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! class="unsortable" | Donald<br/>Trump<br/>{{nobold|Republican}}
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! class="unsortable" | Other /<br/>Undecided
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|style="text-align:left;"|[https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Final-SNY0424-Crosstabs.pdf Siena College]
| data-sort-value="2024-02-20" |April 15–17, 2024
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|±&nbsp;4.1%
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''47%'''
|37%
|16%
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|style="text-align:left;"|[https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/SNY0124-Crosstabs.pdf Siena College]
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/SNY0124-Crosstabs.pdf Siena College]

Revision as of 18:40, 22 April 2024

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election
2024 United States presidential election in New York
← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Nominee Joe Biden
(presumptive) 		Donald Trump
(presumptive)
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris
(presumptive) 		TBA
Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic



Elections in New York State
Federal government
Presidential elections
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
State government
New York gubernatorial elections
Attorney General elections
State Comptroller elections
State Senate elections
State Assembly elections
State elections by year
New York City
Mayoral elections

Pre-consolidation:

Post-consolidation:

City Council elections

Pre-consolidation:

Post-consolidation:

Public Advocate elections
Comptroller elections
Borough president elections
Albany
Mayoral elections
Buffalo
Mayoral elections
Rochester
Mayoral elections
Syracuse
Mayoral elections

The 2024 United States presidential election in New York is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. New York voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New York has 28 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.[1]

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[2]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Main article: 2024 New York Democratic presidential primary

The 2024 New York Democratic presidential primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside primaries in Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Wisconsin.

New York Democratic primary, April 2, 2024[3]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Pledged Unpledged Total
Joe Biden (incumbent) 288,138 80.7% 268 268
Marianne Williamson 15,573 4.4%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn) 11,309 3.2%
Blank ballots 41,113 11.5%
Void ballots 903 0.3%
Total: 357,036 100.0% 268 38 306

Primary polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden 		Different
Candidate 		Undecided
Siena College Sep 10–13, 2023 804 (RV) ± 4.3% 54% 40% 6%
Siena College Aug 13–16, 2023 803 (RV) ± 4.4% 47% 46% 7%
Siena College Jun 20–25, 2023 817 (RV) ± 3.9% 54% 40% 6%
Siena College May 7–11, 2023 810 (RV) ± 4.1% 56% 40% 4%
Siena College Mar 19–22, 2023 802 (RV) ± 4.6% 43% 51% 7%

Republican primary

Main article: 2024 New York Republican presidential primary

The New York Republican primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside the Connecticut primary.

New York Republican primary, April 2, 2024[4]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 132,698 81.2% 91 91
Nikki Haley (withdrawn) 21,145 12.9%
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 6,679 4.1%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) 1,667 1.0%
Blank or void ballots 1,311 0.8%
Total: 163,500 100.0% 91 91

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[5] Solid D December 19, 2023
Inside Elections[6] Solid D April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Solid D June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[8] Solid D December 14, 2023
CNalysis[9] Solid D December 30, 2023
CNN[10] Solid D January 14, 2024

Polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Siena College February 12–14, 2024 806 (RV) ± 4.2% 42% 32% 13% 6% 7%
Siena College January 14–17, 2024 807 (RV) ± 4.5% 41% 32% 13% 3% 11%
Siena College November 12–15, 2023 803 (RV) ± 4.6% 37% 28% 18% 5% 11%
Siena College October 15–19, 2023 1,225 (RV) ± 3.4% 38% 31% 13% 5% 12%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Siena College April 15–17, 2024 806 (RV) ± 4.1% 47% 37% 16%
Siena College February 12–14, 2024 806 (RV) ± 4.2% 48% 36% 16%
Siena College January 14–17, 2024 807 (RV) ± 4.5% 46% 37% 17%
Siena College November 12–15, 2023 803 (RV) ± 4.6% 46% 36% 18%
Siena College October 15–19, 2023 1,225 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 37% 17%
Siena College August 13–16, 2023 803 (RV) ± 4.4% 47% 34% 19%
Siena College June 20–25, 2023 817 (RV) ± 3.9% 50% 28% 21%
SurveyUSA November 3–6, 2022 918 (RV) ± 4.1% 46% 34% 20%
Emerson College October 20–24, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 40% 13%
SurveyUSA October 14–18, 2022 1,018 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 37% 21%
Emerson College September 4–6, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 37% 10%
SurveyUSA August 17–21, 2022 715 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 29% 22%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) August 7–9, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 40% 8%

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients

References

  1. ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
  2. ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
  3. ^ "Certified 2024 Democratic Presidential Primary Results". New York State Board of Elections. Retrieved May 1, 2024.
  4. ^ "Certified 2024 Republican Presidential Primary Results". New York State Board of Electiom. Retrieved May 20, 2024.
  5. ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  6. ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  7. ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  8. ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  9. ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  10. ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
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