Wave Analysis
SUNPHARMA - BREAKOUT RETEST or END of 5th?SUNPHARMA - CMP 1747
It appears that a 5 wave impulse from Covid lows (312) has ended at 1960
Primary and internal counts are marked in the chart
If it is too early to predict/expect a larger retracement of the entire move, lets take one step at a time and look for the price action from May'23 lows.. The 5 wave impulse from 922 to 1960. Even here, the 5 waves are complete and the price is falling/retracing.
Chart is attached here for reference
If we expect a minimum of 50% retracement of this 5 wave impulse, then we are looking at 1440 levels
Worst case, if you look at breakout retest (for those with bullish bias), then a dip down to 1640 cant be ruled out
Price is trading below the cloud and Super trend on Daily TF
Price is trading below all key EMAs.. and 200 EMA is next, placed at 1650 levels.
Definitely not a place to go long..
Daily close above 1800 would be the invalidation level
I am not a SEBI registered Analyst. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions.
#Nifty directions and levels for November 18th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for November 18th.
Market Overview:
There are no significant changes happening. The global market is showing a moderately bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones only), and our local market is also exhibiting bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, with the Gifty Nifty showing a negative 80 points.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty moved in a consolidation pattern. Structurally, it remains a bearish trend, so if the gap-down sustains, we can expect the continuation of the correction. On the other hand, if it rejects around the immediate support level or opens with a gap-up, we can expect a minimum pullback of 23% to 38%. Let’s look at this in the charts.
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty have the same structural sentiment.
Nifty Current View:
The current view for Nifty indicates that if the initial market takes a pullback around the immediate support level (23,435), we can expect a minimum pullback of 23% to 38%. After that, if it rejects at either the 23% or 38% Fibonacci level, the correction will likely continue. However, if it sustains and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it could reach the 50% and 61% levels. If this happens, the upcoming session could turn into a range market.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market breaks the immediate support level (23,435) solidly or consolidates around the support level, the correction will likely continue to the level of 23,245.
BAJAJ Housing Finance Descending TriangleThird time touched the support trendline
- opens above this trend line stock might go up
- opens below this candle or trend line stock might go down
morning star formed in Descending Triangle bottom which might track the stock to downside
I don't recommend & taking trade based on this idea.
consult your SEBI registered adviser to Know the market risk before trade.
in.tradingview.com/pricing/?share_your_love=johnbritto2088
False breakdown or beginning of New rally? #RelianceFalse breakout patterns can sometimes signal the beginning of a new trend, and the end of the current one.
like as the chart of reliance the trend breakout at wave 2 suggesting negative bias in the stock signaling trend reversal. However the phycological theory of EWT suggest the possibility of false breakout and beginning of 3rd motive wave.
How should one trade the fake breakouts.
Refer the Strength index and look if the Oscillators suggest neutral or an oversold zone for reversal
Coming on to Reliance: It is important Reliance to sustain above 1371 for the beginning of W3 a rally towards levels of 1800
NIFTY50: INSTITUTIONAL LEVELS FOR 19/11/2024Overview
This trading system combines simplicity with powerful insights for accurate entries and exits. It is structured for active traders using the 5-minute timeframe who want to make clear, confident trading decisions in fast-moving markets.
Key Strategy Guidelines
Retest Entries : Aim to enter trades on retests rather than breakouts, offering better positioning.
Multiple Confirmations : Use more than one confirmation to validate each trade, helping avoid impulsive decisions.
ATM Options Focus : Stick to at-the-money (ATM) options or above for optimal liquidity and manageable risk.
System Explanation
This setup leverages volume, historical price action, and price ranges to pinpoint high-probability entry and exit points. This methodology is designed to reduce guesswork, allowing traders to manage trades with a consistent approach.
How It Works: Entry/Exit Signals
Blue Line : Signals potential long entry.
Red Line : Indicates potential short entry.
Tip : Align these signals with additional confirmations from your trading strategy for optimal performance.
Stop Loss and Take Profit Levels
Stop Loss:
Long Trades : Set your stop loss at the nearest red line below the entry point, or adjust based on whether the 5-minute candle crosses the red line.
Short Trades : Use the blue line above as the stop loss.
Take Profit:
Long Entries :Target the next red line above or exit if other indicators suggest a prudent exit.
Short Entries :Target the next blue line below following similar guidelines.
Timeframe Recommendation
This system is specifically optimized for the 5-minute timeframe, making it suitable for those trading shorter intervals with precision.
Risk Disclaimer
Trading involves high risk, and rapid price changes can lead to unexpected losses. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose, and carefully assess your financial situation and risk tolerance.
Join the Community Discussion
Engage with other traders to discuss strategies, share insights, and enhance your understanding of the markets. Let’s grow together as a community of traders.
Original Content
This trading system is the product of my own expertise and rigorous testing. It’s a unique approach developed through real market experience to offer a clear edge in trading.
#Banknifty directions and levels for November 19th.Bank Nifty Current View:
The structure is similar to the Nifty sentiment. The current view suggests that if the market declines initially, then 50,045 will act as support. If the market breaks this level, the correction will continue to a minimum of 49,745. On the other hand, if it doesn’t break this level (50,045), then it could consolidate between the level of 50,045 and the 38% upside.
Alternate View:
The alternate variation suggests that if the market sustains the gap-up, then the 38% level will act as resistance. If the market consolidates or breaks this level, then the pullback will continue to the next resistance Fibonacci level of 50%. Conversely, if it doesn’t break or rejects this level, we can expect consolidation leading to a correction.
BANKNIFTY: INSTITUTIONAL LEVELS FOR 19/11/2024Overview
This trading system combines simplicity with powerful insights for accurate entries and exits. It is structured for active traders using the 5-minute timeframe who want to make clear, confident trading decisions in fast-moving markets.
Key Strategy Guidelines
Retest Entries : Aim to enter trades on retests rather than breakouts, offering better positioning.
Multiple Confirmations : Use more than one confirmation to validate each trade, helping avoid impulsive decisions.
ATM Options Focus : Stick to at-the-money (ATM) options or above for optimal liquidity and manageable risk.
System Explanation
This setup leverages volume, historical price action, and price ranges to pinpoint high-probability entry and exit points. This methodology is designed to reduce guesswork, allowing traders to manage trades with a consistent approach.
How It Works: Entry/Exit Signals
Blue Line : Signals potential long entry.
Red Line : Indicates potential short entry.
Tip : Align these signals with additional confirmations from your trading strategy for optimal performance.
Stop Loss and Take Profit Levels
Stop Loss:
Long Trades : Set your stop loss at the nearest red line below the entry point, or adjust based on whether the 5-minute candle crosses the red line.
Short Trades : Use the blue line above as the stop loss.
Take Profit:
Long Entries :Target the next red line above or exit if other indicators suggest a prudent exit.
Short Entries :Target the next blue line below following similar guidelines.
Timeframe Recommendation
This system is specifically optimized for the 5-minute timeframe, making it suitable for those trading shorter intervals with precision.
Risk Disclaimer
Trading involves high risk, and rapid price changes can lead to unexpected losses. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose, and carefully assess your financial situation and risk tolerance.
Join the Community Discussion
Engage with other traders to discuss strategies, share insights, and enhance your understanding of the markets. Let’s grow together as a community of traders.
Original Content
This trading system is the product of my own expertise and rigorous testing. It’s a unique approach developed through real market experience to offer a clear edge in trading.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 19/11/2024BUY ABOVE - 23500
SL - 23430
TARGETS - 23620,23730,23820
SELL BELOW - 23430
SL - 23430
TARGETS - 23350,23230,23150
NO TRADE ZONE - 23430 to 23500
Previous Day High - 23620
Previous Day Low - 23350
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
BANK NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 19/11/2024BUY ABOVE - 50440
SL - 50140
TARGETS - 50640,50900,51060
SELL BELOW - 50140
SL - 50440
TARGETS - 49950,49700,49500
NO TRADE ZONE - 50140 to 50440
Previous Day High - 50440
Previous Day Low - 50140
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 18/11/2024BUY ABOVE - 23620
SL - 23500
TARGETS - 23730,23820,23920
SELL BELOW - 23500
SL - 23620
TARGETS - 23430,23370,23300
NO TRADE ZONE - 23500 to 23620
Previous Day High - 23730
Previous Day Low - 23500
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
#Nifty directions and levels for November 19th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for November 19th.
Market Overview:
There are no significant changes happening. The global market is showing moderately bearish sentiment (based on Dow Jones only), and our local market is also exhibiting a bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as the Nifty is showing a positive increase of 50 points.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty moved in a consolidation pattern. Structurally, we can expect a range-bound market today as well, with a bearish bias. This means that until the minor range is broken, the market will move within this range. If it breaks out, we can expect the next movement based on that. Let’s explain this with the charts.
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty have the same structural sentiment.
Nifty Current View:
The current view suggests that if the market declines initially, then 23,396 will act as support. If the market breaks this level, the correction will continue to a minimum of 23,322. On the other hand, if it doesn’t break this level (23,396), then it could consolidate within the channel. This is our first variation.
Alternate View:
The alternate variation suggests that if the market sustains the gap-up, then 23,583 will act as resistance. If the market consolidates or breaks this level, then the pullback will continue to the next resistance Fibonacci level of 38%. Conversely, if it doesn’t break or rejects this level, we can expect consolidation leading to a correction.
Gold-> Buyer Back Yet?After suffering significant losses last week, gold has regained its recovery momentum and is trading positively above $2,600 on Monday. The fundamental backdrop supports this recovery. Key resistance levels at $2,518 and $2,628 now divide the market into two distinct zones.
Meanwhile, market participants are awaiting moves from several Fed officials this week to gain further insights into the U.S. interest rate trajectory.
The most likely scenario at the moment is a slight recovery in gold prices following the recent steep sell-off, with expectations for gold to climb higher after several reversals in the USD.
In the medium term, bulls need to reassess U.S. policy planning in December, as the Fed is expected to hold rates steady in January. This has not been fully priced into the market, so any adjustments could pose challenges for gold.
Technically, since the market opened, prices have climbed considerably, increasing the likelihood of resistance capping further upward movement. A false breakout at $2,589 and subsequent consolidation below this zone would strengthen selling pressure. However, there is potential for a retest of $2,618 (Order Block).
Similarly, a failed breakout could trigger selling momentum. But if the fundamentals align strongly in favor of gold, the market may have a chance to shift the local trend from the $2,618 zone.
NIFTY - Bottom is not done yetNIFTY CMP: 23720
Internal counts are attached. Final 5th on the downside is not done yet and we could go down once again below 23300 (possibly 22800-23000)
The upmove has halted below 23800, previous support zone turns resistance.. and between 0.38 and 0.5 retracement of the fall from 24337 to 23350.
Long view only if it breaks 23900-24K
Update the latest gold price todayOn November 18, gold prices soared nearly $50, breaking a six-session losing streak as the U.S. dollar paused its rally and the Russia-Ukraine conflict intensified. Spot gold closed the session at $2,611 per ounce, recovering from a two-month low.
The sharp rise in gold was partly fueled by U.S. President Joe Biden's announcement allowing Ukraine to utilize long-range weapons supplied by the U.S. to target deep inside Russian territory. This escalation in geopolitical tensions has significantly boosted demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
This recent rally underscores gold's resilience in times of heightened uncertainty, with investors flocking to the precious metal amid a volatile global landscape.
Gold rebounded and rushed higherGold rebounded and rushed higher
Yesterday, gold opened slightly higher in the Asian session and successfully stood above the 2570 mark, starting a strong upward rebound. With a slight correction in the Asian and European sessions, the price stabilized at the 2580 mark and strengthened again. Finally, during the US session, gold accelerated its rise, broke through the 2600 mark and continued to rise, reaching a high of around 2611 and closing strongly. The daily K-line closed with a volatile medium-yang line that bottomed out and rebounded, indicating that the overall price formed a strong bullish rebound at the 2536 mark in the short term.
From the 4-hour chart and the 1-hour chart, gold steadily rebounded and corrected based on the low of 2537. Yesterday's rebound was large, breaking the extremely weak unilateral decline structure in the short term and turning into a shock correction. Combined with yesterday's closing situation, today's short-term rebound will continue, but it should be noted that the strong and weak rebounds of the K-line pattern usually do not last too long.
Today's support level focuses on the 2600 mark, while the upper resistance level is in the 2628-2630 area. In terms of operation strategy, it is recommended to combine the pattern to carry out high-altitude and low-multiple layout within the range. In the Asian session, you can first look at the rebound, and if you encounter resistance in the European and American sessions, consider falling back. The specific support point is around 2610. After the Asian session falls back and touches it, you can consider entering the long position.
Specific operation suggestions:
Long position strategy: Consider going long in the 2610/2608 range, and the target is 2620 and 2628.
Short position strategy: If you encounter resistance in the European and American sessions, look for opportunities to short in reverse based on the hourly chart pattern.
Overall, the current market sentiment is biased towards bulls, and you need to be flexible in dealing with possible pullbacks and resistance when operating, and maintain risk control.
Nifty seems forming H&S, Target upto 23200 if breaks below 24688I am reposting this analysis to support my previous post where nifty is possibly forming H&S pattern and can give breakout on downside, here is the link:-
Now I have added Fib retracement taking 04th Low (23179) and recent LTH (26277), with 0.618 Fib retracement the downside target comes (23195) which is inline with H&S pattern breakout target.
Also I have added waves to better visualize the moves. The wave in blue is the main correction wave which must form ABC pattern, and we have completed wave A and wave B (smaller wave in green) seems in formation which might go around ~25480 fib level.
Then the wave C (wave 12345 in red) is the one which can give the expected fall.
The confirmation will come when nifty will break the neckline and then will do a retracement towards it as shown by wave in 2 in red.
I have created a post for bank nifty where it compliments the moves with Nifty 50 but bank nifty might not give that much fall if gets support around 49000-49500. That means nifty might also get support at 24000-24200 or else other sectors need to show more correction than banks. Here is the post for the same:-
Thanks for taking a look and if you like or find the analysis relevant please like and share.
Also comment to provide your inputs which probably I have missed. Thanks!
** This is not a trade advise, just applying chart patterns, wave theory together to predict the possible moves and please do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Solana Next Target is 202, 251 USD.. Triangle Pattern BreakoutSolana has formed a Triangle Pattern and Breakout, with the Next Target at 202 USD and a Final Target of 251 USD. Take advantage of this Great Opportunity to Earn a Potential Profit of +45% ROI and Overall +74%ROI. Check my Previous Analysis below, already reached the first Target at 174 USD with (+20% Profit).
This is a Long-Term Analysis, it's important to follow Trend continuation techniques.
I want to help People Make Profit all over the World.
PREVIOUS ANALYSIS : Before & After,
How would Bitcoin react? Btc/Usdt Chart analysis Bitcoin on Hourly chart is has formed HH & HL (HIGHER HIGH, HIGHER LOW). Trend is definitely bullish but after a massive move every assets goes for a correction. Looking at hourly chart we can see that Bitcoin is trading in range bound and it need to take any side liquidity for any trade to be executed. For buy we would suggest to wait for the ATH (All time high) to be breaken out. So sell side we would suggest to wait for a MSS( Market structure shift). Weekends are usually slower for Crypto market. We will wait for the first Asian session of the day to start and will trade plan accordingly