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*[[Grady Judd]], [[Polk County, Florida|Polk County]] sheriff<ref name=leesheriffs/>
*[[Grady Judd]], [[Polk County, Florida|Polk County]] sheriff<ref name=leesheriffs/>
*Chris Nocco, [[Hernando County, Florida|Hernando County]] sheriff<ref name=leesheriffs/>
*Chris Nocco, [[Hernando County, Florida|Hernando County]] sheriff<ref name=leesheriffs/>
;Organizations
*[[National Federation of Independent Business]]<ref>{{cite web |last1=Ogles |first1=Jacob |title=NFIB endorses Laurel Lee, praises record of cutting red tape for Main Street businesses |url=https://floridapolitics.com/archives/699558-nfib-endorses-laurel-lee-praises-record-of-cutting-red-tape-for-main-street-businesses/ |publisher=[[Florida Politics]] |access-date=4 October 2024 |date=3 October 2024}}</ref>
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Revision as of 18:19, 4 October 2024

2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

← 2022 November 5, 2024 2026 →

All 28 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Current seats 20 8

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the 28 U.S. representatives from the state of Florida, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. Florida's congressional map is currently being challenged in court. Primary elections took place on August 20th.

Background

On September 2, 2023, a Florida judge ruled that Florida's congressional map, created by Governor Ron DeSantis, violated the Florida Constitution and cannot be used for any future House elections.[1] The issue was specifically on Florida's 5th district, then represented by Democrat Al Lawson, which was removed and replaced by a Republican-leaning district. This was controversial because the district had an African-American plurality.[1] The state's successful appeal is to be challenged in front of the Florida Supreme Court, but the court's timeline makes it unlikely a redrawn map will be created by election time. A concurrent federal lawsuit is also in progress.[2]

District 1

2024 Florida's 1st congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Matt Gaetz Gay Valimont
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Matt Gaetz
Republican



The incumbent is Republican Matt Gaetz, who was re-elected with 67.9% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Aaron Dimmock
U.S. Representatives

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Matt Gaetz (R) $5,421,059 $4,208,719 $1,781,775
Aaron Dimmock (R) $295,743 $33,086 $262,657
Source: Federal Election Commission[10]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Aaron
Dimmock
Matt
Gaetz
Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[A] July 8–10, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 20% 67% 13%

Results

Republican primary county results:
Map legend
  •   Gaetz—70-80%
  •   Gaetz—60–70%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Matt Gaetz (incumbent) 70,824 72.6
Republican Aaron Dimmock 26,788 27.4
Total votes 97,612 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Gay Valimont, athletic trainer[11]

Endorsements

Gay Valimont

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Gay Valimont (D) $458,095[b] $408,353 $49,743
Source: Federal Election Commission[10]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid R December 5, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid R November 16, 2023

Results

Florida's 1st congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Matt Gaetz (incumbent)
Democratic Gay Valimont
Total votes

District 2

2024 Florida's 2nd congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Neal Dunn Yen Bailey
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Neal Dunn
Republican



The incumbent is Republican Neal Dunn, who was re-elected with 59.8% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Rhonda Woodward, former elementary school principal[4]

Endorsements

Neal Dunn
Federal officials
U.S. Senators
Statewide officials
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Neal Dunn (R) $1,178,129 $758,086 $665,049
Rhonda Woodward (R) $16,506[c] $12,463 $4,042
Source: Federal Election Commission[23]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Neal Dunn (incumbent) 69,113 82.7
Republican Rhonda Woodward 14,456 17.3
Total votes 83,569 100.0

Democratic primary

Withdrew after nomination

  • Meghann Hovey, account billing specialist[24]

Replacement nominee

  • Yen Bailey, lawyer[25]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Meghann Hovey (D) (withdrawn) $9,700 $10,440 $0.00
Source: Federal Election Commission[23]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid R December 5, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid R November 16, 2023

Results

Florida's 2nd congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Neal Dunn (incumbent)
Democratic Yen Bailey
Total votes

District 3

2024 Florida's 3rd congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Kat Cammack Tom Wells
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Kat Cammack
Republican



The incumbent is Republican Kat Cammack, who was re-elected with 62.5% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Alec Stevens, realtor[4]

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kat Cammack (R) $1,953,664 $1,277,280 $715,787
Alec Stevens (R) $16,900[d] $13,929 $2,971
Source: Federal Election Commission[30]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kat Cammack (incumbent) 69,962 87.1
Republican Alec Stevens 10,340 12.9
Total votes 80,302 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Tom Wells, scientist and perennial candidate[4]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid R November 16, 2023

Results

Florida's 3rd congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kat Cammack (incumbent)
Democratic Tom Wells
Total votes

District 4

2024 Florida's 4th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Aaron Bean LaShonda Holloway
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Aaron Bean
Republican



The incumbent is Republican Aaron Bean, who was elected with 60.5% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Withdrawn

  • Robert Alvero, firefighter[31]

Endorsements

Aaron Bean
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Aaron Bean (R) $879,552 $427,552 $538,667
Source: Federal Election Commission[32]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • LaShonda Holloway, former director in the District of Columbia Office of Documents and Administrative Issuances and nominee for this district in 2022[33]

General election

Write-in candidates

  • Todd Schaefer (Independent), real estate agent[34]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid R November 16, 2023

Results

Florida's 4th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Aaron Bean (incumbent)
Democratic LaShonda Holloway
Write-in Todd Schaefer
Total votes

District 5

2024 Florida's 5th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee John Rutherford Jay McGovern
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

John Rutherford
Republican



The incumbent is Republican John Rutherford, who was unopposed in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Mara Macie, stay-at-home parent and candidate for this district in 2022[35]

Endorsements

John Rutherford
Federal officials
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mara Macie (R) $64,575 $50,578 $16,872
John Rutherford (R) $669,745 $439,550 $475,817
Source: Federal Election Commission[37]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Rutherford (incumbent) 48,628 67.1
Republican Mara Macie 23,792 32.9
Total votes 72,420 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Jay McGovern, engineer and candidate for the 6th district in 2016[4]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid R March 21, 2024
Inside Elections[14] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid R November 16, 2023

Results

Florida's 5th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Rutherford
Democratic Jay McGovern
Total votes

District 6

2024 Florida's 6th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Michael Waltz James Stockton III
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Michael Waltz
Republican



The incumbent is Republican Michael Waltz, who was re-elected with 75.3% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • John Grow, tech professional[4]

Endorsements

Michael Waltz

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Grow (R) $57,148 $38,521 $18,627
Michael Waltz (R) $1,964,456 $1,567,497 $1,466,128
Source: Federal Election Commission[40]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michael Waltz (incumbent) 65,234 82.0
Republican John Grow 14,280 18.0
Total votes 79,514 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • James Stockton III, pastor[4]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid R November 16, 2023

Results

Florida's 6th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michael Waltz (incumbent)
Democratic James Stockton III
Total votes

District 7

2024 Florida's 7th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Cory Mills Jennifer Adams
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Cory Mills
Republican



The incumbent is Republican Cory Mills, who was elected with 58.5% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Cory Mills
Federal officials
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mike Johnson (R) $41,109 $32,946 $8,163
Cory Mills (R) $1,163,706[e] $1,034,749 $154,978
Source: Federal Election Commission[42]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Cory Mills (incumbent) 43,096 80.9
Republican Mike Johnson 10,188 19.1
Total votes 53,284 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Jennifer Adams, mediator[4]

Eliminated in primary

  • Tatiana Fernandez, industrial supply company owner and candidate for this district in 2022[4]
  • Allek Pastrana, cyber engineer and candidate for this district in 2022[43]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jennifer Adams (D) $193,444 $176,884 $16,559
Tatiana Fernandez (D) $16,624 $15,177 $4,387
Allek Pastrana (D) $40,084[f] $39,102 $1,000
Source: Federal Election Commission[42]

Debate

2024 Florida's 7th congressional district democratic primary debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Democratic Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Adams Fernandez Pastrana
1 Jul. 25, 2024 WESH Greg Fox YouTube P P P

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jennifer Adams 23,191 62.6
Democratic Allek Pastrana 7,844 21.2
Democratic Tatiana Fernandez 5,982 16.2
Total votes 37,017 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Likely R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid R November 16, 2023

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Cory
Mills
Jennifer
Adams
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] June 13–14, 2024 594 (RV) ? 48% 43% 9%

District 8

2024 Florida's 8th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Mike Haridopolos Sandy Kennedy
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Bill Posey
Republican



The incumbent is Republican Bill Posey, who was re-elected with 64.9% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

  • Joe Babits, attorney (endorsed Hearton, remained on ballot)[45]
  • Bill Posey, incumbent U.S. Representative (endorsed Haridopolos)[46]

Did not qualify

Declined

Endorsements

Mike Haridopolos
Executive Branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Sheriffs
Bill Posey (withdrawn)
Executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Hearton (R) $256,025[g] $122,152 $133,872
Bill Posey (R) $348,579 $245,723 $525,878
Source: Federal Election Commission[56]

Debate

2024 Florida's 8th congressional district republican primary debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Republican Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Babits Hearton Haridopolos
1 Jul. 10, 2024 WESH Greg Fox WESH P P P

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Babits
Mike
Haridopolos
John
Hearton
Undecided
Spry Strategies[C] July 23–26, 2024 532 (LV) ± 4.2% 4% 56% 6% 33%

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Haridopolos 61,710 72.1
Republican John Hearton 18,604 21.7
Republican Joe Babits (withdrawn) 5,250 6.1
Total votes 85,564 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Sandy Kennedy, attorney[4]

Eliminated in primary

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Dan McDow (D) $22,280[h] $18,047 $4,232
Source: Federal Election Commission[56]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sandy Kennedy 24,701 60.7
Democratic Dan McDow 15,999 39.3
Total votes 40,700 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 9

2024 Florida's 9th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Darren Soto Thomas Chalifoux
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Darren Soto
Democratic



The 9th district includes much of Greater Orlando, stretching from eastern Orlando towards Yeehaw Junction and including the cities of Kissimmee and St. Cloud. The incumbent is Democrat Darren Soto, who was re-elected with 53.6% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Darren Soto (D) $765,779 $283,742 $546,317
Source: Federal Election Commission[61]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Jose Castillo, hospitality management professional and candidate for this district in 2020 and 2022[4]
  • John Quiñones, former state representative and candidate for this district in 2012[62]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Quiñones (R) $71,899[i] $19,203 $52,696
Source: Federal Election Commission[61]

Debate

2024 Florida's 9th congressional district republican primary debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Republican Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Castillo Chalifoux Quiñones
1 Jul. 10, 2024 WESH Greg Fox YouTube P P P

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Thomas Chalifoux 12,662 49.6
Republican John Quiñones 6,557 25.7
Republican Jose Castillo 6,294 24.7
Total votes 25,513 100.0

Independents

Declared

  • Marcus Carter, entrepreneur[4]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Likely D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid D May 9, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Likely D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid D June 15, 2024

Results

Florida's 9th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Darren Soto (incumbent)
Republican Thomas Chalifoux
Independent Marcus Carter
Total votes

District 10

2024 Florida's 10th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Maxwell Frost Willie Montague
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Maxwell Frost
Democratic



The incumbent is Democrat Maxwell Frost, who was elected with 59% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Wade Darius, marketing firm owner and candidate for this district in 2018[4]
  • Issa White, college professor[4]

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Maxwell Frost (D) $1,816,662 $1,214,679 $935,981
Source: Federal Election Commission[72]

Results

Democratic primary results by precinct
  Frost
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Maxwell Frost (incumbent) 33,208 81.8
Democratic Wade Darius 5,106 12.6
Democratic Issa White 2,295 5.7
Total votes 40,609 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Willie Montague, life coach and candidate for this district in 2020 and 2022[73]
Eliminated in primary
  • Tuan Le, cafe owner and candidate for this district in 2022[73]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Willie Montague (R) $4,249 $3,162 $1,089
Source: Federal Election Commission[72]

Debate

2024 Florida's 10th congressional district republican primary debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Le Montague
1 Jul. 17, 2024 WESH Greg Fox YouTube P P

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Willie Montague 11,183 53.5
Republican Tuan Le 9,734 46.5
Total votes 20,917 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 11

2024 Florida's 11th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Daniel Webster Barbie Hall
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Daniel Webster
Republican



The 11th district consists of a portion of Central Florida, including The Villages and the western Orlando suburbs. The incumbent is Republican Daniel Webster, who was re-elected with 63.1% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • John McCloy, geophysicist[75]

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Daniel Webster
Federal officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Sheriffs
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John McCloy (R) $78,376[j] $57,074 $21,302
Anthony Sabatini (R) $287,196 $125,800 $161,931
Daniel Webster (R) $513,188 $222,123 $518,936
Source: Federal Election Commission[83]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Anthony
Sabatini
Daniel
Webster
Other/
undecided
RMG Research[D] November 14–19, 2023 300 (LV) ? 29% 35% 36%[k]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Daniel Webster (incumbent) 55,443 77.0
Republican John McCloy 16,567 23.0
Total votes 72,010 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Barbie Hall, paralegal[85]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 12

2024 Florida's 12th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Gus Bilirakis Rock Aboujaoude Jr.
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Gus Bilirakis
Republican



The incumbent is Republican Gus Bilirakis, who was re-elected with 70.4% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Hank Dunlap, blue collar worker[4]

Endorsements

Gus Bilirakis
U.S. presidents
U.S. representatives
Sheriffs
Newspapers
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Gus Bilirakis (R) $840,984 $522,808 $461,273
Source: Federal Election Commission[91]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) 59,946 84.3
Republican Hank Dunlap 11,182 15.7
Total votes 71,128 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Rock Aboujaoude Jr., graduate student[4]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 13

2024 Florida's 13th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Anna Paulina Luna Whitney Fox
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Anna Paulina Luna
Republican



The 13th district includes most of Pinellas County, including the cities of Largo, Clearwater, and Palm Harbor, as well as a western portion of St. Petersburg. The incumbent is Republican Anna Paulina Luna, who flipped the district and was elected with 53.1% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Anna Paulina Luna (R) $1,122,274 $617,143 $549,966
Source: Federal Election Commission[92]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

  • Ben Diamond, former state representative (2016–2022) and candidate for this district in 2022 (endorsed Fox)[96]

Endorsements

Sabrina Bousbar
State legislators
Organizations
Whitney Fox
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Newspapers
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Whitney Fox (D) $204,077[o] $52,907 $151,169
John Liccione (D) $24,333[p] $18,460 $5,872
Mark Weinkrantz (D) $43,791[q] $19,614 $24,176
Source: Federal Election Commission[92]

Results

Democratic primary results by precinct
Map legend
  •   Fox–40–50%
  •   Fox–50–60%
  •   Fox–60–70%
  •   Fox–70–80%
  •   Fox–>90%
  •   No Votes
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Whitney Fox 29,678 57.9
Democratic Sabrina Bousbar 8,929 17.4
Democratic Liz Dahan 6,904 13.5
Democratic Mark Weinkrantz 3,697 7.2
Democratic John Liccione 2,013 3.9
Total votes 51,221 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Likely R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Lean R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Likely R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Likely R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Likely R November 16, 2023

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Anna
Paulina Luna (R)
Whitney
Fox (D)
Undecided
WPA Intelligence[E] August 28–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 43% 10%
St. Pete Polls[F] August 27, 2024 843 (V) ± 3.4% 44% 48% 8%
August 20, 2024 Primary elections held
GQR Research (D)[G] May 14–20, 2024 401 (V) ± 4.9% 50% 43% 7%

District 14

2024 Florida's 14th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Kathy Castor Robert Rochford
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Kathy Castor
Democratic



The 14th district is based in western Hillsborough County and southeastern Pinellas County, including most of Tampa and some of St. Petersburg. The incumbent is Democrat Kathy Castor, who was re-elected with 56.9% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kathy Castor (D) $503,808 $296,511 $558,267
Source: Federal Election Commission[123]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Ehsan Joarder, IT specialist[4]
  • John Peters, carpet cleaning franchise owner[124]
  • Neelam Taneja Perry, physician[124]

Endorsements

Robert Rochford
Organizations
Ehsan Joarder
Newspapers

Tampa Bay Times (primary only)[90]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Peters (R) $13,666[r] $8,702 $4,963
Neelam Taneja Perry (R) $2,040[s] $2,040 $0
Robert Rochford (R) $10,605 $7,220 $3,384
Source: Federal Election Commission[123]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Robert Rochford 15,575 54.1
Republican John Peters 7,771 27.0
Republican Ehsan Joarder 3,837 13.3
Republican Neelam Taneja Perry 1,594 5.5
Total votes 28,777 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Nathaniel Snyder, mechanic[125]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 15

2024 Florida's 15th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Laurel Lee Pat Kemp
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Laurel Lee
Republican



The incumbent is Republican Laurel Lee, who was elected with 58.5% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

On March 25, former president Donald Trump called for someone to mount a primary challenge to Lee; he did not explain why he thought that Lee should be ousted. Media sources pointed out that Lee had endorsed Ron DeSantis for president and had recently voted for a controversial spending package that the Freedom Caucus opposed.[126] However, Trump would later endorse Lee for re-election.[127]

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

James Judge
U.S. representatives
Notable figures
Organizations
Laurel Lee
Federal officials
U.S. senators
Statewide officials
Newspapers
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Laurel Lee (R) $581,958 $230,980 $438,217
Source: Federal Election Commission[136]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Laurel Lee (incumbent) 28,571 72.3
Republican James Judge 7,137 18.1
Republican Jennifer Barbosa 3,809 9.6
Total votes 39,517 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kris Fitzgerald (D) $17,132 $13,818 $3,314
Source: Federal Election Commission[136]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Likely R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Very Likely R August 18, 2024

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Laurel
Lee (R)
Pat
Kemp (D)
Undecided
Change Research (D)[H] July 17–19, 2024 511 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 41% 14%

Post-primary endorsements

Laurel Lee
Sheriffs
Organizations

District 16

2024 Florida's 16th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Vern Buchanan Jan Schneider
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Vern Buchanan
Republican



The 16th district encompasses Manatee County and eastern Hillsborough County, taking in Tampa's eastern suburbs, including Riverview and parts of Brandon. The incumbent is Republican Vern Buchanan, who was re-elected with 62.2% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Vern Buchanan
Federal officials
U.S. representatives
Sheriffs
Newspapers

Tampa Bay Times (primary only)[90]

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Vern Buchanan (R) $868,237 $667,317 $1,584,270
Eddie Speir (R) $522,328[t] $93,261 $427,152
Source: Federal Election Commission[147]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Vern
Buchanan
Eddie
Speir
Other/
undecided
St. Pete Polls[F] April 3, 2024 431 (LV) ± 4.7% 64% 13% 23%

Results

Republican primary results by county
Map legend
  •   Buchanan–60–70%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vern Buchanan (incumbent) 38,789 60.9
Republican Eddie Speir 24,868 39.1
Total votes 63,657 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Jan Schneider, attorney, perennial candidate, and nominee for this district in 2016 and 2022[4]

Eliminated in primary

  • Trent Miller, attorney[4]

Endorsements

Trent Miller
Newspapers

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jan Schneider 23,701 65.7
Democratic Trent Miller 12,395 34.3
Total votes 36,096 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 17

2024 Florida's 17th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Greg Steube Manny Lopez
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Greg Steube
Republican



The incumbent is Republican Greg Steube, who was re-elected with 63.8% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Greg Steube
Federal officials
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Greg Steube (R) $774,646 $541,655 $1,200,404
Source: Federal Election Commission[148]

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Manny Lopez, realtor[149]

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

  • Andrea Doria Kale, retired tech professional and nominee for this district in 2022[149] (running in the 18th district)[4]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Manny Lopez 25,017 52.9
Democratic Matthew Montavon 22,244 47.1
Total votes 47,261 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 18

2024 Florida's 18th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Scott Franklin Andrea Doria Kale
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Scott Franklin
Republican



The incumbent is Republican Scott Franklin, who was re-elected with 74.7% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Scott Franklin
Federal officials
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Scott Franklin (R) $377,663 $161,493 $568,945
Source: Federal Election Commission[150]

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Andrea Doria Kale, retired tech professional and nominee for the 17th district in 2022[4]

Eliminated in primary

  • Peter Braunston, tech support specialist[4]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andrea Doria Kale 16,778 66.9
Democratic Peter Braunston 8,291 33.1
Total votes 25,069 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 19

2024 Florida's 19th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Byron Donalds Kari Lerner
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Byron Donalds
Republican



The 19th district includes the cities of Cape Coral, Fort Myers, Bonita Springs and Naples. The incumbent is Republican Byron Donalds, who was re-elected with 68.0% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Declined

Endorsements

Byron Donalds
Federal officials
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Byron Donalds (R) $2,321,535 $2,142,959 $916,567
Source: Federal Election Commission[152]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kari Lerner (D) $16,949[u] $8,071 $8,877
Source: Federal Election Commission[152]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 20

2024 Florida's 20th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
(Uncontested)
Party Democratic

U.S. Representative before election

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
Democratic

The incumbent is Democrat Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, who was re-elected with 72.3% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Declined

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D) $327,816 $193,157 $137,436
Source: Federal Election Commission[156]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 21

2024 Florida's 21st congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Brian Mast Thomas Witkop
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Brian Mast
Republican



The incumbent is Republican Brian Mast, who was re-elected with 63.5% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Brian Mast

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Brian Mast (R) $1,547,209 $1,571,200 $2,089,683
Source: Federal Election Commission[160]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Mast (incumbent) 60,395 85.8
Republican Rick Wiles 9,957 14.2
Total votes 70,352 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Thomas Witkop, neighborhood resource center manager[157]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 22

2024 Florida's 22nd congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Lois Frankel Dan Franzese
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Lois Frankel
Democratic



The 22nd district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of West Palm Beach, Boynton Beach, and Wellington. The incumbent is Democrat Lois Frankel, who was re-elected with 55.1% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Lois Frankel (D) $864,026 $298,367 $1,211,365
Source: Federal Election Commission[163]

Republican primary

Nominee

  • Dan Franzese, investment executive and nominee for this district in 2022[164]

Eliminated in primary

  • Deborah Adeimy, businesswoman and candidate for this district in 2022[164]
  • Andrew Gutmann, tech executive[165]

Endorsements

Dan Franzese
Individuals

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Deborah Adeimy (R) $74,141[v] $9,755 $64,829
Dan Franzese (R) $294,556[w] $279,249 $23,287
Andrew Gutmann (R) $401,026[x] $93,549 $307,476
Source: Federal Election Commission[163]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Franzese 16,666 52.5
Republican Andrew Gutmann 8,036 25.3
Republican Deborah Adeimy 7,038 22.2
Total votes 31,740 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 23

2024 Florida's 23rd congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Jared Moskowitz Joe Kaufman
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Jared Moskowitz
Democratic



The 23rd district covers parts of Broward County and southern Palm Beach County, including the cities of Boca Raton, Coral Springs, and most of Deerfield Beach and Fort Lauderdale. The incumbent is Democrat Jared Moskowitz, who was elected with 51.6% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jared Moskowitz (D) $653,427 $442,081 $293,968
Source: Federal Election Commission[167]

Republican primary

Nominee

  • Joe Kaufman, anti-Muslim activist, perennial candidate, and nominee for this district in 2014, 2016, and 2018[4]

Eliminated in primary

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Joe Thelusca (R) $13,400[y] $11,403 $1,996
Source: Federal Election Commission[167]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Joe Kaufman 9,503 35.4
Republican Robert Weinroth 5,524 20.6
Republican Darlene Cerezo Swaffar 5,118 19.1
Republican Carla Spalding 2,844 10.6
Republican Gary Barve 1,923 7.2
Republican Joe Thelusca 1,923 7.2
Total votes 26,835 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid D September 6, 2024
Inside Elections[14] Solid D November 13, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Likely D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid D August 18, 2024

District 24

2024 Florida's 24th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Frederica Wilson Jesus Navarro
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Frederica Wilson
Democratic



The incumbent is Democrat Frederica Wilson, who was re-elected in with 71.79% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Frederica Wilson (D) $230,336 $242,248 $551,696
Source: Federal Election Commission[172]

Republican primary

Nominee

  • Jesus Navarro, businessman and nominee for this district in 2022[4]

Eliminated in primary

  • Patricia Gonzalez, mortgage loan originator[4]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jesus Navarro 5,755 56.8
Republican Patricia Gonzalez 4,371 43.2
Total votes 10,126 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 25

2024 Florida's 25th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Debbie Wasserman Schultz Chris Eddy
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Debbie Wasserman Schultz
Democratic



The incumbent is Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who was re-elected with 55.09% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Jen Perelman, attorney and candidate for this district[z] in 2020[173]

Endorsements

Jen Perelman
Individuals

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) $1,593,903 $1,019,654 $1,356,628
Source: Federal Election Commission[176]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) 36,479 83.2
Democratic Jen Perelman 7,349 16.8
Total votes 43,828 100.0

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

  • Carla Spalding, nurse, perennial candidate, and nominee for this district in 2022[43] (running in the 23rd district)[170]
  • Rubin Young, former legislative aide and perennial candidate[4]

Endorsements

Chris Eddy
Organizations
Bryan Leib

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Eddy 13,246 64.9
Republican Bryan Leib 7,149 35.1
Total votes 20,395 100.0

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Chris Eddy (R) $164,427[ab] $78,863 $85,563
Carla Spalding (R) $331,995 $302,933 $41,981
Source: Federal Election Commission[176]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 26

2024 Florida's 26th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Mario Díaz-Balart Joey Atkins
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Mario Díaz-Balart
Republican



The incumbent is Republican Mario Díaz-Balart, who was re-elected with 70.89% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Richard Evans, accountant[4]
  • Johnny Fratto, HVAC installer[4]

Endorsements

Mario Díaz-Balart

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mario Díaz-Balart (R) $982,421 $677,580 $1,584,350
Source: Federal Election Commission[186]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mario Díaz-Balart (incumbent) 38,334 83.5
Republican Johnny Fratto 4,378 9.5
Republican Richard Evans 3,178 6.9
Total votes 45,890 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Joey Atkins, attorney[4]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 27

2024 Florida's 27th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee María Elvira Salazar Lucia Baez-Geller
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

María Elvira Salazar
Republican



The 27th district includes parts of southern Miami, including Downtown, Little Havana, and Kendall, as well as Palmetto Estates and parts of Fontainebleau and Westchester. The incumbent is Republican María Elvira Salazar, who was re-elected with 57.3% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Royland Lara, bank teller[4]

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
María Elvira Salazar (R) $1,310,118 $507,577 $832,420
Source: Federal Election Commission[188]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican María Elvira Salazar (incumbent) 38,493 88.7
Republican Royland Lara 4,908 11.3
Total votes 43,401 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Lucia Báez-Geller
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Lucia Báez-Geller (D) $355,055 $309,117 $45,938
Michael Davey (D) $555,708 $465,141 $90,566
Source: Federal Election Commission[188]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Lucia Báez-Geller 18,591 54.2
Democratic Mike Davey 15,738 45.8
Total votes 34,329 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Likely R August 16, 2024
Inside Elections[14] Likely R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Likely R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Likely R August 18, 2024

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Maria Elvira Salazar vs. Mike Davey
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
María Elvira
Salazar (R)
Mike
Davey (D)
Undecided
MDW Communications[I] June 13–17, 2024 1,423(LV) ± 3.0% 44% 40% 16%

District 28

2024 Florida's 28th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Carlos Giménez Phil Ehr
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Carlos Giménez
Republican



The incumbent is Republican Carlos Giménez who was re-elected with 63.69% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Carlos A. Giménez
Federal officials
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Carlos Giménez (R) $545,051 $358,911 $905,945
Source: Federal Election Commission[198]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Phil Ehr
U.S. representatives
Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Phil Ehr (D) $1,059,292 $1,048,117 $14,534
Source: Federal Election Commission[198]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[16] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[17] Solid R November 16, 2023

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Carlos
Gímenez (R)
Phil
Ehr (D)
Other Undecided
Change Research (D)[J] October 13–17, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.7% 45% 32% 7%[ac] 16%

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ $20,000 of this total was self-funded by Valimont
  3. ^ $8,600 of this total was self-funded by Woodward
  4. ^ $14,000 of this total was self-funded by Stevens
  5. ^ $93,538 of this total was self-funded by Mills
  6. ^ $13,986 of this total was self-funded by Pastrana
  7. ^ $140,000 of this total was self-funded by Hearton
  8. ^ $3,510 of this total was self-funded by McDow
  9. ^ $17,500 of this total was self-funded by Quiñones
  10. ^ $49,900 of this total was self-funded by McCloy
  11. ^ The poll's sponsor only revealed the numbers for Sabatini and Webster, and did not explain how the remaining 36% of respondents answered.
  12. ^ Numbered as the 11th from 2007–2013
  13. ^ Numbered as the 20th from 2005–2013 and as the 23rd from 2013–2023
  14. ^ Numbered as the 15th from 2013–2023
  15. ^ $5,246 of this total was self-funded by Fox
  16. ^ $17,837 of this total was self-funded by Liccione
  17. ^ $20,000 of this total was self-funded by Weinkrantz
  18. ^ $8,785 of this total was self-funded by Peters
  19. ^ $2,000 of this total was self-funded by Perry
  20. ^ $501,000 of this total was self-funded by Speir
  21. ^ $3,742 of this total was self-funded by Lerner
  22. ^ $2,000 of this total was self-funded by Adeimy
  23. ^ $215,000 of this total was self-funded by Franzese
  24. ^ $110,000 of this total was self-funded by Gutmann
  25. ^ $8,200 of this total was self-funded by Thelusca
  26. ^ This district was numbered as the 23rd district prior to the 2020 redistricting cycle
  27. ^ Numbered as the 18th from 2017–2023
  28. ^ $30,000 of this total was self-funded by Eddy
  29. ^ "Would not vote" with 7%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Gaetz's campaign
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Adams's campaign
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by Haridopolos's campaign
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by U.S. Term Limits, which supports Sabatini[84]
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by Club for Growth
  6. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Florida Politics
  7. ^ Poll sponsored by Fox's campaign
  8. ^ Poll sponsored by Kemp's campaign
  9. ^ Poll sponsored by Davey's campaign
  10. ^ Poll sponsored by Ehr's campaign

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  200. ^ Fineout, Gary (July 17, 2023). "Florida Navy vet mounts bid to defeat Rick Scott". POLITICO. Retrieved July 17, 2023.
  201. ^ Scheckner, Jesse (February 2, 2024). "Phil Ehr outraises Carlos Giménez in Q4, but lags far behind in cash on hand". Florida Politics. Retrieved April 9, 2024. The FEC lists two other Democrats as running in CD 28...one, Marcos Reyes, dropped out of the race last month to instead challenge incumbent Miami Republican state Rep. Juan Porras
  202. ^ Fineout, Gary (October 18, 2023). "Challenger to Rick Scott drops out of Florida Senate race". Politico. Retrieved October 19, 2023. Mucarsel-Powell, who is endorsing Ehr, lost her congressional seat to Gimenez in the 2020 election.
  203. ^ Ogles, Jacob (June 21, 2024). "Phil Ehr lands support of SEIU, nation's leading public employee union". Florida Politics. Retrieved June 23, 2024.
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