Yield Curve with SPX performanceYield Curve with SPX performance
Unemployment rate goes along with T10Y-T02Y
About 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity
Sorry for being so bearish This is not going to end well unfortunately. Stay with cash and wait for the discounts. Be patient
Yield Curve Reversion Trade 2024The yield curve reversion is when the US10Y Treasury Yield becomes greater than the US2Y Treasury Yield and has a track record for signalling recession. I've been tracking the reversion for the past two years for any hint of sense of whether the US FED would cut FEDFUNDS rates or if bond traders wou
10y/2y Treasury Yield Curve cant make up its mind10y/2y Treasury Yield Curve
⏳ Just cant make up its mind......
I wonder what Friday's stamp will be
US10Y2Y Spread vs SPX500History is repeating itself.
When US Treasury 10Y minus 2Y yield turns positive and inching higher, investors should be precautious.
Recession 2025So the 10Y2Y is finally crossing above zero. It has been a long time coming. I have been tracking that since middle 2022. I expect it to rapidly rise to signal a recession in late 2024 or first half of 2025. If you also measure the months between recessions, it is about 100 months. If we got back on
T10Y02Y DEATH SIGNAL IS ONIt's just a matter of time to see Unemployment level rising while Spy could shift to a down trend. Painful times ahead folks. Scoop bitcoin and equities once unemployment levels spike
#stockmarket
#bearish
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10y/2y Treasury Yield Spread Un-inverts 10y/2y Treasury Yield Spread Un-inverts
Something just popped its head above the 0 level on the daily chart over the past 3 days.
Read my post below to understand what this means
PUKA
THE YIELD CURVE HAS UN-INVERTED! WHAT'S NEXT?In this video, we discuss the yield curve represented by the T10Y2Y flipping positive and go over what has historically happened to the US economy when it comes to recessions. I also go over some practical non-financial advice.
Macro Monday 58 - Recession Warning Charts Worth Watching Macro Monday 58
Recession Charts Worth Watching
If you follow me on Trading view, you can revisit these charts at any time and press play to get the up to date data and see if we have hit any recessionary trigger levels. They are very handy to have at a glance.
CHART 1
10 - 2 year treasury
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