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Revision as of 20:42, 2 November 2024

For related races, see 2024 United States Senate elections.

2024 United States Senate election in Maryland
← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →
 
Nominee Angela Alsobrooks Larry Hogan
Party Democratic Republican
County results
Incumbent U.S. senator

Ben Cardin
Democratic



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The 2024 United States Senate election in Maryland will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Maryland. Democratic Prince George's County executive Angela Alsobrooks and Republican former Governor Larry Hogan are seeking their first term in office. The winner will succeed Democratic incumbent Ben Cardin, who is not seeking a fourth term.[1]

After Cardin announced his retirement, Alsobrooks and Congressman David Trone emerged as the frontrunners in the Democratic primary. Although Trone heavily outspent Alsobrooks and led most public opinion polls, Alsobrooks won her party's nomination with 53% of the vote after taking a polling lead during the primary's final weeks. Hogan, who entered the race hours before the filling deadline, quickly emerged as the Republican frontrunner and won his party's nomination with 64% of the vote against former state delegate Robin Ficker.

Despite Maryland's status as a reliably Democratic state, the election is considered more competitive than usual due to Hogan's popularity, reputation as a moderate Republican, and opposition to former president Donald Trump.[2] Alsobrooks is still considered the favorite to win, due to Maryland's heavy Democratic lean and the concurrent presidential election.[3] Republicans have not won a Senate election in Maryland since 1980.

Background

See also: Political party strength in Maryland

At the federal and state level, Maryland is a deeply blue state and one of the most reliably Democratic states in the nation, with Joe Biden carrying it by 33 points in the 2020 presidential election. Elections in Maryland are dominated by the Baltimore metropolitan area and the D.C. suburbs.[4] Democrats currently occupy both Senate seats, seven out of eight House seats, supermajorities in both houses of the state legislature, and all statewide offices.

Republicans have not won Maryland's Class 1 seat since 1970.[5] Although the entry of former Maryland governor Larry Hogan is expected to make the race more competitive, the winner of the Democratic primary is favored to win in the general election given that Republicans have not won a Senate seat in the state of Maryland since 1980. The decline of split-ticket voting in U.S. Senate races is expected to favor the Democrats for this race.[6][7][8] In order for Hogan to win, he would likely need to outperform Trump by at least 25 percent, comparable to Doug Jones in Alabama in 2017 and Joe Manchin in West Virginia in 2018.[3] Hogan led in most polls through April 2024,[9] but polls in May showed both Trone and Alsobrooks leading against Hogan, and a higher number of undecided voters.[10]

Alsobrooks continued to lead Hogan in general election polling, but with a smaller lead than Democrats usually enjoy in Maryland.[11]

Democratic primary

Campaign

Cardin speaking on a stage with a "My Friend Ben Cardin for U.S. Senate" logo on a projector in the background
Ben Cardin in 2023

In the early months of 2023, Cardin's low fundraising and cash-on-hand numbers led to speculation that he would retire.[12][13] Several potential candidates, including Angela Alsobrooks and David Trone, began hiring campaign advisers in anticipation of Cardin's possible retirement,[14] which he announced on May 1, 2023, ending a political career that spanned over 50 years.[15]

The following day, at-large Montgomery County Councilmember Will Jawando announced that he would run for Senate.[16] He was joined by Trone[17] and Alsobrooks[18] later in the week. Upon Trone's entry into the race, the Democratic primary quickly developed into a contest between money and endorsements,[19] with Alsobrooks receiving major endorsements from the Maryland Democratic establishment[20][21] and Trone self-financing his campaign with $61 million in personal loans,[22] which he said protects him from political influence and would allow the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee to focus its resources on more competitive races.[23][24] Trone suggested that he could spend as much as $50 million on the race.[25] Despite Trone's ad blitz, independent polling portrayed him as only the slight favorite in the Democratic primary.[26][27]

Angela Alsobrooks (left) and David Trone (right) in 2023

During the Democratic primary, Jawando and Trone sought to present themselves as progressives and political outsiders, pointing to their careers and political records,[28][29] despite Trone's record in Congress being more aligned with its moderate members.[30] Alsobrooks, meanwhile, emphasized "kitchen-table" issues such as community safety and health care in her campaign while also focusing on her political career.[31][32] Candidates campaigned heavily in the Baltimore metropolitan area, which was seen as a key battleground in the Democratic primary[33][34] as Trone and Alsobrooks were expected to dominate in their respective home counties of Montgomery and Prince George's County, which are of similar sizes and were considered likely to cancel each other out in the primary results.[35] This was not the case, as Alsobrooks not only bested Trone in Montgomery County, but also in most of Maryland's other urban counties.[36]

Alsobrooks and Trone, who were viewed by media outlets as the frontrunners,[37][38] faced controversies that had the potential to damage their campaigns: Alsobrooks' record as a prosecutor was scrutinized by progressive-media outlet The Intercept,[39] while Trone faced criticism for his campaign contributions toward Republican politicians through Total Wine & More[40][41] and for political gaffes made during the campaign,[42][43][44] including his accidental use of a racial slur during a congressional hearing.[45] On the campaign trail, Alsobrooks criticized Trone for these contributions and for spending heavily in the race, while Trone characterized Alsobrooks as a "career politician" with an insufficient record on reproductive rights, criticized her for not including any Latinos in her cabinet,[46] and suggested she would be influenced by the corporations that had donated to her campaign.[47] Alsobrooks and some of her supporters, including Maryland treasurer Dereck E. Davis and Prince George's County councilmember Jolene Ivey, expressed concerns that Trone's comments toward Alsobrooks and her supporters could make coalescing around Trone difficult if he becomes the Democratic nominee; Trone supporters, including state delegate Joseline Peña-Melnyk, dismissed these concerns. Peña-Melnyk said that Democrats should "focus on the issues" going into the election and not "make that mistake again" as happened with Larry Hogan's victory in 2014.[48][49] In interviews with WTOP-FM before the primary election, both candidates said that they will support the Democratic nominee in the general election.[50][51]

Jawando dropped out of the race on October 20, 2023, and later endorsed Alsobrooks,[52] leaving a contest between Alsobrooks and Trone in the Democratic primary.[53][5] Alsobrooks was seen as the early frontrunner of the Democratic primary, but momentum quickly built up behind Trone's campaign as he self-funded his campaign and its nonstop media blitz, which increased his name recognition and approval ratings in polling and overwhelmed the Alsobrooks campaign's resources.[54] The Democratic primary has been compared to the primary in Maryland's 2016 U.S. Senate election, in which Chris Van Hollen defeated Donna Edwards.[24] Upon former governor Larry Hogan's entry into the race, the Democratic primary largely transformed into a contest to determine which candidate had the best chance of defeating him, with candidates shifting from talking about their experience and leadership styles to talking about national issues—such as abortion, the U.S. Supreme Court, and Donald Trump—and criticizing Hogan's legislative record as governor.[55]

Alsobrooks trailed Trone in public opinion polls for most of the Democratic primary, but enjoyed a surge of support in the final weeks of the election as voters finally tuned into the election and while Trone's campaign suffered from various gaffes he had made on the campaign trail.[56] She defeated Trone in the Democratic primary election on May 14, 2024,[57] with her support largely coming from the state's highly-populated and urban counties, especially in her home base of Prince George's County, while majority votes for Trone came from Maryland's rural areas and Frederick County.[58]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Angela Alsobrooks
U.S. ambassadors
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide elected officials
State cabinet officials
State legislators
County officials
Mayors
Other local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
David Trone
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
Statewide elected officials
State legislators
County officials
Local officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Will Jawando (withdrawn)
Executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Declined to endorse
U.S. senators
Party officials
Organizations

Debates and forums

From left to right: Steve Seuferer, Andrew Wildman, Marcellus Crews, Angela Alsobrooks, David Trone, Robert Houton, and Brian Frydenborg
Democratic candidates debating at the Montgomery County Women's Democratic Club forum, 2024

A straw poll was held during the Maryland Democratic Party's forum on the Eastern Shore, which was won by Alsobrooks, who received 125 votes to Trone's 98 votes and Dominguez's 15 votes.[151]

A televised debate between Alsobrooks and Trone hosted by WBAL-TV and WRC-TV was set to be held on April 23, 2024, but was cancelled after Trone refused to commit to the debate.[152] Both campaigns agreed to attend a different televised debate hosted by WBFF and WJLA-TV a few days later, which was held on April 19.[153][154] A second televised debate was held by WDCW on April 29, 2024, which was attended by Alsobrooks while Trone declined to attend.[155]

2024 Maryland Democratic Senate primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Alsobrooks Crews Frydenborg Trone Others
1[156] Oct 24, 2023 Maryland Federation of NARFE Barbara Cuffee N/A A N N P –
2[151] Nov 3, 2023 Maryland Democratic Party Sam Shoge N/A P N N P P[i]
3[46] Dec 3, 2023 Latino Democrats of
Prince George's County 		Patricia Villone
William Ford 		Website P N N P P[i]
4[157] Mar 2, 2024 Montgomery County
Women's Democratic Club 		Jennifer Rubin N/A P P P P P[j]
5[158] Mar 8, 2024 Prince George's
County NAACP 		Ebony McMorris
Jordan Howlette 		YouTube P N N P –
6[159] Mar 11, 2024 Frederick County
Conservative Club 		Jonathan Jenkins
Matthew Foldi 		Facebook A N A A P[k]
7[160] Mar 16, 2024 Baltimore City Democratic
State Central Committee 		Karenthia Barber Facebook I
Facebook II 		P N P A P[l]
8[161] Mar 21, 2024 League of Women Voters
of Maryland 		N/A N/A P P P A P[m]
9[162] Mar 28, 2024 Democratic Club of
Leisure World 		Louis Peck
Erin Cox 		N/A P N N P –
10[139] Apr 2, 2024 Maryland Matters
Maryland League of
Conservation Voters 		Josh Kurtz
Staci Hartwell
Linda Kohn
Sydney Nwuli 		YouTube P N N P –
11[163] Apr 6, 2024 Frederick County
Democratic Party 		N/A Facebook P P P A –
12[164] Apr 7, 2024 Baltimore County Democratic
State Central Committee 		Jayne Miller Facebook
X (Twitter) 		P N N A –
13[154] Apr 19, 2024 WBFF
The Baltimore Sun 		Kai Jackson YouTube P N N P –
14[155] Apr 29, 2024 WDCW Chris Flanagan
Anna-Lysa Gayle 		Website
YouTube 		P N N A –
15 Apr 29, 2024 First Baptist Church
of Glenarden 		Lou Holder Facebook P P P A –
16[165] Apr 30, 2024 Caucus of African
American Leaders 		Justin J. Pearson Facebook P P N P –

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Angela Alsobrooks (D) $12,473,586 $8,913,984 $3,559,602
David Trone (D) $63,609,667[n] $66,437,974 $195,103
Source: Federal Election Commission[166]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[o] 		Margin
of error 		Angela
Alsobrooks 		David
Trone 		Other Undecided
Concord Public Opinion Partners[A] May 2−9, 2024 460 (RV) ± 4.52% 39% 34% 27%
Emerson College[B] May 6−8, 2024 462 (RV) ± 4.5% 47% 44% 9%[p] –[q]
42% 41% 5%[r] 12%
OpinionWorks[C] April 7−10, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 38% 50% – 12%
29% 48% 10%[s] 12%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group[D] April 8−10, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 43% – 17%
Goucher College[E] March 19−24, 2024 408 (LV) ± 4.9% 33% 42% >1% 24%
SurveyUSA March 13−18, 2024 550 (LV) ± 5.4% 28% 40% 11%[t] 21%
Braun Research[F] March 5−12, 2024 525 (RV) ± 4.5% 27% 34% – 39%
Hickman Analytics[G] February 13−18, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 32% 49% 1% 18%
Emerson College[B] February 12−13, 2024 543 (RV) ± 3.0% 17% 32% 14%[u] 37%
Hickman Analytics[G] January 18−24, 2024 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 34% 45% 1% 21%
Hickman Analytics[G] November 27–30, 2023 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 34% 41% 1% 25%
RMG Research[H] November 15–17, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 25% 45% 5%[v] 25%
Victoria Research[I] November 9–13, 2023 813 (LV) – 31% 36% – 18%

Results

Results by county:
  Alsobrooks
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Trone
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Results by precinct:
  Alsobrooks
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
  Trone
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
  Tie
  •   40–50%
  •   50%
  No data/No votes
Democratic primary results[167]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Angela Alsobrooks 357,052 53.37%
Democratic David Trone 286,381 42.80%
Democratic Joseph Perez 4,688 0.70%
Democratic Michael Cobb 4,524 0.68%
Democratic Brian Frydenborg 3,635 0.54%
Democratic Scottie Griffin 3,579 0.53%
Democratic Marcellus Crews 3,379 0.51%
Democratic Andrew Wildman 2,198 0.33%
Democratic Robert Houton 1,946 0.29%
Democratic Steve Seuferer 1,664 0.25%
Total votes 669,046 100.00%

Republican primary

Campaign

Larry Hogan (left) and Robin Ficker (right) in 2017

Several Republican candidates entered the race, with the most notable being former Maryland governor Larry Hogan.[168] Retired U.S. Air Force brigadier general John Teichert was long viewed as the frontrunner[169] until Hogan's surprise entry into the race hours before the candidate filing deadline,[7][170] which prompted Teichert to withdraw from the race on February 16 and endorse Hogan, leaving him with only token opposition remaining in the primary.[171] This comes two years after Hogan declined to run for U.S. Senate against Chris Van Hollen, and it was presumed that a 2024 presidential bid would be more likely for the former governor.[172]

The Republican primary results had the potential to show the rift within the Maryland Republican Party, whose base has grown frustrated with Hogan for opposing former President Donald Trump.[173][174] Robin Ficker, a perennial candidate and disbarred attorney, positioned himself as a protest candidate against Hogan by aligning himself with Trump, but opinion polls showed Hogan with a substantial lead over Ficker.[175]

Hogan would end up easily defeating Ficker in the Republican primary on May 14, 2024, becoming the Republican nominee for the seat.[176] Hogan's support came largely from the state's highly-populated and urban counties, which tend to vote for Democratic candidates, while Ficker's support came from its rural areas.[58]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Larry Hogan
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. senators
State legislators
Organizations
John Teichert (withdrawn)
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide elected officials
State cabinet officials
  • Mike Gill, former Maryland Secretary of Commerce (2015–2019; 2022–2023)[131]
State senators
State delegates

Debates and forums

2024 Maryland Republican Senate primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Barakat Ficker Friend Myrick Seyoum
1[159] Mar 11, 2024 Frederick County
Conservative Club 		Jonathan Jenkins
Matthew Foldi 		Facebook P P P P P
2[161] Mar 21, 2024 League of Women Voters
of Maryland 		N/A N/A A P A P A
3 Apr 29, 2024 First Baptist Church
of Glenarden 		Lou Holder Facebook A A A P A

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mohammed Barakat (R) $2,212 $2,124 $87
Robin Ficker (R) $4,430,740[w] $4,427,872 $1,198
Lorie Friend (R)[x] $1,227[y] $3,699 $0
Larry Hogan (R) $7,003,571 $4,340,175 $2,663,396
John Myrick (R) $8,019[z] $7,359 $660
Source: Federal Election Commission[166]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[o] 		Margin
of error 		Chris
Chaffee 		Robin
Ficker 		Larry
Hogan 		John
Myrick 		Other Undecided
Emerson College[B] May 6−8, 2024 248 (RV) ± 6.2% 2% 18% 56% 2% 4%[aa] 20%
OpinionWorks[C] April 7−10, 2024 451 (LV) ± 4.6% 2% 9% 69% 3% 7%[ab] 12%
SurveyUSA March 13−18, 2024 300 (LV) ± 6.7% 4% 9% 55% 1% 9%[ac] 22%
Emerson College[B] February 12−13, 2024 246 (RV) ± 3.0% 2% 6% 43% 2% 6%[ad] 43%

Results

Results by county:
  Hogan
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Ficker
  •   40–50%
Results by precinct:
  Hogan
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
  Ficker
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
  Tie
  •   40–50%
  •   50%
  No data/No votes
Republican primary results[167]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Larry Hogan 183,661 64.18%
Republican Robin Ficker 79,517 27.79%
Republican Chris Chaffee 9,134 3.19%
Republican Lorie Friend 5,867 2.05%
Republican John A. Myrick 4,987 1.74%
Republican Moe Barakat 2,203 0.77%
Republican Laban Seyoum 782 0.27%
Total votes 286,151 100.00%

Third-party and independent candidates

Candidates

Declared

Declared write-ins

  • Patrick Burke (American Solidarity Party), retired city planner[189]
  • Billy Bridges (Independent), retired military veteran[189]
  • Irwin Gibbs (Independent)[189]
  • Christy Helmondollar (Independent), sales associate[189]
  • Robin Rowe (Independent), programmer[189]

Failed to qualify

  • Emmanuel Osuchukwu (Independent), security guard[190]

Withdrawn

Declined

Debates and forums

Osuchukwu attended the NARFE Maryland Federation forum on October 24, 2023.[156]

General election

Campaign

Angela Alsobrooks (right) and Larry Hogan (left) in 2022

The issue of abortion was a major issue in the general election, with Maryland voters set to vote on enshrining reproductive rights into the state constitution alongside the Senate election.[192] Anticipating this, Hogan sought to move to the left of his party by supporting federal legislation to restore the Roe v. Wade decision and the Maryland abortion referendum, though declining to support the Women's Health Protection Act.[193] Alsobrooks promised to cosponsor the Women's Health Protection Act[194] and criticized Hogan for his veto of the Abortion Care Access Act in 2022, which expanded the kinds of medical professionals that could perform abortions and provided $3.5 million in state funding to train these professionals.[195][196]

Governor Moore and actor Michael Ealy campaigning with Alsobrooks, 2024

Alsobrooks scrutinized Hogan's legislative record—including his vetoes on legislation to require background checks on firearm sales, increase the minimum wage, provide paid family and medical leave, and expand abortion care—and sought to associate him with generic Republicans.[197][198][199] Democrats also attempted to nationalize the race by reminding voters that a Hogan win could cause Republicans to take control of the U.S. Senate, thereby allowing them to block Kamala Harris's agenda and pass Donald Trump's policies.[200] Maryland Governor Wes Moore also played a role in campaigning against Hogan,[201][202] with several of his top advisors leaving their positions in the Moore administration to form a political action committee called Unity First PAC to support Alsobrooks and other downballot Democratic nominees.[203][204][205] Following Joe Biden's withdrawal from the 2024 presidential election, Alsobrooks sought to tie herself closely with Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris, believing that her candidacy will have a coattail effect on downballot elections.[206][207][208]

Hogan campaigned on the issues of immigration, crime, and public safety in the general election while also relying on his popularity with Maryland voters to win over support from moderate Democrats and unaffiliated voters.[209][58] He also sought to bring attention to his achievements while governor, including his efforts to cut taxes and his handling of the 2015 Baltimore protests and the COVID-19 pandemic in Maryland.[209] Hogan criticized Alsobrooks's record on fiscal issues and her handling of crime and policing in Prince George's County, saying that crime has increased during her tenure as county executive and highlighting the county's May 2024 Moody's Ratings outlook downgrade from stable to negative as a result of the statewide Blueprint for Maryland's Future implementation.[210]

Hogan's candidacy has the potential to transform the general election into a test of his popularity, among both Democrats, who outnumber registered Republicans 2-to-1 and were key to Hogan's successes in past elections;[211] and Republicans, who may opt against voting in the general election as a result of Hogan's criticism of Trump.[212] Mileah Kromer, a political scientist and pollster at the University of Maryland, Baltimore County, estimated that 25–30% of registered Democrats voted for Hogan in past gubernatorial elections; polling conducted for the Senate election in late September 2024 has shown Hogan receiving support from 14 percent of registered Democrats.[213]

In May 2024, Hogan posted on X (formerly Twitter) to say that Americans should "respect the verdict and the legal process," in reference to any decision made in the Donald Trump hush money trial.[214] Later that day, a jury found Trump guilty on all charges.[215] This caused Hogan backlash among some pro-Trump Republicans, most notably including senior Trump campaign advisor Chris LaCivita, who replied to Hogan's post saying that Hogan's campaign has "ended";[214] as well Lara Trump, the co-chair of the Republican National Committee (RNC) and daughter-in-law to the former president. Lara Trump said in an interview that "[Hogan] doesn’t deserve the respect of anyone in the Republican Party at this point, and quite frankly, anybody in America." She (and later RNC chairman Michael Whatley)[216] also declined to say whether or not the RNC would withhold monetary support from Hogan's campaign;[217] withholding support from Hogan's campaign would have significant implications for the general election, as the Maryland Republican Party is not as well-resourced as the Maryland Democratic Party.[218] Ultimately, in mid-June 2024, former President Donald Trump endorsed Hogan's senatorial campaign, which may help Hogan among Republicans but may also hurt his performance among Democratic voters.[219] Though Hogan publicly rejected Trump's endorsement, it was reported by CNN in October 2024 that Hogan was privately touting the endorsement to donors, believing it would help unify Republicans around his campaign.[220]

Both candidates have received extensive support from super PACs. Political action committees supporting Alsobrooks include Women Vote PAC and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, both of which have ran ads criticizing Hogan's record as governor—especially toward the issue of abortion—and emphasizing that a Hogan victory could cause Republicans to take control of the U.S. Senate. Political action committees supporting Hogan, including the National Republican Senatorial Committee and Maryland's Future PAC—which has received significant financial support from Republican megadonors Kenneth C. Griffin and Harlan Crow—have run ads criticizing Alsobrooks for improperly benefiting from tax breaks she did not qualify for (which she has since pledged to pay back) and claiming that she would support raising Social Security taxes.[221] Libertarian nominee Mike Scott has also received support from the newly-established Save Western Culture super PAC, which has campaigned against Hogan for his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic and recognizing Biden's victory in the 2020 United States presidential election.[222]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[223] Likely D July 11, 2024
Inside Elections[224] Likely D May 9, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[225] Likely D April 17, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[226] Safe D June 8, 2024
Elections Daily[227] Solid D May 4, 2023
CNalysis[228] Solid D November 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics[229] Lean D September 15, 2024
Split Ticket[230] Safe D October 23, 2024
538[231] Solid D October 23, 2024

Post-primary endorsements

Angela Alsobrooks (D)
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide elected officials
State legislators
County officials
Other local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Larry Hogan (R)
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. ambassadors
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State cabinet officials
State legislators
County officials
Party officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations

Debates and forums

There was some initial uncertainty around when a debate will be held between Alsobrooks and Hogan in the general election.[334] On August 20, the Alsobrooks and Hogan campaigns agreed to a single debate—hosted by MPT and local NBC affiliates, and moderated by Chuck Todd—which was held on October 10, 2024.[335]

2024 United States Senate general election in Maryland debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:

 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn

Alsobrooks Hogan
1[336] September 24, 2024 The Spokesman Antonia Hylton
Lillian Stephens
Aleisha Robinson
Tavon Thomasson 		N/A P A
2[337] October 10, 2024 Maryland Public Television Chuck Todd YouTube
C-SPAN 		P P
3 October 22, 2024 Maryland Disabilities Forum Chris Mason-Hale
Tracy Wright
Lianne Brown 		YouTube P P

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Angela Alsobrooks (D) $28,461,432 $25,775,998 $2,685,434
Larry Hogan (R) $10,943,516 $9,324,222 $1,619,295
Source: Federal Election Commission[166]

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Angela
Alsobrooks (D) 		Larry
Hogan (R) 		Undecided
[aj] 		Margin
FiveThirtyEight through October 30, 2024 October 31, 2024 51.4% 40.8% 7.8% Alsobrooks +10.5%
RCP August 24 – October 21, 2024 October 23, 2024 50.8% 39.5% 9.7% Alsobrooks +11.3%
270toWin October 9–24, 2024 October 24, 2024 51.3% 39.3% 9.4% Alsobrooks +12.0%
TheHill/DDHQ through October 30, 2024 October 31, 2024 53.8% 41.0% 5.2% Alsobrooks +12.8%
Average 51.8% 40.2% 8.0% Alsobrooks+11.6%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[o] 		Margin
of error 		Angela
Alsobrooks (D) 		Larry
Hogan (R) 		Other Undecided
Chism Strategies October 28–30, 2024 510 (LV) ± 4.34% 48% 40% 2%[ak] 10%
ActiVote October 7–30, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 57% 43% – –
Braun Research[F] October 17–22, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.6% 52% 40% 4%[al] 4%[am]
1,000 (RV) ± 3.6% 51% 39% 5%[an] 4%[ao]
Emerson College[B] October 19–21, 2024 865 (LV) ± 3.2% 57% 43% – –
54% 40% – 6%
Morning Consult October 6–15, 2024 490 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 38% 2% 9%
University of Maryland, Baltimore County September 23–28, 2024 863 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 39% 7%[ap] 5%
Braun Research[F] September 19–23, 2024 1,012 (LV) ± 3.5% 51% 40% 4%[aq] 5%[ar]
1,012 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 41% 3%[as] 6%
Morning Consult September 9–18, 2024 474 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 39% 2% 9%
Public Policy Polling (D) September 16–17, 2024 543 (RV) ± 4.2% 52% 37% – 11%
50% 33% 6%[at] 12%
Emerson College[B] September 12–13, 2024 890 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 42% – 9%
Morning Consult August 30 – September 8, 2024 516 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 43% 2% 7%
Gonzales Research August 24–30, 2024 820 (RV) ± 3.5% 46% 41% 1% 11%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/
Impact Research (D)[J] 		August 14−20, 2024 700 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 46% 1% 7%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden withdraws from the presidential election
Public Policy Polling (D) June 19−20, 2024 635 (RV) ± 3.9% 48% 40% – 12%
45% 34% 5%[au] 16%
May 14, 2024 Primary elections held
Emerson College[B] May 6−8, 2024 1,115 (RV) ± 2.9% 48% 38% – 14%
Public Policy Polling (D)[K] May 6−7, 2024 719 (RV) ± 3.7% 46% 37% – 17%
OpinionWorks[C] April 7−10, 2024 1,292 (LV) ± 3.0% 36% 54% – 10%
Goucher College[E] March 19−24, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 40% 44% – 11%
Braun Research[F] March 5−12, 2024 1,004 (RV) ± 3.3% 36% 50% – 15%
Emerson College[B] February 12−13, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 44% – 19%
Ragnar Research Partners (R)[L] January 30 – February 1, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 29% 52% – 19%
Victoria Research[I] November 9–13, 2023 813 (LV) – 36% 42% – –
Hypothetical polling
David Trone vs. Larry Hogan
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[o] 		Margin
of error 		David
Trone (D) 		Larry
Hogan (R) 		Undecided
Emerson College[B] May 6−8, 2024 1,115 (RV) ± 2.9% 49% 38% 14%
Public Policy Polling (D)[K] May 6−7, 2024 719 (RV) ± 3.7% 47% 37% 16%
OpinionWorks[C] April 7−10, 2024 1,292 (LV) ± 3.0% 40% 53% 7%
Goucher College[E] March 19−24, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 42% 43% 10%
Braun Research[F] March 5−12, 2024 1,004 (RV) ± 3.3% 37% 49% 14%
Emerson College[B] February 12−13, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 42% 16%
Ragnar Research Partners (R)[L] January 30−February 1, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 33% 49% 18%
Victoria Research[I] November 9–13, 2023 813 (LV) – 49% 34% –
with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[o] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[K] May 6−7, 2024 719 (RV) ± 3.7% 54% 33% 21%

Results

2024 United States Senate election in Maryland[338]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Angela Alsobrooks
Republican Larry Hogan
Libertarian Mike Scott
Write-in
Total votes

Notes

  1. ^ Revoked endorsement following election as chair of the Maryland Democratic Party
  2. ^ National and Local 689
  3. ^ National and Maryland chapters
  4. ^ Locals 400, 722, and 1199SEIU United Healthcare Workers East
  5. ^ Locals 24, 26, 307, and 1200
  6. ^ Baltimore District Council, and Locals 333 and 953
  7. ^ Mid-Atlantic, Philadelphia/Baltimore/Washington, and Appalachian district councils
  8. ^ National and Local 100
  9. ^ a b Juan Dominguez
  10. ^ Robert Houton, Steven Seuferer, Andrew Wildman
  11. ^ Michael Cobb
  12. ^ Michael Cobb and Andrew Wildman
  13. ^ Michael Cobb, Steven Seuferer, Andrew Wildman
  14. ^ $62,471,000 of this total was self-funded by Trone.
  15. ^ a b c d e Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  16. ^ Joseph Perez, Robert Houton, and Michael Cobb with 2%; Marcellus Crews, Brian Frydenborg, Scottie Griffin, and Steven Seuferer with 1%; Andrew Wildman with <1%
  17. ^ Undecided respondents were asked which candidate they are leaning towards
  18. ^ Robert Houton with 2%, Michael Cobb with 1%, and Marcellus Crews, Brian Frydenborg, Scottie Griffin, Joseph Perez, Steven Seuferer, and Andrew Wildman with <1%
  19. ^ Marcellus Crews, Scottie Griffin, Robert Houton, and Joseph Perez with 2%, Michael Cobb and Andrew Wildman with 1%, and Brian Frydenborg and Steven Seuferer with 0%
  20. ^ Michael Cobb, Scottie Griffin, Marcellus Crews, and Joseph Perez with 2%; Brian Frydenborg, Andrew Wildman, and Robert Houton with 1%; Steven Seuferer with 0%
  21. ^ Joseph Perez with 4%; Stephen Seuferer with 3%; Michael Cobb with 2% "All others (each with 1%)" with 5%
  22. ^ "Someone else" with 4%, "Would not vote" with 1%
  23. ^ $4,390,018 of this total was self-funded by Ficker
  24. ^ As of April 24, 2024.
  25. ^ $377 of this total was self-funded by Friend
  26. ^ $7,459 of this total was self-funded by Myrick
  27. ^ Moe Barakat, Lorie Friend, Laban Seyoum, and John Teichert with 1%
  28. ^ "Someone else" with 2%, Lorie Friend and Laban Seyoum with 1%, and Moe Barakat with <1%
  29. ^ Moe Barakat with 7%, Lorie Friend with 2%, and Laban Seyoum with 0%
  30. ^ Moe Barakat, Lorie Friend, Laban Seyoum, and John Teichert with 1%
  31. ^ Maryland and Washington, D.C. chapters
  32. ^ Philadelphia/Baltimore/Washington District Council, West Virginia and Appalachian District Council, Mid-Atlantic Region, and Local 202R
  33. ^ Locals 7, 23, and 25
  34. ^ Locals 27, 400, and 1994 MCGEO
  35. ^ Locals F121, 734, 964, 1563, 1715, 1926, 3666, 4269, 4645, 4916, 5302, and 5184
  36. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  37. ^ Scott (L) with 2%
  38. ^ Scott (L) with 4%, "Other" with <0.5%
  39. ^ "No opinion/Skipped" with 4%, "Would not vote" with <0.5%
  40. ^ Scott (L) with 5%, "Other" with <0.5%
  41. ^ "No opinion/Skipped" with 4%, "Would not vote" with <0.5%
  42. ^ Scott (L) with 3%; "Some other candidate" with 3%; "Refused" with 1%
  43. ^ Scott (L) with 3%, "Other" with 1%
  44. ^ "No opinion/Skipped" with 4%, "Would not vote" with 1%
  45. ^ Scott (L) with 3%
  46. ^ Scott (L) with 6%
  47. ^ Scott (L) with 3%; Wallace (G) and Osuchukwu (I) with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Education Reform Now Advocacy
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  3. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by The Baltimore Sun and WBFF
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Alsobrooks's campaign
  5. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by The Baltimore Banner
  6. ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by The Washington Post and the University of Maryland
  7. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Trone's campaign
  8. ^ Poll sponsored by U.S. Term Limits. Trone has signed the group's term-limit pledge.
  9. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Perry, White, Ross & Jacobson LLC
  10. ^ Poll sponsored by AARP
  11. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by EMILY's List, which supports Alsobrooks
  12. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the National Republican Senatorial Committee, which supports Hogan.

See also

References

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  3. ^ a b McCall, Max; Jain, Lakshya (February 11, 2024). "Larry Hogan Faces An Impossible Challenge". Split Ticket. Retrieved February 12, 2024.
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  275. ^ "United Food & Commercial Workers Unions Endorse Angela Alsobrooks for Senate". UFCW Local 400 (Press release). June 13, 2024. Retrieved June 13, 2024.
  276. ^ "Endorsements". Asian American Action Fund. Retrieved August 15, 2024.
  277. ^ Bade, Rachael; Lizza, Ryan; Daniels, Eugene (September 10, 2024). "Playbook: Another GOP spending plan goes poof". Politico. Retrieved September 10, 2024.
  278. ^ "Candidates". Brady PAC. Retrieved July 25, 2024.
  279. ^ "CASA in Action Announces Endorsement for Angela Alsobrooks for Maryland's Senate Race". CASA in Action (Press release). August 21, 2024. Retrieved September 1, 2024.
  280. ^ Democratic Majority for Israel [@DemMaj4Israel] (September 9, 2024). "Today, DMFI PAC announced its endorsement of fourteen pro-Israel candidates running for the Democratic nomination in key U.S. House and Senate general election races. These seats are critical to electing a Democratic majority in Congress this November" (Tweet). Retrieved September 9, 2024 – via Twitter.
  281. ^ "Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund Announces First Major Round of Federal Endorsements". Everytown. August 19, 2024. Retrieved August 22, 2024.
  282. ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved July 17, 2024.
  283. ^ Friends of the Earth (Action) [@foe_us] (October 15, 2024). ".@AlsobrooksForMD has been a progressive leader fighting for environmental justice and clean energy in Maryland. That's why Friends of the Earth Action is proud to endorse her bid for Senate this November!" (Tweet). Retrieved October 15, 2024 – via Twitter.
  284. ^ "Endorsements". Giffords. Retrieved June 5, 2024.
  285. ^ "HRC Endorsed Candidates". Human Rights Campaign. Retrieved September 8, 2024.
  286. ^ Jewish Dems [@USJewishDems] (July 9, 2024). "🚨NEW ENDORSEMENTS 🚨 JDCA endorses @AlsobrooksForMD, @LoisFrankel, @LauraAGillen, @bynum4thewin, and @JanelleStelson. These five candidates all stand by our Jewish and Democratic values and will fight to protect them in Congress" (Tweet). Retrieved July 9, 2024 – via Twitter.
  287. ^ Sittenfeld, Tiernan (June 13, 2024). "LCV Action Fund Announces New Slate of Endorsements for U.S. Senate and U.S. House of Representatives". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved June 13, 2024.
  288. ^ Neukam, Stephen (May 28, 2024). "Scoop: MoveOn throws weight behind Alsobrooks' Senate bid in Maryland". www.axios.com/. Axios. Retrieved May 28, 2024.
  289. ^ "National Seniors' Group Endorses Angela Alsobrooks in Maryland Senate Race". NCPSSM (Press release). September 6, 2024. Retrieved September 6, 2024.
  290. ^ "Who We Support - Environmental Candidates". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved October 12, 2024.
  291. ^ "People For Endorses Seven New and Incumbent Senate Candidates in "Defend the Senate" Campaign". People for the American Way (Press release). July 29, 2024. Retrieved July 29, 2024.
  292. ^ McGill Johnson, Alexis. "ENDORSEMENT: Planned Parenthood Action Fund Backs Alsobrooks, Mucarsel-Powell for Senate". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved May 21, 2024.
  293. ^ Cohen, Steven (October 4, 2024). "Candidates for Maryland's US Senate seat lining up endorsements for November election". WDCW. Retrieved October 4, 2024.
  294. ^ "The AFRO endorses Harris, Alsobrooks ahead of Election Day 2024". Baltimore Afro-American. October 10, 2024. Retrieved October 10, 2024.
  295. ^ "EDITORIAL: We Choose to Endorse Kamala Harris, Tim Walz and Angela Alsobrooks". The Washington Informer. October 30, 2024. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
  296. ^ "The Post endorses Angela D. Alsobrooks for U.S. Senate in Maryland". The Washington Post. October 2, 2024. Retrieved October 2, 2024.
  297. ^ a b c d e Kurtz, Josh (August 27, 2024). "Political notes: New Dem website hits Hogan; ex-Hogan aide seeks council seat". Maryland Matters. Retrieved August 27, 2024.
  298. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s Kurtz, Josh (August 16, 2024). "Hogan taking to the road to raise money for his Senate bid". Maryland Matters. Retrieved August 16, 2024.
  299. ^ "'I don't accept Trump's endorsement': GOP Senate candidate Larry Hogan denies Trump support". WTOP-FM. October 31, 2024. Retrieved October 31, 2024.
  300. ^ a b Mutnick, Ally; Everett, Burgess (May 16, 2024). "Larry Hogan's won tough races before. Never like this". Politico. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
  301. ^ Touchberry, Ramsey (June 4, 2024). "Senate GOP rebuffs team Trump to stand by Larry Hogan - Washington Examiner". The Washington Examiner. Retrieved June 4, 2024.
  302. ^ Everett, Burgess; Mutnick, Ally (June 4, 2024). "'Horrible mistake': GOP senators urge RNC to back off Hogan". Politico. Retrieved June 4, 2024.
  303. ^ Cohen, Steven (September 12, 2024). "Senator Joe Manchin endorses former Governor Larry Hogan in Maryland Senate Race". DC News Now. Retrieved September 12, 2024.
  304. ^ a b Cohen, Max (July 4, 2024). "Hogan to fundraise with Santorum". Punchbowl News. Retrieved July 5, 2024.
  305. ^ Weaver, Al; Manchester, Julia (June 4, 2024). "Larry Hogan draws wrath of Trump World in Maryland Senate race". The Hill. Retrieved June 5, 2024.
  306. ^ a b "6/4/24 ☀️ Punchbowl News AM". Punchbowl News. June 4, 2024. Retrieved June 4, 2024.
  307. ^ Oprysko, Caitlin (September 18, 2024). "The new Freedom Caucus chair's K Street ties". Politico. Retrieved September 18, 2024.
  308. ^ a b Metz, Konner (September 19, 2024). "Rep. Harris, local Republicans speak at Eastern Shore rally supporting Trump". Cecil Daily. Retrieved September 20, 2024.
  309. ^ a b Condon, Emily R. (July 19, 2024). "Many Maryland delegates back Hogan's decision to skip convention amid split with Trump". Capital News Service. Retrieved July 19, 2024.
  310. ^ a b Touchberry, Ramsey (June 25, 2024). "Democrats pan Hogan fundraiser with 'anti-choice' Brian Kemp". Washington Examiner. Retrieved June 25, 2024.
  311. ^ "Gov. Sununu hits 'bad statement' by RNC co-chair Lara Trump on former Gov. Larry Hogan: 'We want him to win the Senate race'". CNN. June 2, 2024. Retrieved June 2, 2024.
  312. ^ Cox, Erin; Schwartzman, Paul (May 31, 2024). "Hogan provokes ire within Trumpworld: 'You just ended your campaign'". The Washington Post. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
  313. ^ DeBarros, Anthony; Peterson, Kristina (June 3, 2024). "The Face of the Anti-Trump GOP Is Now Larry Hogan". Wall Street Journal. Retrieved June 3, 2024.
  314. ^ Fortinsky, Sarah (May 15, 2024). "Hogan urges Democrats to back him in Maryland Senate race with new video". The Hill. Retrieved May 15, 2024.
  315. ^ Kurtz, Josh (September 13, 2024). "Strange(ish) bedfellows: Progressive Md. runs aggressive Alsobrooks field campaign". Maryland Matters. Retrieved September 13, 2024.
  316. ^ a b Touchberry, Ramsey (August 13, 2024). "Hogan endorsed by Baltimore firefighters in Maryland Senate race". Washington Examiner. Retrieved August 13, 2024.
  317. ^ a b Vozzella, Laura; Cox, Erin (July 17, 2024). "Larry Hogan ditched the GOP convention — but still had a presence". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 17, 2024.
  318. ^ Wildstein, David (August 6, 2024). "Hugin fundraiser for Hogan in Maryland leads to new criticism of cancer drug prices". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
  319. ^ Janesch, Sam (July 18, 2024). "Former Maryland Lt. Gov. Michael Steele: GOP 'needs the biggest political enema it has ever seen'". The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved July 18, 2024.
  320. ^ Coulter, Ann (June 12, 2024). "MAGA Morons and Larry Hogan". Substack. Retrieved September 20, 2024.
  321. ^ Jacobsen, Sheldon H. (October 9, 2024). "Our nation needs people like Jon Tester and Larry Hogan in the Senate". The Hill. Retrieved October 9, 2024.
  322. ^ Keene, David (September 24, 2024). "Opinion: Pragmatic, middle-of-the-road Hogan is better than no Republican at all". The Washington Times. Retrieved September 24, 2024.
  323. ^ Kurtz, Josh (May 16, 2024). "Maryland primary winners and losers". Maryland Matters. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
  324. ^ Pollak, Suzanne (August 5, 2024). "Local Police Union Endorses Hogan in His Quest for Maryland Senate". Montgomery Community Media. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  325. ^ a b Zito, Salena (June 21, 2024). "Republican Hogan enjoys big support among Maryland's working-class voters". Washington Examiner. Retrieved June 21, 2024.
  326. ^ Barker, Jeff (May 20, 2024). "Union representing Port of Baltimore longshoremen endorses Larry Hogan". The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved May 20, 2024.
  327. ^ Wood, Pamela (June 6, 2024). "Vice President Harris to campaign with Alsobrooks on Friday". The Baltimore Banner. Retrieved June 6, 2024.
  328. ^ Rampani, Lori (October 2, 2024). "Maryland Fraternal Order of Police endorses Larry Hogan for U.S. Senate". WBFF. Retrieved October 2, 2024.
  329. ^ "Endorsements". accaction.eco. American Conservation Coalition. Retrieved October 29, 2024.
  330. ^ "IFA Endorses Congressional Candidates Ahead of November Election | International Franchise Association". International Franchise Association. October 2, 2024. Retrieved October 3, 2024.
  331. ^ "Affiliate Larry Hogan". Maryland Forward Party. Retrieved July 17, 2024.
  332. ^ "Maryland Small Businesses Endorse Larry Hogan for U.S. Senate". National Federation of Independent Business (Press release). June 27, 2024. Retrieved June 27, 2024.
  333. ^ "U.S. Chamber Endorses Larry Hogan for U.S. Senate in Maryland". www.uschamber.com. U.S. Chamber of Commerce. September 11, 2024. Retrieved September 12, 2024.
  334. ^ Janesch, Sam (August 6, 2024). "Angela Alsobrooks, Larry Hogan campaigns clash over fall debate schedule in U.S. Senate race". The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
  335. ^ Janesch, Sam (August 20, 2024). "Larry Hogan agrees to Angela Alsobrooks' preferred debate in U.S. Senate race". The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved August 20, 2024.
  336. ^ Griffin, Ariyana (October 4, 2024). "Angela Alsobrooks, top Democratic senate candidate in Maryland, speaks on economy, reproductive rights with HBCU students". Baltimore Afro-American. Retrieved October 4, 2024.
  337. ^ Witte, Brian (October 10, 2024). "Maryland candidates debate abortion rights in widely watched US Senate race". Associated Press. Retrieved October 10, 2024.
  338. ^ "Unofficial 2024 Presidential General Election Results for U.S. Senator". elections.maryland.gov. Maryland State Board of Elections. Retrieved October 24, 2024.
Official campaign websites
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