UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL ABIERTA Y A DISTANCIA UNAD

CURSOS DE METODOS PROBABILISTICOS

trabajo presentado por:

JUAN DAVID ARIAS VALENCIA
Código: 1053774673
Grupo: 104561_35

Tutor:
RICHARD LEON TORO

8 de abril del 2019

RELACION DE DISTRIBUCIONES DE PROBABILIDAD

Variable aleatoria X 19
Media μ 30
Varianza σ2 11
Parametro alfa a 182
Parametro beta b 177
Media λ 26
Constante e 2.71828183
Grados de libertad ϑ 5
Nivel de significancia α 0.05
Evento x 3
DISTRIBUCIÓN NORMAL

Variable Variable
aleatoria estándar
X Z = (X-μ)/σ

Media μ 30 18 -3.61813613
Varianza σ2 11 19 -3.31662479
20 -3.01511345
21 -2.7136021
22 -2.41209076
23 -2.11057941
24 -1.80906807
25 -1.50755672
26 -1.20604538
27 -0.90453403
28 -0.60302269
29 -0.30151134
30 0
31 0.30151134
32 0.60302269
33 0.90453403
34 1.20604538
35 1.50755672
36 1.80906807
37 2.11057941
38 2.41209076
39 2.7136021
40 3.01511345
41 3.31662479
42 3.61813613
Probabilidad

Distribución Normal
0.000573132815354472 0.45
0.0016303859171403 0.4
0.00423491052479226 0.35
0.0100442322467217
0.3
0.021752437858167
0.25
0.0430147903639586

P(Z)
0.0776687593856213 0.2
0.128054135667964 0.15
0.192778915837036 0.1
0.264998942837697
0.05
0.332619290428261
0
0.381214496756186 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42
0.398942280401433
Z
0.381214496756186
0.332619290428261
0.264998942837697
0.192778915837036
0.128054135667964
0.0776687593856213
0.0430147903639586
0.021752437858167
0.0100442322467217
0.00423491052479226
0.0016303859171403
0.000573132815354472
ormal

31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42
DISTRIBUCIÓN BETA

Variable
aleatoria X

Parametro alfa a 182 0.38

Parametro beta b 177 0.39
Media a/(a+b) 0.50696 0.4
Varianza ab/(a+b+1)(a+b)2 0.00069 0.41
0.42
0.43
0.44
0.45
0.46
0.47
0.48
0.49
0.5
0.51
0.52
0.53
0.54
0.55
0.56
0.57
0.58
0.59
0.6
0.61
0.62
 Probabilidad

Distribución Beta
0.000108018284819621 16
0.00067994497939094 14
0.00362416060770252 12
0.0164271057510014 10
8
0.0635590455314904
6
0.210617278122343
4

P(X)
0.599454375835003 2
1.46901855719234 0
3.10597675296635 38 0.
4 42 44 46 48 0.
5 99 99 99 99 99 62
0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 99 99 99 99 99 0.
5.67537122313948 9 9 9 9 9
99 99 99 99 99
999 9 99 9 99 9 99 9 99
8.97390323754811 9 9 9 9 9
99 99 99 99 99
12.2905244774764 . 51 . 53 . 55 . 57 .59
0 0 0 0 0
14.5888307403009
X
15.012080908947
13.3903495321302
10.348665086129
6.92433134350939
4.00662005545215
2.00185624571783
0.862037177777494
0.319205879872782
0.101368221659839
0.0275209696147448
0.00636502203225001
0.00124892897532043
99 99 99 62
99 99 0.
9 9 9
99 99
99 9 99
9
99
.59
0
DISTRIBUCIÓN EXPONENCIAL

Variable
aleatoria X

Lamda λ 26 0
Media 1/λ 0.03846 0.0125
Varianza 1/λ2 0.00148 0.025
0.0375
0.05
0.0625
0.075
0.0875
0.1
0.1125
0.125
0.1375
0.15
0.1625
0.175
0.1875
0.2
0.2125
0.225
0.2375
0.25
Probabilidad

Distribución Exponencial
26 30
18.7857111946939
25
13.5731901957864
9.80700119264208 20
7.08582661888433
5.11970355530905 15

P(X)
3.69912586124935
10
2.67271961931745
1.93111303357268 5
1.39528198973098
0
1.00812940362477 0 25 25 75 05 25 75 75 .1 25 25 75 15 25 75 75 .2 25 25 75
. 0 1 .1 3 0. 6 .1 8 0 1 .2 3
0.728401070129767 01 .0 03 0 .06 0.0 .08 1 1 1 1 2 2
0. 0 0. 0 0 0. 0 0. 0. 0 0. 0. 0 0.
0.526289697590914
X
0.380258702449449
0.274747313980169
0.198512449690359
0.14343067493978
0.103632585995336
0.0748773781102943
0.0541009538536878
0.0390894190174169
nencial

75 .15 625 175 875 0.2 125 225 375 .25

0 .1 0. .1 2 . 2 0
0 0 0. 0 0.
DISTRIBUCIÓN POISSON
Probabilidad
Variable
aleatoria X

Lamda λ 26 11 0.00046978006
Media λ 26 12 0.0010178568
Varianza λ 26 13 0.0020357136
14 0.00378061097
15 0.00655305901
16 0.0106487209
17 0.01628627902
18 0.02352462525
19 0.03219159244
20 0.04184907018
21 0.0518131345
22 0.06123370441
23 0.06922070934
24 0.07498910178
25 0.07798866585
26 0.07798866585
27 0.07510019675
28 0.06973589698
29 0.06252183867
30 0.05418559351
31 0.04544598166
32 0.0369248601
33 0.02909231402
34 0.02224706366
35 0.01652639015
36 0.01193572622
37 0.00838726707
38 0.00573865642
39 0.00382577094
40 0.00248675111
41 0.00157696412
 Distribución Poisson
0.09
0.08
0.07
0.06
0.05
P(X)

0.04
0.03
0.02
0.01
0
11121314151617181920212223242526272829303132333435363738394041
X
DISTRIBUCIÓN t STUDENT

Grados de
libertad tα,v
v 14

Nivel de significancia α 0.05 1 12.7062047362 12

2 4.30265272975 10
3 3.18244630528
4 2.7764451052 8
5 2.57058183564

t
6
6 2.44691185114
7 2.36462425159 4
8 2.3060041352
2
9 2.2621571628
10 2.22813885199 0
1 2 3 4 5 6
11 2.20098516009
12 2.17881282967
13 2.16036865646
14 2.14478668792
15 2.13144954556
16 2.11990529922
17 2.10981557783
18 2.10092204024
19 2.09302405441
20 2.08596344727
21 2.07961384473
22 2.0738730679
23 2.06865761042
24 2.06389856163
25 2.05953855275
26 2.05552943864
27 2.05183051648
28 2.0484071418
29 2.04522964213
30 2.0422724563
31 2.0395134464
 Distribución t Student
14

12

10

8
t

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
v
DISTRIBUCIÓN CHI CUADRADO

Grados de Distribució
libertad X21-α,v
v 1.2

Evento x 3 1 0.08326451666 1
2 0.22313016015
3 0.39162517627 0.8
4 0.55782540037
0.6
5 0.69998583588

t
6 0.80884683054
0.4
7 0.88500223164
8 0.93435754562 0.2
9 0.96429497269
10 0.98142406378 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10111
11 0.99072588637
12 0.99554401922
13 0.99793431737
14 0.99907400809
15 0.99959780145
16 0.99983043427
17 0.99993049826
18 0.99997226418
19 0.99998920947
20 0.9999959025
21 0.99999847966
22 0.99999944825
23 0.99999980397
24 0.99999993176
25 0.9999999767
26 0.9999999922
27 0.99999999743
28 0.99999999917
29 0.99999999974
30 0.99999999992
31 0.99999999997
 Distribución Chi cuadrado

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
v