Analysis of Financial Statements

Download as ppt, pdf, or txt
Download as ppt, pdf, or txt
You are on page 1of 36

Chapter 3

Analysis of Financial
Statements

Ratio Analysis
DuPont System
Effects of Improving Ratios
Limitations of Ratio Analysis
Qualitative Factors
3-1

Balance Sheet: Assets


Cash
A/R
Inventories
Total CA
Gross FA
Less: Deprec.
Net FA
Total Assets

2009E
85,632
878,000
1,716,480
2,680,112
1,197,160
380,120
817,040
3,497,152

2008
7,282
632,160
1,287,360
1,926,802
1,202,950
263,160
939,790
2,866,592
3-2

Balance Sheet: Assets


2009(E)

2008

$199,551

$208,323

Accounts receivable

876,897

690,294

Inventories

909,379

942,374

$1,985,827

$1,840,991

380,510

317,503

67,413

54,045

$313,097

$263,458

$2,298,924

$2,104,449

Cash

Total current assets


Gross fixed assets
Less accumulated depreciation

Net fixed assets


Total assets

4-3

Balance Sheet: Liabilities and Equity


2009(E)
$312,500
650,535
110,157

2008
$288,798
636,318
106,748

$1,073,192

$1,031,864

Long-term debt

656,600

410,769

Common stock (100,000 shares)

550,000

550,000

19,132
$569,132

111,816
$661,816

$2,298,924

$2,104,449

Short-term Borrow
Accounts payable
Accruals
Total current liabilities

Retained earnings
Total equity
Total liabilities and equity

3-4

Income Statement
Sales
Cost of goods sold
Other expenses
Total operating costs excluding
depreciation and amortization
Depreciation and amortization
EBIT
Interest expense
EBT
Taxes (40%)
Net income

2009(E)
$2,069,032

2008
$2,325,967

1,647,925

1,869,326

241,490

287,663

$1,889,415

$2,156,989

17,891
$161,726

25,363
$143,615

27,434
$134,292
53,717
$80,575

31,422
$112,193
44,877
$67,316

3-5

Other Data
2009(E)

2008

EPS

$0.81

$0.67

DPS

$1.00

$1.00

Book value per share

$5.69

$6.62

$19.20

$15.60

100,000

100,000

40%

40%

Stock price
Share outstanding
Tax rate

3-6

Why are ratios useful?

Ratios standardize numbers and facilitate


comparisons.
Ratios are used to highlight weaknesses and
strengths.
Ratio comparisons should be made through
time and with competitors.

Trend analysis.
Peer (or industry) analysis.

3-7

Five Major Categories of Ratios and the


Questions They Answer

Liquidity: Can we make required payments?


Asset management: right amount of assets
vs. sales?
Debt management: Right mix of debt and
equity?
Profitability: Do sales prices exceed unit
costs, and are sales high enough as reflected
in PM, ROE, and ROA?
Market value: Do investors like what they see
as reflected in P/E and M/B ratios?
3-8

Everelites Forecasted Current Ratio and


Quick Ratio for 2009
Current assets
Current ratio =
Current liabilities
$1,986
=
$1,073
=1.85x
(Current assets - Inventories)
Current liabilities
($1,986 - $909)
=
$1,073
=1.00

Quick ratio =

3-9

Comments on Liquidity Ratios


2009E

2008

2007

Ind.

Current ratio

1.85x

1.78x

2.02x

2.05

Quick ratio

1.00x

0.87x

1.14x

Expected to improve but still below the


industry average.
Liquidity position is weak.
3-10

Everelites Inventory Turnover vs. the


Industry Average
Inventory turnover09
= Sales/Inventory
= $2,069/$909 = 2.28
2009E
Inventory turnover 2.28x

2008

2007

Ind.

2.47x 3.10x 6.1

3-11

Comments on Inventory Turnover

Inventory turnover is below industry average.


Everelite might have old inventory, or its
control might be poor.
No improvement is currently forecasted.

3-12

DSO: Average Number of Days after


Making a Sale before Receiving Cash
DSO = Receivables/Avg. sales per day
= Receivables/(Annual sales/365)
= $876/($2,069/365)
= 154.69 days

3-13

Appraisal of DSO
2009E
DSO

2008

154.69x 108.32x

2007

Ind.

135.60x

56

Everelite collects on sales too slowly, and


is getting worse.
Everelite has a poor credit policy.

3-14

Fixed Assets and Total Assets Turnover


Ratios vs. the Industry Average
FA turnover = Sales/Net fixed assets
= $2,069/$313 = 6.61

TA turnover = Sales/Total assets


= $2,069/$2,299 = 0.90

3-15

Evaluating the FA Turnover and TA


Turnover Ratios

FA TO
TA TO

2009E

2008

2007

Ind.

6.61x
0.90x

8.83x
1.11x

11.22x
1.21x

9.3
2.1

FA turnover projected to be still below the


industry average.
TA turnover below the industry average.
Caused by excessive currents assets (A/R
and Inv).
3-16

Calculate the Debt Ratio and


Times-Interest-Earned Ratio
Debt ratio = Total debt/Total assets
= ($1,073 + $657)/$2,299
= 75.25%
TIE = EBIT/Interest expense
= $161.7/$27.4 = 5.90

3-17

Everelites Debt Management Ratios vs.


the Industry Averages
2009E

D/A
TIE

2008

2007

Ind.

75.24% 68.55% 64.50% 50.00%


6.2
5.90x
4.57x
19.17x

D/A and TIE are worse than the industry


average.

3-18

Profitability Ratios: Operating Margin,


Profit Margin, and Basic Earning Power
Operating margin09= EBIT/Sales
= $161.7/$2,069
=7.82%.
Profit margin09= Net income/Sales
= $80.5/$2,069
= 3.89%.
Basic earning power09=EBIT/Total assets
= $161.7/$2,299
= 7.03%.
3-19

Appraising Profitability with Operating Margin,


Profit Margin, and Basic Earning Power

Operating margin
Profit margin
Basic earning power

2009E 2008
2007
Ind.
7.82% 6.17% 11.91% 13%
3.89% 2.89% 6.78% 9.00%
7.03% 6.82% 14.38% 15.00%

3-20

Appraising Profitability with Operating Margin,


Profit Margin, and Basic Earning Power

Operating margin was very bad in 2008. It is


projected to improve in 2009, but it is still
projected to remain below the industry average.
Profit margin was very bad in 2008. It is
projected to improve in 2009, but it is still
projected to remain below the industry average.
BEP removes the effects of taxes and financial
leverage, and is useful for comparison.
BEP projected to improve, yet still below the
industry average. There is definitely room for
improvement.
3-21

Profitability Ratios: Return on Assets and


Return on Equity
ROA = Net income/Total assets
= $80.5/$2,299 = 3.50%

ROE = Net income/Total common equity


= $80.5/$569 = 14.16%.

3-22

Appraising Profitability with ROA


and ROE
ROA
ROE

2009E
2008
2007
Ind.
3.50% 3.20% 8.18% 6.50%
14.16% 10.17% 23.03% 12.00%

Both ratios rebounded from the previous


year, but are still below the industry
average. More improvement is needed.
Wide variations in ROE illustrate the effect
that leverage can have on profitability.
3-23

Effects of Debt on ROA and ROE

ROA is lowered by debt interest lowers NI,


which also lowers ROA = NI/Assets.
But use of debt also lowers equity, hence
debt could raise ROE = NI/Equity.

3-24

Problems with ROE

ROE and shareholder wealth are correlated,


but problems can arise when ROE is the sole
measure of performance.

ROE does not consider risk.


ROE does not consider the amount of capital
invested.

Might encourage managers to make investment

decisions that do not benefit shareholders.

ROE focuses only on return and a better


measure would consider risk and return.
3-25

Calculate the Price/Earnings and


Market/Book Ratios
P/E = Price/Earnings per share
= $19.20/$0.81 = 23.70
M/B = Market price/Book value per share
= $19.20/$5.69 = 3.37

P/E
M/B

2009E
23.83x
3.37x

2008
23.17x
2.36x

2007
14.49x
3.34x

Ind.
10.00
3.00
3-26

Analyzing the Market Value Ratios

P/E: How much investors are willing to pay


for $1 of earnings.
M/B: How much investors are willing to pay
for $1 of book value equity.
For each ratio, the higher the number, the
better.
P/E and M/B are high if ROE is high and risk
is low.

3-27

The DuPont System


ROE Profit
margin

Equity
Total
assets

turnover
multiplier

ROE (NI/Sales) (Sales/TA) (TA/Equity )

Focuses on expense control (PM), asset


utilization (TA TO), and debt utilization
(equity multiplier).
3-28

DuPont Equation:
Breaking Down Return on Equity
ROE = (NI/Sales) x (Sales/TA) x (TA/Equity)
=3.89% 0.90 1/(1 0.7524)
= 14.16%.

2007
2008
2009E

PM
TA TO
6.78%
1.21
2.89%
1.11
3.89%
0.90

EM
2.82
3.18
4.04

ROE
23.03%
10.17%
14.16%
3-29

An Example:
The Effects of Improving Ratios
A/R
Other CA
Net FA
TA

$ 877
1,109
313
$2,299

Debt
Equity

$1,730
569

Total L&E

$2,299

Sales/Day = $2,069/365 = $5.67

How would reducing the firms DSO to 56 days


affect the company?
3-30

Reducing Accounts Receivable and


the Days Sales Outstanding
Reducing A/R will have no effect on sales.
Accounts receivable under new policy
= $5.67 56 days= $377.44.
Freed cash= old A/R new A/R
= $876.86 $377.44
= $559.42
Initially shows up as addition to cash.
3-31

Effect of Reducing Receivables on


Balance Sheet and Stock Price
What could be done with the new cash?
How might stock price and risk be affected?

3-32

Potential Uses of Freed up Cash

Repurchase stock
Expand business
Reduce debt
All these actions would likely improve the
stock price.

3-33

Potential Problems and Limitations of


Financial Ratio Analysis

Comparison with industry averages is difficult


for a conglomerate firm that operates in
many different divisions.
Average performance is not necessarily
good, perhaps the firm should aim higher.
Seasonal factors can distort ratios.
Window dressing techniques can make
statements and ratios look better.

3-34

More Issues Regarding Ratios

Different operating and accounting practices


can distort comparisons.
Sometimes it is hard to tell if a ratio is good
or bad.
Difficult to tell whether a company is, on
balance, in strong or weak position.

3-35

Consider Qualitative Factors When Evaluating


a Companys Future Financial Performance

Are the firms revenues tied to one key


customer, product, or supplier?
What percentage of the firms business is
generated overseas?
The firms competitive environment
Future prospects
Legal and regulatory environment

3-36

You might also like