Statistics database last updated Mon 1/08/24. Updated weekly.
| AFC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East | North | South | West | ||||
| MIA | 11-6 | BAL | 13-4 | HOU | 10-7 | KAN | 11-6 |
| BUF | 11-6 | CLE | 11-6 | JAX | 9-8 | LVR | 8-9 |
| NYJ | 7-10 | PIT | 10-7 | IND | 9-8 | DEN | 8-9 |
| NWE | 4-13 | CIN | 9-8 | TEN | 6-11 | LAC | 5-12 |
| NFC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East | North | South | West | ||||
| DAL | 12-5 | DET | 12-5 | TAM | 9-8 | SFO | 12-5 |
| PHI | 11-6 | GNB | 9-8 | NOR | 9-8 | LAR | 10-7 |
| NYG | 6-11 | MIN | 7-10 | ATL | 7-10 | SEA | 9-8 |
| WAS | 4-13 | CHI | 7-10 | CAR | 2-15 | ARI | 4-13 |
The box plots describe how exceptional, average, or disastrous each team is this year. Mouse over the data points for details.
Point margins provide more context about a team's season than wins and losses. In the figure below, teams with a small, tight box plot, like the Minnesota Vikings (MIN), tend to have consistent point margins. Teams with a taller box plot, like the Miami Dolphins (MIA), have varied results week-to-week.
A binary logistic regression models the effect of a variable on two possible results.
This has a clear application in football analysis, where a game almost always ends in a win or loss.
The probability curve reaches 50% win probability where the x variable is the league average per-game statistic, either points scored per game or yards gained per game.
The table at the end of this page lists these values.
At the end of the regular season, the statistics most closely related to team wins are total points scored (0.84), net yards per pass attempt (0.77), total yards from scrimmage (0.75), and first down differential (0.68). Expected win rate also has a high coefficient because it is calculated from points scored and points allowed, two of the stats most correlated with wins.
Open the correlation matrix below in a new tab to view its full size.
A correlation matrix measures the relationships between multiple statistics using a number, or correlation coefficient, between -1 and 1. If you are familiar with r2 ("r squared") values, a correlation matrix is similar to a group of r2 values.
To find the relationship between two statistics, yards gained and points scored for example, find the intersection of the yards gained row and the points scored column. The points scored row and the yards gained column shows the same number; the matrix is mirrored across the upper-left to bottom-right diagonal full of ones.
A positive correlation coefficient indicates a direct relationship between two statistics. For example, teams with lots of total yards tend to score lots of points, and vice versa. Very positive correlations are a dark blue. On the other hand, a negative coefficient indicates an indirect relationship, like how teams with more wins tend to have fewer points scored against them, and teams with fewer wins tend to allow more points (who knew!). These relationships are marked in red.
For a more in-depth guide to interpreting correlation matrices, you can read more here.
All statistics on this page only use data from the current season.
Pythagorean expectation estimates a team's win rate based on the total points scored by and against the team. If a team's final record is significantly different than their expected win rate, it can indicate how lucky or unlucky they have been this year.
NY/A is one of the most important stats for measuring offensive performance.
| Rank | Team | ▼ Exp. Win % | Win % | Record | Pts | Pts Allowed | Yds | Pass Y | Rush Y | Y Allowed | Pass Y Allowed | Rush Y Allowed | 1stD Diff | Net Y/Att | Int % | TO Diff | Net Pen Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Avg | 0.494 | 0.500 | --- | 370 | 370 | 5637 | 3721 | 1915 | 5637 | 3721 | 1915 | 0 | 6.05 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | BAL | 0.785 | 0.765 | 13-4 | 483 | 280 | 6296 | 3635 | 2661 | 5119 | 3259 | 1860 | 53 | 6.79 | 1.4 | 12 | 114 |
| 2 | SFO | 0.766 | 0.706 | 12-5 | 491 | 298 | 6773 | 4384 | 2389 | 5167 | 3642 | 1525 | 64 | 8.35 | 2.4 | 10 | 171 |
| 3 | DAL | 0.757 | 0.706 | 12-5 | 509 | 315 | 6317 | 4397 | 1920 | 5095 | 3185 | 1910 | 74 | 6.72 | 1.6 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | BUF | 0.707 | 0.647 | 11-6 | 451 | 311 | 6366 | 4154 | 2212 | 5222 | 3342 | 1880 | 68 | 6.89 | 3.1 | 2 | 130 |
| 5 | MIA | 0.637 | 0.647 | 11-6 | 496 | 391 | 6822 | 4514 | 2308 | 5411 | 3760 | 1651 | 39 | 7.56 | 2.7 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | KAN | 0.634 | 0.647 | 11-6 | 371 | 294 | 5973 | 4189 | 1784 | 4926 | 3001 | 1925 | 50 | 6.32 | 2.7 | -11 | 241 |
| 7 | NOR | 0.620 | 0.529 | 9-8 | 402 | 327 | 5732 | 3990 | 1742 | 5562 | 3524 | 2038 | 37 | 6.22 | 1.8 | 11 | 71 |
| 8 | DET | 0.591 | 0.706 | 12-5 | 461 | 395 | 6708 | 4397 | 2311 | 5714 | 4205 | 1509 | 36 | 6.91 | 2.0 | 0 | 55 |
| 9 | GNB | 0.553 | 0.529 | 9-8 | 383 | 350 | 5873 | 3968 | 1905 | 5696 | 3515 | 2181 | -2 | 6.49 | 1.9 | 0 | -51 |
| 10 | CLE | 0.553 | 0.647 | 11-6 | 396 | 362 | 5710 | 3693 | 2017 | 4593 | 2800 | 1793 | 72 | 5.52 | 3.7 | -9 | -26 |
| 11 | LAR | 0.541 | 0.588 | 10-7 | 404 | 377 | 6108 | 4063 | 2045 | 5744 | 3928 | 1816 | 22 | 6.59 | 2.2 | -3 | -266 |
| 12 | TAM | 0.540 | 0.529 | 9-8 | 348 | 325 | 5321 | 3812 | 1509 | 5852 | 4232 | 1620 | -37 | 6.27 | 1.8 | 8 | -11 |
| 13 | HOU | 0.539 | 0.588 | 10-7 | 377 | 353 | 5820 | 4173 | 1647 | 5622 | 3979 | 1643 | -3 | 6.53 | 1.4 | 10 | 132 |
| 14 | JAX | 0.510 | 0.529 | 9-8 | 377 | 371 | 5772 | 4126 | 1646 | 5828 | 4076 | 1752 | 22 | 6.24 | 2.3 | -3 | -317 |
| 15 | PHI | 0.507 | 0.647 | 11-6 | 433 | 428 | 6024 | 3834 | 2190 | 6054 | 4296 | 1758 | 13 | 6.37 | 2.8 | -10 | -25 |
| 16 | LVR | 0.502 | 0.471 | 8-9 | 332 | 331 | 4922 | 3380 | 1542 | 5625 | 3610 | 2015 | -38 | 5.66 | 3.2 | -2 | -232 |
| 17 | IND | 0.472 | 0.529 | 9-8 | 396 | 415 | 5725 | 3666 | 2059 | 5947 | 3842 | 2105 | -22 | 5.96 | 1.7 | 2 | -158 |
| 18 | CIN | 0.472 | 0.529 | 9-8 | 366 | 384 | 5422 | 3895 | 1527 | 6365 | 4220 | 2145 | -22 | 5.86 | 2.3 | 10 | -170 |
| 19 | MIN | 0.470 | 0.412 | 7-10 | 344 | 362 | 5912 | 4359 | 1553 | 5664 | 3986 | 1678 | 12 | 6.43 | 3.0 | -12 | -246 |
| 20 | CHI | 0.470 | 0.412 | 7-10 | 360 | 379 | 5495 | 3096 | 2399 | 5511 | 4043 | 1468 | 15 | 5.50 | 2.9 | 3 | 323 |
| 21 | PIT | 0.462 | 0.588 | 10-7 | 304 | 324 | 5173 | 3163 | 2010 | 5816 | 3860 | 1956 | -24 | 5.84 | 1.8 | 11 | 12 |
| 22 | SEA | 0.441 | 0.529 | 9-8 | 364 | 402 | 5487 | 3907 | 1580 | 6313 | 3961 | 2352 | -63 | 6.38 | 2.1 | 2 | 130 |
| 23 | LAC | 0.418 | 0.294 | 5-12 | 346 | 398 | 5599 | 3956 | 1643 | 6170 | 4246 | 1924 | -25 | 5.86 | 1.3 | 0 | -76 |
| 24 | DEN | 0.415 | 0.471 | 8-9 | 357 | 413 | 5072 | 3262 | 1810 | 6304 | 3973 | 2331 | -48 | 5.77 | 1.8 | 4 | -216 |
| 25 | ATL | 0.412 | 0.412 | 7-10 | 321 | 373 | 5683 | 3524 | 2159 | 5458 | 3449 | 2009 | 6 | 6.18 | 3.2 | -12 | -88 |
| 26 | TEN | 0.392 | 0.353 | 6-11 | 305 | 367 | 4913 | 3067 | 1846 | 5697 | 3866 | 1831 | -36 | 5.50 | 2.2 | -6 | 106 |
| 27 | NYJ | 0.339 | 0.412 | 7-10 | 268 | 355 | 4566 | 2919 | 1647 | 4969 | 2861 | 2108 | -38 | 4.39 | 2.5 | -6 | 165 |
| 28 | ARI | 0.318 | 0.235 | 4-13 | 330 | 455 | 5509 | 3144 | 2365 | 6047 | 3613 | 2434 | -39 | 5.27 | 2.2 | -1 | 94 |
| 29 | NYG | 0.267 | 0.353 | 6-11 | 266 | 407 | 4760 | 2886 | 1874 | 6148 | 3897 | 2251 | -85 | 4.79 | 2.3 | 12 | -111 |
| 30 | NWE | 0.261 | 0.235 | 4-13 | 236 | 366 | 4696 | 3069 | 1627 | 5127 | 3543 | 1584 | -44 | 5.07 | 3.8 | -11 | 132 |
| 31 | WAS | 0.254 | 0.235 | 4-13 | 329 | 518 | 5316 | 3724 | 1592 | 6612 | 4457 | 2155 | -43 | 5.31 | 3.3 | -14 | -127 |
| 32 | CAR | 0.207 | 0.118 | 2-15 | 236 | 416 | 4510 | 2741 | 1769 | 4997 | 2916 | 2081 | -14 | 4.21 | 1.7 | -9 | 166 |
| Rank | Team | Exp. Win % | Win % | Record | Pts | Pts Allowed | Yds | Pass Y | Rush Y | Y Allowed | Pass Y Allowed | Rush Y Allowed | 1stD Diff | Net Y/Att | Int % | TO Diff | Net Pen Yds |