watch this week's inflation CPI # and that could be the catalyst for another leg up in metals
July/August are seasonally the best months
Possible double bottom formation within 4 weeks. we should see $50 rally next week, followed by a retest of the bottom by mid-July. Sentiment data has reached extreme bearish, this is typically what happen around gold bottoms.
panic sell off just as planned now we should see a good size rally in coming days/weeks. risk/reward suggest a short term rebound very likely..
personally i'm expecting gold price to hit $1950 this month but if we get a weak CPI print, the correction could happen earlier than I expected. the long term trend is still bullish,
sell above $1900, buy back below $1840 in the next 4 weeks the big trend is still very bullish both fundamentally and technically. short term a pull back is very healthy for the overall trend.
$1840 is a reasonable downside target in next 4 weeks
IMO, that 1160 was the bottom for gold, can see a short covering rally in the near future post fomc. near term support around 1180. In worst case scenario, 1160 may be re-tested. We should see a short covering rally into year end.
watch for strong resistance in the 1260 region...
With the excessive pessimism, we shall enjoy a nice rebound right now. but metals should crash along with the upcoming stock market crash in Q4
an upleg about to start to 1400s ard Sept. this is my current view atm.
just pointing out a potential massive bull flag for USDJPY. if so, target 118 by Dec. 113.5 is the breakout point
Friday's late rally on Gold, if follows through next week, should have a target between 1300 - 1310, before downtrend resumes