US10Y : What/where to look
Updated
The Fed say don't worry, things are looking good. There is 'no landing'. So lets be happy and continue as usual. The stocks are riding high. Jobs are plenty. Surely things are fine.
But the MARKET says other wise. Above is a simple way of looking at it. The market looks like it is scared shit and continue to buy up longer term bonds. If you look closely, 3.70% is the line separating heaven and hell. I am sitting back until it falls below, then it should be time to begin trading - unlike many who shorted way too early.
Why 3.70%? Look closely.
When something is going to break, it is usually the 'structure' - and the whole house of cards will fall down - in an instance :)
Good luck.
But the MARKET says other wise. Above is a simple way of looking at it. The market looks like it is scared shit and continue to buy up longer term bonds. If you look closely, 3.70% is the line separating heaven and hell. I am sitting back until it falls below, then it should be time to begin trading - unlike many who shorted way too early.
Why 3.70%? Look closely.
When something is going to break, it is usually the 'structure' - and the whole house of cards will fall down - in an instance :)
Good luck.
Comment
Slowly but surely it is moving to down to 'hell'. All this when stocks are at cloud9 - thinking that the Fed will soon cut rates.
This is the time for all of US to apply some common sense :)
Comment
The BIGGEST question in the minds of many is WHEN???When will stocks fall?
When will Dollar rise?
When will XAU finally crash?
As we can see now, many are just lost and gave up their positions.
But you who see this knows the answer - when US10Y < 3.70%
It came close, buy shy away. But sooner or later it will be there.
Good luck.
Comment
Just a reminder - once below 3.70% - US$ will SOAR!!!Comment
wtf - it refuse to go below 3.70% - perhaps this is the last ditch attempt by the optimist to hold on to the soft landing or no landing narrative - I wish them good luck!!!Comment
It is going to fall below 3.70% anytime now.
Long ago I said 3.70% is a significant number. Why? Don't you see now this is where the 10s02s is getting un-inverted!!!
Good luck.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.