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Posted by Nathan Yau

Probability expressed as a percentage is a value between 0% and 100%. If there is a 0% probability that something happens, then the thing is impossible. If there is 100% probability that something happens, then the thing is definite. This uses words to describe a number.

Now turn it around. What probability do you use to describe the words? If something is unlikely, what are the chances that something occurs? Adam Kucharski made a quiz that lets you assign probability to common words used to express probability. Then compare against what others answered.

See also: the distributions of likelihood and the CIA rendition from the 1990s.

Tags: , ,

Choices (9)

Jan. 13th, 2026 08:42 am
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[personal profile] the_comfortable_courtesan
So much to boast of

Dickie Smith was a little chagrined that his talents in surreptitious following had not been called upon in this most interesting case of Mr Taskerville. That had been conducting a liaison with Lady Whibsall, and she, most imprudent, had sent him letters, and he, even more imprudent, had kept 'em, and they had fallen somehow into the hands of one that was demanding recompense for silence in the matter. For Mr Taskerville had expectations from an exceedingly pious great-aunt, that was also wont to make him generous gifts, while there was a considerable fear that Sir Francis Whibsall had a notion towards bringing a crim.con. action did he have evidence on hand.

And here was Taskerville, already not entirely rolled up but in less than flourishing circumstance due to his ill fortune at race-courses – Dickie snorted to himself, for he apprehended that the gentleman had no great understanding in that business! Dickie had passed some months as a groom in Terence Offerton’s stables, pursuing a case on behalf of the Johnson agency, and had learnt a good deal about such matters to supplement what one that had been about the Jupp stables since childhood and was acquainted with The Lady – Mrs Penkarding – already knew concerning horseflesh.

Had transpired that the business 'twixt Taskerville and the extortionist was not conducted in person, but by means of notes left in certain places. At which Matt had frowned, and sighed, and said that argued one that somehow had the entrée to the houses and clubs that Foolish Phineas frequented – but could be a footman, or able to present as one – though makes one wonder whether 'tis one that he would recognize did he see him –

So Matt went about to persuade Taskerville to bring him the next note he received – lord, I had to assure him that just because it says Burn this! he is not obliged to do so.

But at the moment Dickie was engaged on the useful if not very exciting task of cutting out pieces from the newspapers that mentioned the work of the agency or touched on cases or individuals in whom they took an interest. And when he had done so, Miss Frinton, that would not entrust it to anyone else, would paste 'em up in the agency scrapbooks, and mark 'em down in her indexes so that they might be found when needed.

La, said a voice from the doorway, look at those dirty hands! All printers’ ink! Here – Leda Hacker tossed him a damp cloth – Matt has got the latest note Foolish Phineas received and we are convoking over it in his office. Come along.

Dickie jumped up. This was something like!

In Matt’s office, that was furnished in such a way as to communicate confidence to those that came seeking the agency’s services – no fly-by-night enterprize! – Miss Frinton was examining the letter and holding it up to the light to scrutinize the watermark.

She snorted. 'Tis good enough writing-paper, but 'tis nothing very rare – a common enough make – widely sold about Town – one might find it in a deal of escritoires –

Hacker twitched it out of Frinton’s hand. Precisely, she said, and does it not look like a lady’s fist? She laid it down on Matt’s desk.

Matt nodded. Has that style, he agreed. Though whether that means our villain is a villainess, or whether 'tis one with a fine skill at counterfeiting hands – Hacker blushed a little, and Dickie wondered whether her childhood apprenticeship to the ken-cracker Laffen had included forgery among the skills she had learnt – or whether there is a female confederate in the business.

Whoever it is, said Hacker, is not very subtle and not playing for high stakes.

They all looked at her.

She shrugged. 'Tis not the like of Rathe, is it? That was playing a deep game with a long view and picking his victims with care, that either were in government offices or already had some kind of power and influence, or would be like to have in future. This one is choosing idle wastrels for small gains.

Matt looked at her with approval, and nodded his head. You sum it up very just. Mayhap 'tis an idle wastrel himself, finds himself pockets to let, goes poke about to see what he might find – one wonders has anybody missed small items of value of late, trinkets &C –

Hacker winked and said, would go ask in the usual quarter about that! For one understood that she had connexions in the world of fences, as well as pawnbrokers that did not make any searching enquiries concerning the goods they were offered.

– comes across compromising letters – or mayhap notes concerning gaming debts or such – and fathoms that he may turn these to profit. You might enquire of Dumaine, next time you go there as Babsie, whether he knows of any that might be in that condition.

Hacker wrinkled her nose, saying, would not be going to Dumaine’s very immediate, had this commission concerning Sir Hobday Perram’s precious Persian things

Matt grunted. Was going to suggest, that you take young Dickie with you, as excellent instructive for him –

Dickie was unable to repress a delighted yelp.

– so I will go dine with Dumaine myself and sound him out.

So, there was his mother and father, looking upon him very serious and saying, trusted that he would do the family credit going out in the capacity of Miss Hacker’s 'prentice. For Timothy and Nell Smith might be the keepers of the Buffle Arms tavern, adjacent to her brother Sam’s livery stables, but these days 'twas a fine respectable place. And had they not expanded to open the Beaufoyle Arms Song and Supper Room, where Clo Marshall had made her name?

Did not Pa become quite the businessman these days, convoking with their relative Maurice Allard over whether one might go it even further and open one of these halls for music and entertainment that was springing up hither and yon over Town? For Maurice might have made his reputation as a modiste with the finest eye for ladies’ fashion, but was renowned throughout their connexion for his acuity in all matters to do with business.

So, here Dickie was, dressed exceeding proper, in a railway carriage with Hacker, that grinned at him and said that she hoped he had something more comfortable in his dunnage, for fancied there would be a deal of clambering about and mayhap crawling into attics &C.

Dickie grinned back and said that Ma had been very wishful that he should make a good first impression.

There was Hacker herself, got up as if she was applying for a post as a governess! Most exceeding meek and proper.

He was somewhat astonished at the condition of Sir Hobday’s mansion – brought up in a household under the hand of one that had been trained in good practices was almost shocked – but Hacker murmured under her breath, la, 'tis a sad bachelor establishment, and he supposed that must explain it.

Though indeed, once they came to convoke with the master of the house, came to apprehend that there had also been some matter of lack of funds – but here was Lord Sallington, what a fine young man was that, had remarked that certain old paintings acquired by Sir Hobday’s ancestors would be exceeding vendable by art dealers, and now he might mend the roof and spruce up the old place.

Matt had took Dickie aside and told him to study upon Hacker’s manner with clients.

There she was, most sympathetic – listening – asking the occasional question – lightly mentioning the certain collections they had already been about protecting – Mr Grigson, the wealthy China merchant’s wonderful things from the Celestial Empire

La, perchance 'twas a strange occupation for a female, but had been taught by her foster-father

No, they were not putting up at the Crown, though they heard it was a very comfortable inn, they were staying at Attervale –

Here Hacker looked at her most exceeding prim governessy and disclosed that upon occasion she undertook secretarial work for Dowager Lady Bexbury, that had very kindly put 'em in the way of Lady Emily Merrett’s hospitality – was an antient friend of that family –

Dickie, that had seen Hacker in her guises as Babsie Bolton and Larry Hooper, was hard put not to laugh at how genteel she showed!

She showed a deal more relaxed in the company of the Ladies of Attervale, Lady Emily Merrett and her companion Miss Fenster, that treated her entirely informal and on the level of a friend, asking after dear Lady Bexbury &C – supposed Mr Smith would find himself more comfortable in the kitchen –

Indeed he did, where there was a fine table set, and a deal of eager enquiry about certain recent cases of the Johnson agency that had been reported in the press –

Thatching, that was the groom, was in particular interested in that matter of underhand behaviour about racecourses, that Dickie had been so closely involved in investigating – as they pushed back their chairs at the end of the meal, and Thatching lit his pipe, said he dared say that Smith would care to take a look at their own cattle here?

Would I! said Dickie. Sure Lady Emily is quite renowned – The Lady, that is, Mrs Penkarding, that is a neighbour of ours, will ever speak highly of her –

All looked very gratified and nodded their heads.

So – at this time o’year 'twas still light – when all finally got up from table Thatching took Dickie over to the stables and sure that was a very fine sight!

Mentioned that his uncle – Sam Jupp – Jupp’s Livery Stables and Carriage Hire – kept his own cattle in fine condition – treated 'em well – sent 'em out to recruit at his farm in Berkshire, did not believe in working 'em to death – but they was working nags, not the like of this.

Then came in Lady Emily herself, that saw Dickie’s admiration and appreciation of her cattle and grinned. Fancy you would know what’s what! she said. Now, Miss Hacker gives you the name of a sensible young man that can move quiet and discreet – should you like to come look at my hawks?

Dickie was unable to find words to express how much he should. Oh, he would have so much to boast of to his brothers and Lizzie!


Snowflake Challenge: day 6

Jan. 13th, 2026 07:43 am
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[personal profile] shewhostaples
two log cabins with snow on the roofs in a wintery forest the text snowflake challenge january 1 - 31 in white cursive text

Top 10 challenge

I'm onna train, so here are 10 railway stations I like. In no particular order, and for various different reasons.

1. Frankfurt Hbf. This was where my international rail travels began. Standing on the concourse, looking at the departure boards (getting slightly earwormed by Stuttgart and Fulda), realising that I could get pretty much anywhere from here...

2. London St Pancras. It's beautiful. It's not actually a terribly pleasant experience getting a train from here (maybe the East Midlands and South Eastern platforms are better) but from the outside it's a fairy tale castle.

3. Stockholm. Rolling in, bleary eyed, off the sleeper from Malta, through dingy orange lights, and then suddenly you're in this marble palace. (I got chugged in Stockholm station. I don't know what I was doing to look like a Swede with disposable income rather than a discombobulated tourist, but there we go.)

4. London King's Cross. Never mind all that wizard nonsense, it has a fully functional platform zero. Also the toilets are free these days.

5. Liège Guillemins. Just glorious.

6. Ryde Pier Head. When it's operational and when you don't just miss the train because the catamaran was thirty seconds late. But there's still something fun about a station in the sea.

7. Dawlish. Train to beach in under a minute (your mileage may vary, as may mine considering I haven't been there in about a decade).

8. York. Never mind a pub in the station, it has one on the platform. Lovely stained glass, too.

9. Norwich. Light, gracious, makes you glad you've arrived.

10. Luxembourg. Stained glass again - and just time for an ice cream before the train.
sovay: (Sydney Carton)
[personal profile] sovay
Running this many days without sleep, I find it hard to tell whether I had an insight about creativity this weekend or just reinvented a 101-level objection to LLMs and so-called generative AI, but it ocurred to me that such technologies are not capable of allusions. Their algorithms are not freighted with the same three-dimensional architecture of associations which accrete around information stored in the human cold porridge, all the emotional colors and sensory overtones and contextual echoes which attend the classic example of a word like tree when you throw it out across the incommensurable void between one human mind and another to be plugged into their own idiosyncratically plastic linkage of bias and experience whose least incompatibility may be the difference between a bristlecone and a birch and Wittgenstein has to lie down with a headache, but all of these entanglements form as much of the texture of a writer's style—of any human communication—as the word cloud of their vocabulary or their most commonly diagrammed sentences. It has always interested me to be able to detect the half-rhymes or skeletons of familiarity in the work of other writers; I have always assumed I am reciprocally legible if not transparent from space. I've seen arguments against the creativity of LLMs based on intentionality, but the unintended encrustrations seem just as important to me. By way of illustration, this thought was partly sparked by this classic and glorious mashup.

I was delighted to find on checking the news this morning that a new Roman villa just dropped. Given the Iron Age hillforts, the twelfth-century abbey, the Georgian country house, and the CH station, Margam Country Park clearly needed a Roman find to complete the set. I have since been informed of the discovery of a similarly well-preserved and impressive carnyx. Goes shatteringly with a villa, the Iceni tell me.

I joke about this rock I spend most of my time under, but how can I never have heard of Marlow Moss? The Bryher vibes alone. The Constructivism. And a real short king, judging by that jaunty photo c. 1937 with Netty Nijhoff. Pursuing further details, I fell over Anton Prinner and have been demoralized about my comprehension of art history ever since.

Last night I read David Copperfield (1850) for the third time in my life. It has the terrible feel of a teachable moment. In high school I bounced almost completely off it. About ten years later, I enjoyed the dual-layered narration and was otherwise mostly engaged by the language. Now it appears I just like the novel, which I have to consider may be a factor of middle age. Or I had just read the necessary bunch more of Dickens in the interval, speaking of traceable reflections, recurring figures; my favorite character has not changed since eleventh grade, but I can see now the constellation he's part of. It seems improbable that I was always reading the novel while waiting for chorus to start, but I did get through Hardy's The Mayor of Casterbridge (1886) in the down time of a couple of rehearsals that year. I was not taking either of the standard literature classes, but I had friends who left their assigned reading lying around.

I have to be at three different doctors' offices tomorrow. I could be over this viral mishegos any second now.

sigh

Jan. 12th, 2026 10:27 pm
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[personal profile] james_davis_nicoll
One character in my Outgunned game gets a laptop as part of his starting gear. Game is set in 1977 so I told the university age player he could have a programmable calculator or a slide rule.

"What's a slide rule?"

Book review: Empty Wardrobes

Jan. 12th, 2026 07:19 pm
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[personal profile] rocky41_7 posting in [community profile] booknook
Title: Empty Wardrobes
Author: Maria Judite de Carvalho
Translator: Margaret Jull Costa
Genre: Fiction, literary

I collect false treasures in empty wardrobes.

This quote by Paul Eluard opens book #14 from the "Women in Translation" rec list, which continues to fatten up my TBR list. This is Empty Wardrobes by Maria Judite de Carvalho, translated from Portuguese by Margaret Jull Costa. This novella, originally published in the 1960s, is about the ways in which women are subsumed by the men in their lives, or otherwise are buffeted about with less control over their lives than they ought to have.

The forward by Kate Zambreno is a wonderfully complementary piece. She talks about the anger she feels going to a woman's funeral and hearing the dead woman sanctified by men in her life who did nothing but take from her, who can speak of her only to praise what she did for others, and can say nothing about what the woman herself was. 

Sometimes you can read a book and just know the author was angry when she wrote it. This is one of those. The book uses the phrase "discreet rage" about one of its characters, and I think that sentiment succinctly describes the whole book. The protagonist, Dora Rosario, is ten years into widowhood, and she has devoted her entire life to mourning her unremarkable husband as much as she had previous devoted her life to supporting his every opinion regardless of whether or not she agreed with it. Now, a decade on, her mother-in-law reveals something about Dora's late husband that changes her entire perspective.

I would like to believe we are moving away from the world portrayed in Empty Wardrobes (though not with as much success as I'd like), but this is a stark reminder of how even a few generations ago, in the Sixties, a woman's identity was so controlled by her husband's. There are only two men in this book--Duarte, Dora's dead husband, and Ernesto, the longtime partner of a side character--and they both, through social structures, exercise incredible control over the lives of the women around them without any respect or even knowledge of their impact.

The three main women in this book--Dora, her daughter Lisa, and the narrator--each take a different approach to the male romantic partners in their lives, and none of them comes out the better for it (well, perhaps for Lisa, but I personally doubt it will last), because the ultimate problem is societal attitudes about the way men and women are meant to relate to each other. 

It's not a long book, and I can't say much more without spoiling things, but I also think it does some fabulous things with its narration and perspective, and the way it doles out information. Really an excellent framing that allows for a lot of fluidity and filling in gaps with your own visions while remaining clear in the nature of the story it's telling. 

This book was only translated into English in 2021, which is a shame, because I think it would have struck a nerve much earlier, but we have it now! Costa does an excellent job with the work too; the writing is full of punchy phrases like the above, and she captures some realistic dialogue--characters repeating themselves, responding in ways that don't quite match up with what was asked, etc.--while keeping it natural-sounding.

Amber in the east

Jan. 13th, 2026 02:20 am
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Posted by Victor Mair

Well, now, for all those doubting Thomases who insist that there was no contact between western Eurasia, Central Asia, South Asia, Southeast Asia, and East Asia in antiquity:

"The Amber Trade along the Southwestern Silk Road from 600 BCE-220 CE." Lü, Jing et al. Palaeoentomology 8, no. 6 (December 29, 2025): 679-682. https://www.mapress.com/pe/article/view/palaeoentomology.8.6.10.

An ant inside Baltic amber
Unpolished amber stones

Abstract

Amber holds significant historical importance in China, symbolizing not only the glory of ancient Chinese art and culture but also reflecting the development of cross-regional trade in antiquity. Evidence shows that Burmese and Baltic amber became widely popular during the Han dynasty (202 BCE–220 CE) and could be imported through various routes (Liu et al., 2023a, b; Zhao et al., 2023; Li et al., 2025). During this period, the Euro-Asia Steppe Trade Road was predominantly used for the import of Baltic amber, while the Maritime Silk Route might also facilitate the amber trade (Li et al., 2025). Additionally, the Southwestern Silk Route is regarded as a crucial pathway for amber trade in ancient Southern China. This overland route stretched from Central China through the mountainous regions of Sichuan, Guizhou, and Yunnan, extending to Myanmar and other Southeast Asian countries (Elias, 2024). The ancient Ailao Regional States, serving as a key node along the Southwestern Silk Road, encompassed southwestern Yunnan (China), northern Myanmar, Thailand, Laos, and eastern Assam (India) (Sun, 2016). Notably, the territory of Ailao Regional States included the Burmese amber deposits in the northern Myanmar, which was also recorded in the Han historical records as the amber origin (Fan, 1965). In addition, several amber artifacts from the same period have been discovered in the Dian Kingdom, which is primarily located in Yunnan and borders the Ailao Regional States (Zhao, 2016). While there is considerable evidence suggesting that the Southwestern Silk Route played a significant role in the amber trade, there is a lack of empirical evidence detailing its specific functions in the transportation of amber.

 

Etymology

From Middle English ambre, aumbre, from Old French aumbre, ambre, from Arabic عَنْبَر (ʕanbar, ambergris), from Middle Persian (ʾnbl /⁠ambar⁠/, ambergris). Compare English lamber, ambergris. Displaced Middle English smulting (from Old English smelting (amber)), Old English eolhsand (amber), Old English glær (amber), and Old English sāp (amber, resin, pomade).

    • The nucleotide sequence "UAG" is named "amber" for the first person to isolate the amber mutation, California Institute of Technology graduate student Harris Bernstein, whose last name ("Bernstein") is the German word for the resin "amber".

(Wiktionary)

The English word amber derives from Arabic ʿanbar عنبر from Middle Persian (ʾnbl /ambar⁠/, "ambergris") via Middle Latin ambar and Middle French ambre. The word referred to what is now known as ambergris (ambre gris or "gray amber"), a solid waxy substance derived from the sperm whale. The word, in its sense of "ambergris", was adopted in Middle English in the 14th century.

In the Romance languages, the sense of the word was extended to Baltic amber (fossil resin) from as early as the late 13th century. At first called white or yellow amber (ambre jaune), this meaning was adopted in English by the early 15th century. As the use of ambergris waned, this became the main sense of the word.

The two substances ("yellow amber" and "gray amber") conceivably became associated or confused because they both were found washed up on beaches. Ambergris is less dense than water and floats, whereas amber is denser and floats only in concentrated saline, or strong salty seawater though less dense than stone.

The classical names for amber, Ancient Greek ἤλεκτρον (ēlektron) and one of its Latin names, electrum, are connected to a term ἠλέκτωρ (ēlektōr) meaning "beaming Sun". According to myth, when Phaëton, son of Helios (the Sun), was killed his mourning sisters became poplar trees, and their tears became elektron, amber. The word elektron gave rise to the words electric, electricity, and their relatives because of amber's ability to bear a charge of static electricity.

(Wikipedia)

Electrifying!

Warms the cockles of your heart.

 

Selected readings

  • "China Babel" (3/26/24) — with numerous important references
  • "Celto-Sinica" (12/30/25)
  • Correspondences between Old Chinese and Proto-Celtic Words”, by Julie Lee Wei, Sino-Platonic Papers, 373 (December, 2025), 1-85.
  • "Volts before Volta" (1/3/26)
  • The Baghdad Battery: Experimental Verification of a 2,000-Year-Old Device Capable of Driving Visible and Useful Electrochemical Reactions at over 1.4 Volts", by Alexander Bazes, Sino-Platonic Papers, 377 (January, 2026), 1-20.
  • "Battery-Powered Prayers" (1/8/26)
  • "The Trans-Eurasian Exchange: The Prehistory of Chinese Relations with the West", by Andrew Sherratt, published posthumously in Victor H. Mair, ed., Contact and Exchange in the Ancient World (Honolulu:  University of Hawaii Press, 2006), pp. 30-61.
  • Joyce C. White and Elizabeth G. Hamilton,The transmission of early bronze technology to Thailand: new perspectives”, Journal of World Prehistory 22 (2009), 357–97 (Google Scholar)
  • Hajni Elias, H, "The Southwest Silk Road: artistic exchange and transmission in early China," Bulletin of the School of Oriental and African Studies, 87 (2024), 319–344. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0041977X24000120
  • "The Wool Road of Northern Eurasia" (4/12/21) — comment:
  • Annie Gottlieb reminds me that there was also an Amber Road. I had written about that in various places, and was fascinated by the fact that there is clear evidence for flourishing trade along this route from the Baltic to the Mediterranean already during Neolithic times (although recent scholarship emphasizes the last three thousand years). 
  • — traceable right over the Alps.
  • That further reminded me of this lecture that was given in my department on July 13, 2017: "Wine Road before the Silk Road: Hypotheses on the Origins of Chinese and Eurasian Drinking Culture". It was delivered by Peter Kupfer, Professor, Johannes Gutenberg University, Mainz, Germany.
  • Liu, Q., Zhang, Y.H.., Li, X.P., Qin, X. & Li, Q.H. (2023b) Some amber artifacts excavated from tombs of the Han Dynasty in Hunan Province. Journal of Gems and Gemmology, 25, 146–157. https://doi.org/10.15964/j.cnki.027jgg.2023.04.013
  • Luo, E.H. (2000) Chinese “Southwestern Silk Road” in the Han and Jin Dynasties. Journal of Sichuan University (Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition), 1, 84–105. [In Chinese]
  • Na, X.X. (2020) The research of the gemmological characteristics and colour grading of Burmese amber. Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming, 34–40. [In Chinese]
  • Shi, Z.T., Xin, C.X. & Wang, Y.M. (2023) Spectral characteristics of unique species of Burmese amber. Minerals, 13, 151. https://doi.org/10.3390/min13020151
  • Sun, J. (2016) The spatio-temporal patterns and geographical imagination of ethnic groups in the Southwest of China, among Qin and Han Dynasties. China Social Sciences Press, Beijing, 530 pp. [In Chinese]
  • The Archaeological Team of Guizhou Provincial Museum (1979) The tombs of the Han Dynasty in Xingyi and Xingren, Guizhou Province. Cult Relics, 5, 20–33. [In Chinese]
  • Zhao, D. (2016). Exotic beads and pendants in Ancient China: From Western Zhou to Eastern Jin Dynasty. Science Press, Beijing, pp. 103–107. [In Chinese]
  • Zhao, T., Peng, M.H., Yang, M.X., Lu, R., Wang, Y.M. & Li, Y. (2023) Effects of weathering on FTIR spectra and origin traceability of archaeological amber: The case of the Han Tomb of Haihun Marquis, China. Journal of Archaeological Science, 153, 105753. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jas.2023.105753
  • "Of a Persian spymaster and Viking Rus' in medieval East Asia: Scythia Koreana and Japanese Waqwaq" (6/1/25) — from Scandinavia to Korea and Japan; strikingly illustrated
  • Victor H. Mair, "Language and Script:  Biology, Archaeology, and (Pre)history", International Review of Chinese Linguistics, 1.1 (1996), 31-41 (large format, twin columns) — hard to get hold of, but well worth the effort

    plus hundreds of Language Log posts documenting east-west contact in ancient times by Lucas Christopoulos, Brian Pellar, Sara de Rose, and others.

[Thanks to Ted McClure]

"Stopping the palace evolve"

Jan. 13th, 2026 12:34 am
[syndicated profile] languagelog_feed

Posted by Mark Liberman

P.O. wrote to ask for help in analyzing this phrase from season 2, episode 5 of The Crown:

They're stopping the palace evolve
in keeping with the rest of the world.

The context is

I would recommend getting rid of an entire generation of courtier.
The old school, stuck in the past.
Ostriches with their heads buried in the sand.
They're stopping the palace evolve in keeping with the rest of the world.

In this context, stopping means "not letting", and the phrasing "They're not letting the palace evolve" would have been unproblematic, even for an American like P.O.

There are other examples Out There of "stopping NP V" meaning "not letting NP V", for example:

[link] Pretty sure there was no way of stopping him leave at the time.
[link] Zay is reeling with the thought of being away from those he loves under the scrutiny from whatever, or whomever, it is that’s stopping them escape.
[link] Laugharne pushed hard in both halves, and managed to keep the Quins quiet in the second, stopping them score any more points whilst scoring 44 points.

I'll leave it to our UK readers to explain what the regional, temporal, and sociological associations of this construction are.

rachelmanija: (Books: old)
[personal profile] rachelmanija
Audio and transcript here.

Kat Spada: Today, I’m talking to Rachel Manija Brown, a writer who’s published over 30 books, and opened up Paper & Clay Bookshop in late 2024. Rachel, will you tell me about why you decided to open a bookshop?

Rachel Brown: I had never intended to open a bookshop. I always thought it was one of those idle daydreams that people who love reading and books have. I never planned to actually do it because I didn’t think it would be successful—they frequently go out of business. But after I moved to Crestline, which is a very small town in the California mountains, the little town did not have a bookshop.

It had a shop that was kind of a bookshop. I would say about ten percent of its inventory was books, but it was primarily gifts and herbs and crystals and things like that. But it had a really great atmosphere, people loved it, the people who worked there were really great. And all the kids in town used to hang out there, especially the queer and trans and otherwise kind of misfit kids. And I used to hang out there.

[When it went] out of business, I was so sad at the idea of the mountain losing its only bookshop. Especially the thought that all the queer, trans, bookish, and otherwise misfit teenagers, like I had once been, were going to lose their safe space.

I started daydreaming about opening it myself, and I thought, I love this idea so much, maybe in a couple of years when I have actual preparation, I’ll open a bookshop. Then I realized it was at was such a good location, that I would never get that good of a location again. It’s smack in the middle of the tourist district, every person who visits Crestline walks right past it.

Unfortunately, this was all while I was in Bulgaria for a month. So, I spent some time frantically trying to take over the lease, which was extremely difficult from another country. I couldn’t take possession of the shop until November 1st, and I really wanted to open it in time to get all the Christmas customers. And I have a tiny house, so I couldn’t really buy very much, because I had no place to put it. So I took possession of the shop on November 1st, and I opened on November 14th.


I've posted the rest of the edited transcript below the cut. Read more... )

Infinite collaborative word search

Jan. 12th, 2026 06:47 pm
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Posted by Nathan Yau

You know the standard word search setup. There’s a grid of letters, and within that grid are hidden words to search for. Now imagine that grid of letters can grow infinitely and many people can search the grid at the same time. Luke Schaef made that game, where people can find and submit words.

Make sure to zoom out and pan. The middle of the grid is a blob, but people started to use word-finding as a drawing mechanism towards the edges, because of course they have.

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DOGE hiring and non-hiring data

Jan. 12th, 2026 06:26 pm
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Posted by Nathan Yau

In efforts to understand the hiring and firing at the beginning of the DOGE havoc in 2025, for Bloomberg, Aaron Gordon and Jason Leopold review data requested through the FOIA.

One agency immediately stands out: the Internal Revenue Service. In January 2025, the IRS hired 1,313 people. Over the next two months the agency laid off 11,000 workers, or about 11% of its workforce. And it hired zero people in February and March. What happened at the IRS amidst the DOGE-slashing effort that swept through the federal government is an extreme case of how Musk and his wrecking crew gutted agencies. The IRS did not respond to a request for comment.

Also last January, the federal government hired slightly more than 10,000 people. That didn’t decrease much in February, but the composition of hiring changed dramatically. About half the hires in January were from departments scattered across the government. The IRS accounted for one out of every nine hires. That changed in February. About 80% of the new hires were from the departments of Defense and Homeland Security.

You can download the spreadsheet from Bloomberg, which includes names, agencies, and salaries.

Sadly, receiving data from the U.S. government almost feels like an anomaly at this point. This request took about a year to process.

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Bundle of Holding: Eichhorn Mork Borg

Jan. 12th, 2026 02:02 pm
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Diseased grimdark English-language sourcebooks by Christian Eichhorn for the artpunk tabletop fantasy roleplaying game Mörk Borg!

Bundle of Holding: Eichhorn Mork Borg

Job cuts for every federal agency

Jan. 12th, 2026 04:43 pm
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Posted by Nathan Yau

Based on November data released by the Office of Personnel Management, the federal workforce is 220,000 workers fewer in this administration. For the New York Times, Emily Badger, Francesca Paris, and Alicia Parlapian provides a searchable table for how each agency was affected and the year-over-year change.

Of note:

Amid all the cuts, one agency has notably swelled: Immigration and Customs Enforcement expanded by about 30 percent through November, and more new hires have been announced since as the Trump administration continues to ramp up its deportation campaign.

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I don't know that I have a coherent weekend report, but I did take some photos. so here we go... )
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This is late because my site was down when I had the time to post on Saturday. Seven books new to me. Two fantasy, one non-fiction, one mainstream, one collection of poetry, and two thrillers.

Books Received, January 3 to January 9

Poll #34072 Books Received, January 3 to January 9
Open to: Registered Users, detailed results viewable to: All, participants: 32


Which of these look interesting?

View Answers

Of Venom and Vengeance by Mikayla Bridge (July 2026)
4 (12.5%)

Bad Advice by Susan Carpenter (April 2026)
3 (9.4%)

The Innocent Canadian by John Delacourt (April 2026)
5 (15.6%)

Woodbine Grove by Ryan O’Dowd (December 2025)
2 (6.2%)

Rum Maniacs: Alcoholic Insanity in the Early American Republic by Matthew Warner Osborn (March 2020)
19 (59.4%)

Inside Passages by Heather Paul (April 2026)
3 (9.4%)

Existence in All Its Uncoverable Beauty by Calvin White (April 2026)
2 (6.2%)

Some other option (see comments)
0 (0.0%)

Cats!
26 (81.2%)

About

Artisanal wisdom prepared by hand in small batches from only the finest, locally sourced, organic insights.

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Telling you things you didn't know you knew & pointing out things that you didn't know that you didn't know since at least 2004.

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