Hipergeonomial
Hipergeonomial
Hipergeonomial
5.29 El dueño de una casa planta 6 bulbos seleccionados al azar de una caja que
contiene 5 bulbos de tulipán y de narciso. ¿Cuál es la probabilidad de que plante 2
bulbos de narciso y 4 de tulipán?
Solución:
Datos: N= 9, n= 6, k= 4, x= 2
4 9−4
P ( x =6 )
( 2 )( 6−2 )
(96 )
4 5
( 2 )( 4 )
m
=
er as
(96)
co
eH w
= 5/14
o.
P(x=6) = 0.35714 rs e
ou urc
5.30 Para evitar la detección en la aduana, un viajero coloca 6 comprimidos con
o
6 15−6 6 9
P ( x =1 )
( )(
1 3−1 ) =
( 1 )( 2) 216
=
( 6 ) ( 6 ) 455
15 15
is
Th
6 15−6 6 9
P ( x =2 )
( 2)( 3−2 ) ( 2)( 1 ) 135
= =
( 6 ) ( 6 ) 455
15 15
sh
6 15−6 6 9
P ( x =3 )
( 3 )( 3−3 ) ( 3 )( 0 ) 20
= =
( 6 ) ( 6 ) 455
15 15
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216 135 20
P(x=1) + P(x=2) + P(x=3) = + +
455 455 455
=53/65
= 0.81538
m
4 6−4 4 2
er as
( )(
2 3−2 ) ( 2 )( 1) 3
co
P ( x =2 ) = =
eH w
( 3) (3) 5
6 6
o.
( 4 6−4 rs e
4 2
3 )( 3−3 ) ( 3 )( 0 ) 1
ou urc
P ( x =3 ) = =
6 6 5
(3 ) (3 )
o
aC s
probabilidad de que?
a) los 4 puedan dispararse?
is
b) a lo sumo fallen 2?
Th
Solución:
A) Datos: N= 10, n= 4, k= 7, x= 4
7 10−7 7 3
sh
P ( x =4 )
( )(
4 4−4 ) =
( 4 )( 0 ) 1
=
(4) (4) 6
10 10
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B) Datos: N= 10, n= 4, k= 3, x= 1, 2
3 10−3 3 7
P ( x =0 )
( )(
0 4−0 ) =
( 0)( 4 ) 1
=
10 10 6
(4) (4)
3 10−3 3 7
P ( x =1 )
( 1 )( 4−1 ) ( 1 )(3 ) 1
= =
( 4) ( 4) 2
10 10
3 10−3 3 7
P ( x =2 )
( )(
2 4−2 ) =
( 2 )(2 ) 3
=
( 4 ) ( 4 ) 10
10 10
m
er as
P (x ≤ 2) = P(x=0) + P(x=1) + P(x=2) = 1/6 + ½ + 3/10 = 29/30
co
eH w
5.34 ¿Cuál es la probabilidad de que una camarera se rehúse a servir bebidas
o.
alcohólicas a sólo 2 menores si verifica al azar 5 identificaciones de 9 estudiantes,
rs e
de los cuales 4 son menores de edad?
ou urc
Datos: N= 9, n= 5, k= 4, x= 2
4 9−4 4 5
( 2 )( 5−2 ) ( 2 )( 3) 10
o
aC s
P ( x =1 ) = = =0.47619 ≈ 0.4762
( 5) ( 5 ) 21
9 9
vi y re
ed d
ar stu
DISTRIBUCION BINOMIAL
5.2 Se entregan dos altavoces idénticos a 12 personas y se les pide que los
is
escuchen para determinar si hay alguna diferencia entre ellos. Suponga que sus
Th
3( )
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5.4 En cierto distrito de la ciudad se establece que la causa de 75% de todos los
robos es la necesidad de dinero para comprar drogas. Calcule la probabilidad de
que entre los siguientes cinco casos de robo que se reporten en este distrito,
a) exactamente 2 sean resultado de la necesidad de dinero para comprar drogas.
b) a lo sumo 3 resulten de la necesidad de dinero para comprar drogas.
Solución:
A) Datos: n:5, x=2, p=0.75, q=0.25
2 ()
B) Datos: n:5, x=4,5, p=0.75, q=0.25
m
er as
P ( x =4 )= 5 ( 0.75 ) ( 0.25 ) =¿ 0.395507812
4 1
()
co
4
eH w
P ( x =5 )=( 5 ) ( 0.75 ) ( 0.25 ) =0.237304687
o.
5 0
5
rs e
ou urc
P(x≤3) = 1 – P(x=4) – P(x=5)
o
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P ( x ≥10 )=1−P ( x <10 )= 20 (0.3) (0.7)
x n− x
x ( )
P ( x =0 )= 20 ( 0.3 ) ( 0.7 ) =0.0007977922663
0 20
( )
0
m
er as
P ( x =5 )=( 20 ) ( 0.3 ) ( 0.7 ) =¿ 0.17886305
5 15
co
eH w
5
o.
P ( x =6 )=( 20 ) ( 0.3 ) ( 0.7 ) =¿ 0.191638982
6 14
6 rs e
ou urc
P ( x =7 )=( 20 )( 0.3 ) ( 0.7 ) =¿ 0.164261985
7 13
7
o
8
vi y re
9
ed d
+ P(x=9)
= 0.952037968
is
≈ 0.9520
Th
0( )
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P ( x =1 )= 20 ( 0.3 ) ( 0.7 )
1 19
( )
1
= 0.006839337111
m
er as
≈ 0.2375
co
eH w
o.
C) P (x=5)
rs e
ou urc
P ( x =5 )= 20 ( 0.3 ) ( 0.7 ) =¿ 0.17886305
5 15
5( ) ≈ 0.1789
o
aC s
vi y re
Solución:
sh
3 ()
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B) Datos: n=8, x=0,1,2,3,4 p=0.6, q=0.4
m
4
er as
co
= 1 – (P(x=0) + P(x=1) + P(x=2) + P(x=3) + P(x=4))
eH w
= 1 – 0.4059
o.
= 0.5941
rs e
ou urc
5.9 AL probar cierta clase de neumático para camión en un terreno accidentado,
o
que;
a) de 3 a 6 tengan ponchaduras
ed d
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P ( x =3 )= 15 ( 0.25 ) ( 0.75 ) =0.225199065
3 12
( )
3
m
0.943379689
er as
co
P (3 ≤ x ≤ 6) = P (x≤6) – P (x≤2)
eH w
P (3 ≤ x ≤ 6) = 0.943379689 - 0.236087811
o.
P (3 ≤ x ≤ 6) = 0.707292058
rs e
ou urc
P (3 ≤ x ≤ 6) ≈ 0.7073
o
B) P (x ≤ 4)
aC s
vi y re
2
Th
3
sh
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C) P (x > 5)
Datos: n=15, x>5, p=0.25, q=075
m
er as
P ( x =4 )=( 15) ( 0.25 ) ( 0.75 ) =0.225199065
4 11
co
4
eH w
P ( x =5 )=( 15 )( 0.25 ) ( 0.75 ) =0.165145981
5 10
o.
5
rs e
ou urc
P (x > 5) = 1 – P (x < 5)
o
P (x > 5) = 1 – 0.851632327
P (x > 5) = 0.148367673
P (x > 5) ≈ 0.1484
ed d
ar stu
is
Th
sh
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