BTC Trend in 2025: (Based on Ichimoku)Based on my previous analysis from march 22, 2024 , the BTC trend is still bullish.
According to our medium-term analysis , it has hit our TPs and we see retracement nowadays.
Bitcoin will record new ATH(s):
113866
122524
137082.5
And important support levels:
87800
69000
Ichimokukinkohyo
BTC/USD - daily chart divergence showed the wayThe divergence was strong with this one.
Both the RSI and MACD showed huge Divergence from the Price.
Divergence is a very good way to try and prevent your buy trade from being someone else’s exit liquidity at the top.
It'll be interesting to see if those Liquidity Voids below get filled up.
Divergence:
Liquidity Voids:
How High Can USD-CAD Go? USD - CAD has been going up and is in a strong bullish trend according to Ichimoku signals.
Ichimoku:
-Tenkan Sen is avove Kijun Sen and pointing up
-Kumo is up, thick and Senkou Span A and B are pointing up
-Chikou Span is above the candles and has no resistance in the future
-Price broke Yellow focus lines to the upside
Price action:
-broke big inside bar to upside
-broke couple doj at resistance level
-broke resistance level
Price Target:
-Price reached n-target but could get tot V and E, because there are no signals of slowing down.
Weekly is also strong bullish.
*im a beginner trader and learning. I make these analyses for myself. Please comment on my analysis because i want to learn.
www.tradingview.com
XAUUSD 4h AnalysisAccording to my previous analysis, based on Ichimoku, the gold trend is still bullish.
I see the possibility of a return to higher levels and a retest of the 2760 zone. If this level is broken, it can also reach the 2790 level.
If the price doesn't break through the resistance, we expect it to reach
2611-2640 price range.
We will check the ichimoku and data at these levels.
As usual we trade at all important levels. And you can follow the free signals in TG.
XAUUSD Daily AnalysisFor the up coming weeks, the Gold trend is generally bullish.
Ichimoku shows that the support level (2500) is very important and if gold breaks through the 2663 level, there is a possibility of growth towards 2753.
Our perspective toward gold is positive, unless there are major changes in the global economic situation
XAU/USD: Strong Bearish Momentum with Limited Upside🐻 XAU/USD Analysis: Bearish Momentum Dominates Across Timeframes with Limited Upside Potential 🐻
Idea:
In this multi-timeframe analysis of XAU/USD, we explore a solid bearish setup that persists across daily, 4-hour, 1-hour, and 15-minute charts. This alignment creates a clear, layered downtrend. Here’s a breakdown of each timeframe, highlighting support and resistance levels, ideal trade setups, and short entry points, while remaining cautious of minor corrective bounces.
🕰️ Daily Chart (1D): Long-Term View
From a wide perspective, the daily chart signals a strong bearish outlook:
• Momentum: Clearly bearish, with RSI at an oversold level of 24.61. Despite the oversold status, the prevailing downtrend remains strong, with limited upward potential.
• Ichimoku Cloud: The price is far below the cloud, with the lagging span mirroring the bearish structure. Sellers are in control, and there are no reversal signs.
• ADX & DI: A high ADX and dominance of the DI- line emphasize strong selling pressure.
• Key Support Zone: The zone between 2,575 and 2,580 acts as critical support. If price dips into this zone, we may see a corrective bounce before a potential further decline.
The daily chart maintains a bearish sentiment, where any temporary rallies are likely to be capped.
🕰️ 4-Hour Chart (4H): Medium-Term Insights
The 4-hour chart provides a closer look at possible short-term corrections within the broader downtrend:
• Trend: Bearish momentum continues, with a slight bullish divergence hinting at a minor pullback. This divergence suggests that sellers may temporarily lose momentum.
• RSI: With an RSI of 27.77, slightly above oversold territory, the 4-hour chart hints at a possible minor correction.
• Ichimoku Cloud: Both price and the lagging span remain below the cloud, reinforcing the downward trend. However, the proximity to a key support zone may prompt buyers to test the strength of the bearish hold.
• Resistance: Watch for a potential rejection at 2,590 - 2,595, likely strengthening short setups if price attempts to rally and fails at this level.
The 4-hour chart presents a potential for small corrections, though bearish conditions remain the primary theme.
🕰️ 1-Hour Chart (1H): Short-Term Perspective
The 1-hour chart captures immediate price dynamics, suggesting the possibility of a minor bounce:
• Trend: RSI sits at 20.91, in oversold territory, suggesting a short-lived bounce may occur.
• Ichimoku Cloud: Price remains below the cloud, with exhaustion signs as it nears support. This setup underscores bearish pressure but hints at a possible minor pullback.
• Moving Averages: The strong detachment from MAs suggests the bearish trend will continue, but a mean reversion play is possible, where price might retrace toward the MAs before resuming its downtrend.
• Immediate Support Zone: The 2,580 - 2,583 zone could serve as a temporary lifeline for buyers, though any bounce here is likely to be brief.
This chart provides a snapshot of a potential pullback, with the downtrend still prevailing.
🕰️ 15-Minute Chart (15M): Intra-Day Snapshot
For intra-day traders, the 15-minute chart highlights immediate levels:
• Moving Averages: The 10 MA at 2,587 and the 50 MA at 2,592 act as intra-day ceilings, likely capping any upward movement.
• Short-Term Resistance: The 10 MA at 2,587 serves as the first barrier, with the 50 MA at 2,592 reinforcing resistance.
This chart is ideal for quick, short-term trades, confirming limited room for upside, setting the stage for possible scalps within a narrow range.
📝 Trade Setups
Primary Short Setup
• Entry: Sell limit at 2,590 - 2,593; secondary entry at 2,595 if price retraces to resistance.
• Stop Loss: 2,598
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 2,583
• TP2: 2,580
• TP3: 2,575
Secondary Bounce Setup (Countertrend)
• Entry: Buy at 2,575 - 2,578 if reversal signals appear.
• Stop Loss: 2,573
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 2,585
• TP2: 2,590
🔄 Moving Average Detachment & Reversion Play
Across all timeframes, the price’s separation from moving averages suggests a possible mean reversion:
• Short-Term Reversion: Monitor for rejections near 2,590 to enter short positions if bearish momentum resumes.
• Long-Term Reversion: Daily chart support at 2,575 is critical; a break lower would confirm continued downtrend.
Summary
1. Bearish Continuation: The downtrend dominates, favoring short entries at resistance levels.
2. Corrective Bounce: Exercise caution on countertrend plays.
3. Mean Reversion: Moving average detachment suggests a potential short-term correction; watch for resistance rejection to confirm further short setups.
Trading Implications
• For Sellers: This setup favors short positions across timeframes, using resistance levels to enter or add to positions.
• For Buyers: Proceed with caution; the limited upside and strong resistance make long positions challenging unless a breakout occurs.
Conclusion: The strong bearish alignment across timeframes supports short setups with precise entries, while moving averages act as resistance across all timeframes, reinforcing the downtrend and creating opportunities to capitalize on minor pullbacks within a well-defined bearish environment.
BTC Daily AnalysisAccording to our previous analysis (22,march), Bitcoin is still bullish. Our target at that time was 83680 which is touched.
Currently, based on Ichimoku, Bitcoin is still trending upwards.
We expect a reaction from the following resistance levels:
👉92000
👉102100
👉123000
and supporting zones below:
👉78453
👉 73853
👉70374
👉61680
As long as the price does not break this zone (73853), we consider the Bitcoin trend to be bullish.
XAUUSD Daily AnalysisAccording to our previous analysis which showed the exact movement of Gold (based on ichimoku ), the trend of gold is still upward.
So we have correction on chart and expecting to move from the range of 2761 to the first support area ( 2698-2688 ) and then move to higher resistance zones ( 2783- 2788 ) and ( 2814-2819 ).
Note:
*If the 2761 range (4-hour kijensen) is broken, we expect our expected downward correction from the 2783-2788 range to the the support zones.
*if the support of 2698-2688 is broken, the next support zone is (2640-2629).
*We trade at all these levels with proper mm :)
YATHARTH - Ichimoku Breakout📈 Stock Name - Yatharth Hospital & Trauma Care Services Ltd
🌐 Ichimoku Cloud Setup:
1️⃣ Today's close is above the Conversion Line.
2️⃣ Future Kumo is Turning Bullish.
3️⃣ Chikou span is slanting upwards.
All these parameters are shouting BULLISH at the Current Market Price and even more bullishness anticipated AFTER crossing 667.
🚨Disclaimer: This is not a Buy or Sell recommendation. It's for educational purposes and a guiding light to learn trading in the market.
#CloudTrading
#IchimokuCloud
#IchimokuFollowers
#Ichimokuexpert
Excited about this analysis? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
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#StockAnalysis #MarketWatch #TradingEducation #ichimoku #midcap #smallcap #largecap #YATHARTH
XAUUSD Daily AnalysisAccording to our last week analysis Gold was still bullish in the past week and breaks our resistance zone.
Based on our analysis ( Ichimoku ) gold is still in its upward movement and we expect deep retracement from 2766 zone.
Consider this support zone (2711-2717) and these levels : 2683, 2649 and 2637 as a definite target in future downward movement, so these are valuable levels to trade.
The parameters for the Ichimoku Trinh Phat indicator for BTCUSDTThis adjustment of some paremeters will suitable for BTCUSDT and the price will react much better with Dagger 65 (a strong support and resistance)
Tenkan: 13
Kijun: 25
Dagger 65: 80
Other parameters are unchanged.
You should find suitable paremeters for each markets to fully utilize this indicator.
Best to combine this indicator with RSI Cylic smoothed V2 to find turning point.
XAUUSD Daily AnalysisBased on our previous analysis, Xauusd is still moves in its long term uptrend.
This week we expect retracement of xauusd. If the price doesn't break its resistance zone of 2671, we will see the downward movement to these zones (2616-2577) and again upward movement to 2745 and 2815.
This week be careful about geopolitical news!
Nvidia gearing up for potential more upside push?Bear in mind that August and September typically yield negative returns for the broader market. However, Nvidia managing to close above its previous bearish candle is a good indication that it has fuel left in the tank for another potential run to the upside.
XAUUSD Daily Analysis (4H time frame)We expected gold to rise to 2563 and it happened, gold broke above this range. We saw the trend of gold as bullish generally, and now it is at 2585 levels.
it looks like gold is going to reach these zones 2593, 2608 and 2621, we expect small correction from this 2593 but deep retracement from 2608.
And it should be said that according to Ichimoku, the trend of gold in the long term is still upward.
XAUUSD 4H AnalysisWe expect Xauusd to reach the support zones of 2468 and 2455, which are its trading targets and (if this ranges are broken, it will touch its third target in the range of 2421-2416.)
After that, it continues upward movement to resistance zones of 2524-2511.
There are a lot of excellent trading opportunities in all these supports and resistances.
After breaking these levels, chart will be analyzed and updated.
ARBUSDTHi guys
The main trend is downward. We have not yet received confirmation of a trend change and the bullish outlook is very weak for now.
But on the daily and four-hour time frames, we have a positive RSI divergence.
And provided that the downward trend line is broken and the resistance range of $0.893 is consumed, the possibility of the continuation of the upward trend is strengthened.
What do you think?
Gold Market Outlook for August 19, 2024Comprehensive Analysis for XAU/USD (Gold) with Ichimoku Cloud and Other Technical Indicators
——
As of the closing price on Friday, August 16, 2024, at $2,508.140, here is an in-depth analysis combining various technical indicators, including the Ichimoku Cloud, to project potential price movements for Monday, August 19, 2024.
1. Current Trend and Market Sentiment:
- Price Positioning: XAU/USD is trading above significant levels, indicating a strong bullish momentum. The closing price near $2,508 suggests that gold has maintained its upward trajectory over recent sessions.
- Ichimoku Cloud Analysis:
- Kumo (Cloud): The price is well above the Kumo, confirming a strong bullish trend. The Kumo is upward-sloping, providing robust support below current price levels, which suggests that any pullbacks could be limited and likely to find support around the cloud's upper boundary.
- Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen: The Tenkan-sen (Conversion Line) is above the Kijun-sen (Base Line), which indicates ongoing bullish momentum. Both lines are likely sloping upwards, showing that short-term and medium-term trends are in favor of further gains.
- Chikou Span: The Chikou Span (Lagging Line) is positioned above the current price and the cloud, further affirming the bullish sentiment. This alignment generally precedes a continuation of the upward trend.
2. Key Support and Resistance Levels:
- Resistance:
- The first major resistance is near $2,520, which is close to the recent highs and aligns with the red area of interest on the chart. A breakout above this level could pave the way for the price to test the next resistance levels around $2,540 or higher.
- Support:
- Immediate support is identified around $2,495 (near the LRC upper band and the Kijun-sen). If the price pulls back to this level, it may find buying interest, as it aligns with strong technical support.
- The next support lies around $2,454 (KC basis), which also serves as a lower bound for a potential retracement.
3. Other Technical Indicators:
- Moving Averages: The price is likely above both the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, reinforcing the bullish trend. The moving averages might also be in a bullish crossover position, where the shorter-term average (50-day) is above the longer-term average (200-day), adding to the positive outlook.
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI could be approaching overbought levels, which would suggest caution. However, in strong trends, RSI can remain overbought for extended periods, so it’s important to look for divergences or a clear breakdown in momentum.
- Volume Analysis: There has been an uptick in trading volume, indicating that the recent price moves are supported by strong market participation. High volume on up days is a bullish sign, while any significant decrease in volume during pullbacks could suggest that the bulls are still in control.
4. Potential Price Action Scenarios for August 19, 2024:
- Bullish Scenario:
- If XAU/USD sustains above $2,508 and breaks the $2,520 resistance level, the bullish trend is likely to continue, with potential targets at $2,540 and higher.
- The Ichimoku Cloud's upward trend, along with supporting indicators like moving averages and RSI, suggests that any pullbacks could be opportunities to buy, particularly if the price remains above key support levels like $2,495.
- Bearish Scenario:
- If the price fails to break above the $2,520 resistance and begins to retrace, the first significant support is around $2,495. A breach of this level could see the price testing $2,454 or even the upper boundary of the Kumo around $2,440.
- In the event of a deeper correction, monitor the behavior around the Kumo (cloud) and the Kijun-sen, as these levels will be crucial in determining whether the bullish trend will resume or if a more prolonged correction is underway.
Conclusion:
The overall outlook for XAU/USD is bullish, with the price above the Ichimoku Cloud and supported by strong technical indicators. However, as the price approaches key resistance levels, traders should remain vigilant for any signs of reversal or consolidation. A sustained break above $2,520 could open the door for further gains, while a failure to maintain this level might lead to a short-term correction towards support levels around $2,495 or lower.
Trading Strategy:
- Entry Point: Consider entering a long position on a confirmed break above $2,520 with a potential target of $2,540 or higher.
- Stop Loss: Set a stop loss just below $2,495 to protect against a deeper pullback.
- Profit-Taking: If the price rallies significantly, consider taking partial profits near $2,540, while moving your stop loss to break even to lock in gains.
Navigating Key Economic Data and Volatility
———-
1. Macro Context and Recent Price Action
Gold prices have been under pressure as of late, largely due to a strengthening U.S. dollar and hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve. The market is pricing in a scenario where the Fed continues its aggressive stance on interest rates, making non-yielding assets like gold less attractive. At the same time, global economic uncertainty—particularly surrounding China’s economic slowdown and geopolitical tensions—continues to support gold as a safe-haven asset.
As of the last trading day (Friday, August 16, 2024), gold closed at $2,508.140, just above significant technical levels but within a range that could suggest a potential for both upward and downward moves depending on upcoming economic data releases.
2. Analysis by Trading Session
Asian Session:
• Outlook: During the Asian trading hours on August 19, gold is expected to trade cautiously. The Asian markets will open without significant economic data releases, so the price movement will likely be influenced by broader market sentiment and any overnight developments, particularly from China. Given that China’s economic data has been weaker recently, any surprise announcements could inject volatility into gold prices.
• Technical Analysis: Based on Ichimoku Cloud and other indicators (e.g., Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels), gold might hover around its recent closing price with limited upside potential in this session unless there is a significant market-moving event.
European Session (London):
• Key Economic Data:
• HICP (Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices) YoY (July) - 09:00 AM GMT
• Producer Price Index (PPI) MoM (July) - 09:00 AM GMT
• Outlook: The focus will shift to Eurozone inflation data. If the HICP figures indicate higher-than-expected inflation, it could reinforce the ECB’s hawkish stance, leading to a stronger Euro and a weaker gold price in dollar terms. Conversely, lower-than-expected inflation could ease pressure on the ECB, potentially offering some support to gold as the Euro weakens.
• Technical Analysis: The Ichimoku Cloud on the daily chart suggests resistance levels near the current price, but if the data is supportive of gold, a breakout above the cloud could indicate a bullish move. Conversely, failure to hold above key support levels (around $2,495) could signal a bearish trend continuation.
U.S. Session (New York):
• Key Economic Data:
• Leading Index (July) - 2:00 PM GMT
• Coincidence Index (July) - 2:00 PM GMT
• Outlook: The U.S. session will be critical, with key economic indicators that could set the tone for the rest of the week. A stronger-than-expected Leading Index could further the narrative of a robust U.S. economy, putting additional pressure on gold as the dollar strengthens. Conversely, weaker data could lead to a relief rally in gold as it might dampen expectations of further aggressive Fed rate hikes.
• Technical Analysis: The confluence of technical indicators, including the Ichimoku Cloud and the daily moving averages, suggests that gold could face significant resistance at the $2,520 level. A break above this could target the $2,540 range, but a failure to do so might result in a retest of the lower $2,490 support level.
3. Timing and Impact of Economic Data Releases
Integrating the timing of key economic data releases with trading strategies is crucial for navigating potential market volatility:
• 09:00 AM GMT: Release of Eurozone HICP and PPI data during the European session could result in increased volatility in gold prices. Traders should be cautious around this time as inflation data will likely influence market sentiment regarding ECB policies.
• 2:00 PM GMT: Release of U.S. Leading and Coincidence Indexes will be critical during the New York session. The impact on gold prices could be significant, particularly if the data deviates from market expectations. Traders should prepare for potential sharp moves in gold prices around this time, particularly if the U.S. economic outlook changes.
4. Trading Strategy Recommendations
For Asian Session:
• Conservative Approach: Hold positions and wait for more substantial data from Europe. Tight stop-losses are recommended to protect against any unexpected news from China.
For European Session:
• Event-Driven Trading: Set up trades based on the inflation data release at 09:00 AM GMT. Consider using straddle options or conditional orders to take advantage of potential volatility.
For U.S. Session:
• Volatility Management: Given the likely market response to U.S. data at 2:00 PM GMT, consider trading with tight stop-losses or using a combination of trailing stops to capture potential upward or downward moves.
5. Conclusion
August 19, 2024, is shaping up to be a critical day for gold trading, with significant economic data releases scheduled across the European and U.S. sessions. Gold prices could experience substantial volatility as traders react to inflation data from the Eurozone and economic indicators from the U.S. The integration of Ichimoku Cloud analysis suggests potential resistance and support levels that could guide trading decisions throughout the day. Adapting your strategy to these releases and being prepared for potential market shifts will be key to navigating the trading day successfully.
This combined analysis offers a comprehensive outlook, balancing the bullish momentum with the potential risks of a pullback.