Madrid

Madrid

Wizard

After the brutal decline we witnessed for the last few days, it looks like the SP500 has found a floor. The markets never move in a straight line. The VIX reached a level above 29, which signals high volatility and lower prices. The small pauses it took were just small bounces used by the market to keep selling. Yesterday we say a change in the trend of the...

Madrid

Wizard

The indexes have shown a lot of wild swings recently, as the markets react to the economic policies from the federal government and the geopolitical outlook. Tariffs are a tax imposed to imported products and passed along to the end consumer, causing higher prices, so higher inflation. As the president said, it's going to cause "a little disturbance". The market...

Madrid

Wizard

Recently we saw new All Time Highs (ATH), the indexes have been on the rise. However there's something in the works. The so called "Fear Index" TVC:VIX has been stubbornly increasing its level and for a while it has breached the 20 level. Which is the borderline from a calmed ascending market and a correction. The level of the correction may go from just an...

Madrid

Wizard

After the announcement of the FED to reduce interest rates, this attracted new money to the market, which made it easy to break the resistance at the All Time Highs (4670) level. What's next is the short term traders will be taking profits and the bears will be taking every dip to exit their short positions, creating pressure to the upside. My forecast is this...

Madrid

Wizard

Lower Lows / Lower Highs means a downtrend. I would think this was a corrective move, except that it has already violated the main 100/200 trend lines, forming what is known as the #KissOfDeath. Let's assume the best case scenario, where it finds support at 50K, it could be bouncing in the range from 50K to 60K until the market finds a catalyst. The worst case...

Madrid

Wizard

Bulls take the steps, Bears jump from the window. August has seen a very aggressive correction in the market. The question now is where are we now at. To know it, look at the forest, and don't get lost looking at a tree. The market has been in a series of Higher Highs / Higher Lows, the book definition of an Uptrend. The year 2022 witnessed a bear correction, it...

Madrid

Wizard

Bitcoin reached its peak at 70K, and since then it broke the trend and it has been doing a series of Lower Lows / Lower Highs, the pattern is corrective rather than bearish. We still have a support at 50K, which is critical if this is meant to hold and at least trade in the range. If this support is broken, basically it's the end of the bull chapter until the...

Madrid

Wizard

It is hovering at the #ATH levels. Which is very bullish. Currently it’s entering into a negative momentum divergence, which means higher prices with lower momentum, it’s like a projectile which still goes up with a deceleration in progress. The stochastic point to Overbought levels. In a trending market it can remain in overbought and keep on going higher;...

Madrid

Wizard

Recently we watched in the news the resurrection of the "Meme Stocks" frenzy and the "Roaring Kitty" username. Those who witnessed the first surge in stocks like NYSE:AMC , NYSE:GME , NYSE:BB , etc., remember those were basically a "Make me Rich quick" kind of event, they were known as "Meme Stocks" because it all started as memes by a group of traders in...

Madrid

Wizard

Pump/Dump schema: Discrete Share accumulation. Broadcasted Triggering Event (news, rumors, forums, etc). Gather the mass of "Bagholders". Dump all the load. Pocket the quick profit. I am not a fan of " meme stocks " because they're very much like penny stocks, prone to pump/dump schemes. How legal or illegal is this practice?, it is not us to decide,...

Madrid

Wizard

Bitcoin has been retreating from its all time highs. The momentum is negative, which means we can still expect more lows. The good news is that it started to form a positive momentum divergence, which basically means the acceleration towards the downtrend is slowing down, and a possible reversal is in the making. I don’t see a good timing to start a position, I...

Madrid

Wizard

After a Rally from the 4900 levels back to the 5200 a negative momentum divergence started to form in the chart. Still in the positive side, but this could mean a major correction is forming. Let's remember that the previous correction was 5% from the All Time Highs. It all depends if the S/R @5200 is breached or not. If not then the ATH will be left behind for...

Madrid

Wizard

We recently saw the AMEX:SPY index falling very fast and aggressively to the correction territory. The level found support around the 4950s. After all the events like Earnings, one day down, the other day up, and both very aggressive, plus the Fed meeting, also with a wild rollercoaster. At the end of the day the index found support above the 4950. Which is good...

Madrid

Wizard

Today we woke up with a SP Futures Market down on Fed day. The previous days the market was trading in a narrow range, yesterday we saw it crashing down anticipating the Fed day today, and this morning it took another dent until the level reached what we can see in the chart, a touch over the 100 ma support. Keep in mind that after hitting the ATH recently, it...

Madrid

Wizard

History repeats itself, and we should learn from it, however sometimes history is so far away that it spans generations before we're able to grasp the experience first hand. We hear about 1929, but we can't imagine what it was to survive the struggle, we hear about the pandemics during the 20's, same deal, we have heard about recessions, and those who went through...

Madrid

Wizard

After three impulsive waves Bitcoin started to show signs of weakness. It already broke the main trend. The Momentum went to the negative side, it signaled the start of a negative wave. The volume imbalance is on the bear side. To go long on this one we have to first wait for it to find support, if this makes a lower low, then it is going to be game over...

Madrid

Wizard

The market is showing signs of weakening. After the previous high didn't take out the highest high it made on January 22, the momentum started to weaken. The volume is going through a bearish cycle and the VIX is starting to show signs of waking up. The interest rates haven't receded and there are signs of an economy slowdown with upticks in the unemployment and...

Madrid

Wizard

TSLA is at the main support channel line, and at the MA support level, it is a pivot point. The uptrend channel is still valid, but at this point there is no direction, it just came down from the downtrend leg from the 300 level until the 230 level. The volume has been weakening and at this time it's below average. Market Volatility is at 17.6, and in an uptrend...