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====Declared====
====Declared====
*Joyce Lacey ([[Independence—Alliance Party|Independence—Alliance]]), guardianship advocate and Republican candidate for governor in [[2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election|2022]]<ref name = lacey>{{cite news |work=US Term Limits |last=Tillman |first=Scott |access-date=1 September 2023 |date=31 July 2023 |url=https://www.termlimits.com/joyce-lacey-pledges-to-support-term-limits-on-congress/ |title=Joyce Lacey Pledges to Support Term Limits on Congress}}</ref>
*Joyce Lacey ([[Independence—Alliance Party|Independence—Alliance]]), guardianship advocate and Republican candidate for governor in [[2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election|2022]]<ref name = lacey>{{cite news |work=US Term Limits |last=Tillman |first=Scott |access-date=1 September 2023 |date=31 July 2023 |url=https://www.termlimits.com/joyce-lacey-pledges-to-support-term-limits-on-congress/ |title=Joyce Lacey Pledges to Support Term Limits on Congress}}</ref>
*Rebecca Whiting ([[Libertarian Party (United States)|Minnesota Libertarian Party]]), army veteran <ref>{{cite web |title=2024 Petitioning for LPMN-Endorsed Candidates |url=https://lpmn.org/2024-petitioning-lpmn-endorsed-candidates-2/ |website=Libertarian Party of Minnesota |access-date=24 June 2024}}</ref>


== General election ==
== General election ==

Revision as of 05:47, 24 June 2024

2024 United States Senate election in Minnesota

← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →
 
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Amy Klobuchar
Democratic (DFL)



The 2024 United States Senate election in Minnesota will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Minnesota. Incumbent Democratic Senator Amy Klobuchar was re-elected with 60.3% of the vote in 2018 and is running for re-election to a fourth term. Primary elections will take place on August 13, 2024.[1]

Background

Minnesota is considered to be a slightly to moderately blue state at the federal level. In the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden carried Minnesota by about seven percentage points. Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats, all statewide executive offices, and both state legislative chambers.[2][3]

Klobuchar was first elected in 2006, defeating former U.S. Representative Mark Kennedy. She won re-election in 2012 and 2018 by large margins.[4]

This race is considered to be clearly favoring Klobuchar, as she has won all three of her Senate elections by more than 20 points and typically over-performs other down-ballot candidates.[5]

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Amy Klobuchar (DFL) $16,256,579 $14,422,384 $5,769,671
Source: Federal Election Commission[21]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Royce White
Political parties

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Joe Fraser (R) $45,057 $1,156 $43,901
Royce White (R) $10,754 $487 $10,267
Source: Federal Election Commission[21]

Third-party and independent candidates

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[29] Solid D November 9, 2023
Inside Elections[30] Solid D November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Safe D November 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[32] Likely D June 8, 2024
Elections Daily[33] Safe D May 4, 2023
CNalysis[34] Solid D November 21, 2023

Polling

Amy Klobuchar vs. Joe Fraser
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Joe
Fraser (R)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA[A] June 12–16, 2024 626 (LV) ± 4.5% 49% 36% 4% 11%
SurveyUSA[B] May 8–11, 2024 625 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 34% 5% 12%
SurveyUSA[B] April 3–7, 2024 608 (LV) ± 4.9% 51% 34% 6% 10%
SurveyUSA[B] February 23–28, 2024 1,603 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 33% 5% 14%
Amy Klobuchar vs. Royce White
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Royce
White (R)
Other Undecided
Emerson College[C] June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 37% 11%
SurveyUSA[A] June 12–16, 2024 626 (LV) ± 4.5% 49% 35% 4% 12%

Notes

  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b Poll sponsored by KSTP-TV
  2. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by KSTP-TV, WDIO-TV, and KAAL
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by The Hill.

References

  1. ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  2. ^ "Live election results: 2020 Minnesota results". www.politico.com. Retrieved April 19, 2023.
  3. ^ Faircloth, Ryan; Tribune, Briana Bierschbach Star. "Democrats take control of the Minnesota Legislature". Star Tribune. Retrieved April 19, 2023.
  4. ^ "Minnesota Secretary Of State - 2006 General Election Results". www.sos.state.mn.us. Retrieved April 19, 2023.
  5. ^ Golshan, Tara (February 10, 2019). "Sen. Amy Klobuchar has won every one of her elections by huge margins. Now she's running for president". Vox. Retrieved April 19, 2023.
  6. ^ Everett, Burgess (October 5, 2022). "Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents". Politico. Retrieved October 5, 2022. Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) said she's made it 'very clear' she's running again
  7. ^ a b c d e f g h "Candidate Filings, 2024 State General Election, United States Senator". Office of the Minnesota Secretary of State. Retrieved June 12, 2024.
  8. ^ a b "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Senator Amy Klobuchar for Reelection". Giffords. January 24, 2024. Retrieved January 26, 2024.
  9. ^ "- AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Archived from the original on August 27, 2023. Retrieved August 27, 2023.
  10. ^ Chou, Lauren (May 10, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Amy Klobuchar for Reelection to the United States Senate". EMILYs List. Retrieved October 1, 2023.
  11. ^ a b "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Klobuchar for Reelection". March 30, 2023.
  12. ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  13. ^ "Jewish Dems: President Biden Stands with Israel". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved May 10, 2024.
  14. ^ "Amy Klobuchar". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  15. ^ "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  16. ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  17. ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
  18. ^ "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Retrieved November 6, 2023.
  19. ^ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  20. ^ Leier, Joe. "Minnesota Democrats endorse Klobuchar for US Senate race". The Mighty 790 KFGO | KFGO. Retrieved June 3, 2024.
  21. ^ a b "2024 Election United States Senate - Minnesota". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  22. ^ a b Frisk, Garrett (July 5, 2023). "Minnesota Democrat Amy Klobuchar Challenged by Two Republicans". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved July 5, 2023.
  23. ^ Brown, Kyle (January 29, 2024). "West metro Republican launches campaign challenging Klobuchar for Senate seat". KSTP.com 5 Eyewitness News. Retrieved January 30, 2024.
  24. ^ Whalen, Eamon (August 23, 2023). "Royce White Announces Run for Senate With New Conspiracy Theory". Mother Jones. Retrieved August 23, 2023.
  25. ^ a b c d e f g h Van Oot, Tery (August 21, 2023). "Here's who's not running for U.S. Senate in Minnesota next year". Axios.
  26. ^ Vondracek, Christopher (May 18, 2024). "In a surprise, Minnesota Republicans back Royce White to run against Amy Klobuchar". Star Tribune. Retrieved May 18, 2024.
  27. ^ Tillman, Scott (July 31, 2023). "Joyce Lacey Pledges to Support Term Limits on Congress". US Term Limits. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  28. ^ "2024 Petitioning for LPMN-Endorsed Candidates". Libertarian Party of Minnesota. Retrieved June 24, 2024.
  29. ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  30. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  31. ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  32. ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  33. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  34. ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
Official campaign websites