2024 Missouri Attorney General election: Difference between revisions
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|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.activote.net/republicans-lead-in-state-level-missouri-races/ ActiVote] |
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|September 6 – October 13, 2024 |
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|400 (LV) |
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|± 4.9% |
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|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''60%''' |
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|40% |
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|– |
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|style="text-align:left;|[https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20241008_MO_Remington.pdf Remington Research Group]{{efn-ua|name=scout}} |
|style="text-align:left;|[https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20241008_MO_Remington.pdf Remington Research Group]{{efn-ua|name=scout}} |
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|October |
|October 2–3, 2024 |
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|753 (LV) |
|753 (LV) |
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|± 3.2% |
|± 3.2% |
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|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.slu.edu/research/research-institute/big-ideas/slu-poll/-pdf/slu-poll-august-2024-topline-results.pdf YouGov/Saint Louis University] |
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.slu.edu/research/research-institute/big-ideas/slu-poll/-pdf/slu-poll-august-2024-topline-results.pdf YouGov/Saint Louis University] |
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|August |
|August 8–16, 2024 |
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|450 (LV) |
|450 (LV) |
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|± 5.40% |
|± 5.40% |
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Revision as of 07:11, 15 October 2024
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| Elections in Missouri |
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The 2024 Missouri Attorney General election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the attorney general of the state of Missouri. It will coincide with the concurrent presidential election, as well as various state and local elections, including for U.S. Senate, U.S. House, and governor of Missouri. Primary elections took place on August 6, 2024.[1] Incumbent Andrew Bailey won the Republican nomination.
When incumbent attorney general Eric Schmitt was elected to the U.S. Senate in 2022, Missouri governor Mike Parson announced that he would appoint his general counsel, Andrew Bailey, to succeed Schmitt. Bailey is running for a full term in office.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Andrew Bailey, incumbent attorney general[2]
Eliminated in primary
- Will Scharf, attorney for Donald Trump and former assistant U.S. Attorney[3]
Endorsements
Andrew Bailey
- Executive Branch Officials
- Donald Trump, former President of the United States (2017–2021) (co-endorsement with Scharf)[4]
- U.S. Senators
- Josh Hawley, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2019–present)[5]
- Eric Schmitt, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2023–present)[6]
- Statewide officials
- Mike Parson, Governor of Missouri (2018–present)[2]
- Organizations
- Eagle Forum[7]
- Missouri Right to Life PAC (co-endorsement with Scharf)[8]
Will Scharf
- Executive Branch Officials
- Donald Trump, former President of the United States (2017–2021) (co-endorsement with Bailey)[4]
- Statewide officials
- Individuals
- Charlie Kirk, founder of Turning Point USA[10]
- Mark Levin, author and talk radio host[11]
- Organizations
- Club for Growth PAC[12]
- Missouri Right to Life PAC (co-endorsement with Bailey)[8]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Andrew Bailey |
Will Scharf |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Battleground Connect[A] | July 30–31, 2024 | 896 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 30% | 29% |
| co/efficient (R)[B] | July 10–11, 2024 | 909 (LV) | ± 3.25% | 34% | 13% | 53% |
| Public Opinion Strategies[C] | June 20–24, 2024 | 500 (V) | ± 4.38% | 52% | 19% | 39% |
| Remington Research (R)[A] | June 19–20, 2024 | 701 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 27% | 23% | 50% |
| WPA Intelligence[D] | June 2–4, 2024 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 35% | 17% | 48% |
| Remington Research (R)[A] | February 14–15, 2024 | 706 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 24% | 18% | 58% |
| Remington Research (R)[A] | January 17–18, 2024 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 24% | 17% | 59% |
| Remington Research (R)[A] | September 27–28, 2023 | 714 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 26% | 15% | 59% |
| Remington Research (R)[A] | July 5–7, 2023 | 706 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 25% | 14% | 61% |
| Remington Research (R)[A] | April 11–12, 2023 | 778 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 24% | 14% | 62% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Andrew Bailey (incumbent) | 413,465 | 63.0 | |
| Republican | Will Scharf | 242,680 | 37.0 | |
| Total votes | 656,145 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Elad Gross, civil rights attorney, former assistant attorney general, and candidate for attorney general in 2020[14]
Withdrawn
- Sarah Unsicker, state representative from the 83rd district[15] (ran for governor)[16]
Endorsements
Elad Gross
- Newspapers
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Elad Gross | 343,934 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 343,934 | 100.00% | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ryan Munro, attorney[18]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Ryan Munro | 2,401 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 2,401 | 100.00% | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] | Safe R | July 25, 2024 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Andrew Bailey (R) |
Elad Gross (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote | September 6 – October 13, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 60% | 40% | – | – |
| Remington Research Group[A] | October 2–3, 2024 | 753 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 42% | 1%[b] | 6% |
| YouGov/Saint Louis University | August 8–16, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 5.40% | 51% | 38% | 1% | 9% |
| Remington Research Group[A] | March 6–8, 2024 | 713 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 50% | 35% | – | 15% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Andrew Bailey (incumbent) | ||||
| Democratic | Elad Gross | ||||
| Libertarian | Ryan Munro | ||||
| Total votes | |||||
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
- ^ "2024 Calendar". www.sos.mo.gov. Retrieved July 23, 2024.
- ^ a b Ruch, Amber (November 22, 2022). "Gov. Parson names Andrew Bailey as Missouri's new attorney general". KFVS-TV. Retrieved December 10, 2022.
- ^ Holleman, Joe (February 1, 2023). "Will Scharf announces GOP bid for Missouri attorney general". St. Louis Post-Dispatch.
- ^ a b "Trump endorses Bailey, Scharf in Missouri attorney general race". KMOV. July 30, 2024. Retrieved July 30, 2024.
- ^ "Senator Hawley endorses Andrew Bailey for Missouri Attorney General". KMOV. July 22, 2024. Retrieved July 24, 2024.
- ^ Hays, Brady (December 2, 2023). "Eric Schmitt endorses Andrew Bailey in Attorney General primary". The Missouri Times. Retrieved December 4, 2023.
- ^ "Bailey is Best!". Eagle Forum. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
- ^ a b "MRL PAC RELEASES AUGUST 6, 2024 PRIMARY ELECTION ENDORSEMENTS" (PDF). missourilifepac.org. June 25, 2024. Retrieved July 3, 2024.
- ^ Morris, Kyle (June 6, 2024). "Texas AG Ken Paxton endorses Trump attorney in Missouri AG race: 'The right person'". Fox News. Retrieved June 6, 2024.
- ^ Bowen, Cassidy (October 23, 2023). "CHARLIE KIRK AT MISSOURI STATE UNIVERSITY". KWTO. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
Charlie Kirk has endorsed Scharf's candidacy for Attorney General.
- ^ Keller, Rudi (October 2, 2023). "Out-of-state donors fuel pair of GOP candidates running for Missouri governor, AG". Missouri Independent. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
- ^ "Club for Growth PAC Endorses Will Scharf in Missouri AG Race". Club for Growth. April 13, 2023. Retrieved April 17, 2023.
- ^ a b c "Missouri Attorney General Primary Election Results 2024". The New York Times. August 6, 2024. Retrieved August 7, 2024.
- ^ Keller, Rudi (March 10, 2023). "Democratic candidates jump into race for Missouri Attorney General". The Missouri Independent. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
- ^ Fenske, Sarah. "Rep. Sarah Unsicker Quits Missouri Attorney General Race". Riverfront Times. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
- ^ Suntrup, Jack (January 9, 2024). "Scorned by fellow Democrats, Shrewsbury state rep announces run for governor". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved January 9, 2024.
- ^ "Editorial: Our endorsements in the Missouri secretary of state and attorney general primaries". July 18, 2024.
- ^ "SOS, Missouri - Elections: Offices Filed in Candidate Filing". s1.sos.mo.gov. Retrieved March 27, 2024.
- ^ Jacobson, Louis (July 25, 2024). "2024's Races for Attorney General, Secretary of State, and Lieutenant Governor: An Update". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved July 28, 2024.
External links
- Official campaign websites