madplanet

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See, that’s what the app is perfect for.

Sounds perfect Wahhhh, I don’t wanna

“The only organisations in Japan that can turn a vague goal dumped on them by the government into reality are the Self-Defence Force and Dentsu. And maybe Pasona.”

This goes back to my feeling that the government doesn’t *do* anything; it says “our goal is to do xxx,” and expects someone else to back that out into a coherent plan and execute it.

More notes on the LDP:

A major source of public anger is the fact that the government’s pandemic response hasn’t evolved: it’s focused on “asking people (local governments, companies, medical institutions, etc) to do things,” while the quid pro quo of subsidies, cash handouts, planning of vaccination logistics, and so forth has been ignored, or subject to a lot of foot-dragging and red tape.

It feels like this is a microcosm of Japan’s governance as a state: a pyramid with government/bureaucracy at the top, companies in the middle, and the populace at the bottom. (One could put “local governments” in the middle segment too, perhaps?) Essentially, the central government is there to “order people to do stuff” when needed but doesn’t really…function in the way one might expect? Ie, it’s there to tell people what to do, while companies (etc) get on with the task of doing things, and occasionally lobby the government for rules that help them do those things.

(I know this is incomplete, imperfect, and naive; but I’m trying to pick apart the failure to act and what drives the reluctance, aside from the conflicting goals that increase reluctance to make decisions - ie no decision will be “successful” because it has to satisfy two contradictory criteria, of keeping the economy going and preventing the spread of the virus.)

There is also the issue of “those on the front lines know best,” or an inability to divide responsibility appropriately between the front lines and a central command, with the former feeding back accurate information to the latter and enabling an overarching strategy to be developed. I use the military metaphor advisedly because the way the central government has on the one hand made every local authority a mini-government and expected it to fulfil all the functions of the central government, while at the same time arguing with these local authorities for not doing things right despite a lack of resources, is reminiscent of the Battle of Nomonhan, the Japanese defeat at the hands of the USSR early in WWII.

2021 japan pandemic covid19

Notes on the LDP

- Abe endorses Suga’s performance because he’s the successor most likely to complete the mission of advancing constitutional reform


- Support for constitutional reform has a strong generational bias - older demographics are mostly for it, younger against


Reform has a strong aura of misdirection: the headline issue is Article 9 and explicitly including the JSDF, but that’s inherently contradictory; all it would do is allow Japan to participate in (US-led?) military operations overseas, which goes against the stated goal of “escaping from the US-imposed constitution”.


- Real goal of reform appears to be a return to the “good old days” in which the constitution didn’t exist to limit the power of the government (see e.g. this).


However, this is incredibly delusional, specifically the notion of a unity of purpose between government and populace lasting for the decade through Japan’s WWII defeat, as Noah Smith discusses here.


The real goal appears to be making it easier to limit public freedom and concentrate authority on the central government, specifically the PM’s office, as the extension of a multi-year exercise in consolidating power in the Kantei and specifically the PM (see e.g. this article by Haru Takenaka of the National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies).


The justification for the latest attempt to get a referendum bill through parliament (which given the LDP majority will presumably pass) appears to be that the government needs the power to do more than ask for stuff to control the pandemic, though this is also pretty convoluted, and has been met with widespread scepticism.


The main response, naturally, has been along the lines of “probably learn to play the guitar before you ask for a more expensive guitar”. I.e., while the government started out with some pretty clear messaging that got across the urgency of social distancing and avoiding the “three Cs” (and cash handouts both to households and businesses, though the latter were in some cases less than generous) it then diluted it with a travel and eating out campaign and a dual agenda of opening up and preventing infections that encouraged indecision.


The central government also didn’t appear to learn from the US and UK’s experience with their vaccine rollouts, instead offloading the planning to local governments who lacked the necessary resources and experience and creating generalised confusion and massive duplication of effort. It only took the lead in setting up mass vaccination centres and bringing in Self-Defence Force medics to supplement healthcare professionals after a third state of emergency declaration in March prompted a spike in public discontent. (As of 7 May, only around 2% of the population had received at least one vaccine shot; the mass vaxxing centres come online later in May.)


In extending the ongoing state of emergency (until 31 May), PM Suga at last stated on 7 May the target of vaccinating a million people a day and of getting shots to the under-65s starting in June. Whether this is achievable (previous targets for testing, for example, have not been met) remains to be seen; the central government’s attempts thus far to accelerate the rollout have reportedly mostly involved telling local authorities to pull their finger out. However, the fact that Suga cited the UK’s success in using vaccines to bring down infections is a positive sign in terms of getting the messaging around the rollout on track.


So to sum up, it looks like the kids of the ruling generation that presided over Japan’s wartime defeat and didn’t like the result are trying to ram through at least a referendum on the view that the pandemic represents their last good opportunity/excuse for the foreseeable future. But it feels unlikely to succeed, in that (1) it will come across as another case of the government mixing up its priorities unless the vaccine rollout proceeds, and (2) if the rollout does succeed, the rationale for enshrining more drastic measures in the constitution would diminish.

2021 pandemic covid19 japan

Machine learning can be a hard subject to find a way into. The “two robots” explanation here is a nice analogy. I find that if I can get a conceptual foothold then asking the right questions to move forward becomes easier.

(Also, the Awesome Echo Loopsynth - yes, that’s it’s name - that’s the subject of the linked post is a fabulous thing I backed on Kickstarter. It takes sound from the environment and processes it into interesting new shapes, which is something I’ve been hooked on since the RjDj iPhone app appeared [it’s now called Hear, at least for the moment])

machine-learning music technology audio
If you have a lot [of mint] you need to put up, make it into a pesto and freeze it. I don’t add nuts or cheese to my pesto, so it’s basically olive oil, garlic, mint, chili flakes, and a little lime juice. But you could do a traditional version as well, with walnuts or pine nuts, then use it on anything from pasta to fish.
food mint recipe pesto
Amazon Prime Now launches in Tokyo today. A quick browse of what’s on offer revealed some whimsical offerings that presumably are intended as emergency party goods (there are also cheap Casio keyboards should you find yourself avec pianist but sans...

Amazon Prime Now launches in Tokyo today. A quick browse of what’s on offer revealed some whimsical offerings that presumably are intended as emergency party goods (there are also cheap Casio keyboards should you find yourself avec pianist but sans tunes), namely: A toy trumpet; a banana-shaped shaker; a beginners’ mouth organ; a samba whistle. There is, presumably, more where this came from.

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(and shoulder heights). The fact that this won an Ignobel Prize makes it sound frivolous until you realise it’s the only way to calculate the appropriate drug dosage for an animal which it’s impractical to weigh. Hopefully the drug delivery can be oral, otherwise man would you need a big needle.

science ig nobel prize

One of the premises of William Gibson’s The Peripheral is an event that dramatically reduces population and results in a few oligarchs and their handlers surviving. Reading this article gives me a twinge in the prescient part of my nervous system. If over 40% of US jobs could be done by robots in 30 years, and we stick with our current model of capitalism, the resultant changes sound drastic enough to me to trigger a Big Event.

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