 18.81 0.00619818 -0.00212202 6.7332673E-05 2.890001E-06
23.09.2021 253.30 18.85 -0.00023682 0.01891892 3.1351932E-06 0.0003740717
22.09.2021 253.36 18.50 -0.00181231 0.0294936 3.8086221E-08 0.0008949441
21.09.2021 253.82 17.97 -0.0242571 -0.00498339 0.0004950464 2.0806124E-05
20.09.2021 260.13 18.06
-0.01536773 -0.00823723 0.0001784966 6.1077612E-05
17.09.2021 264.19 18.21 -0.01318542 0.01675042 0.0001249466 0.0002948925
15.09.2021 267.72 17.91 0.0012716 0.01530612 1.0752256E-05 0.0002473743
14.09.2021 267.38 17.64 -0.00238788 -0.00507614 1.4471683E-07 2.1660894E-05
13.09.2021 268.02 17.73 0.01074782 -0.01390434 0.0001626973 0.000181773
10.09.2021 265.17 17.98 -0.00011312 -0.00166574 3.5885342E-06 1.5468535E-06
09.09.2021 265.20 18.01 -0.02042625 -0.01638449 0.0003392518 0.0002548006
08.09.2021 270.73 18.31 -0.01595667 -0.0255455 0.0001945804 0.0006311896
07.09.2021 275.12 18.79 -0.03143813 -0.01105263 0.0008661639 0.00011301

06.09.2021 284.05 19.00


-0.00723473 0.00052659 2.7324266E-05 8.998582E-07
03.09.2021 286.12 18.99 0.00689752 -0.00419507 7.92988E-05 1.4235945E-05
02.09.2021 284.16 19.07 0.00491566 0.00052466 4.79296E-05 8.9619277E-07
01.09.2021 282.77 19.06 -0.00639516 -0.00884035 1.9251912E-05 7.0868415E-05
31.08.2021 284.59 19.23 0.00419901 -0.00051975 3.8520355E-05 9.5521116E-09
30.08.2021 283.40 19.24 0.01163704 0.01156677 0.0001861725 0.000143731
27.08.2021 280.14 19.02 0.01075191 0.01170213 0.0001628017 0.0001469949
26.08.2021 277.16 18.80 -0.00251925 0 2.6192844E-07 1.7809718E-07
25.08.2021 277.86 18.80 0.00209175 -0.00843882 1.6803549E-05 6.426913E-05
24.08.2021 277.28 18.96 -0.0008648 -0.00420168 1.3056772E-06 1.4285868E-05
23.08.2021 277.52 19.04 0.0200691 -0.00678143 0.0004873748 4.0442143E-05
20.08.2021 272.06 19.17 0.0045045 -0.01338137 4.2405745E-05 0.0001679448
19.08.2021 270.84 19.43 -0.01609329 -0.00664622 0.0001984105 3.874068E-05
18.08.2021 275.27 19.56 -0.00213877 0.01242236 1.7240003E-08 0.000164978
17.08.2021 275.86 19.32 0.00185219 0.00259471 1.4896921E-05 9.1006141E-06
16.08.2021 275.35 19.27 0.01541468 -0.0015544 0.0003035313 1.2823038E-06
13.08.2021 271.17 19.30 0.00210643 0.00678143 1.6924132E-05 5.1889619E-05
12.08.2021 270.60 19.17 -0.02398557 -0.01236476 0.0004830372 0.0001426292
11.08.2021 277.25 19.41 -0.0030923 0.00103146 1.1768708E-06 2.11259E-06
10.08.2021 278.11 19.39 0.00644157 -0.00410889 7.1386249E-05 1.3593009E-05
09.08.2021 276.33 19.47 -0.03262734 0.00309119 0.0009375768 1.2342614E-05
06.08.2021 285.65 19.41 -0.02833526 -0.01171079 0.0006931528 0.0001274365
05.08.2021 293.98 19.64 0.01835943 -0.00657562 0.0004148104 3.7866842E-05
04.08.2021 288.68 19.77 0.02601649 0.01177073 0.0007853421 0.000148663
03.08.2021 281.36 19.54 0.02268101 0.01034126 0.0006095209 0.0001158481
02.08.2021 275.12 19.34 -0.01987887 0.00311203 0.0003193873 1.2489501E-05
30.07.2021 280.70 19.28 -0.02164442 -0.03406814 0.0003856099 0.0011320614
29.07.2021 286.91 19.96 0.01755568 0.0025113 0.0003827167 8.6043455E-06
28.07.2021 281.96 19.91 0.02434062 0.00606367 0.0006942218 4.2064099E-05
27.07.2021 275.26 19.79 -0.01067462 0.00405885 7.5119608E-05 2.0078187E-05
26.07.2021 278.23 19.71 0.00349852 0.00766871 3.0315883E-05 6.5459868E-05
23.07.2021 277.26 19.56 -0.00352214 -0.00660234 2.2942383E-06 3.8196363E-05
22.07.2021 278.24 19.69 0.01502991 0.00664622 0.0002902723 4.9959909E-05
21.07.2021 274.12 19.56 0.0173316 0.02140992 0.0003739995 0.0004766335
20.07.2021 269.45 19.15 -0.00355016 -0.00052192 2.3799224E-06 9.9810196E-09
19.07.2021 270.41 19.16 -0.01982746 -0.03134479 0.0003175523 0.0009562181
16.07.2021 275.88 19.78 -0.0133753 0.0035515 0.0001292276 1.57888E-05
15.07.2021 279.62 19.71 0.0051765 0.00305344 5.1609414E-05 1.2078758E-05
14.07.2021 278.18 19.65 0.00958119 -0.01404917 0.0001342968 0.0001856994
13.07.2021 275.54 19.93 0.01008101 -0.002003 0.0001461313 2.4995259E-06
12.07.2021 272.79 19.97 -0.01505633 -0.0010005 0.0001702728 3.3464447E-07
09.07.2021 276.96 19.99 -0.00940663 0.01575203 5.4747662E-05 0.0002615998
08.07.2021 279.59 19.68 0.00539394 -0.00303951 5.4780752E-05 6.8512961E-06
07.07.2021 278.09 19.74 -0.0013646 0.00304878 4.1327596E-07 1.2046426E-05
06.07.2021 278.47 19.68 -0.00610322 -0.00505561 1.6775205E-05 2.1470213E-05
05.07.2021 280.18 19.78 0.00505793 0.00457085 4.9919848E-05 2.4928689E-05
02.07.2021 278.77 19.69 0.00952415 0.00870902 0.0001329782 8.3375746E-05
01.07.2021 276.14 19.52 0.00356156 -0.01014199 3.1014084E-05 9.447786E-05
30.06.2021 275.16 19.72 0.01280919 -0.0040404 0.0002195332 1.3092735E-05
29.06.2021 271.68 19.80 -0.01354344 -0.0035229 0.0001330788 9.6154768E-06
28.06.2021 275.41 19.87 -0.00942344 -0.00848303 5.499674E-05 6.4980016E-05
25.06.2021 278.03 20.04 -0.00714209 0.01059002 2.6364395E-05 0.0001212648
24.06.2021 280.03 19.83 0.00340404 0.00557809 2.9284405E-05 3.6001307E-05
23.06.2021 279.08 19.72 0.00460763 -0.01939334 4.3759498E-05 0.000359911
22.06.2021 277.80 20.11 -0.00771539 -0.01227898 3.2580386E-05 0.0001405876
21.06.2021 279.96 20.36 -0.00712842 -0.00244978 2.622416E-05 4.1118265E-06
18.06.2021 281.97 20.41 -0.00497565 0.00889768 8.8101294E-06 8.6856665E-05
17.06.2021 283.38 20.23 -0.05039877 -0.01075795 0.0023417181 0.0001068315
16.06.2021 298.42 20.45 -0.00761531 0.004914 3.1447932E-05 2.8473115E-05
15.06.2021 300.71 20.35 -0.00069786 -0.0111759 1.7150651E-06 0.000115646
14.06.2021 300.92 20.58 0.01360819 -0.0014556 0.0002438487 1.0683051E-06
11.06.2021 296.88 20.61 -0.00161421 0.00048544 1.546533E-07 8.2347005E-07
10.06.2021 297.36 20.60 -0.00361882 -0.00290416 2.5964585E-06 6.1610538E-06
09.06.2021 298.44 20.66 -0.01803106 -0.03095685 0.0002567556 0.000932376
08.06.2021 303.92 21.32 -0.0211601 0.00803783 0.0003668235 7.1568904E-05
07.06.2021 310.49 21.15 0.00553792 0.04033448 5.6932884E-05 0.001661092
04.06.2021 308.78 20.33 0.01113367 -0.00196367 0.0001726894 2.3767046E-06
03.06.2021 305.38 20.37 -0.02692541 -0.0106848 0.0006209038 0.0001053247
02.06.2021 313.83 20.59 0.02045262 0.00243427 0.0005044556 8.1583937E-06
01.06.2021 307.54 20.54 0.01635877 0.01532378 0.0003373186 0.00024793
31.05.2021 302.59 20.23 0.01721182 0.02638255 0.0003693809 0.0007184846
28.05.2021 297.47 19.71 0.02898751 0.01441071 0.0009606886 0.0002200096
27.05.2021 289.09 19.43 0.01885529 0.00257998 0.0004352545 9.0119738E-06
26.05.2021 283.74 19.38 0.02470206 0.00727651 0.0007133986 5.9267255E-05
25.05.2021 276.90 19.24 0.00032513 -0.01484895 5.4410116E-06 0.0002081364
24.05.2021 276.81 19.53 -0.03304573 0.00722022 0.0009633737 5.8403713E-05
21.05.2021 286.27 19.39 0.00969949 -0.00257202 0.0001370528 4.6225036E-06
20.05.2021 283.52 19.44 0.00435722 -0.00102775 4.050923E-05 3.6691321E-07
19.05.2021 282.29 19.46 -0.02369095 0 0.0004701733 1.7809718E-07
18.05.2021 289.14 19.46 0.01399264 0.01196048 0.0002560032 0.0001533262
17.05.2021 285.15 19.23 0.03468921 0 0.0013466461 1.7809718E-07
14.05.2021 275.59 19.23 -0.00408355 0.00839014 4.3101302E-06 7.7654114E-05
13.05.2021 276.72 19.07 0.00072327 0.00104987 7.4569401E-06 2.1664436E-06
12.05.2021 276.52 19.05 -0.03046878 -0.01652039 0.0008100463 0.0002591577
11.05.2021 285.21 19.37 -0.01733049 -0.01223865 0.000234795 0.0001396329
10.05.2021 290.24 19.61 0.02594556 0.01186791 0.0007813718 0.0001510422
07.05.2021 282.90 19.38 -0.00390831 0.02269129 3.613224E-06 0.000534225
06.05.2021 284.01 18.95 0.03163821 -0.00263158 0.0011320316 4.8821701E-06
05.05.2021 275.30 19.00 -0.0002179 -0.02313625 3.2025546E-06 0.0005159363
04.05.2021 275.36 19.45 -0.00703184 -0.00613183 2.5244362E-05 3.2602031E-05
03.05.2021 277.31 19.57 0.06301989 0.03985122 0.0042285575 0.0016219337
30.04.2021 260.87 18.82 -0.01458089 -0.04369919 0.0001580911 0.0018729136
29.04.2021 264.73 19.68 -0.03025752 0.0128667 0.0007980655 0.00017659
28.04.2021 272.99 19.43 0.00330773 0.0062144 2.8251286E-05 4.4041968E-05
27.04.2021 272.09 19.31 -0.00682581 -0.0005176 2.3216488E-05 9.136058E-09
26.04.2021 273.96 19.32 -0.01293461 -0.01478837 0.0001194024 0.0002063922
23.04.2021 277.55 19.61 -0.02545646 0.00153218 0.0005498554 3.8188637E-06
22.04.2021 284.80 19.58 -0.00080693 0.00410256 1.4412777E-06 2.0471822E-05
21.04.2021 285.03 19.50 0.04078726 0.00154083 0.0018313888 3.852771E-06
20.04.2021 273.86 19.47 0.00212237 0.02151102 1.7055497E-05 0.000481058
19.04.2021 273.28 19.06 -0.03747535 -0.01192328 0.0012579705 0.000132279
16.04.2021 283.92 19.29 0.02974032 0.0041645 0.0010079216 2.1036104E-05
15.04.2021 275.72 19.21 0.04403802 0.01318565 0.0021201864 0.0001851687
14.04.2021 264.09 18.96 0.00280995 0.00797448 2.3207474E-05 7.0501166E-05
13.04.2021 263.35 18.81 0.00034187 0.0010644 5.5193618E-06 2.2094194E-06
12.04.2021 263.26 18.79 -0.0013656 0.00481283 4.1198791E-07 2.7403653E-05
09.04.2021 263.62 18.70 -0.02791401 -0.0183727 0.000671149 0.0003222272
08.04.2021 271.19 19.05 0.02173913 -0.00936037 0.0005639008 7.9894258E-05
07.04.2021 265.42 19.23 -0.00907224 0.01424051 4.9911075E-05 0.0002149895
06.04.2021 267.85 18.96 0.02069202 0.00530223 0.0005152666 3.2766953E-05
05.04.2021 262.42 18.86 -0.00458977 0.01561659 6.668279E-06 0.0002572367
31.03.2021 263.63 18.57 0.00212871 -0.01380775 1.7107951E-05 0.000179178
30.03.2021 263.07 18.83 -0.02563058 -0.00159067 0.0005580515 1.3657486E-06
29.03.2021 269.99 18.86 0.0094971 0.02277657 0.0001323551 0.0005381745
26.03.2021 267.45 18.44 -0.01342728 0.00108578 0.0001304121 2.2734365E-06
25.03.2021 271.09 18.42 0.00158871 0.00765864 1.2932467E-05 6.5297049E-05
24.03.2021 270.66 18.28 -0.02338168 0.00054735 0.0004568573 9.3966073E-07
23.03.2021 277.14 18.27 -0.01782613 -0.02870813 0.0002502303 0.0008001045
22.03.2021 282.17 18.81 0.0165724 0.02506812 0.0003452112 0.000649747
19.03.2021 277.57 18.35 -0.01994916 -0.04675325 0.0003219043 0.002146583
18.03.2021 283.22 19.25 -0.00812496 0.00051975 3.7423701E-05 8.8692345E-07
17.03.2021 285.54 19.24 -0.01534536 -0.01028807 0.0001778994 9.7338947E-05
16.03.2021 289.99 19.44 0.00739943 0.01886792 8.8489676E-05 0.0003721018
12.03.2021 287.86 19.08 -0.00809758 -0.01700155 3.7089557E-05 0.0002748808
11.03.2021 290.21 19.41 0.017103 0.00465839 0.00036521 2.5810471E-05
10.03.2021 285.33 19.32 -0.00734066 0.00940439 2.8442996E-05 9.6558222E-05
09.03.2021 287.44 19.14 0.01885722 0.00104603 0.0004353352 2.1551436E-06
08.03.2021 282.12 19.12 0.00234492 0.01378579 1.8943217E-05 0.0002018617
05.03.2021 281.46 18.86 0.00349401 0.01126005 3.0266228E-05 0.0001364707
04.03.2021 280.48 18.65 -0.04070046 -0.01061008 0.0014971477 0.0001037966
03.03.2021 292.38 18.85 0.01243118 0.01072386 0.0002084744 0.0001242306
02.03.2021 288.79 18.65 0.00225585 0.00756348 1.8175835E-05 6.3768127E-05
01.03.2021 288.14 18.51 0.00344768 -0.01855779 2.9758555E-05 0.0003289065
26.02.2021 287.15 18.86 -0.00633262 0.04314159 1.8706951E-05 0.001897788
25.02.2021 288.98 18.08 -0.04146212 -0.02164502 0.0015566698 0.000450416
24.02.2021 301.48 18.48 0.0024606 -0.0096463 1.9963578E-05 8.5087464E-05
23.02.2021 300.74 18.66 -0.00440295 0.02246575 5.7383633E-06 0.00052385
22.02.2021 302.07 18.25 -0.00664277 -0.03997896 2.1486056E-05 0.0015647517
19.02.2021 304.09 19.01 0.00785496 -0.00262329 9.726752E-05 4.8456303E-06
18.02.2021 301.72 19.06 -0.02501131 -0.01600413 0.0005291769 0.0002428023
17.02.2021 309.46 19.37 0.00676687 -0.00819252 7.6988923E-05 6.0380806E-05
16.02.2021 307.38 19.53 0.00388648 -0.01957831 3.4738535E-05 0.0003669637
15.02.2021 306.19 19.92 0.00495602 0.01529052 4.8490113E-05 0.0002468838
12.02.2021 304.68 19.62 -0.00101643 0.01816295 9.8215647E-07 0.0003454009
11.02.2021 304.99 19.27 -0.02708307 -0.03165829 0.0006287858 0.0009757049
10.02.2021 313.48 19.90 -0.00222802 -0.00100402 4.8645525E-08 3.3872452E-07
09.02.2021 314.18 19.92 0.01120051 0.04293194 0.0001744507 0.0018795652
08.02.2021 310.70 19.10 -0.01440173 -0.0190036 0.0001536177 0.0003452751
05.02.2021 315.24 19.47 0.00622427 -0.01117318 6.7761377E-05 0.0001155876
04.02.2021 313.29 19.69 -0.02580926 0.03089005 0.0005665255 0.0009804456
03.02.2021 321.59 19.10 -0.02578007 0.00473435 0.0005651366 2.658811E-05
02.02.2021 330.10 19.01 0.07612062 0.03993435 0.0061039975 0.0016286366
29.01.2021 306.75 18.28 0.0194078 -0.03382664 0.0004586134 0.0011158688
28.01.2021 300.91 18.92 0.00440602 -0.00473435 4.1132808E-05 1.8596231E-05
27.01.2021 299.59 19.01 -0.06855491 -0.01706308 0.0044285619 0.0002769251
26.01.2021 321.64 19.34 0.01643282 0.01415836 0.0003400439 0.0002125875
25.01.2021 316.44 19.07 0.00139241 -0.00780437 1.1559115E-05 5.4499163E-05
22.01.2021 316.00 19.22 -0.00986997 -0.01334702 6.1818942E-05 0.0001670558
21.01.2021 319.15 19.48 -0.01029553 -0.04743276 6.8692047E-05 0.0022100104
20.01.2021 322.47 20.45 -0.00296818 0.02045908 9.2298277E-07 0.0004360202
19.01.2021 323.43 20.04 -0.04668848 -0.04022989 0.001996393 0.0015846665
18.01.2021 339.27 20.88 0.02517073 0.01655307 0.000738654 0.0002881534
15.01.2021 330.94 20.54 -0.04721598 -0.00532688 0.0020438102 2.405766E-05
14.01.2021 347.34 20.65 -0.03048066 -0.00433944 0.0008107226 1.5346219E-05
13.01.2021 358.26 20.74 -0.00286677 0.00144858 7.3839677E-07 3.4991114E-06
12.01.2021 359.29 20.71 -0.01602125 -0.00766651 0.0001963862 5.2482655E-05
11.01.2021 365.14 20.87 -0.00852612 0.01261524 4.2492884E-05 0.0001699699
08.01.2021 368.28 20.61 -0.05595858 -0.00913462 0.0029107224 7.5909395E-05
07.01.2021 390.11 20.80 0.02471763 0.03021298 0.0007142305 0.0009385028
06.01.2021 380.70 20.19 -0.00209699 -0.00197726 8.0139621E-09 2.4187897E-06
05.01.2021 381.50 20.23 -0.00196207 -0.02833814 2.0609909E-09 0.0007793098
04.01.2021 382.25 20.82 4.0299151E-06 1.7809718E-07
-0.00200746 -0.00042202 0.0708586565 0.0475843323
(R-M)
A*B
PEOLES GFINBURO
0.008205648819152 -0.0017 -1.3949605E-05
0.001770647670437 0.01934093 3.4245981E-05 VARIANZA
0.00019515691282 0.02991562 5.8382393E-06 RIESGO
-0.022249637370545 -0.00456137 0.0001014889 COVARIANZA

-0.013360262924103 -0.00781522 0.00010441335 COEF DE CORREL


-0.011177952752902 0.01717243 -0.0001919527
0.003279063321658 0.01572814 5.1573561E-05
-0.000380416653804 -0.00465413 1.7705072E-06
0.012755286999403 -0.01348232 -0.0001719709
0.001894342675631 -0.00124373 -2.3560426E-06 VARIANZA
-0.01841879009277 -0.01596247 0.00029400945 RIESGO
-0.013949208604008 -0.02512349 0.00035045277 COVARIANZA
-0.029430662242725 -0.01063062 0.00031286607 COEF CORRELACIÓN

-0.005227261840526 0.00094861 -4.9586253E-06 VARIANZA DE CARTERA


0.008904987370099 -0.00377306 -3.3599009E-05 RIESGO DE CARTERA
0.006923120680939 0.00094667 6.5539424E-06 X
-0.004387700126597 -0.00841834 3.6937143E-05 S
0.006206476844754 -9.7735E-05 -6.0658942E-07
0.013644503471122 0.01198879 0.00016358105 VaR 99%
0.012759377100427 0.01212414 0.00015469652
-0.000511789453151 0.00042202 -2.1598314E-07
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0.02467708924
A B
0.0003851 0.0002586
1.9623% 1.6081%
0.000134
0.425

0.0003851 0.0002586
1.9624% 1.6081%
0.00013411
0.42498

0.00024

1.5392%
56% 44%
1,000,000.00

143,457.32
GLOSARIO
1 Riesgo: La posibilidad de pérdida o daño, en términos financieros o de otro tipo, debido a eventos in
2 Media: El valor promedio en un conjunto de datos, que se utiliza para representar una tendencia ce
3 Varianza: Una medida de la dispersión o variabilidad en un conjunto de datos, que indica cuán dispe
4 Covarianza: Una medida estadística que describe la relación entre dos conjuntos de datos, indicand
5 Rendimiento: La ganancia o pérdida de una inversión en un período de tiempo específico, generalm
6 Probabilidad: La medida de cuán probable es que ocurra un evento, generalmente expresada en tér
7 Liquidez: La facilidad con la que un activo puede convertirse en efectivo sin pérdida significativa de
8 Crédito: La capacidad de un prestatario para cumplir con sus obligaciones financieras, una considera
9 Tasa de Interés: El costo del dinero prestado o el rendimiento del dinero invertido, un factor crucial
10 Inflación: El aumento generalizado y sostenido de los precios de bienes y servicios en una economía
dad de pérdida o daño, en términos financieros o de otro tipo, debido a eventos inciertos.
omedio en un conjunto de datos, que se utiliza para representar una tendencia central.
dida de la dispersión o variabilidad en un conjunto de datos, que indica cuán dispersos están los valores con respecto a la media.
medida estadística que describe la relación entre dos conjuntos de datos, indicando si tienden a moverse juntos (covarianza positiva) o en d
anancia o pérdida de una inversión en un período de tiempo específico, generalmente expresada como un porcentaje del capital invertido
edida de cuán probable es que ocurra un evento, generalmente expresada en términos de porcentaje.
ad con la que un activo puede convertirse en efectivo sin pérdida significativa de valor, un factor importante en la gestión de riesgos.
dad de un prestatario para cumplir con sus obligaciones financieras, una consideración clave al evaluar riesgos en préstamos e inversiones
costo del dinero prestado o el rendimiento del dinero invertido, un factor crucial en la evaluación de riesgos financieros.
nto generalizado y sostenido de los precios de bienes y servicios en una economía, que puede erosionar el valor real de los activos y afecta
n direcciones opuestas (covarianza negativa).

ctar los rendimientos de las inversiones.

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