128.478 is key on the lower timeframe as a level, holding below might push price further down.
Bearish outlook looks likely as long as unfilled areas remain. Round number below. Very good chart example for basic Wyckoff schematics at origin of accumulation.
Just reviewing GBPUSD for learning purposes - study in market structure on higher and lower timeframes.
Careful with any short, we have the daily support nearby. I would prefer to see this break down first. As long as VIX is elevated any long trade will be high risk.
Price managed to climb back above the Median Line of the descending modified Schiff Pitchfork, plus it is holding above the major trend line. Disclaimer : not intended as investment advice, only for educational purposes.
Here is the 2 h chart ----- If we look additionally at the daily chart ( old highs ), then 3400 is roughly the key level of last support. There was no signicant buying yet, on the surface because of financial support measures due to COVID, but I think it is general risk-off due to upcoming elections.
GER30 has lost an important Fib support on the daily chart, bearish tendency after a classic rounding top ?
If we see a drop in WTI Oil and a comeback in US Dollar strength then long USDCAD might be a good idea ( early entry now ).
Good example for studying how price finds buyers at strong zones ( Demand ) and to watch how price leaves these areas. A pair to watch.
All eyes on the Nasdaq and QQQs this week, as any impending reversal in the Indices this month has to include the highflyers . I additionally expect some DXY US Dollar strength to materialize soon, so be careful with GBPUSD and EURUSD long positions........ Patience :-)
The USDJPY will only show strength when the US Dollar weakness is ending. Here we can see how a dip into this 107.00 area shows renewed supply. But my expectation is that this is done to remove the supply from this area deliberately - if there would be real selling going on we would have seen strong continuation moves to the downside. The real sellers might have...
DAX showing some topping behaviour after yesterdays FED Powell speech, could ease further down in my opnion, before the weekend. Careful with LONG !
Watching this pair in case the US Indices show some signs of weakness / bearishness. 74.20 level/area will be important.
Highly speculative ( and not to be seen as financial advice ).................. : Look at this overall structure - it looks like a very wobbly inverse Head & Shoulder pattern. Now look to the left of this structure, and how sellers were selling again and again at these supply levels, in the end driving price down. But then look at the spead and momentum angle of...
Explanation why selling is stronger thsan buying.
Weak revisit to supply, no real buying force.
Watch exactly WHERE price decline stops, then we will see if this is a buy-the-dip on Hourly, or a final top for " sell in May " :-)
See price behaviour at median line, too early to call it a Change in Character.