Opinion polling for the 2024 Slovak presidential election: Difference between revisions
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| 28 January 2024 |
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| Focus<ref name="Startitup 280124">{{cite web |last1=Poloha |first1=Natanael Leo |title=Aktuálny PRIESKUM: Pellegrini by v druhom kole Korčoka rozdrvil. Harabinovi stúpajú preferencie |url=https://www.startitup.sk/aktualny-prieskum-pellegrini-by-v-druhom-kole-korcoka-rozdrvil-harabinovi-stupaju-preferencie/ |website=Startitup.sk |access-date=17 February 2024 |language=sk |date=28 January 2024}}</ref> |
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| style="background:#FFB7B7;" |'''38.1%''' |
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| style="background:#B2DFFF;" |'''35.6%''' |
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| style="background:#D5D5D5"| — |
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| 10.9% |
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| 4.9% |
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| 3.3% |
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| 2.3% |
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| 22-25 January 2024 |
| 22-25 January 2024 |
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| style="background:#FFB7B7;" | '''53.7''' |
| style="background:#FFB7B7;" | '''53.7''' |
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| 46.3 |
| 46.3 |
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| 28 January 2024 |
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| Focus<ref name="Startitup 280124"/> |
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| style="background:#FFB7B7;" | '''54.2''' |
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| 45.8 |
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| 22-25 January 2024 |
| 22-25 January 2024 |
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| style="background:#FFB7B7;" | '''54.7''' |
| style="background:#FFB7B7;" | '''54.7''' |
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| 45.3 |
| 45.3 |
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| 16 January 2024 |
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| NMS<ref name="NMS Jan 24"/> |
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| style="background:#FFB7B7;" | '''51.5''' |
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| 48.5 |
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| 2 January 2024 |
| 2 January 2024 |
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| style="background:#FFB7B7;" | '''58.1''' |
| style="background:#FFB7B7;" | '''58.1''' |
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| 41.9 |
| 41.9 |
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| 15 - 22 November 2023 |
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| Focus<ref name="Focus Nov 2023">{{cite web |last1=Hajčáková |first1=Daniela |title=Prieskum: V druhom kole by Pellegrini porazil Korčoka so 60-percentnou podporou |url=https://domov.sme.sk/c/23251886/prieskum-prezidentske-volby-2024-pellegrini-korcok.html |website=domov.sme.sk |access-date=17 February 2024 |language=sk}}</ref> |
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| style="background:#FFB7B7;" | '''60''' |
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|40 |
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| 13 - 18 December 2023 |
| 13 - 18 December 2023 |
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!style="background:{{party color|Voice – Social Democracy}}; width:40px;"| |
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!style="background:#702C91; width:40px;"| |
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| 5-12 February 2024 |
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|AKO<ref name="AKO 5-12 Feb"/> |
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| style="background:#FFB7B7;" | '''68.6''' |
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| 31.4 |
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| 15 - 22 November 2023 |
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| Focus<ref name="Focus Nov 2023"/> |
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| style="background:#FFB7B7;" |'''84''' |
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| 16 |
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| 10 November 2023 |
| 10 November 2023 |
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| Ipsos<ref name="Ipsos 112023"/> |
| Ipsos<ref name="Ipsos 112023"/> |
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| style="background:#FFB7B7;" |'''45''' |
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| 13 |
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!style="background:{{party color|Direction – Social Democracy}}; width:40px;"| |
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| 15 - 22 November 2023 |
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| Focus<ref name="Focus Nov 2023"/> |
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| style="background:#E2CBD4;" |'''74''' |
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| 26 |
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| 10 November 2023 |
| 10 November 2023 |
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| 5-12 February 2024 |
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|AKO<ref name="AKO 5-12 Feb"/> |
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| style="background:#E9EFB2;" | '''63.1''' |
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| 36.9 |
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| 15 - 22 November 2023 |
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| Focus<ref name="Focus Nov 2023"/> |
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| style="background:#E9EFB2;" |'''67''' |
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| 33 |
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| 6 - 13 September 2023 |
| 6 - 13 September 2023 |
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| style="background:#E9EFB2" |'''63''' |
| style="background:#E9EFB2" |'''63''' |
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| 37 |
| 37 |
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'''Pellegrini vs Fico''' |
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{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;" |
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|- style="font-size:80%;" |
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!style="width:150px;" rowspan="2"|Date |
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!style="width:165px;" rowspan="2"|Agency |
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! [[Peter Pellegrini]] |
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! [[Robert Fico]] |
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!style="background:{{party color|Voice – Social Democracy}}; width:40px;"| |
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!style="background:{{party color|Direction – Social Democracy}}; width:40px;"| |
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| 6 - 13 September 2023 |
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| Focus<ref name="Aktuality 170923"/> |
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| style="background:#E2CBD4;" | '''65''' |
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| 35 |
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| 5-12 February 2024 |
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| AKO<ref name="AKO 5-12 Feb"/> |
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| style="background:#E9EFB2;" | '''64.3''' |
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| 35.7 |
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| 15 - 22 November 2023 |
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| Focus<ref name="Focus Nov 2023"/> |
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| style="background:#E9EFB2;" |'''62''' |
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| 38 |
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| 6 - 13 September 2023 |
| 6 - 13 September 2023 |
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| 15 - 22 November 2023 |
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| Focus<ref name="Focus Nov 2023"/> |
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| style="background:#F0B2BA;" |'''67''' |
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| 33 |
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| 6 - 13 September 2023 |
| 6 - 13 September 2023 |
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===Hypothetical polling=== |
===Hypothetical polling=== |
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The polls listed below include candidates who decided not to run, withdrawn from election or failed to advance to second round. |
The polls listed below include candidates who decided not to run, withdrawn from election or failed to advance to second round. |
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'''Pellegrini vs Fico''' |
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{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;" |
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|- style="font-size:80%;" |
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!style="width:150px;" rowspan="2"|Date |
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!style="width:165px;" rowspan="2"|Agency |
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! [[Peter Pellegrini]] |
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! [[Robert Fico]] |
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!style="background:{{party color|Voice – Social Democracy}}; width:40px;"| |
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!style="background:{{party color|Direction – Social Democracy}}; width:40px;"| |
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| 6 - 13 September 2023 |
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| Focus<ref name="Aktuality 170923"/> |
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| style="background:#E2CBD4;" | '''65''' |
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| 35 |
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'''Pellegrini vs Mistrík''' |
'''Pellegrini vs Mistrík''' |
Revision as of 23:20, 17 February 2024
This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2024 Slovak presidential election. Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading candidate's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication; however, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.
Opinion polls for the first round
Since nominations were closed
Date | Agency | Peter Pellegrini | Ivan Korčok | Štefan Harabin | Marian Kotleba | Ján Kubiš | Andrej Danko | Krisztián Forró | Igor Matovič | Patrik Dubovský | Milan Náhlik |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5-12 February 2024 | AKO[1] | 39.0% | 37.2% | 8.1% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
Before nominations were closed
Date | Agency | Peter Pellegrini | Ivan Korčok | Maroš Žilinka | Štefan Harabin | Peter Weiss | Robert Mistrík | Marian Kotleba | Ján Kubiš | Miriam Lexmann | Robert Fico | Ján Drgonec | Andrej Danko | Krisztián Forró | Ľudovít Ódor | Jozef Banáš | Milan Uhrík | Boris Kollár | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 January 2024 | Focus[2] | 38.1% | 35.6% | — | 10.9% | — | — | — | 4.9% | — | — | — | 3.3% | 2.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
22-25 January 2024 | Ipsos[3] | 40.7% | 38.2% | — | 8.0% | — | — | 1.6% | 2.1% | — | — | — | 1.7% | 3.3% | — | — | — | — | 3.3% |
11-16 January 2024 | AKO[4] | 40.6% | 37.7% | — | 8.0% | — | — | — | 3.1% | — | — | 2.2% | — | 2.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
16 January 2024 | NMS[5] | 32.4% | 33.0% | — | 11.0% | — | — | — | 4.3% | — | — | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | — | — | — | — | 4.1% |
2 January 2024 | SANEP[6] | 43.9% | 32.3% | — | 9.8% | — | — | — | 9.9% | — | — | — | 3.5% | 0.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
13-18 December 2023 | Ipsos[7] | 25% | 16% | — | 7% | — | — | — | 2% | 2% | — | — | — | 2% | — | — | — | — | — |
13 November-17 December 2023 | Median SK[8] | 30.3% | 23.3% | 2.1% | — | — | 3.2% | — | — | 2.5% | 15.2% | — | — | — | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% |
7-14 November 2023 | AKO[9] | 40.0% | 30.4% | — | 8.9% | — | 3.6% | — | 5.8% | 1.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9.5% |
10 November 2023 | Ipsos[10] | 19% | 14% | 8% | 8% | — | 3% | — | 2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
July 2023 | Ipsos[11] | 12% | 11% | 8% | 7% | — | 3% | — | 3% | 3% | 13% | — | — | 4% | — | — | — | — | — |
21-28 June 2023 | Focus[12] | 13% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Polls with Čaputová
Date | Agency | Zuzana Čaputová | Peter Pellegrini | Robert Fico | Štefan Harabin | Milan Uhrík | Maroš Žilinka | Marian Kotleba | Maroš Šefčovič | Mikuláš Dzurinda | Iveta Radičová | Jozef Banáš | Eduard Chmelár | Andrej Kiska | Boris Kollár | Ivan Korčok | Miroslav Lajčák | Peter Weiss | Robert Mistrík | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 March 2023 | Ipsos[13] | 30.0% | — | — | 7.0% | — | 7.0% | 3.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.0% | — | 3.0% | 2.0% | — |
1 - 8 February 2023 | Focus[14] | 18.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | — | — | 52.7% |
Opinion polls for the second round
Pellegrini vs Korčok
Date | Agency | Peter Pellegrini | Ivan Korčok |
---|---|---|---|
5-12 February 2024 | AKO[1] | 53.7 | 46.3 |
28 January 2024 | Focus[2] | 54.2 | 45.8 |
22-25 January 2024 | Ipsos[3] | 54.7 | 45.3 |
16 January 2024 | NMS[5] | 51.5 | 48.5 |
2 January 2024 | Sanep[6] | 58.1 | 41.9 |
15 - 22 November 2023 | Focus[15] | 60 | 40 |
13 - 18 December 2023 | Ipsos[10] | 48 | 27 |
10 November 2023 | Ipsos[10] | 40 | 26 |
6 - 13 September 2023 | Focus[16] | 58 | 42 |
Pellegrini vs Harabin
Date | Agency | Peter Pellegrini | Štefan Harabin |
---|---|---|---|
5-12 February 2024 | AKO[1] | 68.6 | 31.4 |
15 - 22 November 2023 | Focus[15] | 84 | 16 |
10 November 2023 | Ipsos[10] | 45 | 13 |
Pellegrini vs Kubiš
Date | Agency | Peter Pellegrini | Ján Kubiš |
---|---|---|---|
15 - 22 November 2023 | Focus[15] | 74 | 26 |
10 November 2023 | Ipsos[10] | 49 | 19 |
Korčok vs Harabin
Date | Agency | Ivan Korčok | Štefan Harabin |
---|---|---|---|
5-12 February 2024 | AKO[1] | 63.1 | 36.9 |
15 - 22 November 2023 | Focus[15] | 67 | 33 |
6 - 13 September 2023 | Focus[16] | 63 | 37 |
Korčok vs Kubiš
Date | Agency | Ivan Korčok | Ján Kubiš |
---|---|---|---|
5-12 February 2024 | AKO[1] | 64.3 | 35.7 |
15 - 22 November 2023 | Focus[15] | 62 | 38 |
6 - 13 September 2023 | Focus[16] | 58 | 42 |
Kubiš vs Harabin
Date | Agency | Ján Kubiš | Štefan Harabin |
---|---|---|---|
15 - 22 November 2023 | Focus[15] | 67 | 33 |
6 - 13 September 2023 | Focus[16] | 66 | 34 |
Hypothetical polling
The polls listed below include candidates who decided not to run, withdrawn from election or failed to advance to second round.
Pellegrini vs Fico
Date | Agency | Peter Pellegrini | Robert Fico |
---|---|---|---|
6 - 13 September 2023 | Focus[16] | 65 | 35 |
Pellegrini vs Mistrík
Date | Agency | Peter Pellegrini | Robert Mistrík |
---|---|---|---|
10 November 2023 | Ipsos[10] | 42 | 18 |
6 - 13 September 2023 | Focus[16] | 68 | 32 |
Pellegrini vs Žilinka
Date | Agency | Peter Pellegrini | Maroš Žilinka |
---|---|---|---|
10 November 2023 | Ipsos[10] | 51 | 18 |
Korčok vs Fico
Date | Agency | Ivan Korčok | Robert Fico |
---|---|---|---|
6 - 13 September 2023 | Focus[16] | 50 | 50 |
Čaputová vs Fico
Date | Agency | Zuzana Čaputová | Robert Fico |
---|---|---|---|
20 April 2023 | Ipsos[17] | 41 | 27 |
Čaputová vs Harabin
Date | Agency | Zuzana Čaputová | Štefan Harabin |
---|---|---|---|
20 April 2023 | Ipsos[17] | 42 | 21 |
Čaputová vs Mistrík
Date | Agency | Zuzana Čaputová | Robert Mistrík |
---|---|---|---|
20 April 2023 | Ipsos[17] | 36 | 13 |
Čaputová vs Pellegrini
Date | Agency | Zuzana Čaputová | Peter Pellegrini |
---|---|---|---|
20 April 2023 | Ipsos[17] | 37 | 28 |
Čaputová vs Weiss
Date | Agency | Zuzana Čaputová | Peter Weiss |
---|---|---|---|
20 April 2023 | Ipsos[17] | 39 | 16 |
Čaputová vs Žilinka
Date | Agency | Zuzana Čaputová | Maroš Žilinka |
---|---|---|---|
20 April 2023 | Ipsos[17] | 39 | 21 |
Other polls
Polling firm |
Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Question | Answer | Lead | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Certainly yes |
Probably yes |
Probably no |
Certainly no | |||||
AKO[18] | 20–23 Nov 2021 |
1,000 | Would you vote for Zuzana Čaputová in the presidential election? |
44.9% | 15.9% | 8.4% | 30.8% | 14.1% |
Polling firm |
Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Question | Answer | Lead | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Certainly yes |
Maybe | Certainly no |
Don't know | |||||
Focus[19] | 25–31 May 2022 |
1,008 | Would you vote for Zuzana Čaputová in the presidential election? |
15% | 31% | 46% | 8% | 15% |
References
- ^ a b c d e Katuška, Michal (15 February 2024). "Prezidentský prieskum: Matovič je už v prvej štvorke. Súboj Korčoka s Pellegrinim je tesný". SME (in Slovak). Retrieved 17 February 2024.
- ^ a b Poloha, Natanael Leo (28 January 2024). "Aktuálny PRIESKUM: Pellegrini by v druhom kole Korčoka rozdrvil. Harabinovi stúpajú preferencie". Startitup.sk (in Slovak). Retrieved 17 February 2024.
- ^ a b Mikušovič, Dušan (26 January 2024). "Ipsos: Súboj medzi Pellegrinim a Korčokom je tesný, druhé kolo môžu rozhodnúť Harabinovi voliči (+ kde berú kandidáti podporu)". Denník N (in Slovak). Retrieved 1 February 2024.
- ^ Kerekes, Daniel (18 January 2024). "Korčok mobilizuje a doťahuje sa na Pellegriniho. Danka by nevolili ani dve percentá voličov". Denník N. Retrieved 18 January 2024.
- ^ a b Hajčáková, Daniela (16 January 2024). "Volebný model: Duel Pellegriniho s Korčokom môže byť omnoho tesnejší, ako sa zdalo". Sme. Retrieved 16 January 2024.
- ^ a b Belej, Martin (2 January 2024). "PRIESKUM: Kto bude naším novým prezidentom? Z vlády má šancu len jeden, veľkú časť hlasov ukradol kandidát z vonku". ta3. Retrieved 4 January 2024.
- ^ "Podpora Pellegriniho rastie, aj keď neohlásil prezidentskú kandidatúru. Teraz by ho Korčok neporazil". dennikn.sk (in Slovak). Retrieved 21 December 2023.
- ^ "Prezidentský volebný model". median.sk (in Slovak). Retrieved 4 January 2023.
- ^ "Prezidentský prieskum AKO: Pellegrini by zbieral hlasy aj medzi voličmi opozície, pred Korčokom vedie". Dennikn.sk (in Slovak). 23 November 2023. Retrieved 25 November 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f g Kern, Miro. "Prieskum Ipsosu: Najväčšiu šancu vyhrať prezidentské voľby má Pellegrini, pred Korčokom má zatiaľ náskok". Denník N. Retrieved 12 November 2023.
- ^ Mikušovič, Dušan (3 August 2023). "Korčok po rozhodnutí prezidentky nekandidovať získava nových voličov. V druhom kole by porazil Fica, Pellegriniho nie". Denník N (in Slovak). Retrieved 4 August 2023.
- ^ "Exkluzívny PRIESKUM: Najväčšiu šancu stať sa novým prezidentom by mal Pellegrini". tvnoviny.sk (in Slovak). 4 July 2023. Retrieved 6 July 2023.
- ^ Mikušovič, Dušan (14 March 2023). "Čaputová má šancu na znovuzvolenie, určite by ju volilo 30 % ľudí. Žilinka má podporu ako Harabin (prieskum Ipsosu)". Denník N (in Slovak). Retrieved 14 March 2023.
- ^ Mikušovič, Dušan (5 March 2023). "Čaputovú by chcelo za prezidentku 18 percent ľudí, s odstupom nasledujú Pellegrini a Fico". Denník N (in Slovak). Retrieved 8 March 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f Hajčáková, Daniela. "Prieskum: V druhom kole by Pellegrini porazil Korčoka so 60-percentnou podporou". domov.sme.sk (in Slovak). Retrieved 17 February 2024.
- ^ a b c d e f g "Prezidentské voľby: Ivan Korčok by našiel podľa prieskumu svojho premožiteľa". Aktuality.sk (in Slovak). 17 September 2023. Retrieved 23 September 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f "Čaputová by vo voľbách porazila Fica, Pellegriniho aj Harabina. Prieskum ukázal, ako by si s nimi poradila". news.refresher.sk (in Slovak). Retrieved 9 May 2023.
- ^ "Exkluzívny prieskum pre HN: Čaputová by voľby vyhrala aj dnes. Jedna otázka odhalila jej slabinu". slovensko.hnonline.sk (in Slovak). Retrieved 2022-01-23.
- ^ "Prieskum: Čaputovú by za prezidentku nevolila takmer polovica opýtaných". domov.sme.sk (in Slovak). Retrieved 2022-06-19.