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Verfasst von:Kunzmann, Kevin [VerfasserIn]   i
 Kieser, Meinhard [VerfasserIn]   i
Titel:Test-compatible confidence intervals for adaptive two-stage single-arm designs with binary endpoint
Verf.angabe:Kevin Kunzmann, Meinhard Kieser
Jahr:2018
Umfang:11 S.
Fussnoten:First published: 27 October 2017 ; Gesehen am 05.11.2018
Titel Quelle:Enthalten in: Biometrical journal
Ort Quelle:Berlin : Wiley-VCH, 1977
Jahr Quelle:2018
Band/Heft Quelle:60(2018), 1, Seite 196-206
ISSN Quelle:1521-4036
Abstract:Inference after two-stage single-arm designs with binary endpoint is challenging due to the nonunique ordering of the sampling space in multistage designs. We illustrate the problem of specifying test-compatible confidence intervals for designs with nonconstant second-stage sample size and present two approaches that guarantee confidence intervals consistent with the test decision. Firstly, we extend the well-known Clopper-Pearson approach of inverting a family of two-sided hypothesis tests from the group-sequential case to designs with fully adaptive sample size. Test compatibility is achieved by using a sample space ordering that is derived from a test-compatible estimator. The resulting confidence intervals tend to be conservative but assure the nominal coverage probability. In order to assess the possibility of further improving these confidence intervals, we pursue a direct optimization approach minimizing the mean width of the confidence intervals. While the latter approach produces more stable coverage probabilities, it is also slightly anti-conservative and yields only negligible improvements in mean width. We conclude that the Clopper-Pearson-type confidence intervals based on a test-compatible estimator are the best choice if the nominal coverage probability is not to be undershot and compatibility of test decision and confidence interval is to be preserved.
DOI:doi:10.1002/bimj.201700018
URL:Bitte beachten Sie: Dies ist ein Bibliographieeintrag. Ein Volltextzugriff für Mitglieder der Universität besteht hier nur, falls für die entsprechende Zeitschrift/den entsprechenden Sammelband ein Abonnement besteht oder es sich um einen OpenAccess-Titel handelt.

Volltext: http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/bimj.201700018
 Volltext: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/bimj.201700018
 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/bimj.201700018
Datenträger:Online-Ressource
Sprache:eng
Sach-SW:adaptive designs
 binary endpoint
 confidence interval
 two-stage designs
K10plus-PPN:1582568456
Verknüpfungen:→ Zeitschrift

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