LuisLizama

LuisLizama

When China decreased its RRR rate in mid-july, it signaled to the broader market that something was wrong in its domestic market. Once we looked at why the PBOC was selling UST short term bills, and combined it with the previous factor- one thing stood out- China is desperate for USD's. When the PBOC cuts its RRR back in 2015, it is was due to: EURODOLLARS...

LuisLizama

Goldman: "The virus deterioration and the resulting more severe restrictions have persuaded us to cut our Q1 UK and Euro area GDP numbers into negative territory " The fiscal and monetary stimulus is unlikely to ease off in 2021. The longer coronavirus ravages and keeps economies shut down, the more likely Governments are going to be forced to pass temporary...

LuisLizama

If the Democratic held government in DC is able to pass the multi trillion dollar stimulus that Biden has proposed, expect the dollar to further depreciate against other major currencies for a time. However I want people to note that this does not equate to the dollar "crashing", I look at the trade weighted dollar index. With my understanding of the petrodollar...

LuisLizama

The Russell is heavily overvalued. Do not expect the FED to inject liquidity forever, and once insolvencies begin, you are going to wish to have invested in companies with strong balance sheets.

LuisLizama

With much of the US financial sector outperforming much of the world and a massive net long speculation on the dollar, if the dollar continues to weaken it could cause a massive dollar long squeeze that could rocket the dollar much much higher. World capital is still flowing into the US and initial weakening of the dollar was due to optimism of a recovery due to...

LuisLizama

There is some serious concerns among critics regarding the fact that the conservative government in London will not have enough time to pass a EU-UK trade agreement, as trade agreements can take years to ratify. To make things worse, the UK government passed a law that made it illegal to extend the Jan 31st deadline. It is do or die now.

LuisLizama

I strongly believe in a hard recovery of the British Pound.

LuisLizama

Expect the USD to devalue w/ the upcoming FED meeting. Trumps rhetoric against the dollar and the central bank will weaken the dollar, but not by much. Trade progression w/ China-US will only help the NZD and AUD

LuisLizama

ECB (European Central Bank), will likely provide a massive stimulus to hold up the EU's economy. Euro supply will devalue the EURO, and interest rates already being at 0% will outflow value out of the EURO. FED currently has a significantly higher interest rate, and the US economy is outperforming Europe my a high margin. Indicator: Pointing at both a downtrend...

LuisLizama

I believe the next big bull movement will coincide w/ the federal reserve cutting rates if it does occur BTCUSD is still very technically driven, but will be less so as the market develops over time. We have seen a strong growth in correlation between central bank decisions and political news on BTC. A recession will more than likely drive BTCUSDn up, but I...

LuisLizama

Fundamentally right now NZDCHF is bearish, but however if things manage to calm down around the world like we have seen this weekend with trump easing off of his trade war, Hong Kong rally being peaceful, and the FED likely to cut rates further should drive up NZDUSD. This in turn allows for RISK OFF moves to allow NZDCHF to move further up as well. However, if...

LuisLizama

NZD fundamentally is pretty weak, with all 5 of its major trading partners facing some form of political/financial upheaval. This is important to know because NZD economy is compromised in large part of its exports. However, data has shown that New Zealand has been becoming a favorable investment due to its free market policies that have kept the financial sector...

LuisLizama

Usd.Cad has met structure and with recent news coming out of Boc and Fed, we should see price neutralize a bit before the FEDS rate decision on the 31st.

LuisLizama

Both Eurozone and British fundamentals are weak. Both economies are seeing a slowdown, which is apparent in the economic data and rhetoric coming from both central banks. The advantage that I see with Britain is that they have higher interest rates, and could leverage that to benefit them during a recession. ECB interests rates remain at 0% and have announced a...

LuisLizama

Momentum loss, Indicators signaling trend termination, structure, and G20 fundamental news all coincide with a strong future uptrend for the DXY. I am very bullish on this pair as the safe haven currency will loose strength as world tensions ease a bit this upcoming week.

LuisLizama

BTCUSD will be trading within range for a while, especially with equity optimism. BTCUSD I believe has reached a significant termination of trend and marketcap which should propel investors into altcoins which are much more attractive at the moment.

LuisLizama

Bitcoins market dominance should have found a ceiling, as BTCUSD investors/traders start diverting money away from the overpriced crypto king. ETH will lead and initiate the Altcoin rally. Also other prominent coins like DGBUSD, LINKUSD, and LTCUSD have been so appealing both technically and fundamentally that I can not see them becoming top 5 or even top 3...

LuisLizama

Stocks will perform better than the past few weeks with the truce between China and the US coming into effect as investors will see reason to buy. USD or Dxy should see strength as well.