SWING IDEA - POLYPLEXNSE:POLYPLEX has hit its 3 year low of 800 levels recently. At this zone, it can been that while the Price Action has been making Lower Low Pattern, the MACD however is starting to form a Higher High Pattern.
This MACD Higher Higher Pattern the recent crossover as well indicates a move in the upward direction.
Follow Strict Stop Loss here as any weekly closing below the Swing Low levels can only take the stock further downward.
This could potentially be a High Risk High Reward Trade. Take it only based on your Risk Appetite and Management.
Supportandresistancezones
$TSLA is now "Playing Ping Pong" Trade Analysis DarkPoolsOverview
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) is currently trading at $430.60, with significant dark pool activity at $430.75 (DP 1.5M). The stock is in an uptrend, but recent price action shows a pullback from the $492 high, indicating indecision. Tesla is now "playing ping pong" between the 4 EMA and 8 EMA, with price reacting to the $430.75 dark pool level.
Technical Analysis
Key Observations
Ping Pong Action:
The stock is oscillating between the 4 EMA (red) and 8 EMA (yellow), creating a range-bound movement as buyers and sellers fight for control.
The dark pool level at $430.75 is acting as a pivot point, with the price consolidating around this critical level.
Trend Analysis:
Tesla remains above the 21 EMA (blue), which indicates the uptrend is still intact despite the pullback.
A breakdown below the $430.75 dark pool level could signal further bearish momentum.
Dark Pool Activity:
The $430.75 (DP 1.5M) level represents significant institutional interest and is a critical support/resistance zone.
Failure to hold this level would likely lead to a test of lower targets, such as $399.45.
Fibonacci and Targets:
Target 1: $348.74.
Target 2: $306.85.
Target 3: $269.95.
These levels align with Fibonacci retracement zones and long-term support areas.
Trade Plan
Bullish Scenario:
Key Factors:
The price bounces off the 8 EMA or $430.75 dark pool level and reclaims the 4 EMA, signaling a bullish continuation.
Entry:
Long position above $435, confirming a bounce above the 8 EMA.
Profit Targets:
First Target: $450.
Second Target: $492.
Stop Loss:
Close below $430, as it invalidates the bullish setup.
Bearish Scenario:
Key Factors:
The price breaks below the 8 EMA and the $430.75 dark pool level, confirming bearish pressure.
Failure to hold the 21 EMA would accelerate the downtrend.
Entry:
Short position below $429, confirming a breakdown.
Profit Targets:
Target 1: $399.45.
Target 2: $348.74.
Target 3: $306.85.
Stop Loss:
Close above $435, as it invalidates the bearish setup.
Conclusion
Tesla is currently oscillating ("ping pong") between the 4 EMA, 8 EMA, and the $430.75 dark pool level, signaling consolidation with no clear trend direction yet. A break above $435 could lead to a retest of $450, while a breakdown below $430.75 may target $399.45 or lower. This setup offers clear entry points and risk management for both bullish and bearish scenarios.
EURGBP whats next, continuation?
What next with OANDA:EURGBP , price is come back in zone, zone looks valid, strong and today we are have BOE rate cut, which is result with moving price back in zone, here personaly bullish,
can wait and for some pattern, or some consolidation above zone for better confirmation lvl.
SUP zone: 0.82500
RES zone: 0.83420, 0.83620
EUR/USD Break-and-Retest: Next Stop 0.97?Weekly Timeframe:
Clear downtrend with a rejection at the 50 MA and a break below key support. Next target lies around 0.97-0.98, a major demand zone.
Daily Timeframe:
Confirms the bearish bias with a retest of the broken support, now acting as resistance. Price remains below the 50 MA, signaling continued downside.
Correlation:
Both timeframes align in a bearish trend. Weekly sets the direction, while daily refines entry opportunities with break-and-retest setups.
ALRS 1D Long Investment Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ volumed T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
Take profit
1/3 - 1 to 2 R/R
1/3 - 1D T2 / 1M T2
1/3 - 1/2 of 1Y
Calculated affordable stop limit
Take profit
1/3 - 1 to 2 R/R
1/3 - 1D T2 / 1M T2
1/3 - 1/2 of 1Y
Monthly CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ volumed Sp
+ test"
Yearly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ manipulation"
$SPY Trade Analysis DarkPoolsThis chart appears to be analyzing the SPY ETF (S&P 500 ETF Trust) on a 30-minute timeframe, with various levels marked for support, resistance, trendlines, and potential targets. Here’s a breakdown of the analysis based on what is visible in the chart:
Trend Analysis:
Downtrend Observed:
The red trendline indicates a clear lower highs (LH) pattern, suggesting a bearish structure.
The green trendline highlights a previous descending support line, which was broken, followed by a recovery.
Current Context:
SPY is below the red trendline, which is acting as resistance.
The price is hovering near the EMA cluster (moving averages such as 8 EMA and 21 EMA), indicating indecision or consolidation.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zones:
595.23 to 599.31: This range aligns with previous pivot points and overlaps with a lower high (LH), making it a significant resistance area.
604.37 (DP): A dark pool level from 12/18 indicates where institutional activity occurred. Breaking this level could signal bullish momentum.
Support Zones:
590.96 to 586.50: Price currently sits above this cluster, suggesting short-term support.
578.93 (90 SMA): The 90 SMA acts as a longer-term support level.
Potential Trade Ideas:
Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Above 595.23, ideally with a strong close above the red trendline.
Targets:
T1: 597.63
T2: 599.31
T3: 604.37
Stop Loss: Below 593.87, the most recent support level.
Bearish Scenario:
Entry: Below 586.50, confirming a breakdown below immediate support.
Targets:
T1: 585.00
T2: 580.00
T3: 578.93
Stop Loss: Above 588.00, invalidating the breakdown.
Indicators:
EMA Strategy: Watch for a cross of the shorter EMA (e.g., 8 EMA) below the longer EMA (e.g., 21 EMA) for bearish confirmation, or vice versa for bullish momentum.
Volume Confirmation: Increased volume at breakout levels strengthens the validity of the move.
Overall Outlook:
The current price action is consolidating between 595.23 (resistance) and 586.50 (support). This range-bound behavior may continue until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs.
A move above the red trend-line could suggest a bullish reversal, while a break below the lower support zone would confirm bearish continuation.
Why the 6:15 Candle is Key:
Liquidity Shift:
Around 6:15 a.m. EST, pre-market trading often experiences a shift in liquidity as larger institutional traders and automated systems begin positioning themselves ahead of the regular market open. This creates a noticeable increase in volume or volatility.
Reaction to Overnight News:
By this time, many traders have processed overnight news, including international market developments, economic data, or corporate announcements. The 6:15 candle often represents the market’s collective sentiment to these inputs.
Early Dark Pool & Futures Activity:
Institutional players and hedge funds might act on dark pool or futures activity signals around this time. For instance, the SPY chart you provided shows interest in identifying areas that coincide with pre-market setups for further price movement.
Key Levels for the Day:
The high and low of the 6:15 candle in pre-market trading are frequently used by day traders as pivot points. These levels often act as intraday support or resistance, with price reacting around these zones during the regular trading session.
Interpreting the 6:15 Candle in Your Chart:
Looking at your chart:
The 6:15 candle seems to be sitting just below key resistance at 591.14.
This candle’s high and low can serve as short-term levels:
High Break: A break above the 6:15 high signals bullish momentum.
Low Break: A move below the 6:15 low indicates bearish pressure.
For SPY, this candle is important because it often sets the tone for the first trading hour of the day.
How to Use the 6:15 Candle:
Range Breakout Strategy:
Mark the high and low of the 6:15 candle.
Use these as breakout or breakdown levels for the regular session.
Pre-Market High/Low Alignment:
If the 6:15 candle aligns with pre-market highs or lows, it reinforces the importance of those levels.
Volume Confirmation:
Check if the 6:15 candle has significant volume compared to previous candles. A spike in volume confirms institutional interest.
EMA Relationship:
Notice if the 6:15 candle is above or below key moving averages like the 8 EMA or 15 EMA. This gives insight into short-term sentiment.
In Summary:
The 6:15 pre-market candle acts as a pivotal reference point:
High and low levels often dictate intraday trading strategies.
It reflects liquidity shifts, news reactions, and institutional activity.
Use it alongside volume, EMAs, and resistance/support zones for more accurate predictions.
$TSLA Trade Analysis DarkPoolsOverview of Chart
The updated chart for TSLA shows additional volume information, key pivot levels (R1, R2, R3, P, and S1), and dark pool prints, which provide a clearer picture of institutional activity and support/resistance zones. The chart continues to reflect the stock's bullish trend but highlights a potential consolidation phase around critical resistance.
Key Observations
Trend Continuation with Consolidation:
TSLA remains in an uptrend, with the price still above the 8 EMA (white line), which acts as a short-term dynamic support.
However, the current candles indicate consolidation near the R2 pivot level ($443.60), where selling pressure is evident.
Dark Pool Prints and Institutional Activity:
The dark pool print at $436.17 (1.6M shares) remains a critical support level. This suggests institutional interest in this price area, likely acting as a floor for further pullbacks.
Holding above this level confirms bullish sentiment. A failure to hold this level could accelerate a bearish pullback toward lower pivot levels.
Volume Analysis:
The chart now shows elevated volume on recent red candles, which suggests increased selling pressure near resistance levels.
Notably, the volume spike is not overwhelmingly bearish, indicating potential profit-taking rather than a complete reversal of the trend.
Pivot Levels and Support/Resistance Zones:
Immediate Resistance: The R2 pivot ($443.60) is acting as a ceiling for TSLA's recent upward momentum. Breaking this level could result in a move toward R3 ($514.82).
Immediate Support: The dark pool level ($436.17) and the 8 EMA align as immediate support levels. Below this, the R1 pivot ($391.77) and 21 EMA ($393.86) represent the next significant supports.
Bearish Divergence Risk:
While the overall trend is bullish, the consolidation near R2 and elevated selling volume suggest a potential pullback if support levels fail to hold.
Trade Plan
Bullish Scenario:
Entry: A confirmed breakout above the R2 pivot ($443.60) with increasing volume. Ideally, a daily close above this level will confirm the breakout.
Targets:
First Target (T1): $456 (recent swing high).
Second Target (T2): $514.82 (R3 pivot).
Stop Loss: Below the dark pool level ($436.17).
Bearish Scenario:
Entry: If TSLA closes below $436.17 and the 8 EMA, indicating a loss of short-term bullish momentum.
Targets:
First Target (T1): $413 (pivot support).
Second Target (T2): $393.86 (21 EMA).
Stop Loss: Above the R2 pivot ($443.60).
Additional Considerations
Risk Management:
TSLA is volatile, and trades should consider position sizing and stop-loss placement to manage risk effectively.
Monitor the overall market sentiment (e.g., SPY, QQQ) for confirmation of broader trends.
Institutional Influence:
Keep an eye on how the price reacts to the dark pool print at $436.17. Institutional support or rejection here will guide the next move.
Broader Market Factors:
Tesla's price can be influenced by sector-wide news (e.g., EV market trends) and macroeconomic factors (e.g., interest rates or broader tech sentiment).
DAILY OUTLOOK FOR GOLD: 1H ANALYSISHello everyone.
For today's trading idea, I have mentioned the levels from which you can trade. OANDA:XAUUSD seems bullish in long term trend.
BUY: 2618/2616
SELL: 2638 & 2652.
I'll be updating the idea and will let you know about recent market changes. So boost and share your thoughts in comments section of this
idea.
SMLT 1H Swing Long Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
- unvolumed T1
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ biggest volume first buying bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ volumed T1
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
Monthly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ biggest volume manipulation"
Yearly trend
"+ T1 level
+ support level
+ biggest volume manipulation?"
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 12/20/2024This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights.
For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
NVIDIA to ATH $153 until end of 2024 (16% ROI)With NASDAQ:NVDA , we are currently in a promising position to see a final exaggeration into the end of the year. The stock has risen over 180% percent in 2024 and I think we have a good chance to make 200% out of that. Looking at the chart we can see a clear uptrend trendline starting in August this year with multiple touchpoints along the line. Since October we're consolidating within the range from $131 to $153. After touching the trendline on thursday last week we're good to go higher (at least for now). Resistance will be the current ATH at $153. If we fail to hold the level at $131 on the daily chart the trade will be invalidated. That leaves us with 16.54% ROI in total.
Target Zone
$153.00
Support Zone
$131.00
UNH Selloff Unreasonable - Still 15% ROI Short-TermSince my first NYSE:UNH idea a couple of days ago the price of this stock dropped significantly. If you've been part of the first idea you should've been able to lock in around 1.x% of return when using a tight stop-loss. Otherwise you've been stopped out with break-even. Nevertheless, the sell-off was not helpful and is completely exaggerating the situation at UNH since the company is not really effected by the current PBM debate.
"Deutsche Bank sees a potential divestiture as not having a significant impact on earnings, estimating the risk at likely less than $200M of the company’s roughly $30B+ operating earnings. Deutsche Bank noted, however, that CVS (CVS), Cigna (CI) and UnitedHealth (NYSE:UNH) 'could face additional risk from losing the ability to vertically integrate the PBM, fulfillment and manufacturing functions of biosimilars through organizations like Cordavis and Quallent.' Despite concerns about the potential breakup of their pharmacy businesses, Deutsche Bank maintained it's buy rating on UnitedHealth (UNH)."
From a technical standpoint we can see a confluence of support:
Weekly SMA200
Strong Trendline from March 2020
Horizontal Support at $480
UNH managed to bounce from the trendline intraday today. This could mean we're going to see a turnaround from here. If we break below the trendline on the daily chart this trade will be invalidated. Otherwise our target sits at $550.
GBP/CAD - H4 - Strong BreakoutThe GBP/CAD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.7761
2nd Support – 1.7570
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 12/19/2024This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights.
For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
[GEX] levels for QQQFirst, let’s examine what we see on our chart using options indicators:
Summarizing the GEX levels through December 26, we have a strong call wall at around 540. If price can break above and hold that level, it could easily pave the way toward 550. However, if we’re expecting a Christmas selloff after Friday’s close, this bearish assumption might prove worthwhile.
This brings up a point that often comes up:
“How do I interpret whether the optoins indicator is bullish or bearish?”
There’s no such definitive signal! The levels and options metrics show certain conditions, but no one can tell you exactly what will happen next. This is where you need to have a directional hypothesis. Once you have it, the indicators can help you fine-tune your positioning, identify realistic targets, and select viable legs—but they won’t decide your directional stance for you.
For example, while everything may look bullish, let’s say you have a contrarian bearish view. Then you can see where it makes sense to position yourself.
Test Case Chosen:
8x QQQ Dec 24th – Dec 26th 525 Calendar Put Spread
Max Loss: $216
Max Profit: $1,685
PoP: 45%
Why not?
LLY 1H Swing Long Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade
- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily Context
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
- expanding T2
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
Monthly Context
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ support level
- biggest volume manipulation"
Yearly Context
"+ long impulse
- neutral zone"
USDJPY new bullish for expect
FX:USDJPY trend based analysis, we having in period from 1.12 - 9.12 ROUNDED BOTTOM pattern visible, price is make break of same and confirmation of same (yellow line) and its make short bullish push, currently price in consolidation, its on strong ex. zone 151.800 (violet line).
What here expecting after todays and past events in this week, still looks like we will have strong USD and here exepcting to see new bullish push.
SUP zone:151.450
RES zone:154.550, 155.050
AFKS Swing 1H Long Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
+ long balance
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed ICE level
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weak test
- above first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily Context
"- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1 level
+ volumed manipulation
+ support level"
Monthly Context
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1 level
- below 1/2 correction
+ support level
- one bar reversal?!"
Yearly Context
"- short impulse
- neutral zone"
EUR/CHF Breaks Above Downtrend Line: What’s Next?The daily chart for the EUR/CHF pair has recently revealed a bullish movement, successfully breaking above its descending trend line. This development indicates a potential shift in market sentiment, occurring after the price touched a significant support level at 0.9250. The fact that the price has breached the downtrend line after reaching this support suggests a potential influx of buying pressure in the short term. Currently, the pair is trading near the horizontal resistance zone at 0.9400, which has been tested multiple times in the past.
Possible Scenarios
Buy Scenario:
With the price having broken above the downtrend line, sustained trading above 0.9400 could signal a bullish move in the coming days.
A stop loss could be placed around 0.9310 (approximately 90 pips below the current price).
For a more conservative approach, a stop loss could be set below 0.9240 (about 160 pips).
Take Profit Opportunities:
TP1 at 0.9490, near the recent high (about 90 pips).
TP2 at 0.9590, targeting the next resistance area (approximately 190 pips).
Alternative Scenario:
If the price fails to maintain itself above 0.9400 and retreats below the trend line, this could indicate a potential continuation of the downtrend. In such a case, a short entry could be evaluated around 0.9350:
Stop Loss: Above the high of the previous candle, at around 0.9420 (approximately 70 pips).
TP1: At 0.9250, which serves as significant support and a recent low (around 100 pips).
Important Technical Factors to Note:
Trend Line: The break of the descending trend line suggests a reduction in selling pressure.
Resistance Zone: The area between 0.9400 and 0.9450 will be a critical test for buying strength.
Strong Support: The 0.9257 level remains a crucial point that buyers have defended in prior downtrends.
Fundamental Considerations
Euro (EUR): The euro's strength is influenced by Eurozone economic data and the European Central Bank (ECB) decisions. The recent release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), showing inflation at 2.2%, is close to the ECB’s target. This indicates that the ECB may adopt a dovish monetary policy in the short to medium term, which could negatively impact the euro's strength.
EUR/CHF is at a pivotal technical crossroads. The break of the descending trend line supports a bullish outlook in the short term, with initial targets set at 0.9490 and 0.9590. However, a failure to overcome the current resistance could see sellers regain control, with possible targets around 0.9300 and 0.9257. Traders should closely monitor price reactions to these critical levels before entering positions.
Disclaimer
74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Consider whether you understand how CFDs work and if you can afford the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investment values may fluctuate, and you may not recover your initial investment. This content is not intended for residents of the UK.