I’ve just finished reading Meditations by Marcus Aurelius, and I couldn’t help but notice how the timeless wisdom of a Roman emperor applies directly to the life of a trader. After 16 years in the markets, this book gave me fresh insights on discipline, resilience, and self-mastery—key elements that can make or break your trading success. Marcus Aurelius...
USDCAD has surged in October, but multiple confluences suggest a short-term selling opportunity is emerging. Let's break down the charts. Starting with the weekly charts, we can see that USDCAD has been in a long-term range-bound market between 1.39 and 1.32, with price consistently respecting this range over the past two years. I've marked another key...
You know the feeling. You place a trade, and instead of it taking off in your favor, it immediately starts slipping into the red. It happens almost every time, especially if you’re a swing trader. And for some, this drawdown can last for days, weeks, or even months. Whether you're a day trader dealing with quick losses, a swing trader battling long-term dips,...
The big day has arrived: the first Fed rate cut. The burning question is, will it be 0.25% or 0.5%? In recent days, the markets have been leaning toward a 0.50% cut. Could this be the catalyst for a breakdown below the critical 100 level in the USDX? Let’s break down the charts and find out. Looking at the weekly charts, the 100 level has been a solid support...
Are we about to see a double bottom reversal, or will price break down again? Going back to my idea posted in December 2023 (see related post), we had a great buying opportunity on the dip below 0.94, followed by a strong rally towards parity, falling just 80 pips short. That upward move ended in May, and since then, the price has broken down again, with last...
You know that feeling when you stare at the charts, convinced you’re about to strike gold, only for the trade to go so wrong, you wonder if the market gods have a personal vendetta against you? Yeah, we’ve all been there. But here’s the thing—it's not the market that's out to get you. It’s you. Let’s cut to the chase: trading success isn’t just about...
Ever Felt Like Your Worst Enemy in Trading? Here’s How to Overcome it! Have you ever been in that moment where you're staring at the screen, and every fiber of your being is screaming, "This trade is going south," but you still hold on? It’s like watching a train wreck in slow motion—except you’re the conductor, and somehow, you’re glued to your seat.What if...
Is GBPUSD setting up for a massive reversal, or are we on the brink of one final explosive push above 1.31? We've seen quite a rally this month with GBPUSD, as it cleanly broke through the 1.30 level this week, climbing above 1.31 yesterday and hitting a 2023 high, which is now acting as resistance. So, what's next? At 1.313, we've reached last year’s high,...
Is the EURUSD on the verge of a major breakout, or are we heading for another disappointing retreat? Once again, we’re sitting above the 1.10 zone, and the price has moved into the upper range territory. Since early 2023, EURUSD has been stuck in a weekly range between 1.05 and 1.104, with only one quick rally to 1.12 that was quickly faded. Are we finally...
"Know Thyself.’ This ancient Greek wisdom has echoed through time, and over the years in the markets, I’ve realized it holds the key to trading success. But most traders learn this lesson the hard way, often after years of frustration, losses, and self-doubt. To become a successful trader, you must truly know yourself. The saying "know thyself," inscribed at...
This pair is shaping up to be one of my favorite trade setups: the trendline break and retest of the level/zone that broke the trendline. Looking at the Monthly chart below, we’ve seen a significant downtrend for nearly two years that ended in February this year. At that time, I posted a buy setup, buying dips under 0.57 and targeting the 0.60 level as the first...
Picture this: You’re at your trading desk, eyes on the charts, heart pounding as the market swings unpredictably. Do you feel that fear creeping in? Now, imagine knowing that this unpredictability doesn’t have to scare you. Instead, it can be the key to your success. Let's dive into why thinking in probabilities and staying calm in the face of uncertainty can...
Picture this: You’re at your trading desk, eyes on the charts, heart pounding as the market swings unpredictably. Do you feel that fear creeping in? Now, imagine knowing that this unpredictability doesn’t have to scare you. Instead, it can be the key to your success. Let's dive into why thinking in probabilities and staying calm in the face of uncertainty can...
After 16 years of trading, I have come to realize that mindset and beliefs are critical to achieving consistent success in the markets. Through personal experience and countless hours of market analysis, I've discovered that the psychological aspect of trading often makes the difference between consistent gains and recurring losses. Today we will explore how...
This pair has surged over the past few weeks, nearing last year’s high at 2.158 and approaching several key high timeframe (HTF) levels. First, we have the 2020 spike high, which reached the monthly SUPPLY/SELL zone created in June 2016. As shown in the chart below, just above that zone is the 61.8 FIB level from the Brexit decline that began in August...
As per my last trade idea on this pair we got the dip back down under the 1.73 mark and are now well inside the Monthly SELL zone fast approaching the 1.78 mark were I mentioned that the market may target (see related post) So, what's next? Over the coming days and weeks, it’s likely we’ll see a sell-off for this pair. On the weekly charts, the 1.775 level is...
The Yen has been getting hammered across the board lately, and there’s no telling how far these pairs can go long-term. However, in every strong uptrend, buyers eventually take profits, allowing the market to dip and providing opportunities to re-enter at better levels. This scenario seems likely for NZDJPY. We've just popped above a key Monthly resistance...
The EURCAD pair has been steadily rising since the beginning of the year. After a brief stall at the 1.48 weekly resistance, which was broken last month, we have seen a drop and retest of this level, now acting as support. Price has already surpassed last month’s high this week. So, what’s next? The most logical next target for bulls is the 1.50 resistance, a...