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18 primaries to watch in Missouri, Michigan, Washington and Kansas
Rep. Cori Bush faces a major challenge in her St. Louis-based seat.
August 05, 2024Harris and Trump are tied in 538’s new polling averages
Harris is doing noticeably better than Biden was before he dropped out.
August 02, 2024How will sexism impact Harris's presidential campaign?
She's already responding to a slew of gendered and racist attacks.
August 01, 2024
Latest 538 Video
Latest 538 Headlines
August 06
Tim Walz was the safe VP pick
But he probably won't give Harris an electoral boost.
August 06
August 06
How would a general election debate impact the presidential campaign?
ABC News politics reporter Brittany Shepherd discusses how a presidential debate could benefit Democratic nominee Vice President Kamala Harris.
August 06
August 06
How has reaction to Russian prisoner swap impacted the Biden-Harris administration?
Senior Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley talks with Galen Druke about how the latest Russian prisoner swap impacted the popularity of the current administration and Kamala Harris.
August 06
August 06
What the polls say about a Harris vs. Trump matchup
The 538 team discusses the latest polling and how the election is looking like a toss-up.
August 06
August 05
18 primaries to watch in Missouri, Michigan, Washington and Kansas
Rep. Cori Bush faces a major challenge in her St. Louis-based seat.
August 05
August 02
Harris and Trump are tied in 538’s new polling averages
Harris is doing noticeably better than Biden was before he dropped out.
August 02
August 01
What is civic respect?
Political science professors Elizabeth Theiss-Morse and Jeff Spinner-Halev talk about sweeping claims and how they relate to civic respect.
August 01
August 01
How people can respectfully disagree over politics
Political science professor Jeff Spinner-Halev discusses the difference between civic respect toward a person versus their belief.
August 01
August 01
How the political parties got so far apart
Political science professors Elizabeth Theiss-Morse and Jeff Spinner-Halev discuss with Galen Druke how political parties have sorted over time.
August 01
August 01
How will sexism impact Harris's presidential campaign?
She's already responding to a slew of gendered and racist attacks.
August 01
July 31
The potential of Tim Walz as the Harris VP pick
ABC News politics reporter Brittany Shepherd joins the 538 Politics podcast to discuss the Minnesota governor as the potential running mate for Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris.
July 31
July 31
Could Josh Shapiro be the Harris VP pick?
The Pennsylvania governor is a popular and charismatic politician and is on the shortlist for vice president.
July 31
July 31
Does the VP pick impact a presidential candidate’s support?
The 538 team discusses who is on the shortlist for vice president for presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris.
July 31
July 31
Young Black voters might be swing voters now
Biden's support among young Black voters was weak. Can Harris win them back?
July 31
July 30
Abortion-rights ballot measures may not help Democrats as much as they think
There isn't much evidence for the "reverse coattails" theory.
July 30
July 29
5 primaries to watch in Arizona and Tennessee
Arizona is hosting perhaps the nastiest House primary in the nation.
July 29
July 26
Quiz: How well do you know the top dogs of politics?
Take a break from the horse race and match these dogs to their political owners.
July 26
July 26
How Harris’ border record could impact her campaign message | 538 Politics Podcast
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Geoffrey Skelley about what might be in store for Vice President Kamala Harris' campaign.
July 26
July 26
Can Harris rally the Obama coalition in this election? | 538 Politics Podcast
Senior elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley joins the 538 Politics podcast to talk about what has changed and what hasn’t in the 2024 presidential race.
July 26
July 26
Does enthusiasm for candidates matter in this presidential race?
In the span of just two days, Vice President Kamala Harris consolidated support within the Democratic Party and is well on her way to securing the Democratic nomination.
July 26
July 25
What 8 potential Kamala Harris VP picks bring to the table
We looked at polls, resumes and more to assess the likely front-runners.
July 25
July 24
Biden isn't the first president to drop a reelection bid
His situation was unique, but not without some historical parallels.
July 24
July 23
Is Kamala Harris the presumptive Democratic nominee? Not quite.
We asked experts what happens next for Democrats after Biden's exit.
July 23
July 22
What we heard about the economy, immigration and foreign policy at the RNC
The convention focused on Trump's strengths with voters.
July 22
July 22
How Harris’s polling numbers compare to Biden’s | 538 Politics Podcast
The 538 team reacts to President Joe Biden dropping out of the 2024 race, in this installment of the 538 Politics podcast.
July 22
July 22
What happens to Biden’s campaign cash now? | 538 Politics Podcast
Senior Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley joins Galen Druke to talk about what’s next for President Joe Biden’s team.
July 22
July 22
Does Harris have enough time to campaign? | 538 Politics Podcast
In this weekend installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Senior Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley joins to talk about Vice President Harris’s possible nomination.
July 22
July 22
What do the polls say about a Harris vs. Trump matchup?
What we know and don't know about the potential new presidential contest.
July 22
July 19
This Florida county is struggling with inflation and housing costs. Voters don't trust either party to fix it.
The latest installment in ABC News' "Your Voice, Your Vote" series.
July 19
July 19
Trump Breaks With RNC Message On Night 4 | 538 Politics Podcast
On the final night of the Republican National Convention, Donald Trump accepted the Republican nomination and spoke publicly for the first time since his attempted assassination.
July 19
July 18
Wisconsin Gen Z voters discuss their top election issues of 2024
538's Galen Druke speaks to young voters in Wisconsin about the cost of living, President Joe Biden's age and the Israel-Hamas war.
July 18
July 18
What you might've missed at the RNC
Republicans both targeted swing voters and played to the base.
July 18
July 18
How is the Republican Party talking about the American dream?
Ruth Igielnik, staff editor for news surveys at The New York Times, joins the podcast to discuss how JD Vance reframed the message from his memoir in his RNC speech.
July 18
July 18
How is the Republican Party trying to broaden its appeal?
The GOP is trying to meet people where they are by addressing issues at the RNC like the economy.
July 18
July 18
Why aren’t Republicans talking about Ukraine?
Senior editor and senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich joins the 538 Politics podcast to discuss the GOP’s foreign policy messaging at the RNC.
July 18
July 17
Will the RNC give Trump a polling bounce?
Trump's numbers could rise soon, but it will be hard to tell why.
July 17
July 17
Many Haley voters won't back Trump. They weren't going to anyway.
But most Republicans and GOP leaners will stick with the party.
July 17
July 17
Recapping Night 2 of the RNC | 538 Politics Podcast
The second day of the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee boasted appearances from some of Trump's former rivals, all calling for Republican Party unity.
July 17
July 15
What else do we know about JD Vance? | 538 Politics Podcast
Republican J.D. Vance from Ohio was elected to the U.S. Senate in 2022.
July 15
July 15
How will attempted assassination of Trump affect lawmakers’ work?
538 discusses how the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump will affect the work that lawmakers do.
July 15
July 15
How are politicians reacting to political violence? | 538 Politics Podcast
Senior election analyst Nathaniel Rakich joins the 538 podcast to discuss how lawmakers react to political violence.
July 15
July 15
How Americans view political violence | 538 Politics Podcast
In the wake of the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump, the 538 crew looks at public opinion data on political violence.
July 15
July 15
Welcome to Milwaukee
The 2024 Republican National Convention is underway. Here’s why the Republican Party chose Milwaukee as the host city.
July 15
July 12
The 2024 Republican Party platform is far from traditional
Conservative lawmakers have learned that things don’t go well if they break with their party.
July 12
July 12
Is Trump trying to soften the Republican Party’s least popular positions?
The GOP released its proposed party platform this week.
July 12
July 12
Nancy Pelosi and other lawmakers leave the door open for Biden to withdraw
More Democrats are saying the president shouldn’t run, but he continues on.
July 12
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