研究分野 主な関心領域
経済政策、産業構造、生産性、労働市場、不確実性
研究プロジェクト
- RIETIデータ整備・活用 (2015年4月1日〜)
- RIETIデータ整備 (2013年4月1日〜2015年3月31日)
学歴
1982年 東京大学教養学部卒
2007年 経済学博士(京都大学)
職歴
1982年 通商産業省入省
1994年 通商産業研究所主任研究官
1995年 埼玉大学政策科学研究科助教授・通商産業研究所特別研究官
1997年 政策研究大学院大学助教授
1998年 中小企業庁長官官房調査室長
1999年 在オーストラリア日本国大使館参事官
2002年 経済産業省大臣官房政策企画室長
2003年 経済産業省経済産業政策局調査課長
2005年 経済産業省経済産業政策局産業構造課長
2007年 財団法人社会経済生産性本部主任研究員、経済産業研究所上席研究員
2008年 経済産業省大臣官房審議官、経済産業研究所コンサルティングフェロー
2009年 経済産業研究所副所長
2020年 一橋大学教授(2023年~特任教授)、経済産業研究所所長
2024年 経済産業研究所特別上席研究員
主な著作物
〔英文〕
- “Productivity Dynamics of Work from Home: Firm-Level Evidence from Japan,” Journal of Evolutionary Economics, forthcoming, 2024.
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00191-024-00849-7 - “Compliance Costs and Productivity: An Approach from Working Hours,” Journal of Regulatory Economics, Vol. 63, No. 3, pp. 117-137, 2023.
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11149-023-09460-3 - “Productivity Dynamics of Remote Work during the COVID-19 Pandemic,” Industrial Relations, Vol. 62, No. 3, pp. 317-331, 2023.
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/irel.12327 - “Productivity and Wages of Firms Using COVID-19-Related Support Policies,” Social Science Quarterly, Vol. 104, No. 3, pp. 202-213, 2023.
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/ssqu.13241 - “Firms’ Subjective Uncertainty and Forecast Errors: Survey Evidence from Japan,” Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 30, No. 1, pp. 33-36, 2023.
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13504851.2021.1971611 - “Uncertainty in Long-Term Macroeconomic Forecasts: Ex post Evaluation of Forecasts by Economics Researchers,” Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Vol. 85, August, pp. 8-15, 2022.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1062976920301344 - “Work-from-Home Productivity during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Japan,” Economic Inquiry, Vol. 60, No. 2. Pp.508-527, 2022.
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ecin.13056 - “Employer-provided Training and Productivity: Evidence from a Panel of Japanese Firms,” Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Vol. 61, September, 101150, 2021.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0889158321000290 - “Price Competition vs. Quality Competition: Evidence from Firm Surveys,” Journal of Economics and Business, Vol. 116, July-August, 106007, 2021.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0148619521000254 - “Productivity of Firms Using Relief Policies during the COVID-19 Crisis,” Economics Letters, Vol. 203, June, 109869, 2021.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165176521001464 - “Effects of Outside Directors on Firms’ Investments and Performance: Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment in Japan,” Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Vol. 56, June, 101074, 2020.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0889158320300113 - “Dispersion and Volatility of TFPQ and TFPR: Findings from Three Service Industries,” Industrial and Corporate Change, Vol. 28, No. 6, pp. 1515-1531, 2019.
https://academic.oup.com/icc/advance-article/doi/10.1093/icc/dtz019/5477841 - “Policy Uncertainty and Saving Attitude: Evidence from a Survey on Consumers,” Journal of Consumer Affairs, Vol. 53, No. 3, pp. 1297-1311, 2019.
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/joca.12230 - “Uncertainty over Production Forecasts: An Empirical Analysis Using Monthly Quantitative Survey Data,” Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 60, June, pp. 163-179, 2019.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0164070418300855 - “Innovation in the Service Sector and the Role of Patents and Trade Secrets: Evidence from Japanese Firms,” Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Vol. 51, March, pp.43-51, 2019.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0889158318301448 - “Firm Heterogeneity and International Trade in Services,” The World Economy, Vol. 42, No. 1, pp. 268-295, 2019.
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/twec.12699 - “Occupational Licenses and Labor Market Outcomes in Japan,” Japan and the World Economy, Vol. 48, December, pp. 45-56, 2018.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S092214251830032X - “Firms’ Expectations about the Impact of AI and Robotics: Evidence from a Survey,” Economic Inquiry, Vol. 55, No. 2, pp. 1054-1063, 2017.
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ecin.12412/full - “What Types of Policy Uncertainties Matter for Business?” Pacific Economic Review, Vol. 21, No. 5, pp. 527-540, 2016.
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1468-0106.12196/full - “Factoryless Goods Producers in Japan,” Japan and the World Economy, Vol. 40, December, pp. 9-15, 2016.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0922142516300433 - “How Uncertain Are Economic Policies? New Evidence from a Firm Survey,” Economic Analysis and Policy, Vol. 52, December, pp. 114-122, 2016.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0313592616300741 - “Business Uncertainty and Investment: Evidence from Japanese Companies,” Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 49, September, pp. 224-236, 2016.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0164070416300398 - “What Types of Companies Have Female Directors? Evidence from Japan,” Japan and the World Economy, Vols. 37-38, March-May, pp. 1-7, 2016.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0922142516000062 - “A Comparison of the Wage Structure between the Public and Private Sectors in Japan,” Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Vol. 39, March, pp. 73-90, 2016.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0889158316000058 - “Are Large Headquarters Unproductive?” Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Vol. 119, November, pp. 422-436, 2015.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S016726811500253X - “Postgraduate Education and Labor Market Outcomes: An Empirical Analysis Using Micro Data from Japan,” Industrial Relations, Vol. 54, No. 3, pp. 499-520, 2015.
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/irel.12100/abstract - “Financial Constraints on Intangible Investments: Evidence from Japanese Firms,” in Ahmed Bounfour and Tsutomu Miyagawa eds. Intangibles, Market Failure and Innovation Performance, Springer, Ch. 6, pp. 139-155, 2015.
https://www.springer.com/la/book/9783319075327 - “Productivity and Survival of Family Firms in Japan,” Journal of Economics and Business, Vol. 70, November-December, pp. 111-125, 2013.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0148619512000677 - “Population Density and Efficiency in Energy Consumption: An Empirical Analysis of Service Establishments,” Energy Economics, Vol. 34, No. 5, pp. 1617-1622, 2012.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140988312000059 - “Demand Fluctuations and Productivity of Service Industries,” Economics Letters, Vol. 117, No. 1, pp. 256-258, 2012.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S016517651200287X - “Economies of Density and Productivity in Service Industries: An Analysis of Personal Service Industries Based on Establishment-Level Data,” Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 93, No. 1, pp. 179-192, 2011.
http://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/abs/10.1162/REST_a_00065 - “Labor Unions and Productivity: An Empirical Analysis Using Japanese Firm-Level Data,” Labour Economics, Vol. 17, No. 6, pp. 1030-1037, 2010.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S092753711000031X - “Information Technology and the Performance of Japanese SMEs,” Small Business Economics, Vol.23, No. 3, pp. 171-177, 2004.
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1023/B%3ASBEJ.0000032023.11566.4b - Small Business in Japan 1999, Ministry of International Trade and Industry, 1999. (編著)
- “Economic Development in Asian Countries, and the Effect of Trade in Asia on Employment and Wages in Japan,” Asian Economic Journal, Vol. 12, No. 2, pp. 123-151, 1998. (共著)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1467-8381.00056/abstract - “Wage Differentials between Industries in Asian Countries,” in Toshiaki Tachibanaki ed., Wage Differentials: An International Comparison, Macmillan, Ch.10, pp. 328-367, 1998. (共著)
〔邦文〕
- 『コロナ危機後の日本経済と政策課題』(編著),東京大学出版会,2024年.
https://www.utp.or.jp/book/b10045061.html - 「在宅勤務の生産性ダイナミクス」, 『経済研究』, Vol. 74, Nos. 1-2, 026423, 2023年.
- 「新型コロナ下の在宅勤務と今後の展望」, 『季刊住宅土地経済』, Vol. 127, pp. 16-25, 2023年.
- 「在宅勤務の都市構造への影響:新型コロナの経験から」, 『日本不動産学会誌』, Vol. 35, No. 4, pp. 42-45, 2022年.
- 「最低賃金と生産性:日本企業のパネルデータによる分析」, 『経済研究』, Vol. 73, No. 1, pp. 29-48, 2022年.
https://www.ier.hit-u.ac.jp/Japanese/publication/ER/abst.php?vol=73&no=1&page_s=29 - 「人工知能・ロボットと生産性:サービス産業における新しい自動化技術の利用」, 深尾京司編『サービス産業の生産性と日本経済:JIPデータベースによる実証分析と提言』, 東京大学出版会, pp. 175-200, 2021年.
http://www.utp.or.jp/book/b587762.html - 「柔軟な働き方は賃金をどう変化させるか」, 『日本労働研究雑誌』, No.723, pp. 82-91, 2020年.
https://www.jil.go.jp/institute/zassi/backnumber/2020/10/pdf/082-091.pdf - 「第4次産業革命の経済効果」, 矢野誠編『第4次産業革命と日本経済』, 東京大学出版会, pp. 225-236, 2020年.
http://www.utp.or.jp/book/b491811.html - 「日本の賃金は上がっていない?」, 『統計』, 12月号, pp. 15-20, 2019年.
- 「日本の産業競争力向上の課題:生産性と交易条件」, 『世界経済評論』, 705号, pp.6-13, 2019年.
- 『生産性 誤解と真実』, 日本経済新聞出版社, 2018年.
https://www.nikkeibook.com/item-detail/35803 - 「サービスの質・価格と消費者の選好」, 『経済研究』, 第69巻第4号, pp. 314-327, 2018年.
https://www.ier.hit-u.ac.jp/Japanese/publication/ER/abst.php?vol=69&no=4&page_s=314 - 「サービスの質と生産性」, 『統計』, 9月号, pp. 37-42, 2018年.
- 「取締役会の多様性・独立性と経営成果」, 『企業会計』, Vol. 70, No. 7, pp. 43-49, 2018年.
- 「サービス経済化の加速と多様化」, 深尾京司・中村尚史・中林真幸編『日本経済の歴史:現代2』, 岩波書店, pp. 246-263, 2018年.
https://www.iwanami.co.jp/news/n20167.html - 「工業化時代のサービス産業」, 深尾京司・中村尚史・中林真幸編『日本経済の歴史:現代1』, 岩波書店, pp. 240-254, 2018年.
https://www.iwanami.co.jp/news/n20167.html - 『サービス立国論:成熟経済を活性化するフロンティア』, 日本経済新聞出版社, 2016年.
https://www.nikkeibook.com/book/77382 - 「サービス産業の生産性と労働市場」, 『日本労働研究雑誌』, No. 666, pp. 16-26, 2016年.
https://www.jil.go.jp/institute/zassi/backnumber/2016/01/pdf/016-026.pdf - 「無形資産投資のファイナンス」, 『組織科学』, Vol. 49, No. 1, pp. 45-52, 2015年.
- 『サービス産業の生産性分析:ミクロデータによる実証』, 日本評論社, 2014年.(第57回日経経済図書・文化賞受賞)
http://www.nippyo.co.jp/book/6448.html - 「最低賃金と地域間格差:実質賃金と企業収益の分析」, 大竹文雄・川口大司・鶴光太郎『最低賃金改革:日本の働き方をいかに変えるか』, 日本評論社, 第4章, pp. 91-111, 2013年.
http://www.nippyo.co.jp/book/6257.html - 「社会保障制度と財政:財政の持続可能性・効率性・公平性」, 藤田昌久・吉川洋編『少子高齢化の下での経済活力』, 日本評論社, 第4章, pp. 113-146, 2011年.(共著)
http://www.nippyo.co.jp/book/5541.html - 『生産性の計測とサービス統計:サービス産業の生産性は低いのか?』, SPRINGブックレット・シリーズ, Vol. 4, 生産性出版, 2010年.
その他
- 機械振興協会経済研究所長(2023年~)
- Research Associate, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA), The Australian National University(2013年~)
- 日本経済学会, American Economic Association
- Associate Editor, Japan and the World Economy(2017年~)