Proyección A 5 Años
Proyección A 5 Años
Proyección A 5 Años
F
A
L
T
A
Valores
60.00%
12.00%
24.00%
3.50%
1.00%
40.00
5.00%
2.00%
60.00
140.00
0.00%
15.00%
80.00%
2.00
5%
28%
10%
Ventas
Ventas
Ventas
Anual respecto a Pasivo total
780,000.00
Ventas
dias
760,000.00
por ao
Ventas
740,000.00
dias
dias
720,000.00
Saldo Deudor de Ptmo cp
700,000.00
Anual respecto a Saldo deudor anterior
Activos Totales
y
=
9E+06ln(x)
-
7E+07
R
=
0.17765
Serie1
Logartmica
(Serie1)
680,000.00
Utilidad Neta
Utilidad Antes Impuestos
Resultados al Balance
660,000.00
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
Proyeccin de ventas
Aos
S/.
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
668,168.00
731,341.00
757,967.00
674,337.00
719,236.50
723,749.80
728,263.10
732,776.40
737,289.70
90%
80%
75%
70%
60%
60%
2,015
60%
2,016
60%
2,017
60%
2,018
60%
2,019
719,236.50
(298,538.50)
(174)
723,749.80
(286,360.90)
(188)
728,263.10
(274,183.30)
(203)
732,776.40
(262,005.70)
(217)
737,289.70
(249,828.10)
(232)
431,541.90
(86,308.38)
(172,616.76)
172,616.76
7,192.37
(16,775.69)
163,033.43
(45,649.36)
117,384.07
(5,869.20)
111,514.87
11,151.49
100,363.38
434,249.88
(86,849.98)
(173,699.95)
173,699.95
7,237.50
(16,418.18)
164,519.27
(46,065.40)
118,453.87
(5,922.69)
112,531.18
11,253.12
101,278.06
436,957.86
(87,391.57)
(174,783.14)
174,783.14
7,282.63
(16,089.43)
165,976.34
(46,473.38)
119,502.97
(5,975.15)
113,527.82
11,352.78
102,175.04
439,665.84
(87,933.17)
(175,866.34)
175,866.34
7,327.76
(15,785.13)
167,408.97
(46,874.51)
120,534.46
(6,026.72)
114,507.73
11,450.77
103,056.96
442,373.82
(88,474.76)
(176,949.53)
176,949.53
7,372.90
(15,501.61)
168,820.81
(47,269.83)
121,550.98
(6,077.55)
115,473.43
11,547.34
103,926.09
Ao 2015
163,033.43
163,033.43
163,033.43
(45,649.36)
Ao 2016
164,519.27
327,552.70
164,519.27
(46,065.40)
Ao 2017
165,976.34
493,529.05
165,976.34
(46,473.38)
Ao 2018
167,408.97
660,938.02
167,408.97
(46,874.51)
Ao 2019
168,820.81
829,758.83
168,820.81
(47,269.83)
647,312.85
578,999.84
546,197.33
512,943.48
442,373.82
Ao 2015
Ao 2016
Ao 2017
Ao 2018
Valor de Liquidacin
Ao 2019
18,002.50
669,607.50
79,915.17
125,820.85
14,384.73
49,756.42
957,487.16
14,643.60
783,200.08
80,416.64
119,529.81
14,475.00
47,726.82
1,059,991.95
11,284.70
898,311.06
80,918.12
113,553.32
14,565.26
45,697.22
1,164,329.68
7,925.80
1,014,816.17
81,419.60
107,875.65
14,655.53
43,667.62
1,270,360.37
4,566.90
1,132,611.36
81,921.08
102,481.87
14,745.79
41,638.02
1,377,965.01
378,988.00
(173.79)
378,814.21
1,336,301.37
378,988.00
(362.06)
378,625.95
1,438,617.89
378,988.00
(564.80)
378,423.21
1,542,752.89
378,988.00
(782.01)
378,205.99
1,648,566.36
378,988.00
(1,013.70)
377,974.30
1,755,939.31
116,098.31
142,457.00
111,362.57
142,457.00
106,626.84
142,457.00
101,891.11
142,457.00
97,155.37
142,457.00
258,555.31
253,819.57
249,083.84
244,348.11
239,612.37
36,526.20
184,224.00
220,750.20
479,305.51
31,047.27
184,224.00
215,271.27
469,090.84
26,390.18
184,224.00
210,614.18
459,698.02
22,431.65
184,224.00
206,655.65
451,003.76
19,066.90
184,224.00
203,290.90
442,903.28
344,961.00
344,961.00
344,961.00
344,961.00
344,961.00
11,151.49
400,520.00
100,363.38
856,995.87
1,336,301.37
-
22,404.60
500,883.38
101,278.06
969,527.05
1,438,617.89
-
33,757.39
602,161.44
102,175.04
1,083,054.87
1,542,752.89
-
45,208.16
704,336.48
103,056.96
1,197,562.60
1,648,566.36
-
56,755.50
807,393.44
103,926.09
1,313,036.04
1,755,939.31
-
Ao 2014
(6,265.00)
Ao 2015
687,610.00
Ao 2016
797,843.68
Ao 2017
909,595.76
Ao 2018
1,022,741.97
172,616.76
173.79
(45,649.36)
(25,753.86)
614,386.00
715,773.33
7,192.37
173,699.95
188.27
(46,065.40)
2,993.17
0.00
130,815.99
7,237.50
174,783.14
202.74
(46,473.38)
2,678.61
(0.00)
131,191.12
7,282.63
175,866.34
217.22
(46,874.51)
2,379.79
0.00
131,588.83
7,327.76
176,949.53
231.69
(47,269.83)
2,095.91
0.00
132,007.30
7,372.90
(6,445.80)
0.00
(16,775.69)
(23,221.49)
0.00
(5,869.20)
(5,869.20)
(21,898.33)
687,610.00
(5,478.93)
0.00
(16,418.18)
(21,897.11)
0.00
(5,922.69)
(5,922.69)
(20,582.31)
797,843.68
(4,657.09)
0.00
(16,089.43)
(20,746.52)
0.00
(5,975.15)
(5,975.15)
(19,439.04)
909,595.76
(3,958.53)
0.00
(15,785.13)
(19,743.66)
0.00
(6,026.72)
(6,026.72)
(18,442.62)
1,022,741.97
(3,364.75)
0.00
(15,501.61)
(18,866.36)
0.00
(6,077.55)
(6,077.55)
(17,571.01)
1,137,178.26
Efect Tribut
98.00%
80.00%
80.00%
80.00%
0.00%
80.00%
4,475.56
906,089.09
65,536.86
81,985.49
33,310.41
1,091,397.42
25.57
63,426.24
4,587.58
5,738.98
4,128.82
2,331.73
80,238.93
80.00%
302,379.44
1,393,776.86
21,166.56
101,405.49
97,155.37
142,457.00
0.00
239,612.37
19,066.90
184,224.00
442,903.28 Exigible de Liquidacin
950,873.58 Valor Residual
101,405.49 Efecto tribut de Liquidacin
1,052,279.07 Valor Residual ajustado con impuestos
Ao 2014
Ao 2017
11,285
Ao 2018
7,926
4,567
0.00
10.00
783,200.08
-
0.00
10.00
898,311.06
-
0.00
10.00
1,014,816.17
-
0.00
10.00
1,132,611.36
-
(40.00)
40.00
60.00
140.00
557,463.64
298,538.50
258,925.14
(40.00)
40.00
60.00
140.00
546,910.83
286,360.90
260,549.93
(40.00)
40.00
60.00
140.00
536,358.02
274,183.30
262,174.72
(40.00)
40.00
60.00
140.00
525,805.20
262,005.70
263,799.50
(40.00)
40.00
60.00
140.00
515,252.39
249,828.10
265,424.29
Ao 2014
Ao 2015
Ao 2016
Ao 2017
Ao 2018
172,616.76
173.79
(48,332.69)
173,699.95
188.27
(48,635.99)
174,783.14
202.74
(48,939.28)
175,866.34
217.22
(49,242.57)
176,949.53
231.69
(49,545.87)
(48,420.78)
614,386.00
690,423.08
151.29
0.00
125,403.52
151.29
(0.00)
126,197.89
151.29
0.00
126,992.27
151.29
0.00
1,180,065.71
5,178.50
(669,607.50)
6,622.15
(8,222.73)
(666,029.58)
5,211.00
(113,592.58)
6,291.04
(90.27)
(102,180.81)
5,243.49
(115,110.98)
5,976.49
(90.27)
(103,981.26)
5,275.99
(116,505.11)
5,677.67
(90.27)
(105,641.72)
5,308.49
(117,795.18)
5,393.78
(90.27)
(107,183.18)
(6,445.80)
(12,078.50)
(18,524.30)
0.00
(5,869.20)
(5,869.20)
(690,423.08)
(5,478.93)
(11,821.09)
(17,300.02)
0.00
(5,922.69)
(5,922.69)
(125,403.52)
(4,657.09)
(11,584.39)
(16,241.48)
0.00
(5,975.15)
(5,975.15)
(126,197.89)
(3,958.53)
(11,365.29)
(15,323.82)
0.00
(6,026.72)
(6,026.72)
(126,992.27)
(3,364.75)
(11,161.16)
(14,525.91)
0.00
(6,077.55)
(6,077.55)
(127,786.64)
Ao 2014
Ao 2015
Ao 2016
Ao 2017
Ao 2018
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Tasa de descuento
Concepto
Deuda
Accionistas
WACC (CPPC)
Ao 2016
14,644
0.00
10.00
669,607.50
-
Ao 2015
18,003
%
66.67%
33.33%
miles de S/.
14.00%
22.00%
17%
460,400.28
230,200.14
690,600.42
Anlisis de cuentas
Cifras en miles de Nuevos Soles
Capital de Trabajo Total
Activo Corriente (excepto caja)
Pasivo Corriente (excepto sobregiros)
Capital de Trabajo Neto
Saldo inicial
Saldo final
Variacin de Capital de Trabajo Neto
Capital de Trabajo Operativo
Activo circulante operativo
Caja Bancos
Clientes
Inventarios
Total Activo circulante operativo
Pasivo circulante operativo
Sobregiro Bancario
Proveedores
Total Pasivo circulante operativo
Capital de Trabajo Neto Operativo
Saldo inicial
Saldo final
Variac Capital de Trabajo Neto Oper
Deuda
Prstamos bancarios corto plazo
Nuevos prstamos
Prstamos de largo plazo
Total Deuda
Saldo inicial
Saldo final
Variacin de Deuda
Ao 2014
269,877.16
258,555.31
11,321.86
Ao 2015
262,148.26
253,819.57
8,328.69
Ao 2016
254,733.92
249,083.84
5,650.08
Ao 2017
247,618.40
244,348.11
3,270.29
Ao 2018
240,786.76
239,612.37
1,174.38
(14,432.00)
11,321.86
(25,753.86)
11,321.86
8,328.69
2,993.17
8,328.69
5,650.08
2,678.61
5,650.08
3,270.29
2,379.79
3,270.29
1,174.38
2,095.91
Ao 2014
Ao 2015
Ao 2016
Ao 2017
Ao 2018
18,002.50
79,915.17
49,756.42
147,674.08
14,643.60
80,416.64
47,726.82
142,787.06
11,284.70
80,918.12
45,697.22
137,900.04
7,925.80
81,419.60
43,667.62
133,013.02
4,566.90
81,921.08
41,638.02
128,125.99
0.00
116,098.31
116,098.31
31,575.78
0.00
111,362.57
111,362.57
31,424.49
0.00
106,626.84
106,626.84
31,273.20
0.00
101,891.11
101,891.11
31,121.91
0.00
97,155.37
97,155.37
30,970.62
(16,845.00)
31,575.78
(48,420.78)
31,575.78
31,424.49
151.29
31,424.49
31,273.20
151.29
31,273.20
31,121.91
151.29
31,121.91
30,970.62
151.29
Ao 2014
142,457.00
0.00
36,526.20
178,983.20
Ao 2015
142,457.00
0.00
31,047.27
173,504.27
Ao 2016
142,457.00
0.00
26,390.18
168,847.18
Ao 2017
142,457.00
0.00
22,431.65
164,888.65
Ao 2018
142,457.00
0.00
19,066.90
161,523.90
185,429.00
178,983.20
(6,445.80)
178,983.20
173,504.27
(5,478.93)
173,504.27
168,847.18
(4,657.09)
168,847.18
164,888.65
(3,958.53)
164,888.65
161,523.90
(3,364.75)