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| Verfasst von: | Rizio, Stephanie M. |
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| | Skali, Ahmed |
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| Titel: | How often do dictators have positive economic effects? Global evidence, 1858–2010 |
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| Verlagsort: | Oxford |
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| Verlag: | Elsevier Inc |
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| | Elsevier Science Ltd |
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| Jahr: | 2020 |
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| Inhalt: | Supposedly well-intentioned dictators are often cited as drivers of economic growth. We examine this claim in a panel of 133 countries from 1858 to 2010. Using annual data on economic growth, political regimes, and political leaders, we document a robust asymmetric pattern: growth-positive autocrats (autocrats whose countries experience larger-than-average growth) are found only as frequently as would be predicted by chance. In contrast, growth-negative autocrats are found significantly more frequently. Implementing regression discontinuity designs (RDD), we also examine local trends in the neighbourhood of the entry into power of growth-positive autocrats. We find that growth under supposedly growth-positive autocrats does not significantly differ from previous realizations of growth, suggesting that even the infrequent growth-positive autocrats largely “ride the wave” of previous success. On the other hand, our estimates reject the null hypothesis that growth-negative rulers have no effects. Taken together, our results cast serious doubt on the benevolent autocrat hypothesis. |
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| ISSN: | 1048-9843 |
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| Titel Quelle: | The Leadership quarterly |
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| Jahr Quelle: | 2020 |
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| Band/Heft Quelle: | 31, 3, S. 101302 |
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| DOI: | doi:10.1016/j.leaqua.2019.06.003 |
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| URL: | http://www.ub.uni-heidelberg.de/cgi-bin/edok?dok=https%3A%2F%2Ffanyv88.com%3A443%2Fhttps%2Fdx.doi.org%2F10.1016%2Fj.leaqua.2019.06.003 |
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| | http://www.ub.uni-heidelberg.de/cgi-bin/edok?dok=https%3A%2F%2Ffanyv88.com%3A443%2Fhttps%2Fwww.proquest.com%2Fdocview%2F2440940468%2Fabstract%2F |
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| | DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.leaqua.2019.06.003 |
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| Sprache: | English |
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| Sach-SW: | Autocracy |
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| | Benevolent autocrats |
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| | Democracy |
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| | Dictators |
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| | Economic development |
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| | Economic growth |
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| | Economic models |
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| | Hypotheses |
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| | Leaders |
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| | Politics |
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| Verknüpfungen: | → Sammelwerk |
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