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Petrochemicals expert report warns of human health risks from planned Darwin Harbour precinct

A man in an orange shirt sits on a rock and looks into the distance. The ocean is in the background.

Eco-tourism operator Jim Smith is concerned about the potential impacts petrochemicals could have on the Darwin Harbour.  (ABC News: Tully Hemsley)

Jim Smith has been running eco-tours on Darwin Harbour for 16 years.

During that time, he's seen a second gas plant and other new industries built on the increasingly busy harbour.

"Things like dolphins and so forth are less prevalent, and things seem to be in decline, but there's also more people here," he said.

Another development could soon follow, with the Northern Territory government spearheading plans to develop a manufacturing and minerals precinct in Middle Arm, south of Darwin and about three kilometres from residential homes in the nearby satellite city of Palmerston.

The proposal includes a petrochemicals manufacturing facility, which would convert natural gas into products like plastics and paint.

A drone photo of a small ramp, with clear seas and lush greenery. The sky is blue.

The proposed precinct would be developed at Darwin Harbour's Middle Arm.  (ABC News: Michael Donnelly)

The NT government is planning for the precinct to provide a secondary market for gas from the Beetaloo Basin.

It has secured a $1.5 billion dollar commitment from the Albanese Government, Federal Labor's biggest election commitment to the NT, to help build it.

"We need industry to provide jobs, but there is aquaculture here, there's people that forage for food," Mr Smith said.

"I don't want that to be damaged by new parts of the community, in this case petrochemical industry."

US expert warns of potential risks 

A risk assessment report the government was required to submit under the environmental approvals process — released in April — found there was potential for "significant impacts to air quality" and it could cause "significant impacts to marine ecosystems and threatened species" including dolphins and dugongs.

The report also said an industrial precinct in the area could cause "significant adverse impacts to human health", however it judged this risk as "uncertain". 

A man wearing a tie sits in a room with white walls.

US environmental scientist Michael Petroni has modelled the potential impacts of the proposed petrochemical precinct. (Supplied: Michael Petroni)

The NT Environment Centre asked US environmental scientist Michael Petroni, who has developed risk analysis tools for industrial developments for the US Environmental Protection Agency, to model the Darwin project's potential impacts.

"One of the main sources of concern from the Darwin project is particulate matter emissions from these facilities," he said.

"Particulates are so small it can get into your bloodstream and can exacerbate health risks like cardiovascular disease or respiratory ailments.

"Over time, it's been well documented [that] populations living with high levels of fine particulate matter in their air have higher mortality rates."

Dr Petroni said a review of 16 studies into US Gulf Coast populations living within five kilometres of petrochemical facilities found negative impacts from chemicals the NT Government's referral report has listed as likely to be used on its precinct.

He claimed his modelling of the Darwin project found it could increase the risk of illness in nearby suburbs.

"There are toxic air emissions that are potentially cancer causing; formaldehyde and acetaldehyde are among the larger emission sources," Dr Petroni said.

'The evidence speaks for itself'

The Director of the NT Environment Centre Kirsty Howey is calling on both governments to drop the proposal, arguing it poses similar risks to notorious plants along the Mississippi River from Baton Rouge to New Orleans in the United States.

"The health impacts of precincts such as this are really well known across the world, in fact similar precincts have come to be known as Cancer Alley," she said.

"The evidence speaks for itself in terms of the impacts of these sorts of petrochemical facilities, and that's why we have obtained a report from an expert from the US to look at what sorts of impacts these facilities are producing right now in real time.

"This will [allegedly] cause huge impacts for the people of Palmerston and Darwin."

A woman in glasses and a green shirt looks into the camera. She is in a leafy outdoor space.

The Environment Centre NT's Kirsty Howey says the project poses similar risks to those posed by plants in the US.  (ABC News: Tully Hemsley)

Government confident of risk mitigation

The Northern Territory government said the precinct would also include carbon capture and storage technologies, as well as hydrogen and mineral exports, deeming it a low emissions precinct that will create 20,000 jobs.

Chief Minister Natasha Fyles is confident pollution and health risks can be mitigated.

"Darwin Harbour is a pristine natural environment, but we do have it as a working harbour and we have industry that goes through robust environmental assessments before activities take place," she said. 

 "We do need to allow development so we have jobs."

The ABC asked the Federal Minister for Northern Australia Madeleine King how health and environment concerns about the project would be addressed.

King sits with her arms folded in the House of Representatives.

Federal Resources Minister Madeleine King says she is confident the project can be achieved in an environmentally sustainable way.  (ABC News: Matt Roberts)

"Environmental considerations are a priority in progressing development of the Middle Arm Sustainable Development Precinct," a spokesperson for the minister said.

"The Australian and Northern Territory Governments will continue to work together ensure the protection of environmentally significant animals, plants and habitats, to ensure the considerable economic benefits can be realised in an environmentally sustainable way."

Another independent expert, Clare Murphy, the Director of the Centre for Atmospheric Chemistry at the University of Wollongong, said Darwin has the worst air quality in Australia.

"That's due to savannah burning which happens all through the dry season," she said.

Ms Murphy said the petrochemicals precinct could potentially add significant risks to that.

"I would imagine there would be emissions of quite a lot of volatile organic chemicals; these compounds react in the atmosphere and create ozone and particulates, both of which are pretty bad for human health," she said.

"Formaldehyde, benzene, there are some carcinogenic compounds that I would imagine might be produced in a petrochemical plant.

"It does seem quite close to a population centre."

A man in an orange shirt sits on a rock and looks out to sea.

Mr Smith would at least like to see tough controls applied to the petrochemical companies.  (ABC News: Tully Hemsley)

Dr Petroni does not think potentially harmful emissions from the precinct could be eliminated altogether, even if the most sophisticated technology available was used. 

"That's not to say there isn't some creative process out there that a facility might be able to use, but it's unlikely that emissions will be completely negated at a manufacturing facility of this size," he said.

Mr Smith doesn't think objections to the project will stop it from going ahead, however, he is appealing to both governments to subject the companies which set up there to the toughest controls possible.

"Because there does need to be a consultative approach to how to do this to minimise the damage," he said.